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TEVA PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES LTD (TEVA)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Solid Q1: revenue $3.89B (+5% LC; -$101M FX), non-GAAP EPS $0.52 (+$0.04 YoY), non-GAAP gross margin 52.8% (+140 bps YoY) on stronger AUSTEDO mix; adjusted EBITDA $1.04B (+4% YoY) .
- Mixed vs consensus: EPS beat; revenue and EBITDA slight misses. EPS $0.52 vs $0.463*, revenue $3.89B vs $3.99B*, EBITDA $953M vs $1.02B*; note S&P EBITDA definition differs from company “Adjusted EBITDA” .
- 2025 guidance updated: narrow revenue to $16.8–$17.2B (top-end -$200M on Japan BV sale), raise low-end AUSTEDO to $1.95B, raise low-end operating income/adjusted EBITDA by $200M, and EPS to $2.45–$2.65 (+$0.10 at low-end) .
- Strategic drivers: ninth straight growth quarter; innovative brands $589M (+~39% YoY) led by AUSTEDO (+39% LC), AJOVY (+26% LC), UZEDY $39M; tariffs impact immaterial and absorbed in outlook; on path to 30% operating margin by 2027 with ~$700M net savings programs .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- Innovative brands acceleration: “They reached $589M sales, +45% YoY,” led by AUSTEDO (+39% global), AJOVY (+26% global), UZEDY $39M; AUSTEDO US +40% to $396M .
- Margin mix improvement: non-GAAP gross margin +140 bps to 52.8% “mainly due to favorable mix driven by higher AUSTEDO revenues” .
- Confidence on cost/margin roadmap: “transforming Teva… ~$700M net savings by 2027” with operating margin expansion of ~400 bps through 2027; EBITDA to grow in 2026 despite Revlimid headwind .
- What Went Wrong
- FX headwinds: revenue -$101M and operating income -$50M from FX (after hedging), pressuring reported growth .
- Europe and International softness: Europe revenue -6% (-2% LC), gross margin -290 bps on hedging mix; International revenue -2% (+5% LC) with Japan price pressure; segment profits down 22% and 17% YoY, respectively .
- Slight misses vs Street (S&P): revenue and EBITDA below consensus; EBITDA definitional gap vs company “Adjusted EBITDA” may create confusion (S&P actual $953M vs company $1.041B) .
Financial Results
Consensus vs Actual (S&P Global; EPS normalized “Primary EPS”)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Note: Company “Adjusted EBITDA” was $1.041B vs S&P EBITDA actual $0.953B (different definitions) .
Segment revenue by region
United States – major products
KPIs (Q1 2025)
- AUSTEDO worldwide revenue: $411M (+39% LC YoY) .
- AJOVY worldwide revenue: $139M (+26% LC YoY) .
- UZEDY revenue: $39M; >60% share of risperidone LAI market; TRx +177% (off small base) .
- AJOVY US exit TRx share: 30.2% (vs 27.4% in Q1’24) .
- Generics growth (LC): US +5%, Europe +1%, International +2% .
Guidance Changes
Additional color: Guidance excludes post-Q1 contribution from Japan BV (closed 3/31/25) and any Sanofi TL1A milestones; tariff impact deemed immaterial and absorbed .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “This is our ninth consecutive quarter of growth… driven by executing on our pillars: deliver on our growth engines, step up innovation, sustain the generics powerhouse and focus the business.” — CEO Richard Francis .
- “Innovative brands reached $589M sales, +45% YoY… AUSTEDO grew 39% globally; AJOVY +26%; UZEDY doubled to $39M.” — CEO .
- “Non-GAAP gross margin grew 140 bps YoY to 52.8%… mainly due to favorable mix… two-thirds flowed through to operating margins, +100 bps YoY.” — CFO Eli Kalif .
- “Tariffs… already absorbed in our revised guidance; substantial US manufacturing footprint; limited China/India exposure.” — CFO .
- “Transformation programs will deliver approximately ~$700M net savings… enabling a clear path to 30% operating margin by 2027.” — CFO .
- “EBITDA will go up in absolute dollars in 2026… significant organizational effectiveness benefits hit in 2026 alongside innovative growth.” — CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- 2026 EBITDA trajectory: Management explicitly guided to higher absolute EBITDA and operating profit in 2026 despite Revlimid generic headwind, citing cost programs and innovative growth .
- Tariffs pass-through vs mitigation: Company has mitigated current tariffs via footprint/supply chain; pass-through less emphasized; contingencies in place .
- Savings phasing and reinvestment: ~$700M net savings between 2025–27 with OpEx held at 27–28% of sales as savings fund innovation/commercial while gross margin expands ~400 bps through 2027 .
- Biosimilar dynamics: “US slow and steady… depends on product/channel”; Europe faster; portfolio breadth seen as driver through 2027 .
- LAI antipsychotic franchise: UZEDY gaining share; olanzapine LAI expected to build on franchise; efficacy/safety familiarity seen as an advantage vs new MOAs .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: EPS $0.52 vs $0.463 (beat); revenue $3.891B vs $3.989B (miss); EBITDA $953M vs $1.018B (miss). EPS estimate count: 4; revenue estimate count: 5. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Street adjustments: Given company-reported Adjusted EBITDA of $1.041B and mix-driven gross margin outperformance, models may lift AUSTEDO full-year and margin trajectory while trimming ex-US/FX exposures and Europe hedging assumptions .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix upgrade remains the core driver: innovative brands continue to outgrow the base, lifting gross margins and supporting EPS beats despite FX and regional headwinds .
- FY25 setup improved: higher low-end EPS/EBITDA/operating income and AUSTEDO guidance signal confidence; revenue narrowed by Japan BV sale is mechanical, not operational .
- 2026 inflection credible: management affirmed EBITDA growth in 2026 vs 2025 as savings accelerate; watch execution on footprint consolidation and cost of goods .
- Policy overhangs manageable: tariffs absorbed; IRA timelines known (UZEDY Part D redesign now; AUSTEDO price-setting 2027) .
- Biosimilars portfolio broadening is an underappreciated lever alongside complex generics, aiding Revlimid step-down management in 2026 .
- Near-term catalysts: olanzapine LAI NDA filing (H2’25), TL1A Phase 3 initiation (H2’25), DARI Phase 3 enrollment progress, and continued AUSTEDO XR adoption .
- Trading lens: Expect positive sentiment on mix/margin and raised EPS floor, tempered by Europe/FX and Street EBITDA definition differences; focus on innovative run-rate sustainability and cost-savings execution .
Appendix: Additional Items from the Quarter
- Segment details: US revenue +11% to $1.91B (AUSTEDO +40% to $396M; UZEDY +156% to $39M); Europe -6% to $1.19B (hedging/mix); International -2% to $582M (+5% LC) .
- Cash/debt: Free cash flow $107M; gross debt $16.65B (down from $17.78B YE’24) on $1.37B notes repaid; net debt ~$15B; leverage just over 3x .
- Regulatory/biosimilars: SELARSDI (ustekinumab) approved as interchangeable effective Apr 30, 2025; SIMLANDI (adalimumab) and eculizumab biosimilar noted among recent launches .
References:
- Q1 2025 earnings call transcript (May 7, 2025) –
- Q1 2025 8-K/press release (May 7, 2025) –
- Q4 2024 8-K/press release (Jan 29, 2025) –
- Q3 2024 8-K/press release (Nov 6, 2024) –