Thermo Fisher Scientific - Earnings Call - Q1 2011
April 27, 2011
Transcript
Speaker 0
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Thermo Fisher Scientific First Quarter 2011 Earnings Conference Call. I would like to introduce our moderator for the call, Mr. Kenneth Apaserno, Vice President, Investor Relations. Mr. Apaserno, you may begin the call.
Good morning, and thank you for joining us. On the call with me today is Marc N. Casper, our President and Chief Executive Officer, and Peter Wilver, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Please note that this call is being webcast live and will be archived on our investors' section of our website, thermofisher.com, under the heading "Webcasts and Presentations" until May 20, 2011. A copy of the press release of our first quarter 2011 earnings and future expectations is available on our website under the heading "Financial Results." Before we begin, let me briefly cover our Safe Harbor statement. Various remarks that we may make about the company's future expectations, plans, and prospects constitute forward-looking statements for purposes of the Safe Harbor provisions under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including those discussed in the company's Form 10-K for the full year ended December 31, 2010, under the caption "Risk Factors," which is on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission and available in the investors' section of our website under the heading "SEC Filings." While we may elect to update forward-looking statements at some point in the future, we specifically disclaim any obligation to do so, even if our estimates change. Therefore, you should not rely on these forward-looking statements as representing our views as of any date subsequent to today. Also, during this call, we'll be referring to certain financial measures not prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP.
A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is available in the press release of our first quarter 2011 earnings and future expectations, and also in the investors' section of our website under the heading "Financial Results." With that, I'll now turn the call over to Marc.
Speaker 5
Thanks, Ken. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for our first quarter 2011 earnings call. I'm pleased to report that we're off to a good start to the year, delivering double-digit growth in our primary financial metric, adjusted earnings per share (EPS). We achieved record first-quarter EPS results and also expanded our adjusted operating margin through our ongoing focus on productivity. All in all, we had a solid performance in the quarter, on top of the exceptional Q1 results we reported in 2010. This puts us in an excellent position to deliver on our goals for the full year. Let me review our first quarter highlights. As I said, adjusted EPS was a first-quarter record, increasing by 12% to $0.92 per share. We expanded our adjusted operating margin by 30 basis points to 17.6% in the quarter.
Our investments in research and development continue to strengthen our depth of capabilities across our technology portfolio, and we had an excellent quarter in that regard. I'll talk later about the new launches we highlighted at PITCON in March. Growth in emerging markets was particularly strong in Q1. For example, we had greater than 20% growth in China and over 30% growth in India and Brazil. I've talked a lot about our continuing investments to expand our Asia-Pacific presence. During the quarter, we announced our plans to build a new factory in Suzhou to support China's focus on building out its R&D infrastructure. This will give us the capacity to produce laboratory consumables for growing local life sciences markets.
I was in China the week they unveiled their 12th five-year plan, and it's exciting to see how closely Thermo Fisher Scientific is aligned with their priorities in healthcare and life sciences, environmental protection, energy, and public safety. I'd like to say a few words now on Japan, which represents about 3% of our total revenues. Although we don't have any manufacturing there, we do have extensive commercial operations in the country. Most important, we were relieved to learn that all 400 of our Japanese employees were safe. We also learned that we had no damage or significant interruption to our operations. I have to say that I'm extremely proud of how our leadership team in Japan responded to the crisis on all fronts. Concern and support for our employees was the first priority. They made contingency plans for the business so we could continue to serve our customers.
Despite the horrific situation, our Japan team managed through the quarter with no significant negative impact on performance. Our best view on the outlook for Japan at this point is that we don't see a material impact on our business, but we'll continue to watch the situation closely, and of course, we'll take the appropriate actions as necessary. On a humanitarian note, we instituted a company match for our employees worldwide to make cash donations to the International Red Cross. We also immediately offered our personal radiation detectors and dosimeters to protect first responders and even the media during the early days following the disaster. Our handheld detectors were also used to screen food for radioactive contamination. Let me now turn to the key contributors to our performance this quarter.
As I've stated previously, delivering strong EPS results is our primary financial metric, and we do that consistently by driving top-line growth through continuous innovation and expansion in emerging markets, operational excellence, and effective capital deployment. First, I'll talk about top-line revenue growth in the quarter. You've seen the negative headlines in the media over the past few months, from the natural disasters in Asia-Pacific to the harsh winter in the U.S., and more recently, the U.S. government budget uncertainty. I'm pleased to say that we powered through those headwinds by executing well operationally and by capitalizing on continued strength in our industrial and diagnostics end markets. As you saw in our press release, revenues grew 4% to a first-quarter record of $2.72 billion, compared with $2.63 billion a year ago. Our businesses serving the industrial sector are doing quite well, driven by demand for our process instruments.
More specifically, sales of our handheld instruments continue to strengthen, along with our longer lead-time systems for the metals, mining, and commodity materials industries. We've been highlighting the performance of our clinical diagnostics business for the past few quarters, and I'm pleased to say that our share gains came again in Q1. We recorded double-digit growth here, driven by sales of our biomarker test kits. Our second EPS growth driver, operational excellence, continues to give us the ability to translate top-line growth into excellent bottom-line results. We have several productivity levers that we can pull to adjust to changing market dynamics, and our teams continue to execute very well to consistently deliver solid margin expansion. As you know, PPI and PPI Lean are ingrained in the way we run our company, and we continue to leverage these programs to improve productivity and strengthen our global competitive position.
During the quarter, I had the opportunity to participate in some of the daily stand-up meetings at our flagship laboratory equipment facility in Asheville, North Carolina. It's really impressive to see how PPI Lean has had a profound impact on quality, product availability, cost, and cash flow at this site. In addition, by implementing PPI Lean, the Asheville team has been able to grow site capacity to keep pace with customer demand while averting typical expansion costs. This is just one example of the intensity around productivity being demonstrated at many sites across our company. I'm very proud of our teams across the company and the commitment they demonstrate to PPI. Our third key contributor to EPS growth is effective capital deployment, and that continues to provide us with multiple avenues for creating shareholder value.
We had a lot of activity recently in terms of capital management that will benefit us this year and over the long term. We sold our two laboratory testing services businesses, Athena Diagnostics and Lancaster Laboratories, which generated total proceeds of approximately $940 million. We deployed $538 million to repurchase 9.6 million of our shares of our stock during the quarter, and we also authorized an additional $750 million stock repurchase program, and of that, we had $700 million remaining at the start of Q2. Let me make a couple of remarks on recent acquisitions. I've commented in previous quarters about the great contributions from our Brahms acquisitions, and they continue to do very well. Roughly a year ago, we acquired Finzymes and Fermentis. Both of these businesses expanded our offerings in high-growth markets for PCR-based testing, and they delivered double-digit growth in the quarter.
I'd also like to remind you where we are with the Dionex acquisition. As we announced at the beginning of Q2, the European Commission is reviewing our filing, and we anticipate closing in mid-May. In the meantime, the integration planning teams from both companies have been actively engaged and are preparing for day one. We are excited about the opportunities this combination will bring to our customers in growing markets around the world, particularly applied markets such as environmental analysis, water testing, and food safety. We're focused on accelerating our long-term growth and strengthening our industry leadership by effectively deploying our cash and putting our balance sheet to work. I'd like to now highlight a key growth theme within the company, as I've done the past few quarters.
The intent here is to demonstrate how our ongoing investments broaden the growth opportunities for Thermo Fisher Scientific by collectively driving our revenue growth, leveraging our unique depth of capabilities across the company, and fulfilling our mission, which is to enable our customers to make the world healthier, cleaner, and safer. Today, the theme is commitment to continuous innovation. I've talked in the past about how we maintained our level of R&D spend through the economic recession. I'm pleased to say that we're starting to reap the benefits of that decision now. For example, we showcased a range of innovative new instruments at PITCON in March. As I walked the show floor, it was clear that our customers recognized Thermo Fisher Scientific as the only company with the depth of capabilities in technologies and applications expertise to help them solve their broad range of analytical challenges.
Let me highlight some of the new products under our Thermo Scientific brand that stood out this year. We're known for our leadership in mass spectrometry-based analysis, and we continue to innovate there so our customers can spend less time performing experiments and more quickly draw conclusions from the results. Take our Thermo Scientific Exactive Ultra High Resolution LCMS system, which is used for non-targeted screening to determine, for example, whether or not an Olympic athlete is using performance-enhancing drugs. In the past, a sample would have been analyzed multiple times. First, a screen for known compounds, followed by a second experiment to identify unknown compounds, such as new drug metabolites, and then typically a third time to determine the quantity of compounds of interest, such as a designer steroid.
We've introduced the new ExactFinder software to help our customers handle and interpret the large amounts of data generated during this type of complex analysis. When used with our Exactive mass spectrometer, all of these experiments can be conducted at the same time and in one run. In addition, because all the information in the sample is recorded and archived, you can go back and reanalyze the data to find new compounds of interest. This powerful combination gives customers much faster access to qualitative and quantitative data for both drug screening and confirmation. Turning to chemical analysis, we continue to broaden the applications for our comprehensive molecular spectroscopy offering, including UV-VIS, Raman, and FTIR, by developing more compact, user-friendly products.
One of the headliners at Pittcon in this category was our new Thermo Scientific IS-5 FTIR instrument, a smaller and lighter version of our leading IS-10 FTIR instrument, which we introduced a couple of years ago. The IS-5's rugged construction means that the instrument can safely be moved closer to the sample without compromising performance. For example, positioning it near a production line to be used by a quality assurance team. Despite its compact size, the IS-5's performance is comparable to larger instruments found in most analytical labs. We also introduced a whole new line of portable instruments, the Thermo Scientific NITON FXL, which is a fully equipped X-ray analyzer that can be deployed in the field. It's typically used for mining and exploration, as well as quality testing for consumer goods and electronics.
The 30-pound unit can sit on the back of a truck or be mounted on a tripod to create an on-site lab that provides fast and precise elemental analysis. Innovation will always be critical to our growth, and we are committed to make investments that will strengthen our position as the technology leader. Let me also tell you that I'm really, really excited about the new mass spectrometry launches we have planned for ASMS this year, which you'll hear about in June. Before I wrap up, let me give you an update on our annual guidance for 2011. As you saw in our press release, we're raising both our revenue and adjusted EPS outlook. The new guidance includes the acquisition of Dionex, with the assumption of a mid-May close, and now excludes the Athena Diagnostics and Lancaster Laboratories businesses, which we sold at the beginning of Q2.
We are raising our adjusted EPS guidance by $0.05 to a new range of $4.05 to $4.15 for the full year in 2011. This would result in 17% to 20% growth over our strong results in 2010. We're also raising our revenue guidance for the year and now expect to achieve 2011 revenues in the range of $11.52 billion to $11.62 billion for 9% to 10% revenue growth over 2010. Before I hand the call over to Pete, let me summarize my remarks this morning with a few key points. We remain focused on continuing our track record of delivering strong adjusted EPS growth. We successfully executed our plans, even in the face of some unexpected headwinds, to deliver solid first-quarter performance. I'm excited about our prospects for the year, and our results in Q1 put us in a great position to achieve our goals for growth.
Now I'll turn the call over to Peter Wilver. Pete.
Speaker 4
Thanks, Mark. Good morning, everyone. As Mark mentioned, in early April, we closed on the divestitures of our two laboratory testing service businesses, Athena Diagnostics and Lancaster Laboratories, for total proceeds of $940 million. Financial results for these two businesses are reported as discontinued operations for all periods presented, so they are excluded from my comments. We're pleased to report another quarter of strong adjusted earnings per share, with 12% year-over-year growth to a first-quarter record of $0.92 compared to $0.82 last year. GAAP EPS in Q1 was $0.64, up 14% from $0.56 in the prior year's quarter. Moving on to our top-line performance, reported revenues increased 4% year-over-year to a first-quarter record $2.72 billion. Organic revenue growth was 1%, excluding a 2% benefit from acquisitions and a 1% favorable impact from foreign currency translation.
In the quarter, the Japan stimulus and biosite transition headwinds that we've previously mentioned negatively affected our organic growth by about $80 million, or 3%. Excluding these two items, our Q1 organic growth was 4%, which was in line with our expectations. We also continued to strengthen our backlog this quarter, with bookings exceeding revenues by 2%. By segment, analytical technologies' Q1 revenues grew 9% on a reported basis and 5% organically. Excluding the Japan stimulus headwind, organic growth in the segment was 10%, driven by another strong quarter in clinical diagnostics, specifically our bio-barcars business. Our instruments businesses serving industrial and applied markets also continue to deliver strong year-over-year growth. In the laboratory products and services segment, Q1 revenues grew 1% on a reported basis and declined 1% organically.
Our growth this quarter was in line with our expectations, taking into account the biosite transition and our strong growth in Q1 last year. In the quarter, our biopharma services business had strong growth, and we had good contribution from flu, which helped offset some budget-related delays in academic and government end markets. By geography, we saw low single-digit growth in Europe, and North America was essentially flat, primarily as a result of the biosite transition and particularly strong growth in Q1 2010. Asia was down slightly but grew in the low teens if you exclude the Japan stimulus impact, driven by strong growth in China and India, as Mark mentioned. The rest of the world grew in the mid-double digits from a relatively small base, driven by Brazil and the Middle East.
Turning to adjusted operating income, we had strong bottom-line results, with Q1 adjusted operating income increasing 5% year-over-year to $478 million. Adjusted operating margin was 17.6%, up 30 basis points from 17.3% in the year-ago quarter. The year-over-year margin expansion was driven by organic growth pull-through and strong cost productivity from our PPI and PPI Lean projects, global sourcing initiatives, and ongoing restructuring actions. These gains were partially offset by the strategic investments in R&D and commercial resources that we initiated last year to drive future growth. By segment, Q1 adjusted operating income in analytical technologies increased by 11% year-over-year. Adjusted operating margin was 21%, up 40 basis points versus 20.6% last year, driven by pull-through on organic volume growth, the benefits of global sourcing and productivity, and moderately higher prices. Turning to our laboratory products and services segment, Q1 adjusted operating income decreased slightly year-over-year.
Adjusted operating margin was 13.7%, down 20 basis points from the year-ago quarter. In the segment, solid productivity was offset by pull-through on the organic volume decline and strategic growth investments. Moving on to the details of the P&L, total company adjusted gross margin was 42.5% in Q1, up 50 basis points from the year-ago quarter. This margin expansion was driven by pull-through on organic revenue growth and the benefits of our global sourcing and strong cost productivity actions. Adjusted SG&A in Q1 was 22.2% of revenue, flat to the year-ago quarter. R&D expense was 2.75% of revenue in Q1, up about 25 basis points from last year.
Moving below the line, our Q1 net interest expense increased $3 million year-over-year to $23 million, driven primarily by higher interest expense as a result of issuing $2.2 billion of senior notes to pre-fund our pending acquisition of Dionex, partially offset by higher interest income. Adjusted other income was a gain of $1 million, up $4 million from last year, primarily as a result of lower currency transaction losses on foreign entity cash. Our adjusted tax rate in the quarter was 20.5%, down 50 basis points from last year as a result of our tax planning initiatives and the extension of the R&D tax credit into 2011. As Mark mentioned, we authorized an additional $750 million of share repurchases this quarter, on top of the $488 million we had remaining on our previous authorization.
During the quarter, we deployed $538 million of our cash to buy back 9.6 million shares, which left $700 million remaining at the quarter end under our current authorization through February 2012. Average diluted shares were 395 million in the quarter, down 23 million, or 6% from last year, reflecting the benefit of our 2010 and 2011 share buyback programs, as well as redemption of our convertible debt. Turning to the balance sheet, free cash flow from continuing operations was $263 million in the quarter, after deducting net capital expenditures of $63 million. This was down about $24 million from the year-ago quarter, primarily as a result of tax payment timing and moderately higher capital expenditures. We ended the quarter with $2.8 billion in cash and investments, up $1.9 billion from Q4. This increase resulted from the Dionex acquisition pre-funding and our free cash flow, partially offset by share buybacks.
Our total debt was $4.3 billion, up $2.2 billion from Q4 as a result of the Dionex acquisition pre-funding. Early in Q2, we used $415 million in cash to redeem the remaining $300 million of our outstanding convertible debt. This activity will be reflected in our Q2 ending cash and debt balances. Now moving on to our guidance for 2011, which now includes the Dionex acquisition and excludes the Athena Diagnostics and Lancaster Laboratories divestitures. We're raising both the low and high end of our adjusted EPS guidance by $0.05 to a new range of $4.05 to $4.15, which represents 17% to 20% growth over our 2010 adjusted EPS of $3.46. In terms of revenue, we're tightening the range by $20 million and raising the midpoint by $180 million to a new range of $11.52 to $11.62 billion.
This range represents growth of 9% to 10% compared to our 2010 reported revenues of $10.57 billion. I'd like to provide you some additional color on our new guidance, as there are a lot of pluses and minuses compared to our previous guidance. First, as I mentioned, Athena and Lancaster have been classified as discontinued operations, so they've been removed from our guidance and continuing operations financials in all current and historical periods. For 2010, this results in a reduction of $220 million in our reported revenues from $10.79 to $10.57 billion, and a reduction of $0.11 to our adjusted EPS from $3.57 to $3.46. For 2011, this results in a reduction of our previous revenue guidance by about $240 million and our adjusted EPS guidance by about $0.13.
In terms of the Dionex acquisition, it has not yet closed, but we're expecting it to close in mid-May, so we've assumed this in our guidance. Adding Dionex from mid-May onward adds about $310 million of revenue, or 3%, and $0.09 to our adjusted EPS. Favorable foreign currency translation compared to our previous guidance also adds about $100 million to our revenue and $0.03 to our adjusted EPS. This results in a total impact of favorable foreign currency about 1 and 3/4% on our 2011 revenue growth. Consistent with past practice, we haven't attempted to forecast future foreign currency exchange rates. Finally, we expect about $0.06 accretion from accelerating our share buyback activity into Q1 and utilizing our new $750 million share buyback authorization through February 2012. All this nets to the $0.05 increase in adjusted EPS and $180 million increase in reported revenues.
In terms of organic revenue growth, the midpoint of our revenue guidance remains unchanged at about 4% growth. We still expect our growth to accelerate throughout the year, with Q2 at the lower end of mid-single-digit growth and the second half of the year higher as comparisons get easier. In addition to Dionex, our reported revenue guidance includes about 1% growth from completed acquisitions and does not include any other future acquisitions or divestitures. To give you a little more detail on our earnings guidance, we're expecting adjusted operating margin expansion of 65 to 95 basis points compared to our 2010 adjusted operating margin of 17.4% after restating for the Athena and Lancaster divestitures. This is consistent with our previous guidance of 50 to 80 basis points of margin expansion, plus the expected accretion from the Dionex acquisition.
Moving below the line, we're expecting net interest expense to be up about $45 to $50 million year-over-year, reflecting the incremental interest costs related to the Dionex acquisition. Our adjusted income tax rate is expected to be in the range of 20% to 21%, which is down 1% from our previous range as a result of removing Athena and Lancaster from our rate and tax synergies related to Dionex. Our full-year average diluted shares are estimated to be in the range of $385 million to $390 million. This estimate reflects the redemption of our convertible debt early in Q2 and assumes that we'll use the remaining $700 million of our current share buyback authorization through its expiration in February 2012. In summary, we're pleased to start off the year with a strong quarter, providing us positive momentum that positions us well to achieve our 2011 goals.
With that, I'll turn the call over to the operator for Q&A.
Speaker 0
Certainly, sir, and ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by one on your phones. If your question has been answered or to withdraw your question, that's star two. In order to allow everyone in the queue an opportunity to address the Thermo Fisher Scientific Management team, I would like to ask that you limit your time on the call to one or two questions. If you have additional questions, please return to the queue and pose your questions in turn. Your first question comes from the line of Rolf Yukin with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed, sir.
Speaker 3
As we think about the progression of the end markets, Mark, you provided some brief commentary on some of the pockets of strength and relative weakness. I was hoping maybe you could dive in a little bit more. It seems like the emerging markets, the applied and industrial continue to be the net winners for the business, and then you've got a few pieces maybe that have lagged. Maybe highlight, relative to your internal expectations, where the largest deltas were, and in terms of the outlook, where you have the highest degree of confidence in what markets you are watching the most closely and kind of keeping an eye on.
Speaker 5
Good morning, Rolf. Thanks. In terms of end markets, let's go through the four markets, starting with industrial and applied. Clearly, industrial and applied markets are very strong, and we're seeing benefits in areas such as food safety and QA/QC and other routine testing, which is served by our molecular and elemental spectroscopy instruments. We're also beginning to really see significant strength in bookings and revenue of our later cycle products, which is what we expected to happen. Areas like the mining industry, those manufacturing commodities such as steel and cement, are really picking up substantially. From a healthcare and diagnostics perspective, the second of the end markets, our specialty diagnostics business is continuing to do very well. In particular, the clinical diagnostics business and our bio-markers business is continuing to enjoy and deliver share gains.
We also benefited in the quarter from a stronger flu season than the 2010 period. From an academic and government perspective, what was unusual in the quarter was the U.S. government working under the continuing resolution authority, and clearly that headwind is behind us. The good news is through all of that budgeting process in the U.S., there really weren't any major changes to the budgets, and one of the positives is that the food safety budget actually got slightly better, which is encouraging for the midterm. We're expecting more of a normalized set of market conditions in government and academic for the balance of the year. In biopharma in the quarter, conditions were very similar to what we saw at the end of last year, which was in line with what we expected.
The biopharma end market was softer than our company average, mostly due to the very difficult comparison of about 20% growth in Q1 of last year. Within the biopharma customer set, our biopharma services business and our scientific instruments business had really strong performance with those customers in the quarter.
Speaker 3
Thanks. That's helpful. We spent a lot of the latter half of last year contemplating cash flow utilization and the balance sheet and getting to optimal debt levels. You've now significantly upticked your activity there. You've been quite aggressive with buying the stock. Do you feel like the pace at which we've seen the capital deployment and the consistency on the buyback side is something that we should assume continues on into the future? In turn, now that you've gotten comfortable in your seat as the CEO and gotten the confidence of the board, we're back to the legacy Thermo Fisher Scientific, which was clearly known for its excellent capital deployment capabilities?
Speaker 5
From my perspective, I think the company has a really strong track record of generating cash flow and deploying it wisely, and that's going to be a mix of M&A and return of capital. We're trying to be consistent on the return of capital, and then when the right M&A that meets our criteria that can create shareholder value is available, we'll pursue it because we have confidence in our ability to deliver there. We did a one-time acceleration, if you will, in Q1 simply because we sold two assets. We had $900 million, $900-plus million of proceeds, and we put an incremental authorization in to deploy a lot of that capital.
I think you should think of it as we did $750 million authorization for the balance of this year, and we have $700 million remaining, and we'll spend that during the course of the next 10 or 11 months.
Speaker 3
Great, Marc. Thanks.
Speaker 5
You're welcome.
Speaker 0
Your next question comes from the line of Marshall Yearth with Morgan Stanley.
Speaker 2
Hey, guys. Good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. First one, just, Mark, could you maybe talk about the book-to-bill? Obviously, that seemed positive in the quarter. If we could just get a sense of where that was strongest across the different end markets, just to give us a sense of momentum. I know you mentioned it earlier, but maybe on the academic end market side, have you already seen that sort of start to normalize so far in the quarter?
Speaker 4
Hey, Marshall. This is Pete. On the book-to-bill, as I said, bookings exceeded revenues by about 2%. Both segments were positive there. The analytical technologies was a little bit stronger than laboratory products and services, but both had positive book-to-bill. We really don't track that metric by end market, but certainly, you would have to believe that the industrial end market is driving that. Some of the longer cycle businesses are in that end market, so they're going to drive a book-to-bill above one, driving future revenue growth.
Speaker 5
Very qualitatively, because it's obviously early in the quarter, some of the hesitancy in the U.S. on academic and government because of budget uncertainty, the qualitative feedback is that that seems to be behind us, and customers are getting back to a more normalized situation.
Speaker 2
Perfect.
Speaker 5
That is the read.
Speaker 2
Okay, great. Thanks. I appreciate that it's so early. Maybe just on Dionex, I realize it hasn't closed, but if you could maybe talk in a little bit more detail about operationally from the top line too, you know, end markets have obviously been strong in the markets where Dionex is. What are your assumptions on that business as you think about the rest of the year, and maybe what are the kind of pressure points that you're thinking about that could sort of move it one way or the other?
Speaker 5
We're looking forward to day one, and right now it continues to look like it'll be a mid-May close, which is what we've assumed in the guidance. As we've gone through the integration planning and looking at the outlook for the year, we feel very good about the $0.13 to $0.15 of earnings that we expect from an accretion perspective over the first 12 months of ownership. When we've gone now with the benefit of several months of very detailed integration planning, we feel very good about our ability to deliver that. The guidance that Pete walked through in a fair amount of detail is embedded for the period of ownership that we have. We feel very good about what's going on with Dionex and how that's going to be integrated into the company, and we're looking forward to closing and getting going.
Speaker 2
Okay, great. Thanks, guys.
Speaker 0
Your next question comes from a line of John Groberg with McQuarrie.
Speaker 1
Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking the question. Could you maybe, Mark, I know you don't like to get into too much detail, but would you mind providing a little bit more detail to think about pacing for the year, specifically with respect to lab products and services, how you kind of would expect that to develop after a tougher month from obviously a comp and the biopsy standpoint?
Speaker 5
Let me just make sure I understand the question. It's a little bit broken up, John. First, good morning. Is the question the pacing for lab products and services through the balance of the year?
Speaker 1
Yeah, I mean, you, Pete talked high-level about how he thought, you know, 2Q overall would be at the lower end of the mid-single and get a little bit better. I'm just kind of, I'm trying to, you know, the lab products and services business is one that seems to be tougher for people to get a handle on for a lot of different reasons. If you could maybe help us understand how you expect that business to play out.
Speaker 4
Hi, John. This is Pete. In terms of organic revenue growth, we reported 1% in Q1, which means that we need to be basically mid-single digits or around 5% average for the last three quarters of the year in order to get to the midpoint of our guidance of 5%. Certainly, for the year, analytical technologies is going to be stronger than the average, and laboratory products and services is going to be a little bit lower than the average just as a result of some of the comp issues that we have. In terms of Q2, I'm expecting positive organic growth in both segments, and then it'll accelerate into Q3 and Q4.
Speaker 1
Okay, that's helpful. I guess one question that often gets is, you know, lab products and services, if you go back way back to the Fisher days, I mean, it used to be a pretty consistent business at kind of the mid-single digit. Here we're in 2011, I recognize some particular headwinds, but is there anything that's changed from an end market standpoint that you think that is now a kind of a structurally lower growth business than maybe it was, you know, over the previous years kind of before the 2009 period?
Speaker 5
No, we feel very good about the prospects. In fact, I think one of the challenges for people to analyze it is that we're so unique because of our leadership position. There's just nobody that has those set of capabilities, and it's a great business that has good growth prospects and has good earnings prospects. We made some decisions, things like biopsy, and we've talked in the past, were a decision where the company's going to generate better cash flows and effectively, better to have a smaller core set of suppliers where we're going to make more money than have a large supplier where you're not making money on. It's been, unfortunately, four quarters of discussing a headwind, we're down to one to go, but the reality is it's a great business, and we're very positive about what the outlook is for it.
Speaker 1
Okay, thanks, Emily.
Speaker 0
Your next question comes from a line of Doug Schenkel with Cowen & Company.
Speaker 1
Hi, good morning, and thanks for taking the questions. You guys have had, in your words, several months of integration efforts behind you in the context of the Dionex deal. Any thoughts you can share on the outlook beyond 2011? When would you expect to see some sales synergy opportunities really present themselves, and how long do you think you're going to need to invest in integration efforts? I guess I'm just trying to get at when might we expect more meaningful accretion related to this deal?
Speaker 5
Yeah, so, Doug, good morning. When you look at the planning efforts that are underway, they cover everything from how the businesses will be integrated to the cost side, as well as what you have to do to capitalize on the revenue opportunities. You'll see a little bit of revenue synergies towards the end of the first 12 months of ownership. They become more meaningful in years two and three of ownership, and we're highly confident in our ability to deliver that. Obviously, the synergies ramp up in years two and three, so that drives incremental accretion, as does the business being a healthy growing business, and a healthy growing business is also going to expand earnings. It's a business that's going to create a nice tailwind for the company for many, many years to come, just given its growth and margin profiles and synergies.
When we get to guidance for 2012, which is a ways away, we'll obviously articulate, to the best of our ability, how that's contributing to the growth, but that'll be a nice positive looking at next year as well.
Speaker 1
Okay, and then maybe just pivoting to an end market question. We're still pretty early in earnings season. Some others in the group, where you have some overlap, but obviously not comprehensive overlap, have talked more positively about the pharmaceutical end market. You maybe not did as, it doesn't sound like you did as well as you normally do there, which you pointed to the comps as really the primary reason. Beyond that, was there anything unusual in the quarter? I mean, specifically in mass spec or any other area you want to speak about? Anything unexpected or outside the norm?
Speaker 5
When you look at biopharma, the two highlights for us that we called out, and I think they're important, is, you know, our biopharma services business, which is really clinical trialed outsourcing, really had a good quarter. That's encouraging because in the development cycle for our pharmaceutical customers, activity is picking up, so we feel good about that. Our scientific instruments business did really well. That would sort of give you a sense of mass spec and chrome and those things had a really nice quarter. Everything else is pretty much consistent with what we've seen in the past, and really here, it's a comp, right? You know, you have 20% growth a year in the prior year period, so it's a pretty difficult comp, so that's how we think about it.
Speaker 2
Okay, thank you.
Speaker 0
Your next question comes from a line of Tony Butler with Barclays Capital.
Speaker 1
Thanks very much, Mark. Staying with the same theme in biopharma, do you feel that the instrumentation placements, the analytical instruments in the biopharma business, are actually replacements, or are these orders for new instruments or additive instruments? I have one follow-up.
Speaker 5
It's a little hard to know definitively, but I think our view is it's mostly that our customers like the technology and are adding the technology because a lot of our instruments are truly just fundamentally different than previous generations. You know, the Exactive mass spectrometer, there isn't a predecessor. I'm sure there's some other set of mass spectrometers in the past that they're replacing, but I kind of intellectually think about it as new technology being adapted.
Speaker 1
Thank you, and my follow-up then is also on Dionex. Are you keeping the brand, or does the brand become Thermo Fisher, and then what physically do you call the Dionex facility? Is it Thermo Fisher, or will it remain Dionex? Thanks very much.
Speaker 5
I love the question because it's one that we always spend a lot of time internally about as an industry leader. The branding for our products after an orderly transition will be a Thermo Scientific Dionex IC instrument, so the brand is always Thermo Scientific on our technologies. Dionex will be a product name so that you don't lose the linkage to the past, but we want to drive the cross-selling synergies across with mass spec and elemental analysis and molecular spectroscopy, so you got to link to Thermo Scientific. Day one, every site will have a Thermo Fisher Scientific sign, as they do everywhere else in our 300-plus sites around the world, and I know that I'll be at one of the main sites on day one welcoming our employees to the company, as will other members of our executive team around the world, so that one's pretty straightforward.
Speaker 1
Thanks, Mark.
Speaker 5
You're welcome.
Speaker 0
Your next question comes from a line of Tycho W. Peterson with JP Morgan.
Speaker 2
Hey, good morning. First question on some of the incremental investments that you've talked about, both SG&A and R&D. Maybe starting with SG&A, you've obviously talked about expanding the footprint in Asia. Can you just give us an update as to where we are in the process? In the same tone on R&D, you talked about getting some traction from some of that incremental investment this year. Should we assume that analytical technologies kind of accelerate in the back half of the year?
Speaker 5
Yes. Tycho, thanks for the question. It's a very important one. Let me start with the R&D question because we chose the words incredibly specifically here in my comments, which is really what you saw in March of 2011 was the benefits of the decision in 2009 to maintain our R&D spend, right? There is a real lead time to develop your next generation and breakthrough instrumentation. We made a decision that wasn't necessarily popular, but we felt it was the right decision at the time to really hold our R&D spend at that period. You're seeing the benefits of those decisions now. In 2010 and 2011, we've increased our R&D, and you should start to see the benefits of that kind of very end of this year, but really 2012-2013 is when those decisions of ramp-up start to affect our growth rates. That's how the R&D plays out.
Commercially, we've talked about investments in Asia-Pacific, and we've talked about some IT/web type investments on the SG&A perspective. Clearly, you saw a nice quarter in emerging markets, which is an area that we are benefiting with 20% plus growth in China and 30% plus growth in India and Brazil. We're continuously redeploying our SG&A. We're moving it from lower return areas to higher return areas, and we're getting that, we're starting to cap off the SG&A spend so that that really becomes redeploying to best opportunities.
Speaker 2
Okay, that's helpful. One for Pete, can you talk about where your cash is now, net of the Dionex financing, and where it'll be post-close of the deal, more importantly?
Speaker 4
Yeah, in terms of our cash, at the end of the quarter, we were sitting with $2.8 billion. Obviously, we need to use about $2.1 billion of that to achieve the Dionex acquisition. We'll be back down to kind of normal levels, something around $500 million by the end.
Speaker 2
I was asking U.S. versus OUS, you know.
Speaker 4
Oh, wow. Obviously, it's mostly U.S., but it's either U.S. or pretty readily accessible foreign. Most of our cash right now, it's about 70% U.S. cash.
Speaker 2
Okay. With that in mind, appetite for kind of tuck-in deals here and other technology acquisitions, is that still a priority?
Speaker 5
Yeah, you know, the way we think about it is we always have a pipeline of deals. We use our criteria to make sure that those deals are attractive and generate shareholder returns. As I've said in the past, you know, Dionex, for instance, only affects one of our businesses, you know, not even, you know, only one of our dozen divisions within the company. We have plenty of management capacity, we have financial capacity, but we're very disciplined. We look at a lot of things, and we walk away from things that don't meet our criteria, and those deals that really squarely fit down with our criteria, we're more than willing to do.
Speaker 2
Okay, thank you.
Speaker 0
Your next question comes from a line of Amit Bala with CITI.
Speaker 2
Hi, good morning. Can you hear me, Coy?
Speaker 5
Yep, perfect.
Speaker 2
Okay, great. First question for Pete, can you talk a little bit about the pricing environment globally and across the different business units, and also talk about any issues you're seeing with increased commodity pricing across your product lines?
Speaker 4
Sure. In terms of pricing, it's pretty consistent with what we saw in 2010. On consumables, we're seeing reasonable price increases. We got more price in our Analytical Technology segment on the higher-end instruments and consumables than we did in Laboratory Products and Services. That's pretty consistent with what we saw in 2010, and we netted positive price in Q1. In terms of inflation, the one area we're seeing, we're obviously impacted by increasing oil prices. The main impact there is in our resin cost and plastics. That's not a huge raw material purchase for us, but it did impact us in the quarter, and we expect it to impact us for the rest of the year. It ends up not being overly material, and in Q1 and for the rest of the year, we expect our global sourcing initiatives to pretty significantly outpace our inflation impact.
Speaker 2
Okay, great. Just a question on Dionex. I wonder if you could just elaborate a little bit more on the European Commission steps that you still need to take place and your confidence in this mid-May close since the timing of the close has moved around a little bit.
Speaker 5
Yeah, it's basically, they've accepted our filing, which is an important milestone, and they are evaluating it, and our expectation is a mid-May close, and that's really our best view at this point.
Speaker 2
When did they accept that filing?
Speaker 5
I don't have it memorized over the last few days, but I don't have it memorized in my head. It was a couple of weeks ago, isn't it?
Speaker 2
Five weeks before.
Speaker 5
Five weeks before, whatever.
Speaker 2
In May. Okay, thanks.
Speaker 5
It's, you know, we backed into the date based on the process.
Speaker 2
Okay, thank you.
Speaker 0
Your next question comes from a line of Isaac Rowe with Goldman Sachs.
Speaker 5
Isaac, good morning. Isaac, you on mute?
Speaker 2
I am not. Hey, Anefu, mute?
Speaker 5
You good?
Speaker 2
Yeah, we're good. Okay. Thank you. Sorry, guys. For the earnings guidance that I think you guys updated, I just want to make sure I have the math right. I think you said negative $0.13 a hit from the divestitures, maybe a $0.09 add-back for Dionex, and then $0.03 for FX, and $3 from accelerated buybacks. If I've got my math right, that's not quite the $0.05 you guys raised the guidance range by. Did I miss something there?
Speaker 4
Yeah, it's $0.06 for the accelerated share buybacks. You got the other numbers correct.
Speaker 2
Got it. Okay. Mark, secondly, on pharma end markets, could you talk about your level of visibility in that end market this year, given the active M&A environment? Maybe secondly, do you see an opportunity to get some larger consolidated contracts up for bid this year and therefore get a little bit of market share?
Speaker 5
Yeah, our teams, in terms of visibility, it's pretty consistent with the past. Most of what we do with biopharma is consumables, just given the scale of those customers, and so it's fairly consistent and fairly predictable. In terms of, we're always looking for opportunities to grow share and grow profitability, and there'll be some opportunities, but things don't move quickly in terms of big share gain one way or the other. We have a good pipeline of activities the way I would characterize it.
Speaker 2
Awesome. Just one last one on the biomarker strength you saw in the quarter. How significant was the contribution from the sepsis product from Brahms?
Speaker 5
It's doing very well. I mean, it's a meaningful driver of growth. That whole part of our business, clinical diagnostics, which is our specialty assays, drugs of abuse, and all of the different chemistry and amino acid products, really broadly did well. The biomarkers and sepsis are doing really strong, really strongly performing.
Speaker 2
Got it. Okay, thanks very much.
Speaker 5
You're welcome.
Speaker 0
Your next question comes from the line of Quintin Lai with Robert W. Baird.
Speaker 2
All right, good morning.
Speaker 5
Good morning.
Speaker 1
It caught my eye that the talk about opening up a new facility in China. It looks like that it's kind of a make in China, sell in China strategy. Mark, could you elaborate on what type of products that you expect to be making there, and is there an opportunity to maybe start making in China to sell worldwide in the future?
Speaker 5
Yeah, so, Quintin, good morning. In terms of our strategy in China, I think it's well understood what our strategy there is, which is, you know, use our scale to a significant advantage in serving the Chinese market. We have multiple applications lab, we hire out of the best universities, we have a number of factories, we do local R&D, we have a division headquartered there, so we have really unique capabilities in China. What the new facility is, is a little bit of a different animal than what we have currently, which is this facility is for lab consumables, primarily plasticware, for life science research for the Chinese market. If you go, and I think you've actually been to our instrument manufacturing facility in China, a lot of those products are used in China, but a lot of those products are used for global export as well.
If you go to our glass facility in China, a lot of it's for China and a lot of it's for global export. We see the market growth opportunity so meaningfully in China for lab consumables on the plastic side that we believe we can support a full facility just for local consumption. It's a little bit of a different angle, but we have a lot of manufacturing presence and experience in the region and have good confidence that this will be a nice driver of growth and profitability in the midterm.
Speaker 1
Great. Pete, did you update, maybe I missed it, but did you update cash flow guidance for the year?
Speaker 4
I did not, but it's consistent with our previous guidance of $1.3 to $1.4 billion.
Speaker 1
Excellent. Thank you.
Speaker 4
Yep.
Speaker 0
Your next question comes from a line of John Wood with Jefferies.
Speaker 2
Quintin stole my question. Good morning.
Speaker 1
Good morning.
Speaker 2
Pete, that $0.09 of Dionex accretion, I would imagine that excludes the negative carry up until May on the financing. Is that correct?
Speaker 4
Yes, it does. That's the net impact of adding it from May onwards with the related debt for that period.
Speaker 2
Okay, great. One for Marc on the M&A side. Just on your guys' appetite, do you think the organization could handle another transaction of a similar size as Dionex, you know, within, say, six months of close, or do you think it's more likely that there would just be the tuck-ins, you know, for the next few quarters as you integrate Dionex?
Speaker 5
From an M&A perspective, yeah, I mean, the company has the managerial capacity to do another similar size transaction to Dionex as long as it wasn't in, you know, routine scientific instruments, right? I think that would be too much of a stretch, but anything else that we do in the company, we have the capacity. Bioscience and specialty diagnostics, other parts of scientific instruments or, you know, other parts of the company, management is unaffected by the Dionex integration, so that's not a constraint. Again, you know, any M&A we do is going to meet our criteria of strengthening the company strategically and really increasing the value for our customers and obviously generating meaningful shareholder returns.
Speaker 2
Okay, great. Thank you.
Speaker 1
You're welcome.
Speaker 0
Your next question is from the line of Peter Lawson with Mizuho Securities.
Speaker 5
Hi, Peter.
Speaker 1
Hi. Mark, I just wondered if you could talk through the conditions in Europe, how you're looking at that market at the moment.
Speaker 5
Europe is pretty consistent with what we've seen over the past couple of quarters, grew low single digits organically. Germany is doing pretty well, given the importance of the economy. France is doing pretty well. We're cautiously optimistic with Europe, and at the same point, it's very much in line with what we were expecting when we put our original guidance together.
Speaker 1
A similar question for Asia. Which countries are growing fastest there and which product lines?
Speaker 5
In terms of Asia, China and India have really good momentum, you know, so that's very encouraging. That's been across the board in terms of strength, you know, across the portfolio, so I feel very good about that. Obviously, Japan had a big headwind with a big stimulus order, so that's, you know, a drag, but that obviously sunsets already. There's a one-quarter effect.
Speaker 1
Finally, on the academic market, what's the tone from customers at the moment for you?
Speaker 5
I think the tone is relief that the budgets are now settled and that the changes to the budgets in the U.S., particularly where the continuing resolution really made customers nervous, is behind us. I think there were some dramatic changes one way or the other to the budgets, and I think customers are getting back to a more normalized environment.
Speaker 1
Perfect. Thank you so much, Marc.
Speaker 5
You're welcome.
Speaker 0
Okay, our next question comes from the line of Sun Jae Nam with Gleacher & Company.
Speaker 2
Just one quick question. Do you guys, the synergy assumptions for this year, you know, given that you're providing guidance including Dionex, is it pretty much in line with your prior, you know, guidance, or are there any updates to that?
Speaker 5
In terms of the Dionex, the $0.09 that Pete articulated for the period that we own is consistent with the $0.13 to $0.15 that we originally announced over the first 12 months of ownership, and that is consistent with the synergies that we assumed at the time of the deal. Now that we've gotten through most of the integration planning, we are comfortable and confident in our ability to deliver the synergies that we articulated at the time of the announcement, and we've done a lot of planning work with that regard. We feel good about our ability to achieve the accretion numbers and the return numbers that we talked about at the time of the announcement.
Speaker 2
Great, thank you.
Speaker 1
You're welcome. Operator, we have time for just one more.
Speaker 0
Yes, sir, your last question comes from the line of Derek DeBrown with UBS.
Speaker 1
Hi, good morning.
Speaker 5
Good morning, sir.
Speaker 1
Going back to the question that was asked earlier on just the LPS growth rates, I just want to see if we could do a little bit more color anatomy. Lab products and service, it's customer channels, biopharma services, and it's lab products. Could you just give, I mean, you mentioned that biopharma services was strong. Could you just talk a little bit about the customer channels business and the lab products business? I mean, particularly, obviously the comps have a bigger impact on the customer channels business than the other ones. Could you just talk a little bit more qualitatively about that? I just think providing a little bit more color on those and on those specific segments would give people a little bit more comfort on the trajectory.
Speaker 5
Yeah, so, Derek, thanks for the question. I'll make a couple of quick remarks. One is the headwinds that we powered through in the quarter in terms of things like weather and government uncertainty really affect consumable businesses more than they affect analytical technologies. The company powered through that. I feel very good about our execution, but that's going to sit a little bit more in lab products and services from Q1 than it will obviously going forward because we don't believe those are recurring in nature. That's the first thing. Obviously, Biosite sits in our customer channels business, and that creates a headwind in Q1 and Q2. If I look at the business and the fundamentals of how customer channels, how lab products, as well as biopharma services business is executing, I feel good about it. I feel good about the outlook.
I feel good about the guidance that we're giving this year in terms of our top line growth. I think our prospects here are good.
Speaker 1
Okay, what is the dollar headwind in Q2 on Biosite?
Speaker 5
That's the last time we'll ever talk about it. It is what, Pete?
Speaker 1
Yeah, the net number is about $25 million.
Speaker 5
Right. At what point in time should we take the convert out of the share count?
Speaker 1
It basically was redeemed right at the beginning of Q2.
Speaker 5
Right. Thanks. Derek, thank you. Let me just wrap it up with a couple of quick remarks. I'm pleased with our good start to the year and the excellent operational performance by our teams. With another excellent, you know, and good growth and adjusted EPS in the quarter behind us, we're very well positioned to deliver on our goals for 2011, and we're continuing our track record of strong EPS growth. I'd like to thank you for your interest in Thermo Fisher Scientific, and I look forward, along with Pete, to updating you at the end of the second quarter on our progress for the year. Thanks, everyone.
Speaker 0
Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the presentation. You may now disconnect. Good day.