TRUSTMARK CORP (TRMK)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 delivered solid core results: EPS of $0.94 grew 2% q/q and 12% y/y on higher net interest income and disciplined credit costs; NIM edged up to 3.83% and ROA/ROTE were 1.21%/12.84% .
- Mixed versus Street: EPS slightly beat consensus while revenue was below; management tightened full‑year NIM guidance to 3.78%–3.82% and affirmed other 2025 outlook items (loans mid‑single‑digit, deposits low‑single‑digit ex‑brokered, NII high‑single‑digit) .
- Balance sheet momentum: loans +0.6% q/q (+3.4% y/y) to $13.55B; deposits +3.4% q/q (+2.6% y/y) to $15.63B with NIBD rising to 21.2%; CET1 improved to 11.88% .
- Key near‑term stock catalysts: tightened NIM range and deposit growth resiliency; offset by a revenue miss vs consensus and higher noninterest expense from ~$2.3M non‑routine items (charter conversion/legal and an OREO reserve) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- NIM expansion and NII growth: NIM rose 2 bps to 3.83% and net interest income (FTE) increased 2.4% q/q to $165.2M on higher loan and securities yields .
- Core funding strength: deposits +$515M q/q (+3.4%), with NIBD +5.9% q/q to 21.2% of total; cost of total deposits only 1.84% (+4 bps q/q) .
- Management tone confident on outlook and hiring to drive growth: “Our momentum continues to build… We will continue to add seasoned professionals… to further enhance our financial performance” — CEO Duane Dewey .
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What Went Wrong
- Noninterest expense elevated: up 4.7% q/q to $130.9M, including ~$2.3M non‑routine items; salaries/benefits +$3.2M q/q from merit increases, incentives, and growth hires; OREO expense +$1.8M from a single‑property reserve .
- Revenue vs consensus: company “total revenue” $202.4M came in below S&P Global consensus revenue estimate; fee line items were flat overall q/q (noninterest income +0.1% q/q) .
- Credit optics: NPLs ticked up modestly (nonaccrual loans +$3.0M q/q), though NCOs remained low at 0.13% of average loans and total PCL declined to $1.7M .
Financial Results
Notes: Q3’24 revenue shown as GAAP net interest income ($154.7M) + noninterest income ($37.6M) from company tables . Consensus values marked with * are from S&P Global; Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Revenue breakdown and fee lines
Key performance and balance sheet KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on momentum and strategy: “Our momentum continues to build… We will continue to add seasoned professionals with proven performance records to supplement our teams and expand and deepen customer relationships.”
- CFO on NIM outlook and rate cuts: “We are optimistic about maintaining NIM in this general area of 3.80% to 3.83%… there might be some choppiness quarter to quarter.”
- CFO on deposit pricing path: “Our outlook for fourth quarter deposit cost dropping from 1.84% to 1.72% reflects the intended price cuts… subject to competitive response and depositor pushback.”
- Credit update: “We did have a nice trend down of about $49 million in criticized loans this quarter… very encouraged by that positive trend.” — Barry Harvey, Chief Credit & Operations Officer
Q&A Highlights
- Expense trajectory and hiring: ~29 hires in Q3 (21 producers/support); ~$0.4M hit in Q3 with higher Q4 run‑rate; some non‑routine recruiting/signing costs embedded .
- Capital return: ~$11M repurchased in Q3; $63M authorization remaining; potential to lean more into buybacks in 2026 as capital builds, balanced with loan growth .
- Deposit strategy and betas: Competitive deposit market; proactive rate cuts planned with exception pricing for profitable clients; targeted promotional campaigns used to manage L/D ratio .
- CRE competitiveness: More deal flow industry‑wide but thinner spreads/fees; pricing more competitive in CRE while other categories stable .
Estimates Context
- EPS: Actual $0.94 vs consensus $0.932*, a slight beat (6 estimates) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Revenue: Company “total revenue” $202.4M; S&P Global revenue “actual” recorded at $200.7M* vs consensus $206.1M* (4 estimates), implying a miss; definitional differences (GAAP NII vs FTE, tax‑equivalent adjustments) can cause variance between company presentation and data provider’s “revenue” field . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Consensus vs actual (Q3 2025)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Where estimates may adjust: modest upward bias to EPS run‑rate from tighter NIM range and deposit cost actions; offset by higher opex run‑rate from producer hiring and competitive CRE pricing discussed on the call .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Core profitability is resilient: NIM stable to slightly expanding, with management guiding to hold ~3.80%–3.82% despite expected Fed cuts via proactive deposit pricing .
- Funding strength is a differentiator: balanced personal/commercial deposit growth, rising NIBD mix, and CET1 at 11.88% support growth and buybacks .
- Expense cadence: expect a higher Q4 run‑rate from growth hires, with non‑routine costs in Q3 rolling off; watch efficiency ratio near term .
- Credit is benign and trending better: criticized loans down and NCOs low; PCL lower sequentially; watch nonaccruals which ticked up modestly .
- Capital returns ongoing: $11M repurchased in Q3; $63M remaining authorization for 2025; potential for more proactive repurchases in 2026 .
- Trading setup: Slight EPS beat vs a revenue shortfall; tightened NIM guidance and strong deposit trends are supports, while higher opex and competitive CRE pricing are watch‑items .
Appendix: Additional Data Points
- Loans and deposits: Loans HFI +$83M q/q to $13.55B; deposits +$515M q/q to $15.63B; loans/deposits ~86.7% .
- Fee highlights: Wealth management $9.8M (+1.7% q/q); mortgage banking $8.2M (‑4.9% q/q, +33.7% y/y); service charges $11.3M (+6.3% q/q) .
- One‑time items: ~$900K professional fees tied to state charter conversion/strategic initiatives; $1.4M OREO reserve on a single property .
- Dividend: $0.24 per share declared, payable Dec 15, 2025 .
Citations: All company figures and quotations are from Trustmark’s Q3 2025 8‑K/press release and transcript as cited above - - -. Prior‑quarter comparisons use Q1/Q2 2025 8‑Ks/press releases - -. Consensus figures marked with * are from S&P Global; Values retrieved from S&P Global.