Titan International - Q4 2025
February 26, 2026
Transcript
Operator (participant)
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Titan International, Inc. Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants have been placed on a listen-only mode, and we will open the floor to your questions and comments after the presentation. If you need assistance during the call, please press star followed by zero on your telephone keypad. It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to Alan Snyder, Vice President of Financial Planning and Investor Relations for Titan. Mr. Snyder, the floor is now yours.
Alan Snyder (VP of Financial Planning and Investor Relations)
Thank you. Good morning. I'd like to welcome everyone to Titan's fourth quarter 2025 earnings call. On the call with me today are Paul Reitz, Titan's President and CEO, and Tony Eheli, Titan's Senior Vice President and CFO. I will begin with a reminder that the results we are about to review were presented in the earnings release issued this morning, along with our Form 10-K, which was also filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission this morning. As a reminder, during this call, we will be discussing certain forward-looking information, including the company's plans and projections for the future that involve risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that could cause our actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking information.
Additional information concerning factors that either individually or in the aggregate could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements can be found within the safe harbor statement included in the earnings release attached to the company's Form 8-K filed earlier, as well as our latest Form 10-K and Forms 10-Q, all of which have been filed with the SEC. Today's remarks may refer to non-GAAP financial measures, which are intended to supplement, but not be a substitute for, the most directly comparable GAAP measures. The earnings release, which accompanies today's call, contains financial and other quantitative information to be discussed today, as well as the reconciliation of the non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measures. The Q4 earnings release is available on the company's website.
A replay of this presentation, a copy of today's transcript, and the company's latest quarterly investor presentation will all be available soon after the call on Titan's website. I would now like to turn the call over to Paul.
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
Thanks, Alan, and good morning. Before getting into our results, I want to take a moment to congratulate Tony Eheli on his promotion to CFO, having him today on his first earnings call. Tony has been a key member of our management team since joining Titan in March of 2021. Our ability to promote from within our organization is really a major plus and a sign of the talent we have on our team. Therefore, this is making for a seamless transition. I'm really enthusiastic Tony taking charge of CFO and real proud of what he has done at Titan. I also want to thank David for his accomplishments as CFO and note that he is hard at work. He's got a new role as Chief Transformation Officer.
It's great that we have the depth on our team to make this transition, to put David in that CTO role, and believe it will bring value to our shareholders. We look forward to sharing more about David's efforts in coming quarters. Let's turn over our results now and take a look at 2025. We concluded the year with another positive quarter as our Q4 exceeded prior year, excuse me, in revenue, gross margin, and adjusted EBITDA. These results are ahead of our revenue guidance and also better than our adjusted EBITDA expectations.
As I look back at 2025, this was a year where the diversity and breadth of our business from a product and geography standpoint, combined with our new product introductions, our one-stop-shop distribution capabilities, and the strength and commitment of our team, enabled Titan to weather a formidable storm in the ag sector and deal with the evolving trade policies. I'll touch on that point again later in my comments. Broadly speaking, the ag market had a bumpy, tough year. It's really due to a number of factors that were weighing on demand. I do want to note, though, we are optimistic that the resulting OEM finished goods inventory destocking has largely run its course. We've seen that in our internal dealings, and then we've all heard it recently from leadership at OEMs.
While none of the major OEMs are forecasting any meaningful overall ag growth in 2026, we nonetheless think the bottom is behind us as equipment inventories stabilize, equipment keeps running and aging, and the government continues with its support to farmers. We are optimistic that trade policy will get a bit more settled in 2026, and interest rates do look to be holding steady. This all leading to, hopefully, leading buyers to start buying more equipment and feeling confident about their purchase decisions this year. With that being said, we do have guarded optimism for the year. That's illustrated in our guidance that expresses some growth over 2025. Let's start by taking a deeper look into each of our segments, beginning with ag. At a higher level, livestock producers enjoyed a good 2025, while row crop farmers had a more difficult time.
I want to note that because row crop farmers raising commodities such as corn and soybeans are natural buyers of larger horsepower equipment, from tractors to combines and sprayers. Depressed grain prices, higher input costs have weighed on their P&Ls, resulting in a reduction in demand for new equipment. The government programs have been really strong at 25 to support the liquidity and balance sheets of farmers, and that government support is expected to continue, along with hopefully some policy actions to drive biofuels, to provide some tailwinds for the farming sector. Of course, it also bears repeating that as long as those farmers run their equipment, they continue to need replacement tires to keep their tractors rolling. On the other hand, though, you got livestock producers.
They tend to utilize mid-range to smaller equipment. With their operations enjoying better profitability in 25-... The resulting demand for their equipment has fared better than row crop. The net result was the market for smaller equipment performed better than large. Is forecasted to continue on that path again this year. I do want to note that Titan has a strong business in the smaller equipment sector, as we can provide complete wheel tire assemblies to OEMs, that they can simply bolt onto equipment, thus greatly improving their supply chain and inventory management processes. Moving over to the EMC segment, that enters 2026 as our end market with the most optimism. The end markets we serve, such as construction or earthmoving, are generally in a good place right now.
Maybe not the same type of robust growth that we reported in Q4, but they are in good shape nonetheless. Activity in this segment is well supported by infrastructure spend and demand for minerals, which will be a benefit for our aftermarket mining sales. A good portion of our EMC sales are tied to the European construction market, and the EU seems to be prioritizing investment in infrastructure, so our business there is well-positioned. Moving over to the consumer segment, you know, we are optimistic as recent reports from leading power sports equipment OEMs are pointing to dealer inventories having reached a state of equilibrium. That hopefully means any return to demand will drive production and thus a need for tires. I'll also reiterate that aftermarket sales constitute a significant portion of our consumer segment sales, and there's less cyclicality to that part of the business.
It's been an important part of how we've been able to drive continued strong margin results through the cyclical trough this time around. Before I hand it off to Tony, I do want to close with some comments on our business and tariffs. There are a lot of unprecedented global macro issues right now, but I want to emphasize that our end markets are overwhelmingly composed of end buyers that depend on their equipment to make a living. That could be farmers planting and harvesting crops, contractors building roads, miners extracting minerals, or residential landscapers mowing lawns. That all equates to very durable, long-term demand for our products. In the short term, we've seen a lengthy, over 30-month downturn in ag, as end buyers defer purchasing new equipment and move towards a philosophy of new to me in the form of used equipment.
Even when this is the case, the continued usage of existing equipment in all of our segments drives demand for replacement tires, including our LSWs that make used equipment perform better and undercarriage parts that need replaced. At the same time, the equipment, those tires and parts are fitted to continue to experience wear and tear, driving up demand for new replacement equipment at some point. For Titan, that means we can win now and also win later, the way we maximize that opportunity is by continuing to innovate, expand our product line, and stay close to our customers. Finally, regarding tariffs. You know, I've expressed optimism throughout 2025 regarding the long-term benefits to Titan from the implementation of tariffs.
My viewpoint was based on a number of factors. First and foremost, were the 3 favorable rulings that Titan received from the International Trade Commission over the past 15 years. In those cases, the ITC ruled that Titan's primary foreign competitors operated unfairly. We felt confident that was happening. Why we brought the cases forward, and that was deemed to be the case in the rulings in favor of Titan. It is clear to us that the administration was also targeting unfair trading practices with their IEEPA-based tariffs. You know, the implementation of these tariffs in a constantly evolving manner resulted in uncertainty. I know I'm stating the obvious with that. In our industry, there was a surge of imported tires before the tariffs went into effect, especially, we saw that in ag. This story is not unique to Titan.
It is being played out in many industrial companies similar to us. We also saw many of our import tire competitors absorb most of the remaining tariff costs throughout 2025. They've gone on record stating that. In essence, the potential positive impact from the administration's policies were neutralized in our sector during the past year. I want to note, though, we still achieved a solid performance in 2025, despite the volatility caused by tariffs. It does look like that tariff uncertainty is going to continue into 2026, especially given the recent Supreme Court decision. Even so, we still believe that in the long term, tariffs are important to our industry to mitigate unfair trade practices that have taken place for many years. It is becoming more clear that the administration has options to improve trade policy that go beyond tariffs. That includes quotas, embargoes.
These could be useful tools to support U.S. manufacturing as well. Titan has proven for decades, and most recently during the pandemic, the resulting post-pandemic supply chain shock, and now the evolving tariff situation in 2025, that no matter what may happen in the world, we are very well positioned to serve our customers with our geographical footprint, our network of joint ventures and strategic sourcing partners, and our one-stop distribution and dealer network. In closing, I want to reiterate our optimism that we believe 2025 was a trough year, and with that behind us, we are hopeful to continue to make gains and improvements in 2026. With that, I will hand it off to Tony.
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
Thank you, Paul. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us today. I want to take a moment to thank everyone for their well wishes. I am certainly excited to be in the role of CFO. As I have noted in conversations I have had with many of you over the last 2 months, we have an excellent team with a well-developed plan. As Paul noted, our results for the fourth quarter were solid, with revenues at the top of our guidance range and adjusted EBITDA a bit better than we predicted. There are some important financial metrics to highlight this quarter. Sales grew 7% year-over-year. EMC segment sales were a particularly bright spot, growing 21%. Gross margins expanded modestly to 10.9%. Adjusted EBITDA grew 17% to $11 million.
Unpacking our business by segments, I'll start with EMC as it was our best performer. Segment revenues were up 21% from a particularly weak fourth quarter last year to $141 million. Globally, construction and mining continued to be active end markets, underpinning demand for both new equipment and replacement parts. Geographically, the growth was strong in Europe, which is the largest market for the segment sales. The US also delivered solid growth from OE demand in light construction products. The EMC segment also enjoyed a nice contribution from foreign currency translation, which added 5.6% to the relative performance. As a reminder, a significant portion of our EMC revenues are in markets outside the US, so a weakening dollar can be a tailwind for the segment.
Ag segment revenues were up 2.6% from prior year, driven by FX tailwinds, which had a positive impact on the segment, adding 3.3%. Digging a bit deeper into the Ag segment in the U.S., we are starting to see some variability in demand and volumes as a function of equipment size. Through 2025, much attention was given to the struggles of corn and soybean farmers and how that weighed on demand for larger tractors and combines. Farmers raising livestock had a good 2025, and their finances in a better position on the whole. Demand for meat and small-sized equipment suited to the operations fared better. Our Ag business in Brazil saw activity moderate a bit after being a source of strength in late 2024 and the first part of 2025.
Broadly, farmers in Brazil are contending with higher input costs and high interest rates, coupled with declining market prices for their grains. An upcoming election cycle is also weighing on demand there as people wait for clarity on policy direction. Lastly, in consumer, Q4 revenues were off 1.5% from the prior year, as activity was generally slow in the non-specialty part of the segment, while the specialty business held up well. Entering 2026, recent commentary from leading off-road vehicle OEMs has pointed to dealer inventories being at desired levels. With that, a resumption of end market demand should flow through to demand for manufacturing inputs as wheels and tires. At the same time, we don't see any reason to expect a decline in usage, thereby supporting solid aftermarket higher demand.
After all, people will still need to mow their lawns, and off-road enthusiasts will still need to ride their ATVs. Looking at margins by segment in the quarter, EMC showed nice expansion as revenue growth allowed for better fixed cost leverage. EMC gross margin in Q4 was 9.3% versus 5.9% in the prior year. Our gross margin was level to prior year at 9.1%. Consumer gross margin slipped to 15.6%, compared with 18.1%. The year-over-year decline in the consumer gross margin was due primarily to the product mix and reduced leverage.
Moving on, our SG&A including R&D expenses for the fourth quarter of 2025 were $52 million, $52.8 million, compared to $55.7 million for the comparable period in the prior year, primarily due to lower legal costs, benefits, and insurance costs. For the full year 2025, excluding the impact of the additional two months of the Carlstar acquisition, SG&A, including R&D expenses, increased under $1 million or just 0.3% year-over-year. Operating cash flow in the fourth quarter was $13 million, while CapEx was $18 million. For the full year, CapEx was just below $55 million and down substantially from $66 million in 2024. Q4 free cash flow was negative $5 million and was comparable to prior year.
We ended the year with net debt of $383 million and a leverage ratio of 3.8 times. Managing working capital and CapEx will continue to be a key priority in 2026. During the quarter, we recorded valuation allowances against certain deferred tax assets totaling $40 million. While our long-term strategy and market outlook remain positive, recent cumulative losses and market conditions have required us to have a more conservative view on our accounting guidance. We have commented on our taxes in recent quarters, I'll reiterate that as we see a rebound in market conditions, we expect to get back to normalized tax rate levels. We anticipate taxes in Q1 2026 to be in the $4 billion-$5 billion range, similar to Q1 2025.
On tariffs, as Paul noted, we believe that well-implemented tariffs in the long run are a benefit to Titan, and the recent approach to implementing tariffs has not been beneficial to Titan. However, we have still managed through this and protected our bottom line from the impact over the past year by taking appropriate actions to mitigate tariff costs amidst the frequent changes. We expect that our multi-sourcing strategy will continue to provide a competitive advantage as we manage through the fluid nature of the tariff policy. Moving on to our financial guidance for Q1 2026. Our guidance for the quarter is, revenues of $490 million-$510 million, an adjusted EBITDA of $28 million-$33 million. Both of those ranges imply relatively flat performance compared with last year's Q1.
We are reintroducing fiscal year guidance for 2026, as we believe we have reached a trough in most of our markets. Revenues of $1.85 billion-$1.95 billion, an adjusted EBITDA of $105 million-$150 million. This guidance range is reflective of improvement compared to 2025 on both the top and bottom line. We are confident our sectors are starting to move past the cyclical trough. The extensive destocking we saw across our end markets have supply chains fairly tight, and this gives us some optimism that an uptick in end market demand will flow through to us. Thank you for your time this morning. We would now like to turn it back over to the operator for the Q&A session.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. If you wish to ask a question, please press star followed by one on your telephone keypad now. If you feel your question has been answered or for any reason you would like to remove yourself from the queue, please press star followed by two. When preparing to ask your question, please ensure your device is unmuted locally. Our first question comes from Mike Shlisky from D.A. Davidson. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Mike Shlisky (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Good morning, and thanks for taking my questions here. Tony, I appreciate your comments here on the guidance for 2026. Could you give us maybe some just broad directional thoughts on each segment's top line and bottom line? It just seems like in the last quarter, we had such a different, you know, different direction and trajectory between construction and consumer. I'd be curious if you'd give us some broadly, who's gonna outperform, who's gonna underperform from a segment perspective in 2026.
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
Good. Thanks, Mike. Yes, you know, by segment, you know, like we saw in Q4, EMC was the outperforming segment. We expect that to continue into 2026. Ag, we expect to be flattish, and that's because while we see improvement in small ag, we are yet to see that improvement in large ag. Then for our consumer segment, we also expect improvements, but on a lesser note relative to EMC, and that's on the top line. Bottom line, we expect improvements in both EMC and consumer. On the ag side, we see more OE pricing pressure there, so that will not have as much improvement as the other segments would.
Mike Shlisky (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Outstanding. Thanks. Just looking at the ag segment on a quarterly cadence basis, you've been positive for a few quarters now in ag. Would you say that ag will have a better second half compared to the first? That's where the OEMs are kind of pointing. You know, perhaps there's positive but relatively low growth rates the first two quarters and some better growth in the back half of the year. Is that the right way to look at it for ag for 2026?
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
Yeah, that's right. You're right on that, Mike. We expect the first half of the year really to, you know, to be somewhat what we're seeing already, flattish. Later in the year, we're expecting growth, we're expecting some recovery given what the OEs are saying. That's been hopeful that we will see some recovery on the large ag front.
Mike Shlisky (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Great. Lastly, I wanted to inquire about the South America JV and the situation in South America broadly. We've heard some mixed comments on the OEMs. You've got a JV rolling out. Just some thoughts as to how that's been going from your perspective and from a broader market perspective. Thanks.
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
Yeah. No, it's a good question, Mike, on Brazil and South America generally. I mean, Brazil gets all the conversation.
... the emphasis they have on ag. You know, the political turmoil, I would say is kind of front and center there when you talk to the Brazilians. It's unfortunate they lived through way too much of that, and it's coming to life again. You know, we have seen the OEMs pull back on their production schedules to start the year, coming off a really strong 25, as Tony noted in his comments. We're watching that closely, but from Titan's perspective, I mean, the JV's given us that boost of additional confidence and strength in the marketplace. You know, our strategy that we've seen play out very successfully for decades in North America with the wheel tire combination, is what we're replicating in Brazil.
It's obviously early days of that, but, you know, the teams on both sides are really in a good position within the marketplace. It's how do we capitalize on the strength of our two positions together? You know, we're starting to see some of that come together. I think it's something that will play itself out more in the back half of the year. You know, again, in the early parts of the year with the market conditions, you know, what we don't believe in is using price as a weapon to go chase volume. We have too good of businesses, again, in both wheels and tires there to do that, but we are seeing the, you know, the wheel business gain some momentum by being associated with Titan.
Certainly the OEMs, you know, like that, the position that we bring to them. We'll give you more updates on that as the year progresses, but, you know, feel really good about where we're at. Just to note, I mean, we have these two companies, you know, us and Rodar, have known each other for a number of years, so these aren't two strangers that just decided to form a joint venture and a partnership. We've been working together for a number of years, so great to see it be formalized into a joint venture.
Alan Snyder (VP of Financial Planning and Investor Relations)
Thank you.
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
Thanks, Mike.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Our next question comes from Derek Soderberg, from Cantor Fitzgerald. Your line is now open, please go ahead.
Derek Soderberg (Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Yeah. Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the questions. Just wanted to start on consumer gross margin. I'm wondering how we should think about gross margin for that segment in 2026. I don't know if you can talk about some levers you can pull on, you know, this year, to bring that margin back up.
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
Thanks for that question. We're expecting some improvement in the gross margin for consumer, as I had mentioned earlier. We are also... You know, when we need new business, the initiatives we're driving, that we know would improve the margin. Yeah, it will be some incremental margin, something reasonable, you know, but we expect it to stay in that, in a decent range of where it's been, with some improvement there.
Derek Soderberg (Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Got it. Just in the EMC segment, you know, performing pretty well. Can you sort of detail which specific end markets and geographies you expect to sort of perform well in 2026? Just talk about kind of what's going on there and what we should expect for this year.
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
From an EMC standpoint, as you will recall, Europe is a big piece of our business in EMC, the construction there is driven by infrastructure, we will be seeing a lot of good performance there from our Europe business. Like I also said, also in North America and the U.S., we've seen light construction as well, that's also improving as well. It's across our geographies that we're seeing this positive momentum on EMC. With the exception-
Derek Soderberg (Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Got it.
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
... of Brazil, which we've heard things about in Latin America and, you know, the elections coming up in Brazil and all that. Maybe not so much. They've had such a wonderful year in the last year was really solid in Brazil. Things have softened a bit there. Outside of Brazil, we're expecting that growth to be across the regions.
Derek Soderberg (Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Got it. That's super helpful. Just one quick final question. Just anything we should be looking out for on the R&D front this year? Where's sort of the priority when you look at the product portfolio? Anything you're working on to sort of capture additional aftermarket share, you know, adding to, you know, some new technologies? Anything on the R&D front that you guys are prioritizing this year? Thanks.
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
Yeah, Derek, I mean, it's become really the backbone of who we are. You know, even circling back to your question on consumer margins, you know, one of the ways we have added value to the Carlstar acquisition, which we now call our specialty division, is by bringing innovation into play. We have significantly increased the amount of new products that they've introduced. We're putting the Goodyear brand on a number of products in that segment, when we do that, we're increasing margins. Part of the, our levers that we're pulling for the margin improvements in consumer are really through the product innovations and R&D.
Tying that together to your question, you know, we're looking at 15% of our 2026 sales are gonna come from new products that we've introduced in the past three years. Again, this is the backbone of who we are. Where we see that coming into play, we encourage it to be across all of our business. You know, we got a new Titan forestry line coming out to continue to innovate with deep drop wheels. Our ACES brand, we continue to launch and develop further. Have a really cool VPO product that can run without air in the, in the outdoor power equipment segment. You're competing with airless tires there at a much lower price point. Again, as I mentioned earlier, what we can do with just our branding is adds value.
Every time we put a new product into the marketplace, it makes equipment perform better. It's a win for the end user, and a lot of times we can do redesigns that improve the efficiency and the operations in the construction of those products as well. You know, again, if, you know, 15% of our sales in 2026 are coming from R&D, we don't look to have to spend more to achieve that. I think the run rate you saw in 2025 is where we'll be. You know, again, just in that consumer segment, what we can bring to that acquisition, it, you know, another year behind us will just continue to improve the strength of that business through our R&D efforts.
Derek Soderberg (Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Very helpful. Thanks, guys.
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
Thanks, Derek.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Our next question comes from Steve Ferazani from Sidoti. The line is now open. Please go ahead.
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Morning, everyone, and welcome to the call. Tony, I look forward to further conversations with you. Paul, the striking number to me was the real strength in EMC this quarter. I think we discussed this last quarter with the expectation that there might be divergent paths, but even with that fact, still surprised by how strong and the seasonally slower. How quickly were you able to meet demand, given we didn't see the normal downturn? If you could just generally give some color around that. I know so much of that's your European undercarriage business. If you can sort of break that out for us, how quickly you're able to meet demand and where you really saw it.
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
Yeah, I mean, it's one of the challenges that we have throughout 25, but it's also the strength of Titan. That when demand surges, business gets complex and chaotic, we do well. That's how we, you know, I kind of mentioned that some of my comments during these periods we've seen over the last 5 years. You know, I continue to believe, and we continue to see that's a strength of ours. When demand surges like it did, you know, as Tony mentioned, with EMC in Europe, our aftermarket mining business, you know, continues to perform well. As demand surges, which you could say with EMC, was at a lower level in the prior year.
We made the comments about, you know, the run rate going into 26, maybe Q4 isn't indicative of that, but nonetheless, it's still in a very good position. You know, to answer your question, Steve, I mean, I expect our team to be able to handle surges, and our customers count on us. That's the out-outline strategy of who we are. We need to stay close to our customers and continue to be able to service them. Part of that is an environment where forecasts are tough to necessarily get accurate all the time. We can't expect them to be, and so we need to be there when our customers step up.
In a quarter like that, where you do see a big surge in EMC, I think that points to the strength of Titan, how we can take care of our customers. We don't turn away from that business, we don't run from it. We figure out how to get it done. And that's how we approach going into 2026. I think you're gonna see fits and starts of pockets that are gonna outperform, you're gonna see some that are still stuck. We don't sit still when those outperformance opportunities come. That's again, what we continue to do. That's who we are, and that's what we must continue to be.
I think EMC is a really good example of that, you know, coming off a lower level, we saw a nice surge in 2025 and, you know, again, as Tony said, see that as a really good growth opportunity to continue in 2026.
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Excellent. That's helpful. The operator had cut me off for a little bit, so I apologize if these questions were asked when I was cut off. On the consumer segment, you noted the softer margins, and it seems like it was even lower than what we would expect on throughput. I know you have that rubber mixing business thrown in there, and that can be lumpy. Did we see an impact in Q4 that might be one time, given the lumpiness on rubber mixing, or was this something else?
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
Yeah, Steve, that's right. The rubber mixing business, that was the impact we saw in Q4, that impacted the margins. We had very good margins in that business. The volumes were down in that business, and that was the impact we saw. You're right, it's one-off. It's happened, and so, we move on from there. We expect the other parts of our business to be accretive in margin, in terms of margins, that's why we expect improvement going forward.
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Was that a lumpiness issue or a loss of business issue that may not come back?
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
Yeah, it's a unpredictable business. We don't necessarily have contracts in how we service that marketplace, you know, I don't think it's as their volumes go down, we lose that business. But actually, there was just an article a couple of weeks ago in the, in one of the trade rags that, you know, talked about our custom mixing business, we have a lot of strengths. We need to kind of reposition that in the marketplace to win back that business. To answer your question, Steve, it's not like it's not like we lose it just goes away.
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Right.
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
because of the volumes of the customers
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Yeah
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
going down, and so that's why it is lumpy. We got some.
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Okay.
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
Hopeful trends we're starting to see in 2026 that hopefully will materialize.
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Got it. Thanks, that's helpful. Just on I don't know if you provided it, I missed it, CapEx guidance for 2026. Given your EBITDA guide's a little bit better, do you have hope that you can be cash flow break even, or would that be a little too early for 2026?
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
You know, we continue to drive and strive for improvement in our cash flow. Getting to a break even, just given the moderate top line that we're expecting to see, and the requirements for working capital, I think it may be a little bit of a stretch to say, you know, would exactly get there, but we expect an improvement.
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Right.
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
From $25.
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Okay, what is your expectation for CapEx in 2026? I'm sorry if I missed it.
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
$55 million.
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Okay. Okay.
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
That's-
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
What is maintenance CapEx now for you? What do you consider maintenance CapEx for you now?
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
It's somewhere in the $30 million-$35 million range.
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Okay. the additional investments are going where?
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
Right, we are having some growth investment initiatives, new products.
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Yeah.
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
support new products to support our plant efficiencies as well. We're also investing in those areas, so those are critical areas that we believe we have to invest in, so that when the market comes back...
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Yeah
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
We'll take advantage of it.
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Makes sense. Makes sense. Paul, any color on, I always like to ask you know, what should we be looking for to see a stronger recovery in ag? Is it continued focus on crop prices when we see them move, that's when we can expect your business to pick up? Is that reasonable or any different, any changes?
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
Yeah. It is reasonable, but, you know, kind of looking through that a little bit, you know, input costs moderating, I think that's been a little bit of a surprise.
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Yeah
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
To everybody, how input costs remain elevated. Looking at, you know, the amount of crops that get put into storage is a big driver for obviously pricing. Some favorable trends in inventory and equipment aging, as we've talked about.
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Yep
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
I think that's all coming together, Steve, I really do, as you've heard from others. It's been a tough downturn when you look at the length and the duration of it. You know, we remain prepared to adjust as needed when that uptick comes. Yeah, I think, and I think you're right. I think the government support, though, I got one more thought, though. I mean, government support and kind of the timing of it, has made it a little bit confusing to start this year. You know, what maybe-
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Yeah
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
... Thought was gonna come last year, isn't coming to this year. Hopefully we get all this stuff behind us, get some moderation, and, you know, farmers start putting a little more money in their pocket, as they should be. Whether it come from government support, input prices coming down, input costs coming down or prices going up. You know, I certainly believe that, you know, the trough is here and behind us and, you know, some brighter days ahead.
Steve Ferazani (Senior Equity Analyst of Diversified Industrials and Energy)
Yep. Excellent. Good news. Thanks so much, Paul. Thanks, Tony.
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
Thanks, Steve.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Our next question comes from Kirk Ludtke, from Imperial Capital. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Kirk Ludtke (Managing Director)
Hello, Paul, Tony, Alan, thank you for the call.
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
Hey, good morning.
Kirk Ludtke (Managing Director)
Tony, on the guidance, can you maybe give us a little color as to how, what you've assumed for Brazil? Is it at least maybe just directionally up, down, sideways?
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
Yeah, Brazil, on the guidance, that's going to be somewhat flattish. From a quarterly perspective, you know, at the earlier part of the year, it's going to be softer, but we expect it to come back in the latter part of the year.
Kirk Ludtke (Managing Director)
Got it. Thank you. I missed the cash taxes for the full year.
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
$20 million.
Kirk Ludtke (Managing Director)
$20 million for 25, or 26 rather?
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
Yes, similar to 25.
Kirk Ludtke (Managing Director)
Got it. Thank you. working capital source or use, sounds like it might be a use?
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
Yeah, well, because when we think about growth, especially in the latter part of the year, Q4, you know, you think about inventory, and your inventory you carry at the end of the year is actually towards the subsequent period, the prospective period. If our customers are saying, you know, this is their trough year, which means there should be growth in 27 for them, we expect to be carrying a little bit more working capital at the end of the year to support that growth next year.
Kirk Ludtke (Managing Director)
Got it.
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
Amidst that, we're still going to manage through for efficiency.
Kirk Ludtke (Managing Director)
Got it. Thank you. You may have mentioned this, but which businesses did you take on the tax allowances for?
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
Two took bits of our business, the U.S. and our Luxembourg business. Luxembourg is actually the holding company in Europe for us. The U.S., like, you know, it's primarily because we carry the debt in the U.S., the main debt in the U.S., that's been the situation with the U.S.
Kirk Ludtke (Managing Director)
It, it's across all the business segments?
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
No, it's not across business segments. Like, you know, like I said, it's primarily, first of all, interest debt-driven, the cost we have in the U.S., and so that's the big piece of it. Not really in the businesses.
Kirk Ludtke (Managing Director)
Okay. Okay.
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
All our-
Kirk Ludtke (Managing Director)
I appreciate. Thank you.
Tony Eheli (SVP and CFO)
All our businesses run...
Kirk Ludtke (Managing Director)
Yeah. Okay.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. As a final reminder, if you did wish to ask a question on today's call, please press star followed by one on your telephone keypads now. That is star followed by one to ask a question. We have our next question from Alexander Blanton from Clear Harbor Asset Management. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Alexander Blanton (Senior Analyst)
Well, good morning. Paul, you talked earlier about the tariff situation in terms of the tariffs that are charged on foreign competitors who are dumping product into the U.S. I would like to ask about the... These are input costs that you mentioned being up. How much of those input costs or tariffs that are charged to you on imported raw materials, if any?
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
Yeah, the answer to that, Alex, has a lot of different dimensions, so let me try to streamline the thoughts in my head and give you a concise answer to that. I mean, first, my points about our past with the ITC and understanding unfair practices is just to illustrate that this has been going on in our industry for 15 years, and we have cases that have been brought in front of the commission that prove that our industry has unfair practices. Our basis for supporting tariffs is really grounded in facts that have gone in front of a panel of judges and proved to be the case.
We look at it from the overarching premise of that, along with a diversified business that can take care of our customers, and we got to be well positioned for whatever goes on in the world, and we've done a good job with that. In 25, to get to your question, what we saw is that the chaotic nature of how tariffs were implemented creates a lot of discrepancies on the cost or the prices of raw materials and other inputs that goes into our products based upon where you are in the world. That at a high level, what we read in the media is one thing, and what takes place in the real world is something different. Meaning there's ways to get around tariffs, depending on how you switch the location of a company, how you label a product.
We really don't always get clear indication of what a cost is gonna be, so it gets difficult to price. We do believe we have good pricing power in the marketplace. I think that's supported in the margins in the report, the financials we reported for 2025. My point is the tariffs were very chaotic, not just in the things that you see with the implementation of the tariffs, but how that impacts raw materials, getting to your questions. You know, the price of steel, for example, it used to be a commodity that had more consistent pricing on a global basis. Now, clearly with tariffs, pricing of steel is all over the map, and there's no guarantee that the steel getting to the U.S. is going to face a consistent tariff.
Regardless of what the administration tries to say, that is not reality. There are ways to avoid tariffs, and we have seen that. We've seen our competitors admit to that. You know, we have to just stay close to the marketplace, understanding what is going on in the market, the needs of our customers, price our products accordingly, and at the end of the day, have a strategy that can be diverse, it can be fluid, and it can take care of our customers. I do believe that the Supreme Court ruling, will make the tariffs more stable as far as the nature of how they are implemented.
We do look forward to a day that, you know, that we can, we can answer your question a little easier as far as what the input costs are for the raw materials. Right now, that is something that the tariffs had a pretty significant impact on. Again, you don't read about that in the media because a lot of the, what we call manufacturing in the U.S., is just assembly of finished goods or components, and there's less converting raw materials into finished goods like Titan and other, you know, industrial companies do.
you know, again, it's been a, it's been a chaotic period of 25 with the tariffs, but my closing thought on it, like I said in my prepared comments, is, you know, Titan team has done a really good job handling that. We have a good strategy to get through that, and I think the results are indicative of that.
Alexander Blanton (Senior Analyst)
Well, 2 of your customers, Caterpillar and Deere, both have published, an estimate of what the full year 2025 tariff.
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
Those, they're assemblers, Alex. Alex, it's what I just said.
Alexander Blanton (Senior Analyst)
Yeah.
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
They're assemblers. They're assemblers.
Alexander Blanton (Senior Analyst)
Right, but-
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
They're assemblers.
Alexander Blanton (Senior Analyst)
Yeah.
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
They don't convert raw materials into finished goods. They're assemblers that assemble components and sell it to their dealer network. We are not that.
Alexander Blanton (Senior Analyst)
Right, I was just thinking, have you a similar number? What's the impact on your earnings of the tariffs on, that you're paying on imported goods?
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
Right. Yeah, that.
Alexander Blanton (Senior Analyst)
Yeah.
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
The nature of our company is different than that. No, but just stop for a second. They assemble components, so they pay a price for a component, and they know what that component costs and what the tariffs were. We are buying raw materials of all different natures, from synthetic to natural rubber, to chemicals, to carbon black, to steel, to all different forms of steel. We're doing that on a global basis in different currencies. So us being able to quantify it like Deere and Caterpillar do, it's a completely different business. You know, not to mention, we're not the size of them. I need my financial team focused on how to make our business perform better and take care of customers.
What we look at is, what is the pricing in the marketplace, and how can we make sure we have enough pricing power? That's how we look at it. Again, we are converting raw materials all over the world on a given daily basis, thousands of different SKUs being produced and hundreds of different raw materials being put into those SKUs. We're not buying finished components and assembling them together.
Alexander Blanton (Senior Analyst)
Right.
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
They're two different business models. In the U.S., in the U.S., we have a tendency to read all the headlines from those companies and think that's manufacturing. That's assembling, that's not manufacturing. They're not converting raw materials.
Alexander Blanton (Senior Analyst)
Okay, thank you very much.
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
Yeah, you bet, Alex.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. We currently have no further questions, so I'll hand it back to Mr. Paul Reitz for closing remarks.
Paul Reitz (President and CEO)
You bet. Well, thank you, everybody, for your participation in today's call. I want to end by thanking the Titan team for the strong performance in 25 and, where we look to be going in 26. Thanks again, everybody.
Operator (participant)
This concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect your line.
