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WATERS CORP /DE/ (WAT)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Waters delivered a high‑quality start to FY25: Q1 revenue $661.7M (+4% reported, +7% cc) and non‑GAAP EPS $2.25 landed at the high end of guidance, with double‑digit instrument growth and solid pharma/industrial demand .
  • Results modestly beat S&P Global consensus: EPS $2.25 vs $2.22* and revenue $661.7M vs $655.6M*, driven by mid‑teens LC/MS growth and PFAS testing strength; orders grew faster than sales, underscoring momentum .
  • Management raised FY25 guidance: cc sales growth to +5%–+7% and non‑GAAP EPS to $12.75–$13.05, with tariff headwinds ($45M gross) largely mitigated to ~$10M net via surcharges, cost actions, and FX tailwinds .
  • Catalysts: elevated instrument replacement cycle, PFAS testing tailwinds (PFAS +90% y/y), India generics demand (~20% cc growth), and Empower–Wyatt MALS integration expanding biologics QC workflows .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Double‑digit instrument growth; LC/MS grew mid‑teens, with Alliance iS HPLC sales more than tripling y/y and Xevo TQ Absolute sales up >50%: “Our first‑quarter results exceeded expectations, driven by double‑digit instrument growth” and “Alliance iS … more than tripled …; Xevo TQ Absolute … sales growth of over 50%” .
  • PFAS secular tailwind: PFAS‑related testing sales grew over 90%, with EPA regulation momentum; management stressed TQ Absolute’s sensitivity positioning Waters to capture rising demand .
  • Estimates beat and guidance raise: non‑GAAP EPS $2.25 (high end) and revenue at high end of range, with FY25 cc sales growth and non‑GAAP EPS ranges raised .

What Went Wrong

  • FX headwinds: non‑GAAP EPS growth of ~2% reported included ~5 ppts of FX headwind (company commentary in release) .
  • Europe flat to slightly down and TA Instruments soft on timing/lumpiness (TA −1% reported, +1% cc); mgmt cited US TA order timing .
  • U.S. Academic & Government derisked: proactively haircut ~$15M for rest of year (assumed −20%), a ~50 bps headwind to FY sales growth, albeit offset by ~50 bps tariff‑related pricing tailwind .

Financial Results

Key P&L vs Prior Quarters (oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($M)$740.3 $872.7 $661.7
GAAP EPS$2.71 $3.88 $2.03
Non‑GAAP EPS$2.93 $4.10 $2.25
Gross Margin %59.3% (calc from $740.3M, $301.7M COGS) 60.0% (calc from $872.7M, $348.5M COGS) 58.2% (management)
Adj. Operating Margin %30.8% 35.5% 25.5%

Note: Gross margin for Q3/Q4 computed from reported net sales and cost of sales; Q1 gross margin cited by management .

Actual vs S&P Global Consensus – Q1 2025

MetricActualConsensusSurprise
Revenue ($M)$661.7 $655.6*+$6.1 (+0.9%); bold beat
Non‑GAAP EPS$2.25 $2.22*+$0.03 (+1.2%); bold beat

Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Product, Geography, and Market Mix – Q1 2025 (vs Q1 2024)

CategoryQ1 2025 ($000s)Q1 2024 ($000s)Reported GrowthConst‑Currency Growth
Instruments262,893 241,944 9% 11%
Service261,175 260,688 0% 3%
Chemistry137,637 134,207 3% 5%
Asia220,776 207,559 6% 13%
Americas255,537 241,171 6% 6%
Europe185,392 188,109 −1% 1%
Pharma391,051 374,207 5% 8%
Industrial203,365 195,334 4% 6%
Academic & Government67,289 67,298 0% 3%

KPIs and Balance Sheet/Cash Flow Highlights

  • Orders growth exceeded sales growth; non‑GAAP gross margin 58.2%; adjusted operating margin 25.5% .
  • Free cash flow $233.8M (non‑GAAP) on CFO $259.6M and capex/software $(25.7)M .
  • Net debt reduction ~$170M in Q1; net debt/EBITDA ~1x; strong liquidity to pursue M&A and potentially resume buybacks .
  • Cash and equivalents $382.9M; Notes payable and debt $1.457B as of Mar 29, 2025 .

Non‑GAAP Adjustments – Q1 2025

  • Adjustments include purchased intangibles amortization ($0.15 EPS), ERP implementation ($0.03), and Wyatt retention bonus ($0.03), among others .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (as of Q4’24 release)Current Guidance (Q1’25)Change
Sales Growth (cc)FY 2025+4.5% to +7.0% +5.0% to +7.0% Raised low end
Sales Growth (reported)FY 2025+2.5% to +5.0% +4.0% to +6.0% Raised
Non‑GAAP EPSFY 2025$12.70 to $13.00 $12.75 to $13.05 Raised
Gross Margin (approx)FY 2025N/A~59% (approximate) New detail
Adj. Operating Margin (approx)FY 2025~31% (implied 2024 level) ~31% (approximate) Maintained
Net Interest ExpenseFY 2025N/A~ $40M New detail
Tax RateFY 2025~16.5% (prior practice) ~16.5% Maintained
Share Count (diluted avg)FY 2025~59.7M ~59.7M Maintained
Sales Growth (cc)Q2 2025N/A+5.0% to +7.0% New
Non‑GAAP EPSQ2 2025N/A$2.88 to $2.98 New

Tariffs and U.S. policy offset: ~$45M gross tariff exposure largely mitigated to ~$10M net via ~$15M selective surcharges, ~$14M manufacturing cost actions, and ~$6M discretionary spend; most gross impact in 2H25; FX tailwinds offset residual EPS impact .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3’24, Q4’24)Current Period (Q1’25)Trend
Instrument replacement cycleQ3: “Instruments returned to growth” ; Q4: Instruments +8% cc Instruments +11% (cc); LC/MS mid‑teens; orders > sales Improving
PFAS testingQ3: Industrial +7% cc; LC/MS momentum PFAS testing +90% y/y; EPA actions boost demand; TQ Absolute sensitivity advantage Accelerating
China/stimulusQ3 Asia +6% cc ; Q4 Asia +9% cc China +5%; A&G double‑digit on stimulus; prudently assume low‑single‑digit for rest of year Stable/modestly positive with caution
Pricing & tariff surchargesNot highlighted in prior PRs~200 bps like‑for‑like pricing plus ~50 bps surcharge from tariffs; 80–90% customer acceptance New positive lever
India genericsNot highlighted in prior PRs~20% cc growth; adds ~70–100 bps annual growth over time Strong/consistent
TA InstrumentsQ3 TA +3% ; Q4 TA +7% TA −1% reported (+1% cc); battery testing strong; noted lumpiness Mixed/lumpy
Wyatt/Empower biologics QCWyatt accretion noted in FY24 Empower now supports Wyatt MALS/RI for QC; saves validation time; expands CQAs Strategic expansion

Management Commentary

  • “Double‑digit instrument growth drove our performance … mid‑teens sales growth in both liquid chromatography and mass spectrometry” .
  • “PFAS‑related testing sales grew over 90% in the first quarter … LC‑MS has become the dominant workhorse technique for regulated analysis of these compounds” .
  • “We are raising our full year … adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $12.75 to $13.05 … even after accounting for newly announced tariffs” .
  • “Orders growth exceeded sales growth … Gross margin 58.2% and adjusted operating margin 25.5%” .
  • “Net tariff impact … limited to a modest $10 million on our adjusted operating margin … roughly $15 million surcharges, $14 million manufacturing cost actions, $6 million discretionary spend” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Replacement cycle and pharma mix: Large pharma, generics, and CDMOs (~75% of pharma) all grew double digits; no evidence of tariff‑related order pull‑forward .
  • Pricing and surcharge acceptance: ~200 bps like‑for‑like pricing plus 50 bps tariff surcharges ($15M); 80–90% customer acceptance; minimal pushback .
  • Academic & Government derisking: U.S. A&G ~3% of revenue; assuming −20% for rest of year (−$15M) to prudently derisk .
  • Supply chain/tariff mitigation: $45M gross impact concentrated in 2H25; stockpiling raised Q2 COGS mix; cost actions “landing” to offset in H2 and beyond .
  • TA Instruments/services: TA lumpiness; battery testing strong; service growth impacted by two fewer days and lower third‑party parts purchases .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: EPS $2.25 vs $2.22*; revenue $661.7M vs $655.6M* — modest beats on both metrics . Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Street trajectory: Management’s raised FY25 guide (sales and EPS) suggests upward estimate revisions, aided by pricing, PFAS/India drivers, and tariff mitigation .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Cycle‑ and secular‑driven instrument strength: Replacement cycle plus PFAS/GLP‑1/India catalysts underpin high‑quality order momentum (orders > sales) and support sustained instrument outperformance .
  • Pricing power intact: ~200 bps like‑for‑like pricing plus ~50 bps surcharge acceptance provides a durable lever against FX/tariffs, supporting margin resilience .
  • Tariff risk largely neutralized for EPS: ~$45M gross impact mitigated to ~$10M net; FX tailwinds and surcharges offset EPS — reduces a key macro overhang .
  • Recurring revenue steady despite fewer days; service initiatives (plan attachment, e‑commerce) and new consumables (bioseparations columns) buttress base .
  • Biologics QC expansion: Empower–Wyatt MALS integration broadens CQAs and compresses validation cycles — a strategic wedge into regulated biologics QC .
  • Balance sheet optionality: FCF $233.8M in Q1 and net leverage ~1x reopen capacity for targeted M&A and potential buyback resumption in 2025 .
  • Near‑term watch items: Europe softness and TA lumpiness; U.S. A&G derisking; monitor Q2 gross margin mix (inventory/tariff timing) and the stick rate of surcharges .

Citations

  • Q1’25 8‑K and press release details: revenue/EPS, guidance, segment/geography mix, non‑GAAP reconciliations, cash flow and balance sheet .
  • Q1’25 call commentary: orders > sales, margins, pricing/surcharges, PFAS +90%, India ~20%, tariff mitigation, services/TA color .
  • Prior quarters for trend: Q3’24 and Q4’24 press releases (revenue/EPS, segment trends) .
  • Strategic press releases: Empower–Wyatt MALS integration (biologics QC) and TA launches (Apex 1; Smart‑Seal Pans) .

S&P Global estimate data marked with asterisk (*). Values retrieved from S&P Global.