TI
TSS, Inc. (TSSI)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 delivered hypergrowth with revenue of $44.0M (+262% y/y) as AI-led Procurement (+572% y/y to $33.0M) and Systems Integration (+91% y/y to $9.5M) drove performance; Adjusted EBITDA rose 103% to $4.0M while diluted EPS was $0.06, flat y/y .
- Consolidated gross margin recovered to 17.8% from 9.3% in Q1 as Georgetown’s 213k sq ft facility became fully operational; mix shift to lower-margin Procurement vs. last year weighed on y/y margin (37.3% → 17.8%) .
- Management raised FY25 Adjusted EBITDA growth guidance to at least +75% y/y (from at least +50%) on stronger first-half and visibility into 2H; they view this as a floor, not a ceiling, implying upside if execution and demand hold up .
- Liquidity and capacity expanded: cash rose to $36.8M with $5.0M restricted; the company invested ~$31.6M in Georgetown to support higher-density AI racks (toward 300kW/rack and beyond), with additional TI reimbursement and debt accordion expected in 2H .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- “Record year-over-year revenue growth of 262%” as AI procurement and rack integration accelerated; “we are squarely positioned to address that demand” with the Georgetown facility fully operational .
- Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to $4.0M; management raised FY25 Adjusted EBITDA outlook to at least +75% vs. 2024, citing pipeline strength and capacity ramp .
- Positive operating cash flow YTD ($37M) and strong cash balance ($36.8M) bolstered financial flexibility amid growth investments .
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What Went Wrong
- Consolidated gross margin fell y/y (37.3% → 17.8%) due to mix shift toward lower-margin Procurement and a greater proportion of “gross” deals; GAAP Procurement gross margin declined (14.7% → 7.7%) .
- Interest expense rose sharply ($859k vs. $378k y/y) on higher procurement volume financing and Georgetown construction loan; depreciation also stepped up and will increase further in Q3 with a full quarter on the new facility .
- Facilities Management revenue declined 35% y/y to $1.5M; although strategically important, it remains a small contributor near-term with timing variability of discrete projects .
Financial Results
Overall performance (oldest → newest):
Year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter change:
Margins and mix:
Segment revenue breakdown:
Additional balance sheet and cash flow highlights:
- Cash & equivalents: $36.8M; restricted cash: $5.0M (secures bank loan) .
- YTD cash flow from operations: $37.0M; landlord TI reimbursement of $6.8M expected in Q3; pursuing $5.0M accordion on bank loan .
Guidance Changes
Notes: FY2024 Adjusted EBITDA was $10.15M; “at least +75%” implies ≥$17.8M FY2025 Adjusted EBITDA if achieved .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We delivered substantial year-over-year growth… Our Georgetown facility is now fully operational across all capabilities, enabling us to integrate more racks featuring the latest advanced AI technologies” .
- CEO: “We are preparing to integrate racks with 300 kilowatts of power, on our way to a megawatt of power possibly within the next year” .
- CFO: “Consolidated gross margin was 17.8% this quarter… up compared to 9.3% in the first quarter… Downward movement in blended consolidated margins is driven by the outsized growth in lower-margin procurement” .
- CFO: “Adjusted EBITDA… was $4.0 million, up 103%… We generated cash flow from operations of $37 million for the first six months of 2025” .
- CEO: “We are raising our full year 2025 adjusted EBITDA outlook from at least 50% growth to at least 75% growth compared to 2024” .
Q&A Highlights
- Dell priority and diversification: Management aims to be “cheaper, better, faster” to win an “unfair share,” while exploring channel/on-site integration and partnerships to expand beyond Dell without jeopardizing the relationship .
- Procurement variability & federal seasonality: Large, discrete projects can drive swings; Q1 outperformed typical seasonality; management remains optimistic and is adding resources to pursue multi-tranche opportunities .
- Guidance philosophy: “At least 75%” Adjusted EBITDA growth is a floor; with $9.2M in 1H, management signaled confidence in 2H contribution .
- Georgetown capacity: Facility is fully operational; SI margins should improve as occupancy costs normalize with corresponding contract economics .
- Round Rock facility: Potential sublease interest and/or use to expand configuration services; favorable legacy lease terms cushion downside .
Estimates Context
- Street coverage: S&P Global did not show published consensus EPS or revenue estimates for Q2 2025; the dataset contained actuals only, so a beat/miss vs. estimates cannot be determined at this time.*
- Implications: The explicit raise to “at least +75%” FY25 Adjusted EBITDA growth versus FY24’s $10.15M should prompt upward revisions to FY25 EBITDA models to ≥$17.8M, assuming management’s new floor is adopted .
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Capacity-led AI cycle exposure: Georgetown’s full operations and higher power/DLC capabilities position TSS to capture rising AI rack complexity and volume over the next 12–24 months .
- Guidance raised and framed as a floor: FY25 Adjusted EBITDA outlook increased to at least +75% vs. FY24; management indicates upside potential with continued execution .
- Mix is the swing factor: Procurement drives top-line but compresses margin; SI growth and margin expansion are key to improving blended profitability through 2H25 .
- Liquidity/capex runway: Strong cash generation and expected TI/accordion inflows support continued scaling and working capital needs as large projects flow .
- Near-term trading setup: Narrative catalysts include AI integration wins, SI margin progression, and any incremental OEM/channel diversification announcements; watch Procurement-driven volatility around federal buying seasonality .
- Medium-term thesis: Structural AI compute build-out, increasing rack densities, and DLC adoption underpin multiyear demand; TSS’s capability investments and customer ties are strategic in this cycle .
Appendix: Source Cross-References
- Q2 2025 8-K/Press Release (financials, guidance): .
- Q2 2025 Earnings Call (margins, facility, outlook, Q&A): .
- Q1 2025 8-K/Call (trend, SI margin normalization, seasonality): .
- Q4 2024 8-K (baseline, growth trajectory): .