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TTM TECHNOLOGIES INC (TTMI)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY25 results are not yet filed as of November 20, 2025; this preview synthesizes the latest reported Q3 FY25 actuals and management’s Q4 guidance ranges to frame expectations .
- Q3 FY25 delivered strong top-line and record non-GAAP EPS, with net sales of $752.7M (+22% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS $0.67, both above the high end of guidance; strength was driven by GenAI demand in Data Center Computing and Networking and robust Aerospace & Defense (A&D) orders .
- Management guides Q4 FY25 revenue to $730–$770M and non-GAAP EPS to $0.64–$0.70, inclusive of Penang start-up costs; SG&A ~8.9% of sales, R&D ~1.0%, tax rate 11–15% underpin the outlook .
- Mix tailwinds (A&D, GenAI-linked data center/networking) offset near-term margin headwinds from Penang start-up (Q3 ~195 bps drag, improving to ~160 bps expected in Q4), with book-to-bill at 1.15 and A&D program backlog at ~$1.46B supporting forward visibility .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Demand/mix: “Revenues grew 22% year on year reflecting continued demand strength in our Data Center Computing and Networking end markets, driven primarily by the requirements of generative AI,” with A&D and MII also growing double-digits; non-GAAP EPS reached a quarterly record $0.67 .
- Cash generation and execution: Adjusted EBITDA margin was 16.1% and operating cash flow was $141.8M (18.8% of sales), supporting measured capacity investments (Penang, Syracuse) .
- Backlog and bookings: Book-to-bill 1.15 overall (Commercial 1.29; A&D 0.99) and A&D backlog ~$1.46B; CEO highlighted that ~80% of Q3 sales tied to A&D and AI-related markets .
What Went Wrong
- Margin headwinds from Penang: Start-up drag was ~195 bps to the bottom line in Q3 (worse than structural baseline but improving from ~210 bps in Q2); expected ~160 bps drag in Q4 .
- Automotive softness: Auto declined YoY on inventory adjustments and soft demand; auto mix fell to 11% in Q3 (vs 14% a year ago) with Q4 expected ~9% .
- Gross margin modestly lower YoY on GAAP/non-GAAP: GAAP gross margin 20.8% (vs 21.1% LY) and non-GAAP 21.5% (vs 22.0% LY), pressured by Penang ramp costs despite volume/mix tailwinds .
Financial Results
Note: Q4 FY25 results are pending; Q3 vs guidance table included for context. All figures USD.
Headline P&L and Margins (YoY and QoQ)
Q3 FY25 Actuals vs. Q3 Guidance (issued with Q2 report)
Q4 FY25 Outlook (Company Guidance)
Segment Breakdown (Sales and Segment Operating Income)
End-Market Mix (% of Sales)
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
Note: Q4 FY25 guidance was first issued with Q3 results; “Change” reflects first issuance for the quarter.
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic positioning: “We delivered another strong quarter with revenues and non-GAAP EPS above the high end of the guided range… demand strength in our Data Center Computing and Networking end markets, driven primarily by the requirements of generative AI… A&D and MII also experienced double-digit year on year revenue growth” — Edwin Roks, CEO .
- Mix and capacity: “Approximately 80% of our total sales in the quarter related to… A&D and AI. We are well positioned in both areas” .
- Technology leadership: “We are demonstrating 87 layers… making really, really good progress… invest a lot more in R&D… to continue to be that top player” .
- Capital deployment and footprint: Cash generation enables “measured investment in facilities expansion” (Penang, second Malaysia site under consideration; Syracuse ultra‑HDI ramp in 2H26) .
Q&A Highlights
- Data center visibility and capacity: Visibility 6–9 months; well-balanced capacity across North America and APAC; #1 in U.S. PCB, ~#6–7 globally; ~#3–4 in data center PCB share .
- Penang impact trajectory: Start-up drag improved to ~195 bps in Q3 from ~210 bps in Q2; expected ~160 bps impact in Q4 as revenue grows and yields improve .
- Layer count/technology roadmap: Demonstrated 87-layer boards; focus on higher density (microvias, pitch), asymmetric designs separating power/signal; increased R&D to maintain leadership .
- U.S. capacity and cost: Eau Claire, WI site reserved for potential U.S. high-volume PCB; even with automation, pricing likely ≥50% higher than China; customer commitment essential .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus from S&P Global (EPS, revenue, EBITDA) for Q4 FY25 could not be retrieved due to a temporary data access limit today; therefore, estimate comparisons are not included. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable at this time.
- As a proxy, Q3 FY25 actuals exceeded company guidance issued with Q2 (Revenue $752.7M vs $690–$730M; non‑GAAP EPS $0.67 vs $0.57–$0.63), highlighting positive execution into the Q4 setup .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix tailwinds remain intact into Q4: AI-driven Data Center/Networking and resilient A&D continue to underpin revenue and margins; management expects DC mix to rise to ~28% in Q4 .
- Margin watch: Penang start-up drag is easing (Q3 ~195 bps; Q4 ~160 bps expected); sustained yield gains are a lever for incremental margin expansion in 2026 .
- Visibility improving: Book-to-bill 1.15 and ~$1.46B A&D backlog provide multi-quarter revenue support, mitigating auto softness .
- Capital optionality: Strong operating cash flow ($141.8M in Q3) supports expansion (Malaysia, Syracuse) and potential M&A in microelectronics/RF while keeping net leverage near 1x .
- Near-term trading setup: With Q4 guided to $730–$770M revenue and $0.64–$0.70 non‑GAAP EPS (inclusive of start-up costs), delivery vs. the high end and updates on Penang yields and DC demand cadence are likely stock catalysts .
- Medium-term thesis: Execution on ultra‑HDI Syracuse (2H26), Malaysia scale-up, and deepening AI/A&D exposure could structurally lift growth and profitability; U.S. capacity (Eau Claire) offers strategic upside pending customer commitments .
Additional Q4 FY25-Timeframe Press Releases
- TTM recognized at IPC CEMAC with two Asia Steering Committee Outstanding Service Awards, underscoring industry leadership and talent depth (Oct 31, 2025) .