US
Upland Software, Inc. (UPLD)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 revenue was $50.5M (-24% YoY) and subscription revenue was $47.7M, primarily reflecting prior divestitures; adjusted EBITDA was $16.0M with a 32% margin, and free cash flow was $6.7M .
- Results beat Wall Street consensus: revenue $49.9M* vs actual $50.5M and EPS $0.17* vs non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.30; company also beat the revenue guidance midpoint and met the adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoint .
- FY25 guidance was tightened and midpoints lowered by $0.8M (lower perpetual license revenue), while subscription & support midpoint was maintained; Q4 2025 guide: revenue $46.4–$52.4M, adjusted EBITDA $13.8–$16.8M (31% margin midpoint) .
- Strategic catalysts: large multi-year AI deals ($2M Fortune 100 tech; $1M pharma), AWS Marketplace listings (RightAnswers, BA Insight), and debt refinancing extending maturity to July 2031 with a new $30M revolver; net leverage at ~3.8x and tracking to ~3.7x year-end .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 32% in Q3 (from 21% a year ago) and free cash flow was $6.7M; CEO: “we beat our revenue guidance midpoint, and we met our adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoint” .
- AI traction: two new multi-year wins ($2M Fortune 100 tech on RightAnswers + AWS Bedrock/S3; $1M pharma on BA Insight replacing legacy enterprise search), validating AI product strategy .
- Commercial momentum and channel: RightAnswers and BA Insight now in AWS Marketplace, improving discoverability and procurement; recognition in Forrester’s Customer Service Solutions landscape underscores product impact .
What Went Wrong
- Topline contraction (-24% YoY) continues due to asset divestitures as the portfolio was streamlined; subscription revenue fell similarly (-25% YoY) .
- FY25 revenue and adjusted EBITDA midpoints lowered by $0.8M, driven by weaker perpetual license and some professional services expectations into Q4; CFO clarified this is not a lost major deal, just lower perp license activity .
- Cash on hand decreased to $22.8M at quarter-end after refinancing/paydowns; deleveraging continues but cash balance is lower versus Q2 ($41.0M) .
Financial Results
Summary financials and margins
Notes: All values per company filings; adjusted EBITDA and margins are non-GAAP as defined by the company .
Segment/revenue breakdown detail
KPIs and balance sheet
Guidance Changes
CFO explained the FY25 midpoint reductions were primarily due to lower forecasted perpetual license revenue and a small reduction in professional services, not a competitive loss .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “In Q3, we beat our revenue guidance midpoint, and we met our adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoint… The new and expanded relationships continue to be spread across our AI-powered product portfolio” .
- CEO: “We successfully refinanced our debt… moved the maturity… to July 2031… added a $30M revolver… net debt leverage is now down to 3.8x” .
- CFO: “Adjusted EBITDA margin of 32%, up from 21%… full-year adjusted EBITDA margin of around 27%… free cash flow remains ~ $20M target” .
- CFO: “We lowered the midpoint for our full year 2025 total revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges by $800,000, primarily as a result of lower forecasted perpetual license revenue… midpoint of subscription and support revenue guidance remains unchanged” .
- CEO: “We’re seeing larger opportunities… $2M multi-year deal… $1M multi-year deal… our products being slotted as enabling tech for broader enterprise AI implementations” .
Q&A Highlights
- Growth durability: CEO emphasized pipeline of larger AI-enabled deals and partnerships (AWS, Microsoft, Google) supporting 3%+ core organic growth targets over the next 1–2 years .
- Guidance clarification: CFO noted the $0.8M FY midpoint reduction was largely perpetual license revenue plus a minor pro services component; subscription guidance midpoint was unchanged .
- Retention levels: CFO reiterated NDR excluding divestitures was 99% in 2024; targeting upper-90s for 2025 .
- AWS Marketplace impact: CEO sees both expansion within installed base and net-new discoverability benefits from RightAnswers and BA Insight listings .
- Sales execution: CEO highlighted upgraded domain expert sellers, improved SEO leads, and outbound intent data (6sense) improving prospect focus .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $49.9M* vs actual $50.5M; EPS $0.17* vs non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.30 → strong beat on EPS and modest beat on revenue .
- Estimate counts: 3 EPS estimates*, 3 revenue estimates*; estimates likely to move higher on margin expansion and AI deal momentum, while modeling should reflect lower perpetual license volatility .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin-led story: Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 32% in Q3 (vs 21% LY), with FY25 margin guide maintained at 27% and Q4 guide midpoint at 31%; this is central to valuation support .
- Topline stabilization: While divestitures compress YoY revenue, core organic growth turned positive (3% in Q3) with larger AI deals, suggesting improving revenue quality .
- Estimate revisions: Expect upward EPS estimate adjustments given the $0.30 outcome vs $0.17 consensus*, and potential modest revenue upward bias from AI wins .
- Guidance quality: FY25 guide tightened with modest midpoint trims (perpetual license softness) but subscription & support midpoint held; reduces uncertainty in modeling .
- Balance sheet: Debt maturity extended to 2031 and liquidity enhanced by a $30M revolver; deleveraging continues with net leverage ~3.8x, tracking to ~3.7x by YE .
- Tactical catalysts: Continued AI deal announcements, AWS Marketplace traction, and late-year margin execution could be near-term stock drivers .
- Medium-term thesis: Focused KCM portfolio with high retention (upper-90s NDR target) and expanding margins supports a durable re-rating if organic growth sustains 3–5%+ .