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TEVA PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES LTD (TEVA)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Solid Q1: revenue $3.89B (+5% LC; -$101M FX), non-GAAP EPS $0.52 (+$0.04 YoY), non-GAAP gross margin 52.8% (+140 bps YoY) on stronger AUSTEDO mix; adjusted EBITDA $1.04B (+4% YoY) .
  • Mixed vs consensus: EPS beat; revenue and EBITDA slight misses. EPS $0.52 vs $0.463*, revenue $3.89B vs $3.99B*, EBITDA $953M vs $1.02B*; note S&P EBITDA definition differs from company “Adjusted EBITDA” .
  • 2025 guidance updated: narrow revenue to $16.8–$17.2B (top-end -$200M on Japan BV sale), raise low-end AUSTEDO to $1.95B, raise low-end operating income/adjusted EBITDA by $200M, and EPS to $2.45–$2.65 (+$0.10 at low-end) .
  • Strategic drivers: ninth straight growth quarter; innovative brands $589M (+~39% YoY) led by AUSTEDO (+39% LC), AJOVY (+26% LC), UZEDY $39M; tariffs impact immaterial and absorbed in outlook; on path to 30% operating margin by 2027 with ~$700M net savings programs .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • Innovative brands acceleration: “They reached $589M sales, +45% YoY,” led by AUSTEDO (+39% global), AJOVY (+26% global), UZEDY $39M; AUSTEDO US +40% to $396M .
    • Margin mix improvement: non-GAAP gross margin +140 bps to 52.8% “mainly due to favorable mix driven by higher AUSTEDO revenues” .
    • Confidence on cost/margin roadmap: “transforming Teva… ~$700M net savings by 2027” with operating margin expansion of ~400 bps through 2027; EBITDA to grow in 2026 despite Revlimid headwind .
  • What Went Wrong
    • FX headwinds: revenue -$101M and operating income -$50M from FX (after hedging), pressuring reported growth .
    • Europe and International softness: Europe revenue -6% (-2% LC), gross margin -290 bps on hedging mix; International revenue -2% (+5% LC) with Japan price pressure; segment profits down 22% and 17% YoY, respectively .
    • Slight misses vs Street (S&P): revenue and EBITDA below consensus; EBITDA definitional gap vs company “Adjusted EBITDA” may create confusion (S&P actual $953M vs company $1.041B) .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($B)$3.82 $4.23 $3.89
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$0.48 $0.71 $0.52
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (%)51.4% 54.8% 52.8%
Adjusted EBITDA ($B)$1.01 $1.28 $1.04

Consensus vs Actual (S&P Global; EPS normalized “Primary EPS”)

MetricConsensusActualSurprise
EPS ($)0.463*0.520+0.057*
Revenue ($B)3.988*3.891-0.097*
EBITDA ($B)1.018*0.953-0.065*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Note: Company “Adjusted EBITDA” was $1.041B vs S&P EBITDA actual $0.953B (different definitions) .

Segment revenue by region

Segment Revenue ($M)Q1 2024Q1 2025
United States1,725 1,910
Europe1,272 1,194
International Markets597 582

United States – major products

US Major Products ($M)Q1 2024Q1 2025
Generics (incl. biosimilars)808 849
AUSTEDO282 396
AJOVY45 53
UZEDY15 39
COPAXONE30 54
Anda (3P distribution)381 373

KPIs (Q1 2025)

  • AUSTEDO worldwide revenue: $411M (+39% LC YoY) .
  • AJOVY worldwide revenue: $139M (+26% LC YoY) .
  • UZEDY revenue: $39M; >60% share of risperidone LAI market; TRx +177% (off small base) .
  • AJOVY US exit TRx share: 30.2% (vs 27.4% in Q1’24) .
  • Generics growth (LC): US +5%, Europe +1%, International +2% .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Jan 29, 2025)Current Guidance (May 7, 2025)Change
Revenue ($B)FY 202516.8 – 17.4 16.8 – 17.2 Narrowed; top-end -$0.2B (Japan BV divestiture)
AUSTEDO ($M)FY 20251,900 – 2,050 1,950 – 2,050 Raised low-end +$50M
AJOVY ($M)FY 2025~600 ~600 Maintained
UZEDY ($M)FY 2025~160 ~160 Maintained
COPAXONE ($M)FY 2025~370 ~370 Maintained
Non-GAAP Operating Income ($B)FY 20254.1 – 4.6 4.3 – 4.6 Raised low-end +$0.2B
Adjusted EBITDA ($B)FY 20254.5 – 5.0 4.7 – 5.0 Raised low-end +$0.2B
Non-GAAP EPS ($)FY 20252.35 – 2.65 2.45 – 2.65 Raised low-end +$0.10
Free Cash Flow ($B)FY 20251.6 – 1.9 1.6 – 1.9 Unchanged

Additional color: Guidance excludes post-Q1 contribution from Japan BV (closed 3/31/25) and any Sanofi TL1A milestones; tariff impact deemed immaterial and absorbed .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3’24, Q4’24)Current Period (Q1’25)Trend
Margin roadmap to 30% by 2027Detailed mix/COGS/OpEx levers; 2025 GM 53–54% target; 27–28% OpEx; deleveraging toward 2x by 2027 ~$700M net savings by 2027; GM to 57–58% by 2027; OP +125–200 bps in 2026 and +125–250 bps in 2027; EBITDA growth through 2026–27 Positive execution visibility
IRA/Medicare impactAUSTEDO on list; acknowledge 2027 pricing and Part D redesign AUSTEDO Medicare price-setting effective 1/1/27; UZEDY Part D redesign already flows through Managing headwinds; phased
Tariffs/supply chainNot a major headwind; US footprint “Tariffs immaterial; absorbed in guidance; substantial US manufacturing; limited China/India sourcing” Mitigated
Innovative brandsAUSTEDO exceeded $1.6B in 2024; AJOVY >$500M; UZEDY $117M AUSTEDO $411M (+39% LC), AJOVY $139M (+26% LC), UZEDY $39M; AUSTEDO 2025 low-end raised Strong momentum
BiosimilarsPortfolio build; launches (SIMLANDI, octreotide LAR) pending SELARSDI US launches of Humira and Soliris biosimilars; SELARSDI approved interchangeable Apr 30, 2025 Accelerating
R&D executionTL1A positive Ph2b; DARI Ph3 enrollment ramp; olanzapine LAI safety/filing plans TL1A Ph3 to initiate H2’25; DARI global Ph3 on track; olanzapine LAI NDA H2’25; 2027 innovative growth targets reiterated On track
Revlimid generic cadenceQ2–Q3 seasonality explained; 2026 drop managed via biosimilars/complex portfolio 2026 EBITDA to grow YoY despite Revlimid impact, supported by savings and innovative growth Improving confidence
Capital allocation/deleveragingNet debt/EBITDA ≈3x; target 2x by 2027; ratings outlook improved Net debt ~$15B; gross debt $16.7B; on 2x by 2027 path Progressing

Management Commentary

  • “This is our ninth consecutive quarter of growth… driven by executing on our pillars: deliver on our growth engines, step up innovation, sustain the generics powerhouse and focus the business.” — CEO Richard Francis .
  • “Innovative brands reached $589M sales, +45% YoY… AUSTEDO grew 39% globally; AJOVY +26%; UZEDY doubled to $39M.” — CEO .
  • “Non-GAAP gross margin grew 140 bps YoY to 52.8%… mainly due to favorable mix… two-thirds flowed through to operating margins, +100 bps YoY.” — CFO Eli Kalif .
  • “Tariffs… already absorbed in our revised guidance; substantial US manufacturing footprint; limited China/India exposure.” — CFO .
  • “Transformation programs will deliver approximately ~$700M net savings… enabling a clear path to 30% operating margin by 2027.” — CFO .
  • “EBITDA will go up in absolute dollars in 2026… significant organizational effectiveness benefits hit in 2026 alongside innovative growth.” — CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • 2026 EBITDA trajectory: Management explicitly guided to higher absolute EBITDA and operating profit in 2026 despite Revlimid generic headwind, citing cost programs and innovative growth .
  • Tariffs pass-through vs mitigation: Company has mitigated current tariffs via footprint/supply chain; pass-through less emphasized; contingencies in place .
  • Savings phasing and reinvestment: ~$700M net savings between 2025–27 with OpEx held at 27–28% of sales as savings fund innovation/commercial while gross margin expands ~400 bps through 2027 .
  • Biosimilar dynamics: “US slow and steady… depends on product/channel”; Europe faster; portfolio breadth seen as driver through 2027 .
  • LAI antipsychotic franchise: UZEDY gaining share; olanzapine LAI expected to build on franchise; efficacy/safety familiarity seen as an advantage vs new MOAs .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: EPS $0.52 vs $0.463 (beat); revenue $3.891B vs $3.989B (miss); EBITDA $953M vs $1.018B (miss). EPS estimate count: 4; revenue estimate count: 5. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Street adjustments: Given company-reported Adjusted EBITDA of $1.041B and mix-driven gross margin outperformance, models may lift AUSTEDO full-year and margin trajectory while trimming ex-US/FX exposures and Europe hedging assumptions .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Mix upgrade remains the core driver: innovative brands continue to outgrow the base, lifting gross margins and supporting EPS beats despite FX and regional headwinds .
  • FY25 setup improved: higher low-end EPS/EBITDA/operating income and AUSTEDO guidance signal confidence; revenue narrowed by Japan BV sale is mechanical, not operational .
  • 2026 inflection credible: management affirmed EBITDA growth in 2026 vs 2025 as savings accelerate; watch execution on footprint consolidation and cost of goods .
  • Policy overhangs manageable: tariffs absorbed; IRA timelines known (UZEDY Part D redesign now; AUSTEDO price-setting 2027) .
  • Biosimilars portfolio broadening is an underappreciated lever alongside complex generics, aiding Revlimid step-down management in 2026 .
  • Near-term catalysts: olanzapine LAI NDA filing (H2’25), TL1A Phase 3 initiation (H2’25), DARI Phase 3 enrollment progress, and continued AUSTEDO XR adoption .
  • Trading lens: Expect positive sentiment on mix/margin and raised EPS floor, tempered by Europe/FX and Street EBITDA definition differences; focus on innovative run-rate sustainability and cost-savings execution .

Appendix: Additional Items from the Quarter

  • Segment details: US revenue +11% to $1.91B (AUSTEDO +40% to $396M; UZEDY +156% to $39M); Europe -6% to $1.19B (hedging/mix); International -2% to $582M (+5% LC) .
  • Cash/debt: Free cash flow $107M; gross debt $16.65B (down from $17.78B YE’24) on $1.37B notes repaid; net debt ~$15B; leverage just over 3x .
  • Regulatory/biosimilars: SELARSDI (ustekinumab) approved as interchangeable effective Apr 30, 2025; SIMLANDI (adalimumab) and eculizumab biosimilar noted among recent launches .

References:

  • Q1 2025 earnings call transcript (May 7, 2025)
  • Q1 2025 8-K/press release (May 7, 2025)
  • Q4 2024 8-K/press release (Jan 29, 2025)
  • Q3 2024 8-K/press release (Nov 6, 2024)