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TRUSTMARK CORP (TRMK)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Trustmark delivered a solid quarter: diluted EPS of $0.92 rose 4.5% q/q and beat S&P Global consensus by ~$0.05; revenue of $198.6m grew 2.1% q/q but was modestly below consensus as noninterest income softened sequentially . EPS est: $0.868*; Rev est: $200.633m*.
  • Profitability expanded: net interest margin increased 6 bps to 3.81% on higher loan yields and lower funding costs; efficiency improved to 61.24% .
  • Guidance was broadly constructive: loan growth raised to mid‑single digits (from low‑single), NIM range tightened to 3.77%–3.83%, and NII outlook raised to high‑single‑digit growth; provision expected to trend lower vs 2024; tax rate guided to ~18.3%–18.5% .
  • Credit trends improved with reductions in criticized/classified loans; CET1 rose to 11.70%, TBVPS to $28.74; buybacks continued with $26m repurchased YTD and $74m remaining authorization—supportive for the stock narrative into 2H25 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • EPS beat driven by NII growth and lower provision; NIM expanded to 3.81% as asset yields rose and liability costs fell (“increase in the yield of loans… and the decrease in the cost of interest‑bearing liabilities”) .
  • Credit quality: NPAs fell 5.3% q/q; criticized loans −$71m and classified −$40m with ~$75m upgraded to pass, lowering provisioning pressure; NCOs ran at 12 bps of average loans .
  • Positive forward tone and guidance: “We are making positive revisions… Loans HFI to increase mid single digits… NIM range now 3.77%–3.83%… NII to increase high single digits” .

What Went Wrong

  • Revenue modestly missed S&P consensus as noninterest income declined $2.7m q/q on lower other income and facility sale comp; mortgage was strong y/y but slightly down q/q due to higher servicing amortization . Rev est: $200.633m* vs reported $198.6m .
  • Noninterest expense ticked up $1.1m q/q largely on professional fees within services & fees (+$0.8m q/q) .
  • Deposit balances were essentially flat q/q (+$35m), and total deposits remain down y/y (-2.2%) given deliberate mix pruning in public/brokered funds; interest‑bearing deposit costs, while down 2 bps q/q, remain elevated vs pre‑rate‑hike levels .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q2 2025 vs S&P Est.
Revenue ($m)196.8 194.6 198.6 200.6*
Diluted EPS ($)0.92 0.88 0.92 0.87*
Net Interest Margin (%)3.76 3.75 3.81
Efficiency Ratio (%)61.77 61.77 61.24
  • Company “revenue” aligns to GAAP net interest income + noninterest income; adjusted pre‑provision revenue was $198.65m in Q2 (for reference) .
  • S&P Global consensus values marked with * (Values retrieved from S&P Global).

Segment/fee mix (Noninterest income details)

Category ($m)Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Mortgage banking, net7.39 8.77 8.60
Wealth management9.32 9.54 9.64
Service charges on deposit accounts11.23 10.64 10.59
Bank card & other fees8.72 7.66 8.75
Other, net4.30 5.97 2.31
Total Noninterest Income40.95 42.58 39.89

Key KPIs and balance sheet

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Loans HFI ($bn, end)13.09 13.24 13.46
Deposits ($bn, end)15.11 15.08 15.12
Cost of total deposits (%)1.98 1.83 1.80
NPAs ($m)86.03 94.97 89.97
NCOs / Avg Loans (%)0.14 0.04 0.12
CET1 Ratio (%)11.54 11.63 11.70
Tangible BVPS ($)26.68 27.78 28.74
Dividend per share ($)0.23 0.24 0.24

YoY note: Q2 2024 results were distorted by a $182.8m securities loss and discontinued operations from the 2024 insurance sale; on a non‑GAAP basis, adjusted revenue in Q2 2024 was $184.4m vs $198.6m Q2 2025 (+7.7% y/y) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Loans HFI growthFY 2025Low single digits Mid single digits Raised
Deposits (ex‑brokered)FY 2025Low single‑digit growth Low single‑digit growth Maintained
NIM (reported)FY 20253.75%–3.85% 3.77%–3.83% Tightened
Net interest incomeFY 2025Mid‑to‑high single‑digit growth High single‑digit growth Raised
Provision for credit lossesFY 2025Stable vs 2024 Trending lower vs 2024 Lower
Noninterest income/expenseFY 2025Unchanged Unchanged Maintained
Tax rate (effective)FY 2025n/a~18.3%–18.5% Set
Securities portfolioFY 2025Stable Stable Maintained
Capital return2025Opportunistic buybacks ~$10–$15m per quarter contemplated Clarified
DividendOngoing$0.24/qtr run‑rate$0.24/qtr declared (Sep 15 pay) Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24, Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
Net interest marginQ4’24: 3.76%, benefit from lower funding costs ; Q1’25: 3.75% flat as lower costs offset lower loan yields 3.81%, tailwind from loan yield repricing and slight funding cost declines; modest asset sensitivity if Fed delays cuts Improving
Loan growthQ4’24: Stable to modest; CRE pressures Raised FY guide to mid‑single; strength outside CRE; maturities pushing out lower paydowns Strengthening
Deposits/costsQ4’24: IB deposit cost fell 30 bps q/q ; Q1’25: −21 bps q/q Cost of total deposits down 3 bps to 1.80%; mix stable Improving
Credit qualityQ4’24: ACL 1.22% LHFI; NPAs up modestly Criticized −$71m, classified −$40m; ~$75m upgraded to pass; NCOs 12 bps Improving
Fee businessesQ4’24: broad‑based growth; mortgage up on hedge dynamics Mortgage up y/y; wealth stable; other income lower without one‑time gains Mixed
Macro/ratesQ1’25 NIM stable with falling funding costs Baseline includes Sep/Dec Fed cuts; modest asset sensitivity; deposit price actions planned if cuts occur Balanced
M&A/expansionLimited specifics priorActive evaluation; focus on contiguous SE/TX, $1–$5bn targets; talent hiring continues Increasing focus
Regulatory/taxn/aFull‑year ETR ~18.3–18.5% Set

Management Commentary

  • CEO tone on momentum and drivers: “We continue to build momentum… profitability metrics expanded fueled by loan and deposit growth, solid credit quality, diversified fee income and disciplined expense management” .
  • On NIM mechanics: “The net interest margin increased six basis points… primarily due to the increase in the yield for the loans… as well as the decrease in the cost of interest‑bearing liabilities” .
  • On loan growth guide: “We expect loans held for investment to increase mid single digits… revised upward from our previous guidance of low single digit growth” .
  • On capital returns: “Reasonable to assume… $10–$15 million a quarter in share repurchase here in 2025” .

Q&A Highlights

  • NIM and rate path: Baseline assumes Fed cuts in September and December; TRMK is slightly asset sensitive and would reduce deposit rates to defend NIM if cuts occur; otherwise, ongoing fixed‑rate asset repricing supports modest NIM expansion .
  • Loan growth composition: Stronger non‑CRE production; in CRE, many scheduled maturities extended into 2H25–2026/27, smoothing payoffs and aiding balances .
  • Credit provisioning: Lower q/q provision driven by positive credit migration and fewer criticized/classified balances; reserve ~1.25% of LHFI (down 1 bp q/q) .
  • M&A posture: Evaluating contiguous high‑growth SE/TX markets with target size ~$1–$5bn; concurrently recruiting talent in core metros (Houston, Birmingham, Atlanta, FL Panhandle, Jackson) .
  • Tax rate: Expect FY effective tax rate ~18.3%–18.5% .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: TRMK reported $0.92 EPS vs $0.87* (+$0.05 beat) and revenue of $198.6m vs $200.6m* (≈$2.0m miss). Company revenue is GAAP NII + noninterest income .
  • Forward consensus (next two quarters):
    • Q3 2025: EPS 0.932*, Revenue $206.1m*; Q4 2025: EPS 0.913*, Revenue $207.1m*. Primary EPS estimates (# est. 6); revenue (# est. 4).
      Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
PeriodEPS Consensus*Revenue Consensus*
Q3 20250.9317$206.125m
Q4 20250.9133$207.050m

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • EPS beat with constructive guide raises (loan growth, NIM range tightened upward mid‑point, NII to high‑single‑digit) should support estimate revisions higher on EPS and NII despite a small revenue miss tied to fee line volatility .
  • Margin resilience is underpinned by ongoing asset repricing and the ability to reprice deposits if the Fed cuts; modest asset sensitivity suggests downside protection to NIM if cuts are delayed .
  • Credit normalization remains benign with improving risk ratings and contained losses (12 bps NCOs), supporting lower provisioning vs 2024 guide and capital accretion .
  • Capital return optionality (buybacks pacing $10–$15m/qtr, dividend $0.24) plus TBVPS growth to $28.74 provide tangible support to valuation .
  • Mortgage and wealth remain healthy contributors; near‑term fee volatility (other income) should be monitored but is not thesis‑defining .
  • M&A optionality in attractive contiguous markets offers a potential medium‑term growth catalyst; management emphasizes disciplined approach .
  • Near‑term trading: positive skew given beat/guide raises and credit tone; medium‑term thesis: continued operating leverage, NIM defense, and capital returns drive ROA/ROTCE progression .

References: Earnings 8‑K and press release package for Q2 2025 ; Earnings call transcript Q2 2025 ; Q1 2025 press release ; Q4 2024 press release .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.