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TTM TECHNOLOGIES INC (TTMI)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 was a clean beat: revenue $648.7M (+14% Y/Y) and non-GAAP EPS $0.50 both above the high end of guidance, with non-GAAP operating margin at 10.5% (+340 bps Y/Y) and book-to-bill of 1.10 . Versus consensus, revenue beat by ~$27M and EPS beat by ~$0.11 (S&P Global)*.
- Strength was broad in A&D (47% of sales), Data Center Computing (21%), and Networking (8%), with AI-related demand cited as a key driver; Automotive remained soft (11%) .
- Q2 2025 guidance implies stable-to-better run-rate: revenue $650–$690M and non-GAAP EPS $0.49–$0.55; opex, tax, and OI&E guide provided; A&D mix guided to ~45% in Q2 with continued AI momentum in commercial markets .
- Strategic execution milestones: Penang ramp underway (Q1 rev ~$2.2M; breakeven targeted by end of Q3 at $30–$35M run-rate), Syracuse build largely complete externally with production expected mid-2026; A&D backlog remains robust at ~$1.55B, offering multi-quarter visibility .
- Capital allocation adds support: $100M new share repurchase authorization announced shortly after the quarter end, providing flexibility alongside net leverage ~1.3x LTM EBITDA and $411M cash on hand at Q1 end .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- Record first-quarter non-GAAP EPS ($0.50) and the third consecutive quarter of double-digit non-GAAP operating margin (10.5%) on demand strength and solid execution: “revenues and non-GAAP EPS above the high end of the guided range” .
- Strong end-market mix: A&D 47% with ~$1.55B program backlog; Data Center Computing 21% and Networking 8% benefitting from generative AI demand; company book-to-bill 1.10 .
- Improved seasonality and margins vs prior years: management emphasized strategy to reduce Q4→Q1 seasonality via higher A&D mix and divestiture of consumer mobility; Y/Y non-GAAP operating margin +340 bps .
- What Went Wrong
- Cash usage from operations (-$10.7M) and negative FCF (-$73.9M) driven by working capital build and timing of receivables/EMS transitions .
- Automotive remained weak (11% of sales; continued inventory and demand softness) and is expected to remain challenged near term .
- Penang still a near-term drag: Q1 Penang revenue ~$2.2M with ~$(11.5)M operating loss at the site; breakeven requires steep ramp to $30–$35M by end of Q3 .
Financial Results
Revenue, EPS, and Margins vs Prior Periods and Estimates
Note: Consensus values retrieved from S&P Global.*
End-Market Mix (Revenue %)
Select KPIs and Cash Flow
Non-GAAP reconciliation exclusions include amortization, SBC, unrealized commodity hedge gains, restructuring/other charges, non-cash interest, and unrealized FX; the company revised historical non-GAAP metrics to exclude unrealized FX beginning Q1’25 .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic positioning: “Revenues grew 14% year on year due to demand strength in our Aerospace and Defense, Data Center Computing and Networking end markets, the latter two being driven by generative AI.”
- Margin execution: “Non-GAAP operating margins were 10.5%, up 340 basis points year on year, and were double digit for the third consecutive quarter...”
- A&D visibility and operational execution: “Demand in our aerospace and defense market… remains strong… book-to-bill… 1.10… program backlog of approximately $1.55 billion.”
- Tariffs: “We do not expect significant direct impact to revenue as only 3% to 4% of our revenues represent direct imports from China into the U.S. by our customers… We have not seen significant changes in customer behavior.”
- Capacity investments: “Penang… expect the revenue ramp to accelerate and reach breakeven levels towards the end of the third quarter… Syracuse… equipment installation to begin in the summer with production slated for the middle of 2026.”
Q&A Highlights
- Penang specifics: Q1 Penang revenue ~$2.2M; site operating loss ~$(11.5)M; breakeven targeted by end-Q3 at $30–$35M revenue .
- A&D backlog: Slight sequential dip ($1.56B to $1.55B) with defense book-to-bill 0.96; bookings remained stronger than expected for a seasonally slow quarter .
- Customer behavior and tariffs: No meaningful pull-ins or behavioral shifts in DCC/Networking; MII bookings strong in North America; modeling/mitigation ongoing .
- Competitive dynamics: Penang first-mover advantage but competitors adding capacity in Thailand; TTM focused on high-layer count PCB sweet spot .
- Scale/footprint: TTM is largest PCB producer in North America; Syracuse will be the only scaled advanced PCB capability domestically .
- Defense spending catalysts: Missile defense and radar content (e.g., “Golden Dome for America”) seen as positives; typical 18–24 month lag from budget to revenue .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 vs Wall Street (S&P Global): Revenue $648.7M vs $621.4M consensus*; non-GAAP EPS $0.50 vs $0.395 consensus*; beats on both metrics . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Q2 2025 guidance vs consensus: Revenue guide $650–$690M vs $668.4M consensus*; EPS guide $0.49–$0.55 vs $0.5225 consensus*; effectively in-line at midpoints. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- AI end-market exposure remains a key upside driver (DCC and Networking) with strong demand signals into Q2; A&D backlog (~$1.55B) underpins visibility and reduces seasonality risk .
- Q1 beat and Q2 guidance in-line at midpoints support the improving earnings power narrative; three consecutive quarters of double-digit non-GAAP operating margins is notable for the cycle .
- Near-term swing factors: Penang ramp (steep but on track to breakeven by end-Q3) and working capital normalization (Q1 cash outflow should revert as receivables timing normalizes) .
- Auto remains a headwind; portfolio mix and A&D/data center strengths should offset, but monitor any tariff-related second-order effects in MII and Auto .
- Policy catalysts: U.S. defense spending trajectory and missile defense initiatives (radar content) align with TTM strengths; Syracuse adds scarce ultra-HDI domestic capacity by mid-2026 .
- Capital allocation: New $100M buyback authorization offers downside support and flexibility alongside solid liquidity (cash $411M at Q1 end) and modest leverage (~1.3x) .
- Non-GAAP policy change (exclude unrealized FX) improves comparability; focus on core operating progress and end-market momentum when assessing earnings quality .
Additional relevant updates post-quarter:
- New RF&S component launches (hybrid couplers, transformers, termination) expand product breadth in Telecom, T&M, and Mil-Aero .
- Founder/Director retirement announcement and corporate governance continuity noted .