US
Unity Software Inc. (U)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 revenue and adjusted EPS beat consensus: revenue $470.6M vs $453.1M estimate (+3.9%), adjusted EPS $0.20 vs $0.17 estimate; strength driven by Unity Vector AI and broad-based Grow performance *. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Adjusted EBITDA $109.5M (23% margin) and free cash flow $151.3M, each up year over year; GAAP net loss was $(126.8)M with a (27)% margin .
- Guidance: Q4 2025 revenue $480–$490M and adjusted EBITDA $110–$115M; Grow expected mid-single digit sequential growth, Create high-single digit YoY growth ex non-strategic revenue .
- Strategic catalysts: Vector AI delivered 11% QoQ lift in Grow in Q3; new native cross‑platform commerce (Stripe partnership) and day‑one Android XR support broaden monetization and platform reach .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Vector AI accelerated Grow: “we added $30 million of high margin incremental Grow revenue on a sequential basis…driven by the exceptional performance of Vector” and Grow revenue rose to $318M (+11% QoQ, +6% YoY) .
- Create subscription strength and pricing: Create revenue $152M (+3% YoY) with “ARPU improvements from ongoing price increases and continued momentum in China” .
- Cash generation inflecting: record free cash flow $151.3M and net cash from operations $155.4M; management expects high conversion of adjusted EBITDA to FCF to continue .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP losses persist: Q3 GAAP net loss $(126.8)M and GAAP diluted EPS $(0.30), with net loss margin (27)% despite non‑GAAP improvements .
- Cost of revenue up with compute: GAAP cost of revenue $120.3M (26% of revenue), reflecting computational intensity; management noted cloud costs are second‑largest and rose alongside Grow scale .
- Non‑strategic revenue headwinds: Create consumption/pro services remain a drag vs subscription gains; management continues to lap prior non‑strategic items and large Q2 deal (one‑time license) .
Financial Results
Segment revenue
Liquidity KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We added $30 million of high margin incremental Grow revenue on a sequential basis…revenue upside compared to our guidance was driven by the exceptional performance of Vector” — CFO .
- “After backing out non‑strategic revenue, our Create subscription software business increased 13% year over year…ARPU improvements from ongoing price increases and continued momentum in China” — CFO .
- “Vector will keep learning…enhanced by highly differentiated behavioral data available through our runtime, which should begin having a financial impact in 2026” — CEO .
- “We launched native, cross‑platform commerce…developers manage their entire global commerce and catalog…with Stripe” — Company press release .
- “Cloud costs…are the second largest cost…we are able to make that consumption of compute much more efficient…unit prices reducing over time” — CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Grow guide and seasonality: Management guided mid‑single digit QoQ Grow despite +11% QoQ in Q3, citing run‑rate, seasonality, and ongoing model improvements; reiterated long‑term Vector momentum .
- Vector breadth and competitiveness: “Vector is really competitive across all platforms” and bidding broadly across mediation solutions .
- China geography mix: Revenue growth broadly across Create and Grow; Chinese publishers using Unity for global UA; China improved from ~15% to ~20% of revenue YoY per management commentary .
- Commerce economics: Developers recapture margins with cross‑platform payments, redeploying into ROAS‑positive UA; Unity collects modest merchant fee; bigger aim is ecosystem value and future commerce products .
- Compute scaling: Cloud costs can rise with scale but efficiency gains and commoditization of compute layers expected to lower cost to serve over time .
Estimates Context
- Q4 2025 consensus revenue $489.082M* vs company guidance $480–$490M (midpoint $485M), implying guidance ranges around Street levels *.
- Consensus target price $43.04*.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Vector AI is the principal growth engine: +11% QoQ Grow and broad‑based performance suggest continued share gains and advertiser spend scaling into Q4 and 2026 .
- Create subscription health plus pricing drives stability: YoY Create growth ex non‑strategic and ARPU improvements provide cushion against consumption/professional services headwinds .
- Cash dynamics improving: record FCF $151.3M and $1.91B cash balance enhance flexibility for product investment and debt management; expect high EBITDA‑to‑FCF conversion to persist .
- Near‑term margin puts/takes: Q4 includes UNITE conference and sales accelerators; cloud costs scale with Grow but efficiency initiatives should support margin stability .
- New monetization vectors: native cross‑platform commerce and Audience Hub expand TAM beyond gaming; optionality in programmatic and XR platforms could become incremental growth levers over 2026+ .
- Guidance aligns with Street: Q4 revenue $480–$490M and adjusted EBITDA $110–$115M bracket consensus, with upside tied to continued Vector momentum and Create subscription durability *.
- Watch China momentum and data runway: China contribution rising and runtime/data initiatives expected to be financial tailwinds beginning in 2026, reinforcing medium‑term thesis .