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Tenable Holdings, Inc. (TENB)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered clean beats on revenue and non-GAAP EPS, driven by Tenable One platform expansions and a record quarter for seven-figure wins; revenue grew 11% YoY to $239.1M vs. S&P Global consensus $234.0M*, and non-GAAP EPS was $0.36 vs. $0.28* .
  • Margins remained strong: non-GAAP gross margin 82% and non-GAAP operating margin 20%; operating leverage and seasonality also supported a record $86.8M in unlevered FCF .
  • FY25 guidance was reset lower (notably billings, EPS, and UFFCF) primarily on incremental U.S. public sector uncertainty and broader macro-policy visibility; Q2 guide is essentially in line with Street on revenue and EPS .
  • Potential stock reaction catalysts: ongoing Tenable One momentum (larger deal sizes, upsell/consolidation), expanding AI/third-party data ingest via Vulcan, and FedRAMP authorization vs. near-term overhang from cautious pub-sec outlook and billings guide reset .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Record large deals and Tenable One as the growth engine: “best quarter ever for 7‑figure wins,” with momentum from cloud security and platform consolidation .
    • Strong profitability and cash generation: non-GAAP op margin 20%; unlevered FCF $86.8M (36% margin), aided by collections seasonality and operating leverage .
    • Product/market progress: FedRAMP Moderate for Tenable One and Cloud Security; identity risk capabilities (Identity 360) and Exposure Center launched; narrative strengthening around AI and third‑party data ingestion (Vulcan) .
  • What Went Wrong

    • FY25 outlook reduced: management extended cautious stance on U.S. public sector given leadership disruptions and procurement uncertainty; also applied some caution to enterprise amid policy/geopolitical risks .
    • GAAP results impacted by higher G&A, including $14.6M accelerated vesting expense tied to the late CEO; GAAP operating margin −7% and GAAP net loss per share $(0.19) .
    • Call transcript discrepancy on FY25 billings (“$1.25–$1.45B” spoken) vs. 8‑K guidance ($1.025–$1.045B); investors should anchor to 8‑K figures .

Financial Results

Quarterly progression (oldest → newest) and Q1 2025 consensus comparison:

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025 (Actual)Q1 2025 (Consensus*)
Revenue ($M)$227.1 $235.7 $239.1 $234.0*
GAAP EPS ($)$(0.08) $0.02 $(0.19) N/A
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$0.32 $0.41 $0.36 $0.28*
GAAP Operating Margin (%)(1) 6 (7) N/A
Non-GAAP Operating Margin (%)20 25 20 N/A
Gross Margin (%)78 78 78 N/A
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (%)81 82 82 N/A

Q1 2025 revenue and EPS beat S&P Global consensus by ~$5.1M and ~$0.08, respectively .

Revenue components and mix:

Revenue Components ($M)Q1 2024Q1 2025
Subscription$197.6 $220.4
Perpetual license & maintenance$12.2 $11.6
Professional services & other$6.2 $7.1
Total Revenue$216.0 $239.1
Recurring revenue (% of total)96% 96%

Key KPIs and cash metrics:

KPIQ1 2024Q1 2025
Calculated Current Billings ($M)$197.8 $215.4
RPO – Short-term ($M)$572.9 $647.6
RPO – Long-term ($M)$169.6 $234.6
RPO – Total ($M)$742.4 $882.2
Net Cash from Operations ($M)$50.3 $87.4
Unlevered Free Cash Flow ($M)$54.7 $86.8
New enterprise platform customers (adds)N/A361
Net new six‑figure customers (adds)N/A54

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($M)Q2 2025N/A$241–$243 New
Non-GAAP Op Income ($M)Q2 2025N/A$43–$45 New
Non-GAAP Net Income ($M)Q2 2025N/A$36–$38 New
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)Q2 2025N/A$0.29–$0.31 New
Diluted Shares (M)Q2 2025N/A123.0 New
Calculated Current Billings ($B)FY 2025$1.040–$1.055 $1.025–$1.045 Lowered
Revenue ($M)FY 2025$971–$981 $970–$980 Lowered (narrowly)
Non-GAAP Op Income ($M)FY 2025$213–$223 $205–$215 Lowered
Non-GAAP Net Income ($M)FY 2025$189–$199 $178–$188 Lowered
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)FY 2025$1.52–$1.60 $1.44–$1.52 Lowered
Diluted Shares (M)FY 2025124.5 123.5 Lower
Unlevered Free Cash Flow ($M)FY 2025$285–$295 $265–$275 Lowered

Management attributes the more cautious FY outlook largely to extended uncertainty and procurement timing in U.S. public sector and some macro/policy/geopolitical visibility, while maintaining emphasis on profitable growth and reiterating UFFCF range on the Q1 call; note the 8-K contains the authoritative ranges .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024, Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Tenable One / Exposure ManagementTenable One and Cloud Security driving demand; strong six‑figure adds “Best quarter ever” for seven‑figure deals; Tenable One catalyst for upsell and consolidation Accelerating
Cloud SecurityExtended CSPM/CNAPP and AI‑SPM; cloud a key driver Large multi‑cloud wins; cloud central to EM strategy and deal wins Strengthening
AI & Data AdvantageLaunched AI Aware; emphasized platform analytics Unique advantage from decades of exposure data; building AI‑powered EM; detected 22M AI‑related apps in Q1 Expanding
Public Sector / FedRAMPNo FedRAMP yet; Q3 noted federal wins FedRAMP Moderate for Tenable One & Cloud Security; cautious pub‑sec outlook on leadership disruptions and procurement Mixed: product tailwind but demand visibility softer
M&A (Vulcan)Intent announced (Q4) to augment EM with third‑party ingest/remediation Closed; integrating third‑party data ingest and remediation into Tenable One; back‑half rev contribution Integration underway

Management Commentary

  • Strategic focus: “Our outperformance…reflects the continued momentum of our exposure management platform…best quarter ever for 7‑figure wins, and Tenable One was certainly the catalyst” .
  • AI/data moat: “No vendor…can match the depth and breadth of our exposure [data]…This gives us a real competitive moat with a uniquely comprehensive view of risk” .
  • Platform evolution: “Tenable One is evolving from a system of record to a system of action…not just identifying risks, but also helping customers act in real time” .
  • Cloud and consolidation: Examples include federal modernization managing >1M assets and multi‑cloud displacement wins; customers consolidating onto Tenable One .
  • Fiscal discipline: “We’re very pleased with our ability to drive continued leverage…Operating margin…20%…EPS…$0.36” and record unlevered FCF .
  • Caution on outlook: Extending cautious stance in U.S. public sector and acknowledging policy/geopolitical uncertainty, while maintaining profit focus .

Q&A Highlights

  • Guidance conservatism: About two‑thirds of the FY25 CCB guide reduction tied to U.S. public sector; remaining third to enterprise caution; visibility challenges from leadership changes and procurement cycles .
  • Competitive landscape: Historically high win rates vs. Qualys/Rapid7; limited encounters with endpoint incumbents (CrowdStrike/Microsoft); several seven‑figure rip‑and‑replace wins .
  • Wiz/Google impact: Viewed as a net positive—customers reopening evaluations to avoid lock‑in; benefits multi‑cloud positioning and Tenable One’s holistic view .
  • Vulcan integration: 0.5pt growth ($5M) in FY25 weighted to 2H; third‑party ingest and remediation already a differentiator in a seven‑figure VM displacement .
  • Pricing: No significant pricing shifts or aggressive discounting observed; margins stable .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 beats: Revenue $239.1M vs. $234.0M*; non‑GAAP EPS $0.36 vs. $0.28* .
  • Q2 2025 guide vs. Street: Revenue guide $241–$243M vs. $242.1M* consensus; EPS guide $0.29–$0.31 vs. $0.303*—essentially in-line .
  • Implications: Street models for FY25 likely move lower on billings, EPS, and UFFCF following guidance reset; near-term revisions may center on public sector timing and enterprise macro sensitivity .

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

PeriodRevenue (Actual vs. Consensus*)EPS (Actual vs. Consensus*)
Q1 2025$239.1M vs. $234.0M* $0.36 vs. $0.282*
Q2 2025 (Guide Mid vs. Consensus*)~$242.0M vs. $242.1M* ~$0.30 vs. $0.303*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Tenable One is driving larger deals and consolidation, delivering durable growth and mix benefits; sustained high win rates support share gains in VM/EM and cloud .
  • Profitability remains a core pillar: 20% non‑GAAP op margin and robust unlevered FCF provide downside protection amid macro and public sector uncertainty .
  • FY25 guidance reset de‑risks execution, particularly around U.S. public sector timing; watch for order timing improvements as leadership positions fill and FedRAMP tailwinds materialize .
  • AI/data moat + Vulcan integration should enhance third‑party ingest and remediation automation—key to evolving from “record” to “action” and sustaining platform ARPU uplift .
  • Near-term trading: Results beat/inline guide could be overshadowed by FY billings/FCF reset; pullbacks may be opportunities if Tenable One momentum and cloud wins persist .
  • Medium-term thesis: Exposure management leadership, multi‑cloud strength, AI‑enabled analytics, and consolidation narrative position TENB for steady high-teens non‑GAAP margin with consistent FCF conversion .
  • Monitor: Public sector bookings cadence, cloud/Tenable One deal velocity, progress on Vulcan-enabled capabilities, and any changes in competitive intensity or pricing .