VC
Veralto Corp (VLTO)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered mid‑single‑digit core sales growth (+4.6%), revenue of $1.345B, adjusted operating margin of 23.8%, and adjusted EPS of $0.95, with robust free cash flow of $263M .
- Adjusted EPS was above the company’s prior Q4 guidance range ($0.86–$0.90), while adjusted operating margin came in modestly below the
24.0% guide from Q3; FX headwinds ($25M sales, ~$0.02 EPS) weighed on results but were offset by lower corporate expenses and tax rate, yielding the EPS beat . - Management entered 2025 with a stronger financial position ($1.1B cash, net leverage ~1.2x) and guided low‑to‑mid single‑digit core growth, 25–50 bps margin expansion, and adjusted EPS of $3.60–$3.70 for FY 2025 .
- Portfolio actions (TraceGains acquisition; AVT divestiture pending; minority investment in electrochemical oxidation technology; subsequent AQUAFIDES agreement) support recurring revenue, margin profile, and European UV offerings, and should be catalysts alongside continued CPG recovery and industrial water strength .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Broad‑based growth: Core sales +4.6% (volume +3.1%, price +1.5%), recurring revenue up mid‑single digits and 59% of total; gross margin expanded 170 bps YoY to 59.6% .
- Execution and portfolio shaping: “Our fourth quarter results were highlighted by mid‑single‑digit core sales growth across both segments, robust cash generation and the acquisition of TraceGains,” said CEO Jennifer Honeycutt .
- Strong cash generation and balance sheet: Q4 FCF of $263M (116% conversion); ended year with $1.1B cash and net leverage ~1.2x, enabling disciplined M&A pipeline .
What Went Wrong
- FX headwinds: Strengthening USD created
2% translation headwind versus guidance ($25M sales and ~$7M adjusted OP headwind; ~$0.02 EPS) . - China softness: Ongoing weak demand in Water Quality (analytics, lower UV installations for chip processing) offset PQI growth; management does not expect China sales to grow in 2025 .
- Segment margin mix and investments: PQI sequential margin contraction driven by TraceGains dilution (~70 bps), higher equipment mix, and stepped‑up R&D and commercial investments; margin cadence expected to improve through 2025 .
Financial Results
Consolidated Results vs Prior Quarters
Notes:
- YoY Q4 revenue growth +4.4%; core sales +4.6% .
- Adjusted EPS in Q4 exceeded the prior Q4 guidance range ($0.86–$0.90) .
Segment Breakdown (Q4 2024)
Segment Core Sales Growth (Q4 2024 YoY, non‑GAAP)
KPIs and Operating Drivers (Q4 2024)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “This capped off a strong full‑year performance in which our talented team… delivered core sales growth, margin expansion and adjusted earnings per share above our initial guidance.” – CEO Jennifer Honeycutt .
- “Core sales grew 4.6%… adjusted earnings per share grew 9% year‑over‑year to $0.95… free cash flow generation was strong at $263 million.” – CEO Jennifer Honeycutt .
- “Adjusted EPS came in stronger, primarily due to lower corporate expenses and a lower tax rate… FX was a headwind of about $0.02 to adjusted EPS versus guidance.” – CFO Sameer Ralhan .
- “We ended the year with $1.1 billion of cash on hand and net leverage at 1.2x.” – CEO Jennifer Honeycutt .
- “We are targeting 25 to 50 basis points of improvement in 2025… total company incremental margins around 40%.” – CFO Sameer Ralhan .
Q&A Highlights
- Margin expansion drivers: Both segments expected to contribute similarly to 25–50 bps expansion; price/cost positive; R&D near ~5% of sales in 2025 .
- PQI margin bridge: Sequential contraction due to TraceGains dilution (~70 bps), +$7M cost optimization, higher R&D, and higher equipment mix; expected to normalize through the year .
- M&A as strategic innovation: Minority investment in electrochemical oxidation for PFAS destruction; pipeline active across both segments, disciplined capital allocation .
- Tariffs: No sustained impact assumed; diversified global footprint, localized consumables, Trojan exposure to U.S. sales <5% of total; vigilant stance given fluid environment .
- Free cash flow conversion: 2025 guided at 90–100% due to higher CapEx (1–1.5% of sales) and modeled working capital; expected to revert toward 100% beyond 2025 .
Estimates Context
- Attempted to retrieve S&P Global/Capital IQ Wall Street consensus for Q4 2024 and prior quarters; data was unavailable due to daily request limits at the time of retrieval. As a result, explicit consensus comparisons beyond company guidance are not provided. Values would have been retrieved from S&P Global if accessible.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q4 quality: Broad‑based core growth, strong cash generation, and adjusted EPS beat despite FX headwinds; continued investment in R&D and commercial capabilities positions the company well for 2025 .
- Structural drivers intact: Industrial water demand (including reuse and data centers) and CPG recovery support steady growth; recurring revenue at 59% provides resilience .
- Margin trajectory: Expect 25–50 bps adjusted margin expansion in 2025 with ~40% incrementals; near‑term mix and acquisition dilution manageable as growth investments pay through .
- Portfolio sharpening: TraceGains integration, AVT divestiture, AQUAFIDES UV expansion, and targeted minority investments enhance recurring revenue and margin mix; M&A pipeline active .
- Balance sheet optionality: $1.1B cash and ~1.2x net leverage enable continued disciplined capital allocation, dividend growth, and bolt‑ons targeting water and product quality solutions .
- Watch China and FX: Management assumes no China growth in 2025 and ~2% FX headwind to sales; operational footprint and VES tools mitigate volatility, but pose ongoing monitoring points for estimate revisions .
- Near‑term setup: Q1 2025 guide implies low‑to‑mid single‑digit core growth, adjusted margin 24.0–24.5%, and EPS $0.84–$0.88; sequential margin cadence should improve as mix normalizes .
Sources: Q4 press release, 8‑K and schedules, and earnings call transcript ; Prior quarter press releases ; Subsequent press releases on AQUAFIDES and dividend .