Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
- Thryv's SaaS gross margins are expanding significantly, reaching over 72% in Q3, up from the low 60s, and the company expects to drive toward 75% gross margins in the future, aided by the acquisition of Keap, which has even higher margins.
- Thryv has accelerated the conversion of its Marketing Services customers to its higher-margin SaaS platform faster than expected, increasing recurring revenue and margins.
- Thryv's SaaS net dollar retention rate has exceeded 100%, driven by an increase in customers adopting multiple centers (products), currently at 12% of the subscriber base, and this trend is expected to continue, leading to higher revenue per customer and stronger margins.
- Accelerated decline in Marketing Services revenue and EBITDA due to faster-than-expected cannibalization from SaaS migrations, which could negatively impact overall profitability in the near term.
- Management expects Marketing Services EBITDA to decrease in the first quarter of 2025, and is not prepared to provide full-year 2025 guidance, which raises uncertainty about future financial performance, including the impact of the Keap acquisition.
- Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) is under pressure due to the introduction of lower-priced introductory offerings to accelerate customer migration to SaaS, potentially impacting short-term revenue and margin expansion.
Metric | YoY Change | Reason |
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Total Revenue | Declined from $183.8M in Q3 2023 to $179.9M in Q3 2024 (~2% decline) | The modest decline in total revenue reflects an overall softening in demand, likely driven by a slight contraction in the Marketing Services segment that was only partially offset by stable or growing SaaS contributions. |
International Revenue | Declined from $26.29M in Q3 2023 to $23.84M in Q3 2024 (~9% decline) | International revenue dropped by about 9%, which is likely tied to ongoing challenges such as the secular decline in traditional print and competitive pressures in foreign markets that continue to impact the international segment. |
Operating Income | Deteriorated from -$19.4M in Q3 2023 to -$88.6M in Q3 2024 | Operating income worsened dramatically due to a much steeper decline in revenue combined with insufficient cost reductions or operational adjustments, as expenses did not fall commensurately with the loss of higher-margin Marketing Services revenue. |
Net Income | Fell from -$27.0M in Q3 2023 to -$96.1M in Q3 2024 | Net income experienced a sharp negative shift, driven by declining total revenue and deteriorating operating margins despite some cost improvements, leading to a broader impact on profitability. |
Basic EPS | Worsened from -$0.78 in Q3 2023 to -$2.67 in Q3 2024 | Basic EPS deteriorated significantly, reflecting the compounded effect of larger losses (as seen in the net income decline) and potentially a higher weighted-average share count, which further diluted earnings per share. |
Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) | Reduced from $80.18M in Q3 2023 to $67.87M in Q3 2024 (≈15% drop) | COGS dropped by about 15%, indicating effective cost savings and operational efficiencies—likely due to a revenue mix shift toward higher-margin SaaS services and a corresponding decline in the cost-intensive Marketing Services segment. |
Interest Expense | Decreased from $15.13M in Q3 2023 to $8.19M in Q3 2024 (≈46% reduction) | Interest expense fell sharply (by nearly 46%), primarily due to reduced outstanding debt levels and refinancing initiatives that secured lower interest rates, reflecting a deliberate capital structure adjustment. |
Metric | Period | Previous Guidance | Current Guidance | Change |
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SaaS Revenue | Q4 2024 | no prior guidance | $90 million to $92 million | no prior guidance |
SaaS Adjusted EBITDA | Q4 2024 | no prior guidance | $9.5 million to $10.5 million | no prior guidance |
Marketing Services Revenue | Q4 2024 | no prior guidance | $81 million to $83 million | no prior guidance |
Revenue Contribution | Q4 2024 | no prior guidance | $11 million to $12 million | no prior guidance |
Adjusted EBITDA Contribution | Q4 2024 | no prior guidance | de minimis | no prior guidance |
SaaS Revenue | FY 2024 | $326 million to $329 million | $329.5 million to $331.5 million | raised |
SaaS Adjusted EBITDA | FY 2024 | $30 million to $32 million | $33.5 million to $34.5 million | raised |
Marketing Services Revenue | FY 2024 | $485 million to $492 million | $479 million to $481 million | lowered |
Marketing Services Adjusted EBITDA | FY 2024 | $128 million to $131 million | $125 million to $128 million | lowered |
Topic | Previous Mentions | Current Period | Trend |
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SaaS Growth | Q1 and Q2 calls reported strong subscriber expansion (70,000–85,000) and revenue increases with year‐over‐year growth in the mid-20% range ; Q4 2023 highlighted a 25% increase and a strategic drive toward migration. | Q3 emphasized even stronger growth with SaaS revenue at $87.1M, 29% YoY revenue growth, 96,000 subscribers, and improved NDR – underscoring that high-margin SaaS offerings continue to outperform guidance. | Recurring positive momentum with accelerated growth and improved retention, reinforcing a long-term SaaS transition strategy. |
Multi-Center Adoption | Q1 noted modest adoption (increases from <1% to 8%) and early upsell initiatives ; Q2 discussed a sequential increase to over 10% of clients with multiple centers ; Q4 mentioned diversified product adoption driving improved ARPU and NDR. | Q3 reported approximately 12% of customers now use two or more paid centers, with a strong "land-and-expand" strategy further boosting margins and customer lifetime value. | Consistent increase in multi-center adoption with a more aggressive upsell strategy, indicating enhanced customer engagement and future revenue potential. |
Expansion of SaaS Gross Margins | Q1 disclosed adjusted gross margins around 68.4% with expectations to exceed 70% by year-end ; Q2 showed margins near 69.7% driven by higher-margin product sales ; Q4 illustrated significant margin improvements with sequential and YoY gains. | Q3 reported adjusted gross margins at 72.2%, with managerial comments emphasizing surpassing the 70% goal early and outlooks toward 75% as volume and upselling improve profitability. | Gradual and consistent improvement in gross margins and profitability, reflecting operational efficiencies and strategic product mix enhancements. |
Decline and Transition of Legacy Marketing Services | Q1 identified a purposeful decline (24% YoY drop) and described the legacy business as a “melting iceberg” to be phased out ; Q2 reported declines around 28% with confidence that SaaS growth would offset losses ; Q4 pointed to a 23% decline and structural challenges. | Q3 noted a sharper decline with marketing services revenue down 35% YoY, including significant noncash impairment charges, but framed it as an accelerated and necessary transition to SaaS. | Accelerating decline in legacy revenue as the transition to SaaS intensifies; while short-term revenue declines appear steep, they are viewed as a strategic, positive shift for long-term growth. |
ARPU Volatility and Pricing Pressure | Q1 reported relatively flat ARPU with seasoned ARPU growing in the mid-teens despite introductory promotional pricing affecting gross margins ; Q2 explained declines due to promotional discounts and partial billing, stressing recovery as promotions expire ; Q4 discussed “noise” from freemium models impacting ARPU. | Q3 highlighted near-term ARPU pressure driven by onboarding many customers at lower introductory price points, seen as a strategic trade-off to build a larger, upsellable subscription base. | Short-term pricing pressures and ARPU volatility persist across periods, though management is confident that upselling and rate normalization will drive mid-to-long-term ARPU improvements. |
Emergence of AI-Driven Innovation | Q2 featured strong commentary on enhancing AI capabilities for customer support, content generation, and new center rollouts, with detailed plans to introduce freemium trials for AI-enabled products ; Q1 and Q4 contained no explicit mention of these initiatives. | Q3 earnings call did not include any new or updated commentary on AI-driven product innovation or new product rollouts. | Previously emerging as a strategic focus (notably in Q2), AI-driven innovation is not mentioned in Q3, suggesting a temporary de-emphasis or integration into broader product discussions. |
Acquisition and M&A Strategy | Q1 referenced a cautious approach to acquisitions focused on smaller, accretive SaaS targets given valuation constraints ; Q2 noted newfound flexibility with a “doable” M&A environment but without specifics ; Q4 provided general M&A insights amid limitations from debt constraints. | Q3 presented a detailed discussion on the Keap acquisition – outlining strategic rationale, synergies (including $10M), international expansion, and cross-selling opportunities, indicating a shift toward active integration and expansion via acquisitions. | An increased focus on strategic acquisitions in the current period, with the Keap deal exemplifying a proactive move to enhance growth, margins, and market expansion compared to more cautious earlier periods. |
Financial Flexibility and Debt Constraints | Q1 highlighted refinancing achievements that extended debt maturities to 2029 and improved coupon terms, enabling strategic investments ; Q2 emphasized the end of a 100% cash sweep and more flexible cash allocation ; Q4 acknowledged debt reduction progress but noted constraints with an unfavorable credit facility. | Q3 reiterated enhanced financial flexibility following earlier refinancing, citing extended maturities and reduced cash sweep constraints that now enable investments in SaaS growth and M&A, despite some ongoing limitations noted in previous quarters. | Progressively improved flexibility over time, enabling strategic investments and acquisitions; however, challenges with current credit facilities remain a slight concern. |
Volatility in Financial Metrics | Q1 discussed fluctuations in metrics (e.g. gross margin swings from promotional pricing and timing impacts on EBITDA) as part of the transition, with management expecting normalization ; Q2 and Q4 similarly acknowledged “choppy” metrics due to timing of customer onboarding and promotional strategies. | Q3 continued to highlight volatility in key financial metrics (ARPU, NDR) driven by the rapid migration from legacy to SaaS and varied pricing strategies, while management remained confident of future stabilization as the transition matures. | Consistently observed short-term metric volatility during the SaaS transition; although fluctuations persist, expectations are that stabilization will occur as the new model matures and promotional effects phase out. |
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Net Revenue Retention Rate
Q: NRR exceeded 100%; what's driving this and is it sustainable?
A: Joe Walsh explained that their net revenue retention rate (NRR) has reached 100% and they are confident it will stay at this level going forward. This improvement is driven by a rapid increase in customers purchasing more than one center, currently at 12% and rising quickly. As customers adopt additional centers, it enhances margins and customer lifetime value, reinforcing NRR. Walsh believes that, while NRR may occasionally exceed or dip slightly below 100%, they expect it to remain around this mark due to continued upselling opportunities. -
Keap Integration and Distribution
Q: How will Keap's integration affect go-to-market strategy and pricing?
A: Joe Walsh highlighted that the integration with Keap focuses on leveraging Keap's robust partner ecosystem and Thryv's sizable direct sales force. Keap's products will benefit from Thryv's 700-person international sales team, expanding direct distribution. Conversely, Keap's partner network provides Thryv access to a sophisticated, low-churn market. Walsh emphasized that they are working closely with Keap and its partners to determine the best approach to pricing and integration, intending to listen and adapt to partner needs. -
Gross Margin Progression
Q: What's the outlook for gross margin expansion in the SaaS business?
A: Joe Walsh stated that they anticipate continued strong progress in gross margin expansion, aiming toward a 75% gross margin as previously guided. They have seen margins rise from the low 60s due to increased volumes and the maturity of their SaaS business. Selling additional centers to existing accounts has further boosted margins. The integration of Keap, whose gross margins are higher than Thryv's, is expected to enhance overall margins. They plan to update future guidance on gross margins at the upcoming Analyst Day. -
Accelerated SaaS Conversion
Q: Will the accelerated conversion from Marketing Services to SaaS continue?
A: Joe Walsh acknowledged that the pace of converting customers from Marketing Services to SaaS has exceeded expectations and is likely to continue accelerating. This acceleration is due to offering tools that help clients grow and market their businesses, which has been attractive to customers. As a result, the transformation process has picked up speed, and they expect the cannibalization of marketing services to be faster in the coming quarters. -
ARPU Trends and Conversion Impact
Q: How are conversion incentives affecting ARPU, and what are the future implications?
A: Joe Walsh explained that while local sales ARPU has held up and is even growing slightly, the overall ARPU is under pressure due to strategic conversions. They have introduced a Marketing Center Starter, a stripped-down version at a lower price point to transition customers from legacy platforms. This approach provides an entry point for customers and sets up opportunities for upselling to the full Marketing Center. Walsh believes this strategy positions them to sustain a 100% net dollar retention by landing customers at price points with significant upside potential. -
International Expansion via Keap
Q: How does Keap facilitate international growth opportunities?
A: Joe Walsh noted that Keap has about 20% of its revenue from international markets, including Europe and other developed economies. Keap's established partners and resellers in these regions provide Thryv with an entry point to expand internationally without acquiring large companies, as they did in Australia and New Zealand. This was a significant factor in the acquisition, and they plan to nourish and build upon Keap's international presence to accelerate growth. -
Marketing Services EBITDA Decline
Q: Should we expect another decline in Marketing Services EBITDA next year?
A: Joe Walsh and Paul Rouse indicated that there would be a decline in Marketing Services EBITDA in the first quarter of next year due to the print publication schedule. The decline is also attributed to the accelerated conversion of customers from Marketing Services to SaaS, as they are cannibalizing and converting customers more quickly. They are not prepared to provide guidance for the full year of 2025 yet.