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TEVA PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES LTD (TEVA)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Mixed headline vs. estimates: revenue missed while EPS/EBITDA beat. Q2 revenue was $4.18B vs. S&P Global consensus $4.27B (miss), Non-GAAP EPS $0.66 vs. $0.62 (beat), and Adjusted EBITDA $1.23B vs. $1.18B (beat). Drivers were strong innovative brands (AUSTEDO/AJOVY/UZEDY) and favorable mix; headwinds were U.S./International generics and COPAXONE declines . Estimates marked below with asterisks are from S&P Global.
- Guidance: Raised 2025 EPS low-end to $2.50 (from $2.45) and increased 2025 sales outlooks for AUSTEDO ($2.00–$2.05B), AJOVY ($630–$640M), and UZEDY ($190–$200M); revenue, non-GAAP OI, EBITDA, FCF, tax rate reaffirmed .
- Margin trajectory: Non-GAAP gross margin expanded to 54.6% (+170 bps YoY) and non-GAAP operating margin to 27.1% (+180 bps YoY), driven by mix (innovative growth, EU product-rights sales) and lower operating expenses as % of sales .
- Strategic narrative/catalysts: Management reiterated path to 30% operating margin by 2027, ongoing ~$700M transformation savings with ~$70M to be realized in 2H25 (run-rate ~$140M), olanzapine LAI NDA filing expected Q4’25, and Phase 3 duvakitug (anti‑TL1A) initiations in UC/CD in Q4’25 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Innovative portfolio acceleration: AUSTEDO $498M (+19% LC), AJOVY $155M (+31% LC), UZEDY $54M (+120% YoY), with raised 2025 outlooks; CEO: “our innovative portfolio… remains the primary engine driving our revenue growth” .
- Margin expansion: Non-GAAP GM 54.6% (from 52.9%) on favorable mix and EU product rights sale; non-GAAP operating margin 27.1% (from 25.3%) .
- Balance sheet actions: Debt reduced to $17.23B (from $17.78B YE24); refinanced ~$2.3B of maturities and repurchased $2.29B of notes; short-term debt cut to 3% of total; CFO cites leverage just over 3x and on track to 2x by 2027 .
What Went Wrong
- Top-line miss vs. consensus and pressure in generics/COPAXONE: Revenues $4.18B vs. S&P $4.27B; global generics -2% LC YoY ex-Japan BV; COPAXONE declines persisted .
- Higher legal/restructuring charges: $166M legal settlements (opioids accretion, generic antitrust provision) and $154M restructuring in Q2 inflated GAAP/adjustments; non-GAAP EPS excludes these .
- International Markets down on Japan BV divestiture and timing: Segment revenues -17% YoY; AUSTEDO -76% and AJOVY -7% in IM on shipment timing .
Financial Results
Consolidated performance and margins (chronological: Q2’24 → Q1’25 → Q2’25)
Results vs. Wall Street (S&P Global) consensus
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
- Q2’25: EPS beat, EBITDA beat, Revenue miss vs. S&P Global. Mix uplift (AUSTEDO, EU product-rights sale) and operating expense discipline drove EPS/EBITDA upside despite generics softness and COPAXONE pressure .
Segment revenue (US/Europe/International)
Product & KPI highlights (Q2 2025)
Guidance Changes
Management expects revenues around or slightly below the midpoint given softer generics; EPS/EBITDA expected at midpoint or above on innovative mix, transformation savings (~$70M 2H25), and FX benefits .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO (Richard Francis): “Teva’s performance this quarter stands as a testament to the exceptional strength of our innovative portfolio… placing us firmly on track to achieve a 30% operating profit margin by 2027” .
- CEO: “We raised the 2025 revenue outlook for AUSTEDO… AJOVY… and UZEDY” as the innovative portfolio collectively grew ~26% YoY in LC .
- CFO (Eli Kalif): Non-GAAP GM up 130 bps YoY to 54.6% from positive mix (AUSTEDO) and EU product-rights sales; non-GAAP OP margin up ~170 bps to 27.1% .
- CFO: Leverage just over 3x; on track to 2x by 2027; $2.3B refinancing and debt reduction executed .
- CEO on transformation: Targeting ~$700M net savings by 2027; ~20% of two-thirds target already achieved, with ~$70M expected in 2H25 (run-rate ~$140M) .
Q&A Highlights
- IRA/CMS negotiations (AUSTEDO): Management declined specifics during active talks; any impact modeled in guidance; Part D redesign acknowledged (UZEDY impacted immediately, AUSTEDO phased) .
- Tariffs: Flexible global supply chain, significant U.S. footprint (>50% of U.S. sales made in U.S.) and limited China/India sourcing; no meaningful near-term impact expected .
- Generics cadence (Revlimid/Victoza): U.S. generics underlying growth ex-Revlimid/Victoza; Revlimid order phasing introduced volatility Q2 and likely Q4; full-year Gx flat-to-low single digit .
- Gross margin outlook: Expect FY GM at or above midpoint of 53–54%, trending higher into Q4; innovative mix and initial savings offset generics softness .
- TAPI/API divestiture: Process active and advanced; focus on best outcome; API business classified as held for sale .
Estimates Context
- Q2’25 vs S&P Global: Revenue $4.176B vs $4.269B est (miss); Non‑GAAP EPS $0.66 vs $0.615 est (beat); EBITDA $1.233B vs $1.184B est (beat). Consensus count: 7 estimates for revenue/EPS [GetEstimates].
- Q1’25 and Q2’24 also reflected beats on EPS vs consensus despite revenue headwinds in certain periods [GetEstimates].
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Innovative engine is now the stock narrative: double-digit LC growth in AUSTEDO/AJOVY/UZEDY with raised 2025 targets; mix is structurally expanding GM/OP margins—supports multiple expansion if execution sustains .
- 2025 guide quality improved: EPS low-end raised despite generics softness and IRA/tariff uncertainties; management guiding to midpoint-or-better for EPS/EBITDA on mix and savings .
- Near-term watch items: Revlimid phasing (Q3/Q4), Part D redesign headwinds, and tariff specificity; management claims mitigation plans and limited China exposure .
- Medium-term catalysts: Olanzapine LAI NDA filing (Q4’25) with 2026 approval targeted; duvakitug Phase 3 initiations (UC/CD) in Q4’25; DARI Phase 3 progressing—optionality for 2027+ growth .
- Deleveraging and capital allocation discipline underpin equity story: refinancing done at similar cost of capital; leverage just over 3x, 2x goal by 2027; potential for future capital returns post-investment-grade .
- Transformation program should support 30% OP margin by 2027: ~$700M net savings, site/footprint optimization, procurement efficiencies; early savings to show in 2H25 .
Appendix: Additional Detail
- Q2 Cash & FCF: CFFO $227M, FCF $476M; debt $17.23B; average maturity ~5.95 years; short-term debt 3% .
- Non-GAAP adjustments Q2: $486M, including $166M legal settlements (opioid accretion; generic antitrust), $154M restructuring, $99M asset impairments .