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TEVA PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES LTD (TEVA)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Mixed headline vs. estimates: revenue missed while EPS/EBITDA beat. Q2 revenue was $4.18B vs. S&P Global consensus $4.27B (miss), Non-GAAP EPS $0.66 vs. $0.62 (beat), and Adjusted EBITDA $1.23B vs. $1.18B (beat). Drivers were strong innovative brands (AUSTEDO/AJOVY/UZEDY) and favorable mix; headwinds were U.S./International generics and COPAXONE declines . Estimates marked below with asterisks are from S&P Global.
  • Guidance: Raised 2025 EPS low-end to $2.50 (from $2.45) and increased 2025 sales outlooks for AUSTEDO ($2.00–$2.05B), AJOVY ($630–$640M), and UZEDY ($190–$200M); revenue, non-GAAP OI, EBITDA, FCF, tax rate reaffirmed .
  • Margin trajectory: Non-GAAP gross margin expanded to 54.6% (+170 bps YoY) and non-GAAP operating margin to 27.1% (+180 bps YoY), driven by mix (innovative growth, EU product-rights sales) and lower operating expenses as % of sales .
  • Strategic narrative/catalysts: Management reiterated path to 30% operating margin by 2027, ongoing ~$700M transformation savings with ~$70M to be realized in 2H25 (run-rate ~$140M), olanzapine LAI NDA filing expected Q4’25, and Phase 3 duvakitug (anti‑TL1A) initiations in UC/CD in Q4’25 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Innovative portfolio acceleration: AUSTEDO $498M (+19% LC), AJOVY $155M (+31% LC), UZEDY $54M (+120% YoY), with raised 2025 outlooks; CEO: “our innovative portfolio… remains the primary engine driving our revenue growth” .
  • Margin expansion: Non-GAAP GM 54.6% (from 52.9%) on favorable mix and EU product rights sale; non-GAAP operating margin 27.1% (from 25.3%) .
  • Balance sheet actions: Debt reduced to $17.23B (from $17.78B YE24); refinanced ~$2.3B of maturities and repurchased $2.29B of notes; short-term debt cut to 3% of total; CFO cites leverage just over 3x and on track to 2x by 2027 .

What Went Wrong

  • Top-line miss vs. consensus and pressure in generics/COPAXONE: Revenues $4.18B vs. S&P $4.27B; global generics -2% LC YoY ex-Japan BV; COPAXONE declines persisted .
  • Higher legal/restructuring charges: $166M legal settlements (opioids accretion, generic antitrust provision) and $154M restructuring in Q2 inflated GAAP/adjustments; non-GAAP EPS excludes these .
  • International Markets down on Japan BV divestiture and timing: Segment revenues -17% YoY; AUSTEDO -76% and AJOVY -7% in IM on shipment timing .

Financial Results

Consolidated performance and margins (chronological: Q2’24 → Q1’25 → Q2’25)

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($B)$4.164 $3.891 $4.176
GAAP Diluted EPS$(0.75) $0.18 $0.24
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS$0.61 $0.52 $0.66
Adjusted EBITDA ($B)$1.168 $1.041 $1.233
Non-GAAP Gross Margin %52.9% 52.8% 54.6%
Non-GAAP Operating Margin %25.3% 24.3% 27.1%

Results vs. Wall Street (S&P Global) consensus

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($B)$4.045 est / $4.164 act*$3.988 est / $3.891 act*$4.269 est / $4.176 act*
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$0.551 est / $0.61 act*$0.463 est / $0.52 act*$0.615 est / $0.66 act*
EBITDA ($B)$1.132 est / $1.076 act*$1.018 est / $0.953 act*$1.184 est / $1.145 act*

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

  • Q2’25: EPS beat, EBITDA beat, Revenue miss vs. S&P Global. Mix uplift (AUSTEDO, EU product-rights sale) and operating expense discipline drove EPS/EBITDA upside despite generics softness and COPAXONE pressure .

Segment revenue (US/Europe/International)

Segment Revenue ($M)Q2 2024Q2 2025YoY Δ
United States$2,110 $2,151 +2%
Europe$1,213 $1,298 +7%
International Markets$593 $495 -17%

Product & KPI highlights (Q2 2025)

KPIQ2 2025
AUSTEDO Global Revenue$498M; +19% LC YoY
AJOVY Global Revenue$155M; +31% LC YoY
UZEDY U.S. Revenue$54M; +120% YoY
U.S. Generics (incl. biosims)$961M; -6% YoY
Cash from Operations$227M
Free Cash Flow$476M
Adjusted EBITDA$1.233B
Non-GAAP Tax Rate16.4%
Total Debt (6/30/25)$17.227B

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (May 2025)Current Guidance (Jul 30, 2025)Change
Revenues ($B, GAAP)FY 2025$16.8 – $17.2 $16.8 – $17.2 Maintained
Non‑GAAP Operating Income ($B)FY 2025$4.3 – $4.6 $4.3 – $4.6 Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA ($B)FY 2025$4.7 – $5.0 $4.7 – $5.0 Maintained
Non‑GAAP Diluted EPS ($)FY 2025$2.45 – $2.65 $2.50 – $2.65 Raised (low end +$0.05)
Free Cash Flow ($B)FY 2025$1.6 – $1.9 $1.6 – $1.9 Maintained
AUSTEDO Revenue ($M)FY 2025$1,950 – $2,050 $2,000 – $2,050 Raised (low end +$50M)
AJOVY Revenue ($M)FY 2025~600 630 – 640 Raised
UZEDY Revenue ($M)FY 2025~160 190 – 200 Raised
Tax Rate (Non-GAAP)FY 202515% – 18% 15% – 18% Maintained
Finance Expenses ($B)FY 2025~0.9 ~0.9 Maintained
CAPEX ($B, GAAP)FY 2025~0.5 ~0.5 Maintained

Management expects revenues around or slightly below the midpoint given softer generics; EPS/EBITDA expected at midpoint or above on innovative mix, transformation savings (~$70M 2H25), and FX benefits .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24)Previous Mentions (Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
Pivot to Growth; 30% Op margin by 2027Reiterated 30% 2027 target; path via innovative mix and ops programs Reaffirmed; outlined 400 bps OP expansion plan 2026–27 “On track”; 27.1% non-GAAP OP in Q2; $700M net savings underway (~$70M in 2H25) Improving
Innovative brands (AUSTEDO/AJOVY/UZEDY)Strong FY’24 growth and 2025 targets Q1 strength; AUSTEDO XR >60% new pts; outlook raised low-end Q2 global growth +26% LC; all three outlooks raised Improving
R&D execution (olanzapine LAI, DARI, duvakitug)Phase 3/filing timelines set; TL1A phase 2b positive On-track: olanzapine submission 2H25; DARI enrolling; TL1A P3 H2’25 Olanzapine NDA in Q4’25; TL1A P3 UC/CD starts Q4’25 On track
Generics & biosimilarsGrowth across regions; pipeline of complex Gx and biosims Q1 Gx growth across regions; portfolio play in biosims Q2 Gx flat/soft; reiterated flat-to-low-single-digit FY; biosims momentum and multiple launches Stable
Tariffs/supply chainU.S./global footprint; limited China/India exposure Absorbed confirmed U.S. tariffs in 2025 guidance; strong U.S. mfg Monitoring EU developments; no meaningful near-term impact; >50% U.S. sales are U.S.-manufactured Stable
IRA/Medicare Part DAUSTEDO in CMS negotiation; planning for impact IRA selection list noted; impact anticipated 2027 No specifics while negotiating; included in 2025 outlook; Part D redesign affects UZEDY/AUSTEDO dynamics Watch
Legal/regulatory2024 legal items (EU COPAXONE, opioids accruals) Q2 legal settlements $166M (opioid accretion; generic antitrust) Neutral

Management Commentary

  • CEO (Richard Francis): “Teva’s performance this quarter stands as a testament to the exceptional strength of our innovative portfolio… placing us firmly on track to achieve a 30% operating profit margin by 2027” .
  • CEO: “We raised the 2025 revenue outlook for AUSTEDO… AJOVY… and UZEDY” as the innovative portfolio collectively grew ~26% YoY in LC .
  • CFO (Eli Kalif): Non-GAAP GM up 130 bps YoY to 54.6% from positive mix (AUSTEDO) and EU product-rights sales; non-GAAP OP margin up ~170 bps to 27.1% .
  • CFO: Leverage just over 3x; on track to 2x by 2027; $2.3B refinancing and debt reduction executed .
  • CEO on transformation: Targeting ~$700M net savings by 2027; ~20% of two-thirds target already achieved, with ~$70M expected in 2H25 (run-rate ~$140M) .

Q&A Highlights

  • IRA/CMS negotiations (AUSTEDO): Management declined specifics during active talks; any impact modeled in guidance; Part D redesign acknowledged (UZEDY impacted immediately, AUSTEDO phased) .
  • Tariffs: Flexible global supply chain, significant U.S. footprint (>50% of U.S. sales made in U.S.) and limited China/India sourcing; no meaningful near-term impact expected .
  • Generics cadence (Revlimid/Victoza): U.S. generics underlying growth ex-Revlimid/Victoza; Revlimid order phasing introduced volatility Q2 and likely Q4; full-year Gx flat-to-low single digit .
  • Gross margin outlook: Expect FY GM at or above midpoint of 53–54%, trending higher into Q4; innovative mix and initial savings offset generics softness .
  • TAPI/API divestiture: Process active and advanced; focus on best outcome; API business classified as held for sale .

Estimates Context

  • Q2’25 vs S&P Global: Revenue $4.176B vs $4.269B est (miss); Non‑GAAP EPS $0.66 vs $0.615 est (beat); EBITDA $1.233B vs $1.184B est (beat). Consensus count: 7 estimates for revenue/EPS [GetEstimates].
  • Q1’25 and Q2’24 also reflected beats on EPS vs consensus despite revenue headwinds in certain periods [GetEstimates].

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Innovative engine is now the stock narrative: double-digit LC growth in AUSTEDO/AJOVY/UZEDY with raised 2025 targets; mix is structurally expanding GM/OP margins—supports multiple expansion if execution sustains .
  • 2025 guide quality improved: EPS low-end raised despite generics softness and IRA/tariff uncertainties; management guiding to midpoint-or-better for EPS/EBITDA on mix and savings .
  • Near-term watch items: Revlimid phasing (Q3/Q4), Part D redesign headwinds, and tariff specificity; management claims mitigation plans and limited China exposure .
  • Medium-term catalysts: Olanzapine LAI NDA filing (Q4’25) with 2026 approval targeted; duvakitug Phase 3 initiations (UC/CD) in Q4’25; DARI Phase 3 progressing—optionality for 2027+ growth .
  • Deleveraging and capital allocation discipline underpin equity story: refinancing done at similar cost of capital; leverage just over 3x, 2x goal by 2027; potential for future capital returns post-investment-grade .
  • Transformation program should support 30% OP margin by 2027: ~$700M net savings, site/footprint optimization, procurement efficiencies; early savings to show in 2H25 .

Appendix: Additional Detail

  • Q2 Cash & FCF: CFFO $227M, FCF $476M; debt $17.23B; average maturity ~5.95 years; short-term debt 3% .
  • Non-GAAP adjustments Q2: $486M, including $166M legal settlements (opioid accretion; generic antitrust), $154M restructuring, $99M asset impairments .