VI
VISHAY INTERTECHNOLOGY INC (VSH)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue was $0.715B, gross margin 19.0%, and diluted EPS was ($0.03); book-to-bill improved to 1.08 and backlog rose to 4.7 months .
- Versus prior quarter: revenue was flat (+0.1%), gross margin fell 90 bps (19.0% vs 19.9%), and EPS improved from ($0.49) to ($0.03) as Q4 included a goodwill impairment .
- Versus prior year: revenue declined ~4.2% (from $0.746B), gross margin fell 380 bps (22.8% → 19.0%), and EPS declined from $0.22 to ($0.03) .
- Management guided Q2 revenue to $760M ± $20M and gross margin ~19.0% ± 50 bps, including a 175–200 bps Newport drag and ~30 bps tariff math impact; SG&A ~$136M ± $2M and depreciation ~$52M (FY ~$210M) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Distribution POS and bookings strengthened; worldwide POS +4% QoQ, with Europe +10% and Americas +4%, and distributor inventory weeks fell from 27 to 26, supporting book-to-bill >1 across both semis (1.12) and passives (1.04) .
- AI demand ramped: shipments more than doubled vs Q4 as Vishay leverages broad power components positions (MOSFETs, diodes, inductors) and reference designs with chipset partners and CMs; “we are continuing to leverage our AI reference design positions… to place a greater percentage of Vishay components on the board” .
- Smart grid momentum: new wins in Europe/Asia and first U.S. HVDC program with 100% share; improving industrial demand/backlogs as customers address power needs for AI data centers and EV charging .
What Went Wrong
- ASP pressure: revenue flat QoQ despite 2% volume increase due to ~1% ASP decline and FX headwinds; MOSFETs revenues down ~$5M QoQ on ASP resets tied to annual OEM negotiations .
- Margin headwinds: Newport weighed ~200 bps on corporate gross margin and ~1000 bps on the MOSFET segment; tariff pass-through adds revenue but mechanically dilutes gross margin by ~30 bps, and metal/input costs are higher in Q2 guide .
- Automotive softness: Q1 auto revenue down ~2% QoQ on lower ASPs as 2025 OEM contracts took effect; seasonal Asia softness around Chinese New Year and mixed medical/aerospace demand due to channel inventory management .
Financial Results
Segment book-to-bill by quarter:
Segment deltas and impacts (Q1 vs Q4):
KPIs (Q1 2025):
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Market signals… indicate that much of the channel inventory that overhung the market has normalized… [and] support our decision to guide for a sequential revenue increase of 6%.” — Joel Smejkal, CEO .
- “We are prepared to navigate evolving tariff policies… offering [customers] alternative manufacturing locations….” — Joel Smejkal .
- “Gross margin is expected to be…inclusive of tariff impacts of 30 basis points and…higher input costs. Newport…175–200 bps drag….” — Dave McConnell, CFO .
- “We are making good progress… commercialize the 1,200-volt planar [SiC]… plan to release additional 12 products… trench MOSFET samples in Q3… target full product release in Q4.” — Joel Smejkal .
- “We generated $16 million in operating cash… CapEx $62 million… free cash flow negative $45 million… return at least 70% of free cash flow to stockholders; 2025 expected negative FCF due to capacity expansion.” — Dave McConnell .
Q&A Highlights
- Distribution strategy: still adding SKUs; Europe inventory down 3 weeks, Americas down 2 weeks QoQ; POS improved; positioning for share gains with distributors .
- Tariffs: Q2 revenue uplift assumed under April 9 rules; passives tariff adder ~170%, semis ~70%; pass-through yields ~0 gross profit, ~30 bps gross margin dilution; limited exposure (<4% China-origin to U.S.) .
- Newport ramp/margins: Q1 utilization very low post legacy product cessation; volume to increase each quarter; target fab gross margin neutral by 1H’26 (aiming Q1) .
- Cycle vs pull-ins: Smart grid multiyear projects, defense spend, and AI capex support genuine demand; auto schedules flat; building backlog into H2 vs last year .
- Q2 gross margin: flattish despite higher revenue due to tariff math, residual ASP pockets, metal costs; ongoing cost reductions to help over time .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Implications: Slight revenue beat and modest EPS miss in Q1, driven by ASP pressure and Newport drag; Q2 revenue guide broadly aligns with consensus, with margin headwinds (tariffs/Newport) embedded .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Book-to-bill above 1 for second consecutive quarter and backlog rising suggest demand normalization and near-term growth inflection, particularly in Europe and distribution channels .
- AI is a real and growing driver; shipments doubled QoQ and Vishay’s broad power component portfolio and reference designs expand content per board, making this a medium-term mix and volume tailwind .
- Margin headwinds are understood and quantified: Newport drag (~175–200 bps) and tariff math (~30 bps) are incorporated in guidance; ASP pressure persists but is easing as cost reductions catch up .
- Smart grid secular programs (including first U.S. HVDC win) and defense provide diversified backlog support independent of tariff dynamics, underpinning H2 improvement potential .
- Liquidity and capital deployment: continued capacity expansion (SiC ramp, wafer fabs, passives in Mexico) with expected negative FCF in 2025; dividend maintained at $0.10/share with opportunistic buybacks based on U.S. cash availability .
- Trading setup: Q2 guide step-up and AI narrative are catalysts; monitor ASP trajectory, tariff implementation effects, and Newport ramp milestones (neutral by 1H’26) for margin recovery timing .
- Medium-term thesis: execution on Vishay 3.0 growth levers (capacity, solution selling, SiC portfolio) positions the company to capture e-mobility/sustainability and AI power demand; watch segment mix shift and regional recovery pacing .