VI
VISHAY INTERTECHNOLOGY INC (VSH)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 revenue was $790.6M, up 4% q/q and 8% y/y; gross margin held at 19.5% despite metals and FX headwinds; GAAP EPS was -$0.06 and adjusted EPS $0.04. Book-to-bill was 0.97 and backlog stood at 4.4 months .
- Versus consensus, revenue modestly beat and EPS was in line: Q3 revenue $790.6M vs $779.8M estimate; adjusted EPS $0.04 vs $0.0417 estimate. Q4 consensus sits near guidance: revenue est. ~$790.5M and EPS est. $0.02* .
- Q4 2025 guidance: revenue $790M ±$20M and gross margin 19.5% ±50 bps, with Newport dragging 150–175 bps; depreciation ~$55M; SG&A $138M ±$2M; tax expense $4–8M .
- Catalysts and stock narrative: improving orders (October book-to-bill run-rate 1.15), AI server/power designs expanding, automotive OEM audits and site approvals, and a plan to make Newport margin-neutral by end of Q1—offset by elevated metals costs and FX; management signaled dividend maintenance while buybacks are unlikely near term due to US liquidity .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Sequential and y/y growth: revenue +4% q/q to $791M and +8% y/y; most segments grew, driven by volume and modest FX tailwind .
- Strategic wins in AI, smart grid, and automotive: “alignment with high growth markets including smart grid infrastructure, AI related power requirements, automotive and aerospace/defense” and expanding design-ins across MOSFETs, diodes, capacitors, inductors and resistors .
- Operational readiness and capacity: heavy investments enabled quick-turn deliveries; distribution inventory stable at ~23 weeks, POS/POA stable, and more SKUs added with inductors expansion (La Laguna) .
- Quote: “We can reliably satisfy quick-turn demand while still maintaining competitive lead times… well-positioned to capture the early stages of upturns” — CEO Joel Smejkal .
What Went Wrong
- Metals and FX pressure: combined impact north of 50 bps; metals (gold, silver) strength and FX (shekel, TWD) weighed on margins, keeping gross margin flat q/q .
- Book-to-bill slightly sub-1.0: Q3 total 0.97 (0.96 semis; 0.98 passives), with Asia distribution orders soft after Q2 tariff-related pull-ins .
- Free cash flow negative as capex remains elevated: FCF -$24.3M in Q3; capex driven by capacity expansions (Newport, Mexico), with continued net borrowing in the US .
Financial Results
Headline P&L and Margins (oldest → newest)
Channels and Order Flow (q/q change Q2 → Q3)
Operating and Cash KPIs
Guidance Changes
Note: Q3 2025 guidance (set on Aug 6) was $775M ±$20M revenue; actual revenue came in above midpoint at $790.6M .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our third quarter revenue growth demonstrates Vishay’s alignment with high growth markets including smart grid infrastructure, AI related power requirements, automotive and aerospace/defense…” — Joel Smejkal, CEO .
- “Book-to-bill for October is at a run rate of 1.15… orders up 19% y/y… customers still not planning ahead; >50% short-term orders in Asia.” — CEO .
- “Combining the metals and the FX impact, we’re looking probably north of 50 basis points… gold YTD +48%, silver +59%… we’re putting steps in place to pass metal increases on to customers.” — CFO .
- “Newport… reducing MOSFET segment gross margin by ~720 bps… plan to get Newport to margin neutral by end of Q1.” — CFO/CEO .
- “For Q4, revenues are expected to be $790M ±$20M and gross margin 19.5% ±50 bps… SG&A $138M ±$2M; tax expense $4M–$8M.” — CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Automotive/Nexperia restrictions: Management is crossing part numbers and supporting “line down” avoidance; did not include potential upside in Q4 guide due to dynamic shortages .
- Margins drivers: Metals, FX, and operations kept gross margin flat q/q; heading into negotiation season, plan to pass metals costs where possible .
- Outlook vs consensus: CEO views 2026 consensus (revenue +7%, margin expansion) as reasonable given five aligned end markets and Newport margin-neutral plan (+150 bps) plus efficiency initiatives .
- Capital allocation: Dividend maintained; buybacks on hold given US liquidity and Newport funding; $280M revolver capacity accessible .
- Seasonality: Q4 is a 12-week quarter with holiday closures; watching Chinese New Year timing; October book-to-bill 1.15 sets up for a better Q1 if sustained .
Estimates Context
Notes:
- Q3 revenue was modestly above consensus (~$10.8M; ~1.4%); adjusted EPS was in line. Management’s Q4 revenue guidance brackets consensus and implies margin stability including Newport drag .
- Primary EPS - # of estimates: 2; Revenue - # of estimates: 2*.
Values marked with an asterisk (*) were retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Setup for H1 margin lift: If Newport reaches margin-neutral by end of Q1, gross margin could lift by ~150 bps from Q4 levels, with additional upside from cost reductions and metal pass-throughs .
- Demand breadth improving: Automotive (+7% q/q), AI server/power, and smart grid projects are driving orders; October book-to-bill at 1.15 suggests near-term acceleration if sustained .
- Manageable tariff dynamics: Tariff adders flow through revenue with ~0 gross profit impact; guidance embeds elevated input costs, limiting margin surprises from tariffs .
- Cash/FCF profile: FCF remains negative due to capacity investments; expect dividend maintenance but limited buybacks in near term given US liquidity and revolver usage .
- Metals/FX are key watch items: Elevated gold/silver and FX in shekel/TWD are the primary margin headwinds to monitor into Q4/Q1 .
- Channel and geographic mix: Asia distribution is the primary growth lever tied to AI; OEM and industrial in Americas/Europe improving; EMS down q/q but intake highest in three years .
- Tactical positioning: Near-term trading likely sensitive to updates on October/November order momentum, metals pricing trends, and tangible progress toward Newport margin-neutral; medium-term thesis centers on multi-end-market recovery, silicon carbide roadmap, and cross-selling breadth .
Appendix: Additional Relevant Press Releases (context to Q3 narrative)
- Inductor/FCD portfolio expansion: “more than 2000 new SKUs… IHLP® shipping from La Laguna,” supporting distribution breadth and quick-turn fulfillment .
- Space-grade planar transformers: Broadening AMS portfolio with 150W planar devices, indicating aerospace/defense product momentum .