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TI

TSS, Inc. (TSSI)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 delivered hypergrowth with revenue of $44.0M (+262% y/y) as AI-led Procurement (+572% y/y to $33.0M) and Systems Integration (+91% y/y to $9.5M) drove performance; Adjusted EBITDA rose 103% to $4.0M while diluted EPS was $0.06, flat y/y .
  • Consolidated gross margin recovered to 17.8% from 9.3% in Q1 as Georgetown’s 213k sq ft facility became fully operational; mix shift to lower-margin Procurement vs. last year weighed on y/y margin (37.3% → 17.8%) .
  • Management raised FY25 Adjusted EBITDA growth guidance to at least +75% y/y (from at least +50%) on stronger first-half and visibility into 2H; they view this as a floor, not a ceiling, implying upside if execution and demand hold up .
  • Liquidity and capacity expanded: cash rose to $36.8M with $5.0M restricted; the company invested ~$31.6M in Georgetown to support higher-density AI racks (toward 300kW/rack and beyond), with additional TI reimbursement and debt accordion expected in 2H .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • “Record year-over-year revenue growth of 262%” as AI procurement and rack integration accelerated; “we are squarely positioned to address that demand” with the Georgetown facility fully operational .
    • Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to $4.0M; management raised FY25 Adjusted EBITDA outlook to at least +75% vs. 2024, citing pipeline strength and capacity ramp .
    • Positive operating cash flow YTD ($37M) and strong cash balance ($36.8M) bolstered financial flexibility amid growth investments .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Consolidated gross margin fell y/y (37.3% → 17.8%) due to mix shift toward lower-margin Procurement and a greater proportion of “gross” deals; GAAP Procurement gross margin declined (14.7% → 7.7%) .
    • Interest expense rose sharply ($859k vs. $378k y/y) on higher procurement volume financing and Georgetown construction loan; depreciation also stepped up and will increase further in Q3 with a full quarter on the new facility .
    • Facilities Management revenue declined 35% y/y to $1.5M; although strategically important, it remains a small contributor near-term with timing variability of discrete projects .

Financial Results

Overall performance (oldest → newest):

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($M)$50.03 $98.96 $43.97
Gross Profit ($M)$7.21 $9.21 $7.82
Net Income ($M)$1.91 $2.98 $1.48
Diluted EPS ($)$0.08 $0.12 $0.06
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$3.39 $5.24 $4.01

Year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter change:

MetricQ2 2024Q2 2025YoY ChangeQ1 2025Q2 2025QoQ Change
Revenue ($M)$12.16 $43.97 +261.7% $98.96 $43.97 -55.5%
Diluted EPS ($)$0.06 $0.06 0.0% $0.12 $0.06 -50.0%
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$1.97 $4.01 +103.3% $5.24 $4.01 -23.4%

Margins and mix:

KPIQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Consolidated Gross Margin %37.3% 9.3% 17.8%
Systems Integration Gross Margin % (GAAP)43% 22% 44%
Procurement Gross Margin % (GAAP)14.7% 7.8% 7.7%
Procurement Gross Margin % (Gross Value basis)3.4% 6.6% 3.9%

Segment revenue breakdown:

Segment Revenue ($M)Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Procurement$40.50 $90.18 $33.00
Systems Integration$7.91 $7.48 $9.49
Facilities Management$1.62 $1.30 $1.48
Total$50.03 $98.96 $43.97

Additional balance sheet and cash flow highlights:

  • Cash & equivalents: $36.8M; restricted cash: $5.0M (secures bank loan) .
  • YTD cash flow from operations: $37.0M; landlord TI reimbursement of $6.8M expected in Q3; pursuing $5.0M accordion on bank loan .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EBITDA growth vs. FY2024FY2025At least +50% y/y At least +75% y/y Raised
Systems Integration gross marginFY2025 (2H vs. 1H)Improve vs. Q1 on facility ramp Continued improvement as Georgetown is fully operational Maintained/clarified
1H25 revenue vs. 2H241H 20251H25 > 2H24 Achieved; 1H25 revenue $142.9M vs. 2H24 $120.1M Achieved

Notes: FY2024 Adjusted EBITDA was $10.15M; “at least +75%” implies ≥$17.8M FY2025 Adjusted EBITDA if achieved .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 2024 (Q-2)Q1 2025 (Q-1)Q2 2025 (Current)Trend
AI/rack integration demandMulti-year agreement with largest customer; AI integration central to growth Ramp beginning May; 6MW power expanding to 15MW; AI DLC readiness Facility fully operational; preparing for 300kW→1MW racks; bullish outlook Strengthening capacity and visibility
Georgetown facilityBuildout progressing; contribute from Q2 onward Production started in May; full by June 100% operational; capacity expanding; key strategic asset Executed and scaling
Procurement variabilityNoted variability; large fed-related projects Q1 surprised to upside; seasonality around federal cycle $33M in Q2; mgmt optimistic; pipeline/seasonality drivers Elevated but lumpy
MarginsMix-driven variability; Procurement below avg margin Consolidated GM 9.3%; SI GM 22% (32% ex noncash rent) Consolidated GM 17.8%; SI GM 44%; Procurement GM 7.7% Improving sequentially; mix still key
Facilities/ModularStable high-margin but small Down 40% y/y; opportunity with enterprise/edge AI Down 35% y/y; discrete projects expected in 2H Potential 2H uptick
Macro: tariffs/supplyN/ATariffs lengthen lead times; roadmap timing affects orders No major change; federal cycle still relevant Watchlist headwind

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We delivered substantial year-over-year growth… Our Georgetown facility is now fully operational across all capabilities, enabling us to integrate more racks featuring the latest advanced AI technologies” .
  • CEO: “We are preparing to integrate racks with 300 kilowatts of power, on our way to a megawatt of power possibly within the next year” .
  • CFO: “Consolidated gross margin was 17.8% this quarter… up compared to 9.3% in the first quarter… Downward movement in blended consolidated margins is driven by the outsized growth in lower-margin procurement” .
  • CFO: “Adjusted EBITDA… was $4.0 million, up 103%… We generated cash flow from operations of $37 million for the first six months of 2025” .
  • CEO: “We are raising our full year 2025 adjusted EBITDA outlook from at least 50% growth to at least 75% growth compared to 2024” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Dell priority and diversification: Management aims to be “cheaper, better, faster” to win an “unfair share,” while exploring channel/on-site integration and partnerships to expand beyond Dell without jeopardizing the relationship .
  • Procurement variability & federal seasonality: Large, discrete projects can drive swings; Q1 outperformed typical seasonality; management remains optimistic and is adding resources to pursue multi-tranche opportunities .
  • Guidance philosophy: “At least 75%” Adjusted EBITDA growth is a floor; with $9.2M in 1H, management signaled confidence in 2H contribution .
  • Georgetown capacity: Facility is fully operational; SI margins should improve as occupancy costs normalize with corresponding contract economics .
  • Round Rock facility: Potential sublease interest and/or use to expand configuration services; favorable legacy lease terms cushion downside .

Estimates Context

  • Street coverage: S&P Global did not show published consensus EPS or revenue estimates for Q2 2025; the dataset contained actuals only, so a beat/miss vs. estimates cannot be determined at this time.*
  • Implications: The explicit raise to “at least +75%” FY25 Adjusted EBITDA growth versus FY24’s $10.15M should prompt upward revisions to FY25 EBITDA models to ≥$17.8M, assuming management’s new floor is adopted .

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Capacity-led AI cycle exposure: Georgetown’s full operations and higher power/DLC capabilities position TSS to capture rising AI rack complexity and volume over the next 12–24 months .
  • Guidance raised and framed as a floor: FY25 Adjusted EBITDA outlook increased to at least +75% vs. FY24; management indicates upside potential with continued execution .
  • Mix is the swing factor: Procurement drives top-line but compresses margin; SI growth and margin expansion are key to improving blended profitability through 2H25 .
  • Liquidity/capex runway: Strong cash generation and expected TI/accordion inflows support continued scaling and working capital needs as large projects flow .
  • Near-term trading setup: Narrative catalysts include AI integration wins, SI margin progression, and any incremental OEM/channel diversification announcements; watch Procurement-driven volatility around federal buying seasonality .
  • Medium-term thesis: Structural AI compute build-out, increasing rack densities, and DLC adoption underpin multiyear demand; TSS’s capability investments and customer ties are strategic in this cycle .

Appendix: Source Cross-References

  • Q2 2025 8-K/Press Release (financials, guidance): .
  • Q2 2025 Earnings Call (margins, facility, outlook, Q&A): .
  • Q1 2025 8-K/Call (trend, SI margin normalization, seasonality): .
  • Q4 2024 8-K (baseline, growth trajectory): .