UC
UNISYS CORP (UIS)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 revenue was $545.4M, down 2.2% YoY (down 1.5% cc), while non-GAAP operating margin was 11.6%; full-year 2024 non-GAAP operating margin of 8.8% exceeded the top end of raised guidance .
- License & Support (L&S) revenue rose 5.1% YoY in Q4 to $151.7M and was $431.5M for FY24; management raised L&S expectations to ~$390M in 2025 and ~$400M in 2026, with ~70% gross margin .
- Free cash flow improved sharply: Q4 FCF was $55.7M and FY24 FCF $55.3M (vs -$4.5M in FY23), aided by lower pension contributions and legal settlements; pre-pension FCF reached $82.4M in FY24 with ~$100M targeted for 2025 .
- Stock reaction catalyst: narrative focuses on sustained Ex‑L&S margin expansion, stronger L&S consumption/renewals, and 2025 guidance calling for 0.5%–2.5% cc revenue growth and 6.5%–8.5% non-GAAP operating margin—paired with back-half weighted L&S timing .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Exceeded profitability guidance; FY24 non-GAAP operating margin reached 8.8% (up 180 bps YoY) and adjusted EBITDA margin ticked up 30 bps YoY to 14.5% .
- L&S strength and longer-duration renewals; CFO: “We are also raising our L&S revenue expectations to approximately $390 million in 2025 and $400 million in 2026 at an average expected gross margin of approximately 70%” .
- New business TCV momentum: Q4 New Business TCV ~$218M (up 24% YoY), FY24 New Business TCV $791M (up 29% YoY) with significant new logo wins (e.g., global OEM storage field services, QSR network deployment) .
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What Went Wrong
- Ex‑L&S revenue declined 4.7% YoY in Q4 (down 4.8% cc) due to lower client volumes; total gross margin contracted 40 bps YoY on higher cost-reduction charges .
- ECS gross margin fell 270 bps YoY in Q4 to 64.7% on higher hardware mix; backlog eased to $2.84B (vs $3.01B LY) on renewal timing and FX .
- DWS and CA&I revenue softness in Q4: DWS down 7.9% YoY and CA&I down 4.9% YoY on lower hardware/discretionary volumes; management flagged first-half weighting weakness in L&S for 2025 and low single-digit Q1 non-GAAP margin .
Financial Results
Consolidated financials vs prior quarters (oldest → newest)
Year-over-year Q4 comparison
Segment breakdown (Q4 YoY)
KPIs and cash metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic priorities: accelerate AI-enabled solutions, centralize application services into a “factory,” advance ClearPath Forward 2050, and strengthen go‑to‑market with partners and industry vertical teams .
- CEO quote on profitability and cash: “Pre‑pension free cash flow nearly doubled to $82 million in 2024… we expect approximately $100 million in 2025” .
- L&S outlook: “We are also raising our L&S revenue expectations to approximately $390 million in 2025 and $400 million in 2026 at an average expected gross margin of approximately 70%” .
- Segment wins: Notable field services expansion with a global OEM, and a large QSR network deployment across >10,000 U.S. locations .
- Ex‑L&S trajectory: Confidence in 2025 growth underpinned by backlog conversion, later-stage pipeline, PC refresh, and higher‑margin field services .
Q&A Highlights
- Ex‑L&S growth inflection: Management expects 1%–5% cc growth in 2025 driven by backlog conversion, PC refresh cycle, and higher‑margin field services; later-stage pipeline provides visibility .
- Margin levers and cash conversion: Gross margin improvement from mix/pricing and workforce efficiencies; SG&A still trending down despite reinvestments; pre‑pension FCF targets of ~$100M (2025) and ~$150M path (2026) .
- L&S consumption and pricing: Upside driven by higher volumes and longer durations; clients extend contracts instead of paying list-price consumption surcharges .
- Application services realignment: Effective Jan 1, 2025, centralization into CA&I/ECS to scale industry focus and cross‑sell; segment restatement 8‑K to follow after 10‑K .
- Renewal timing/book‑to‑bill: 2025 expected to be a stronger renewal TCV year with some 2024 deals pushed; higher book‑to‑bill anticipated .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) was unavailable due to access limits; therefore we cannot quantify beats/misses vs consensus for Q4 2024, Q3 2024, or Q2 2024 at this time. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable.
- Implications: Management met revenue guidance and exceeded profitability guidance (FY24), raised L&S trajectory for 2025–26, and outlined back‑half weighting for L&S in 2025; consensus may need to reflect lower first‑half L&S and a back‑half catch‑up, while recalibrating FY25 non‑GAAP margin within 6.5%–8.5% and pre‑pension FCF at ~$100M .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- L&S remains a durable cash/margin engine; raised revenue outlook to ~$390M (2025) and ~$400M (2026) with ~70% gross margin supports valuation resilience and cash generation .
- Ex‑L&S recovery should begin in 2025 as backlog/new logos ramp and PC refresh cycle improves DWS volumes; margins benefit from workforce optimization and AI-enabled delivery .
- Cash conversion is improving (Q4 FCF $55.7M; FY24 FCF $55.3M); pre‑pension FCF target ~$100M for 2025, aided by legal settlement collection and lower environmental/legal payments .
- Expect quarterly volatility from L&S renewal timing (first-half lighter, back-half heavier); monitor Q1 cadence (L&S ~$70M; low single-digit non‑GAAP margin) for entry points .
- Segment mix: ECS margins sensitive to hardware mix; DWS/CA&I margin trajectory supported by mix shift to higher‑value solutions, centralized app factory, and SG&A efficiencies .
- Strategic catalysts: AI portfolio expansion (Service Experience Accelerator) and logistics optimization (new multi‑modal routing module) can drive differentiated wins in enterprise and transportation verticals .
- Watch for segment restatement 8‑K (post‑10‑K) and continued industry recognitions to validate positioning and support pipeline win rates .
Appendix – Additional Context
- Non‑GAAP adjustments were primarily pension/postretirement expense, legal and environmental matters, cost‑reduction/other, and goodwill impairment (FY24), with detailed reconciliations provided in Q4 materials .
- Product/solution update: Unisys introduced multi‑modal route optimization (MMRO) module to enhance logistics optimization across transport modes, aligning with ECS portfolio innovation .