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TRUSTMARK CORP (TRMK)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Trustmark delivered a solid quarter: diluted EPS of $0.92 rose 4.5% q/q and beat S&P Global consensus by ~$0.05; revenue of $198.6m grew 2.1% q/q but was modestly below consensus as noninterest income softened sequentially . EPS est: $0.868*; Rev est: $200.633m*.
- Profitability expanded: net interest margin increased 6 bps to 3.81% on higher loan yields and lower funding costs; efficiency improved to 61.24% .
- Guidance was broadly constructive: loan growth raised to mid‑single digits (from low‑single), NIM range tightened to 3.77%–3.83%, and NII outlook raised to high‑single‑digit growth; provision expected to trend lower vs 2024; tax rate guided to ~18.3%–18.5% .
- Credit trends improved with reductions in criticized/classified loans; CET1 rose to 11.70%, TBVPS to $28.74; buybacks continued with $26m repurchased YTD and $74m remaining authorization—supportive for the stock narrative into 2H25 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- EPS beat driven by NII growth and lower provision; NIM expanded to 3.81% as asset yields rose and liability costs fell (“increase in the yield of loans… and the decrease in the cost of interest‑bearing liabilities”) .
- Credit quality: NPAs fell 5.3% q/q; criticized loans −$71m and classified −$40m with ~$75m upgraded to pass, lowering provisioning pressure; NCOs ran at 12 bps of average loans .
- Positive forward tone and guidance: “We are making positive revisions… Loans HFI to increase mid single digits… NIM range now 3.77%–3.83%… NII to increase high single digits” .
What Went Wrong
- Revenue modestly missed S&P consensus as noninterest income declined $2.7m q/q on lower other income and facility sale comp; mortgage was strong y/y but slightly down q/q due to higher servicing amortization . Rev est: $200.633m* vs reported $198.6m .
- Noninterest expense ticked up $1.1m q/q largely on professional fees within services & fees (+$0.8m q/q) .
- Deposit balances were essentially flat q/q (+$35m), and total deposits remain down y/y (-2.2%) given deliberate mix pruning in public/brokered funds; interest‑bearing deposit costs, while down 2 bps q/q, remain elevated vs pre‑rate‑hike levels .
Financial Results
- Company “revenue” aligns to GAAP net interest income + noninterest income; adjusted pre‑provision revenue was $198.65m in Q2 (for reference) .
- S&P Global consensus values marked with * (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
Segment/fee mix (Noninterest income details)
Key KPIs and balance sheet
YoY note: Q2 2024 results were distorted by a $182.8m securities loss and discontinued operations from the 2024 insurance sale; on a non‑GAAP basis, adjusted revenue in Q2 2024 was $184.4m vs $198.6m Q2 2025 (+7.7% y/y) .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO tone on momentum and drivers: “We continue to build momentum… profitability metrics expanded fueled by loan and deposit growth, solid credit quality, diversified fee income and disciplined expense management” .
- On NIM mechanics: “The net interest margin increased six basis points… primarily due to the increase in the yield for the loans… as well as the decrease in the cost of interest‑bearing liabilities” .
- On loan growth guide: “We expect loans held for investment to increase mid single digits… revised upward from our previous guidance of low single digit growth” .
- On capital returns: “Reasonable to assume… $10–$15 million a quarter in share repurchase here in 2025” .
Q&A Highlights
- NIM and rate path: Baseline assumes Fed cuts in September and December; TRMK is slightly asset sensitive and would reduce deposit rates to defend NIM if cuts occur; otherwise, ongoing fixed‑rate asset repricing supports modest NIM expansion .
- Loan growth composition: Stronger non‑CRE production; in CRE, many scheduled maturities extended into 2H25–2026/27, smoothing payoffs and aiding balances .
- Credit provisioning: Lower q/q provision driven by positive credit migration and fewer criticized/classified balances; reserve ~1.25% of LHFI (down 1 bp q/q) .
- M&A posture: Evaluating contiguous high‑growth SE/TX markets with target size ~$1–$5bn; concurrently recruiting talent in core metros (Houston, Birmingham, Atlanta, FL Panhandle, Jackson) .
- Tax rate: Expect FY effective tax rate ~18.3%–18.5% .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: TRMK reported $0.92 EPS vs $0.87* (+$0.05 beat) and revenue of $198.6m vs $200.6m* (≈$2.0m miss). Company revenue is GAAP NII + noninterest income .
- Forward consensus (next two quarters):
- Q3 2025: EPS 0.932*, Revenue $206.1m*; Q4 2025: EPS 0.913*, Revenue $207.1m*. Primary EPS estimates (# est. 6); revenue (# est. 4).
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
- Q3 2025: EPS 0.932*, Revenue $206.1m*; Q4 2025: EPS 0.913*, Revenue $207.1m*. Primary EPS estimates (# est. 6); revenue (# est. 4).
Key Takeaways for Investors
- EPS beat with constructive guide raises (loan growth, NIM range tightened upward mid‑point, NII to high‑single‑digit) should support estimate revisions higher on EPS and NII despite a small revenue miss tied to fee line volatility .
- Margin resilience is underpinned by ongoing asset repricing and the ability to reprice deposits if the Fed cuts; modest asset sensitivity suggests downside protection to NIM if cuts are delayed .
- Credit normalization remains benign with improving risk ratings and contained losses (12 bps NCOs), supporting lower provisioning vs 2024 guide and capital accretion .
- Capital return optionality (buybacks pacing $10–$15m/qtr, dividend $0.24) plus TBVPS growth to $28.74 provide tangible support to valuation .
- Mortgage and wealth remain healthy contributors; near‑term fee volatility (other income) should be monitored but is not thesis‑defining .
- M&A optionality in attractive contiguous markets offers a potential medium‑term growth catalyst; management emphasizes disciplined approach .
- Near‑term trading: positive skew given beat/guide raises and credit tone; medium‑term thesis: continued operating leverage, NIM defense, and capital returns drive ROA/ROTCE progression .
References: Earnings 8‑K and press release package for Q2 2025 ; Earnings call transcript Q2 2025 ; Q1 2025 press release ; Q4 2024 press release .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.