WI
WESCO INTERNATIONAL INC (WCC)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record Q3 revenue of $6.20B (+12.9% YoY; +5.1% QoQ) driven by broad-based volume growth and ~60% YoY surge in data center sales to $1.2B; adjusted EBITDA rose to $423M with margin up 10 bps sequentially to 6.8% .
- Results beat Street on revenue, adj. EPS and EBITDA: $6.20B vs $5.90B*, $3.92 vs $3.83*, and $423M vs $413M*; gross margin down 80 bps YoY on large project mix but improved 20 bps QoQ .
- Guidance raised: FY25 organic growth to 8–9% (from 5–7%), revenue to $23.3–$23.6B, adjusted EPS to $13.10–$13.60; FCF cut to $400–$500M on higher working capital to support growth .
- Utilities returned to growth (UBS +3% YoY) on investor-owned utility strength; public power remains weak, expected to recover in 2026; management flagged supplier rebates as a margin tailwind into Q4 and 2026 .
- Near-term stock narrative: accelerating AI-led data center demand and raised topline/EPS guidance are positives; lower FCF and mixed gross margin from large projects may temper near-term enthusiasm pending Q4 conversion .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Data center momentum: $1.2B in Q3 sales (~19% of company sales) and ~60% YoY growth; TTM ~$4.0B. “Total data center sales were $1.2B… up about 60% versus the prior year.” .
- Outperformance and guidance raise: “We are raising our full-year outlook for organic sales growth, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS” to 8–9% organic growth and $13.10–$13.60 EPS, citing “increasing business momentum.” .
- Utilities inflecting: UBS returned to growth (+3% YoY) on investor-owned utilities; management expects continued improvement and cited backlog +11% YoY; broadband up >20% YoY .
Quoted management:
- CEO: “We delivered very strong results… Sales growth accelerated… Adjusted EPS grew 9.5% versus the prior year… We are building on our positive business momentum” .
- CFO: “Adjusted EPS was up 9.5% year over year… gross margin increased sequentially by 20 basis points driven by mix, higher supplier volume rebates, and execution of our enterprise-wide margin improvement program.” .
What Went Wrong
- Margin mix pressure: Gross margin 21.3% (−80 bps YoY) on increased large project activity with lower margins; adjusted EBITDA margin 6.8% (−50 bps YoY) .
- Free cash flow and working capital: Q3 operating cash flow $(82.7)M and FCF $(89.3)M vs +$302.1M and +$279.5M in Q3’24; FY25 FCF guide lowered to $400–$500M due to AR/inventory to support demand .
- Slight GAAP EPS decline YoY and higher interest: Diluted GAAP EPS $3.79 (−0.5% YoY) and interest expense +$12.5M tied to 2033 Notes; adjusted EPS lift offset by FX and rates .
Financial Results
Headline Results (YoY and QoQ comparison)
Segment Performance
Cash Flow KPIs
Consensus vs. Actual – Q3 2025
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Consensus details: Revenue and EPS consensus mean for Q3 2025 were ~$5.90B and $3.83; EBITDA consensus ~$412.8M; estimates count: EPS (11), Revenue (10).*
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy and secular drivers: “We remain firmly focused on executing our cross-selling initiatives and enterprise-wide margin improvement program… secular trends of AI-driven data centers, increased power generation, electrification, automation, and reshoring fuel my confidence” (John Engel, CEO) .
- Outlook upgrade rationale: “We are raising our full-year outlook… based on our increasing business momentum in the third quarter.” (CEO) .
- Margin actions: “Gross margin increased sequentially by 20 basis points driven by mix, higher supplier volume rebates, and execution of our enterprise-wide margin improvement program.” (CFO) .
- Cash flow context: “Q3 was the highest growth quarter… generated significant increases to accounts receivable, resulting in a use of cash… net working capital intensity declining to 19.8%” (CFO) .
Q&A Highlights
- Price contribution by segment: Pricing <3% overall; EES ~4%, CSS ~2%, UBS ~1% (CFO) .
- Supplier rebates: Higher volume tiers are aiding gross margin; expected to continue in Q4 and set up 2026 (CFO) .
- Tariff pass-through and GM: Price increase notifications high; pricing not fully in market yet; as it does, expect modest gross margin benefit (CFO) .
- Data center ROA and mix: Lower gross margins on direct-ship offset by lower operating costs; better asset velocity; CSS GM up 30 bps sequentially (CEO/CFO) .
- UBS trajectory: Q4 growth confidence driven by IOU trends and easier comps (CFO) .
- 2026 framing: Mid-single-digit organic growth with 20–30 bps EBITDA margin expansion; better setup as incentive comp normalizes and mix improves (CFO) .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 beats across the board: Revenue $6.199B vs $5.902B*; Adjusted EPS $3.92 vs $3.83*; Adjusted EBITDA $423M vs $413M*. Surprise drivers: stronger data center volumes, sequential GM improvement from rebates, and operating leverage .
- Estimate implications: Street models likely to lift FY25 revenue/EPS on raised guidance; some may reduce FCF estimates given the cut to $400–$500M and higher interest expense run-rate .
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- AI-driven data center cycle is translating to outsized growth (Q3 DC $1.2B, ~60% YoY) and backlog, underpinning a higher FY25 topline/EPS outlook; sequential margin progress despite project mix should support sentiment .
- Broad-based acceleration: Organic sales +12.1% with all SBUs growing; UBS inflected on IOU strength, positioning for broader utility recovery into 2026 .
- Near-term margin mix dilemma is easing: Gross margin improved QoQ and supplier rebates are now a tailwind; Q4 guide calls for ~30 bps YoY EBITDA margin expansion .
- Cash conversion is the watch item: Q3 FCF negative on AR/inventory to fund demand; FY25 FCF cut to $400–$500M, but management expects materially better conversion at normalized growth in 2026 .
- Capital structure improved: Preferred stock redemption reduces annual financing costs (~$32M) and supports EPS/Cash flow; no major maturities until 2028 .
- Trading lens: Expect revisions higher for revenue/EPS; gross margin and FCF trajectory will likely drive day‑to‑day moves as investors weigh durability of rebate tailwinds against large project mix and working capital investment .