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Uber Technologies, Inc (UBER)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Strong quarter with double-digit top-line and profit growth: revenue +14% YoY to $11.53B, Gross Bookings +14% to $42.82B, and Adjusted EBITDA +35% to $1.87B with margin expanding to 4.4% of GB . EPS printed $0.83 on $1.78B GAAP net income, aided by a $51M net investment revaluation benefit .
- Mixed vs estimates: revenue was slightly below consensus ($11.53B vs $11.62B), but EPS significantly beat ($0.83 vs $0.50 consensus). Company Adjusted EBITDA exceeded S&P’s standardized EBITDA consensus framework; note methodological differences (see Estimates Context) (Values retrieved from S&P Global) .
- Q2 guide constructive: Gross Bookings $45.75–$47.25B (CC +16–20%) and Adjusted EBITDA $2.02–$2.12B, despite ~1.5ppt FX headwind to reported growth .
- Key catalysts: moderation in U.S. insurance costs enabling better affordability, continued Delivery margin expansion (ads, scale leverage), and rapid AV partnership momentum (Waymo utilization in Austin; new AV partnerships announced) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Profitable growth at scale: Income from operations surged to $1.23B; Adjusted EBITDA rose 35% YoY to $1.87B with margin up to 4.4% of GB . CEO: “yet another quarter of profitable growth at scale” .
- Delivery profitability tailwinds: Delivery Adjusted EBITDA +45% YoY to $763M; CFO cited advertising and scale leverage; incremental Delivery margins of 9% in Q1 .
- AV execution and utilization: Waymo vehicles in Austin exhibiting very high utilization; five AV partnerships announced across regions (e.g., May Mobility, WeRide expansion) .
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What Went Wrong
- Slight revenue miss vs consensus: $11.53B actual vs $11.62B consensus; Freight trends remained soft (GB and revenue down ~2% YoY) (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
- Pricing/mix softened GB per trip: Trip growth outpaced GB growth as affordability initiatives and international mix weighed on GB per trip; offset by volume and margin accretion .
- Insurance still a headwind (though moderating): CFO expects high-single-digit insurance cost growth in 2025, lower than prior years; policy reform still work-in-progress (e.g., Georgia tort reform awaiting signature) .
Financial Results
Consolidated metrics (oldest → newest)
Segment breakdown (Revenue $B)
Segment breakdown (Gross Bookings $B)
KPIs and margin mix
Estimate comparison (Q1 2025)
- Revenue: $11.53B actual vs $11.62B consensus (miss) .
- EPS: $0.83 diluted EPS vs $0.50 Primary EPS consensus (beat).
- EBITDA: Company Adjusted EBITDA $1.87B vs S&P standardized EBITDA consensus ~$1.84B; S&P “actual” EBITDA shows ~$1.41B due to differing definitions. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
No explicit guidance was provided for revenue, GAAP EPS, OpEx, OI&E, tax rate, or dividends in the materials reviewed .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on profitable growth and AV momentum: “We kicked off the year with yet another quarter of profitable growth at scale… five new autonomous vehicle announcements in just the last week.”
- CFO on cash flow and discipline: “We delivered over $2 billion of quarterly free cash flow… focused on disciplined capital allocation… on track to deliver against our multiyear plan.”
- CEO on AV utilization: “The average Waymo in Austin is busier than 99% of Austin drivers… very high utilization” .
- CFO on insurance: “We… overestimated it. CPI print for March was… 7% YoY… expect [U.S. mobility] to be a very modest headwind of high single digits through 2025” .
Q&A Highlights
- Affordability and elasticity: Lower insurance costs allowed moderated pricing; elasticity in line with history; mix shift to international/travel affected price/mix .
- Delivery margin drivers: Ads and scale driving 70 bps YoY margin expansion to 3.7% of GB; grocery/retail turning accretive on variable contribution; 9% incremental margin in Q1 .
- Sparse markets and growth: Sparse markets now ~20% of Mobility trips, growing faster than core; margin profiles converge post-investment; hundreds of new city launches planned in 2025 .
- AV roadmap: Multi-partner strategy; software stacks shifting to large transformer models and more hardware-agnostic approaches; expansion in U.S. and internationally via partners (Waymo, May Mobility, WeRide, others) .
- Macro and competition: Macro signals stable; U.S. competition steady; strength in Europe (Eats #1 in UK achieved organically) .
Estimates Context
Notes:
- S&P “Primary EPS” vs reported diluted EPS can differ but directional beat is clear in Q1. S&P “EBITDA” is a standardized construct and is lower than company-reported Adjusted EBITDA due to treatment of items excluded by the company (see reconciliation) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Profit flywheel strengthening: sustained double-digit trip/GB growth with margin expansion to 4.4% of GB and $2.25B FCF in a seasonally soft quarter supports durable cash generation .
- Delivery monetization runway: advertising and scale leverage continue to expand margins; grocery/retail turning accretive suggests further multi-year upside .
- Insurance backdrop improving: moderating headwinds enable affordability, supporting frequency and engagement without sacrificing margins .
- AV optionality building: high utilization in Austin and multiple new AV partnerships position Uber to benefit from autonomy supply as it scales across geographies .
- Q2 guide constructive despite FX: GB $45.75–$47.25B and Adj. EBITDA $2.02–$2.12B indicate continued profitable growth; watch FX headwind (~1.5ppt) and mix effects .
- Freight remains a drag but manageable: continued softness relative to Mobility/Delivery; limited near-term catalyst in the materials reviewed .
- Estimate implications: modest revenue trim possible (mix/affordability), but EPS/EBITDA trajectory remains solid given margin levers; mind definitional differences between S&P EBITDA and company Adjusted EBITDA (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
Appendix: Additional Detail
Selected non-GAAP reconciliation items (Q1 2025)
- Adjusted EBITDA reconciling items include D&A ($171M), SBC ($435M), and legal/tax/regulatory reserve changes ($28M), among others .
- Net income included a $51M pre-tax net benefit from equity investment revaluations; Q1 2024 had a $721M headwind for context .
Operational and liquidity
- OCF $2.32B; FCF $2.25B; unrestricted cash and ST investments $6.0B at quarter end .
All cited figures are from Uber’s Q1 2025 8-K and press release, Q1 2025 earnings call, and prior quarter press releases as noted.