WI
Weatherford International plc (WFRD)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 revenue of $1.20B rose 1% sequentially but fell 14% YoY; adjusted EBITDA margin was 21.1% (flat sequentially), and diluted EPS was $1.87, with net income margin of 11.3% .
- Versus Wall Street consensus (S&P Global), Weatherford delivered a revenue beat (~$35M,
3%) and a Primary EPS beat ($0.15), while guidance for Q3 and full-year 2025 was tightened with midpoints unchanged; dividend maintained at $0.25 . Values retrieved from S&P Global. - Call commentary highlighted headwinds: tariffs pressuring margins and demand, Saudi softness, and minimal Mexico cash collections; still, liquidity reached ~$1.3B, net leverage ~0.49x, and adjusted free cash flow conversion improved sequentially .
- Strategic actions: Argentina pressure pumping divestiture (benefited capital efficiency), MPD multi‑year deepwater award at Woodside Trion, and AWS digital modernization partnership—supporting technology-led differentiation and cash-focused execution .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “Despite structural headwinds, the One Weatherford team delivered second-quarter results in line with expectations… Revenues increased and adjusted EBITDA was flat despite the previously announced divestiture of certain businesses in Argentina” .
- Free cash flow conversion improved (adjusted FCF $79M; conversion ~31%), with liquidity at ~$1.3B and net leverage ~0.49x, underscoring balance sheet strength and capital return capacity .
- Commercial momentum: multi-year MPD award for Woodside Trion in Mexico and contract wins/renewals across bp UK, Aramco, Petrobras, OMV, and others; AWS agreement to modernize platforms, enabling data-driven operations .
What Went Wrong
- Activity slowdown across core markets drove YoY declines: total revenue −14%, DRE revenue −22% YoY, WCC −10% YoY, PRI −11% YoY; EBITDA margins compressed YoY across segments .
- Latin America revenue −19% sequentially and −45% YoY, with Argentina divestiture effects and Mexico payment delays building receivables; management noted minimal Q2 Mexico collections and uncertainty on timing .
- Tariff-driven margin dilution and pricing pressure, notably in DRE service businesses and U.S. land; management expects softness in Saudi and flattish near-term revenue trajectory .
Financial Results
Headline P&L, EPS, Margins
Notes: Q2 GAAP results include a $70M Gain on Sale of Business affecting operating income and net income; Adjusted EBITDA excludes this item .
Segment Breakdown
Geography Breakdown
KPIs and Cash
Results vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
Values retrieved from S&P Global. Note: Weatherford reports GAAP diluted EPS of $1.87; “Primary EPS” per S&P Global is a normalized definition and differs from GAAP diluted EPS .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO tone: “We anticipate a relatively flat trajectory on revenues for the immediate future… focused on driving adjusted free cash flow conversion through portfolio optimization, structural cost efficiencies, optimization of working capital, and CAPEX efficiency” .
- On regional dynamics: “The market in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has softened… while we achieved sequential growth in Q2, we think it will continue to be soft as we go through the rest of this year” .
- On Mexico: “We are hopeful that the second half will see a significant change… but it is very unclear as to the precision of timing… guidance did not anticipate a significant bolus of payments” .
- On cost and margins: “We expect to deliver EBITDA margins in the low 20% range this year… even with a potential annualized double-digit revenue decline” .
- Strategic direction: Digital modernization (AWS), technology leadership in MPD and completions, and disciplined capital allocation with sustainable dividend and opportunistic buybacks .
Q&A Highlights
- Saudi outlook: Rig count declines drive softness; WFRD is leveraging technology introduction and close partnership with Aramco; recovery more likely 2H26 .
- U.S. land tariffs: Pre‑tariff inventory supported Q2; Q3 expected down with tariff impact and potential dilution; WFRD will defend margins and avoid chasing price .
- Mexico payments: Activity stabilized at lower levels; expect 2H payment improvement but timing uncertain; guidance excludes substantial bolus .
- FY trajectory: Q4 implied ramp from project start-ups and seasonality, though muted by tariffs; orders in hand support visibility .
- M&A and portfolio: Robust pipeline focused on well construction/production; disciplined returns/cash accretion; Argentina divestiture improved capital efficiency .
- Balance sheet strategy: Continued opportunistic note repurchases; considering refinancing after October step‑down to resize towers, extend maturities, and reduce interest .
Estimates Context
- Weatherford beat revenue and Primary EPS vs S&P Global consensus in Q2 2025; analysts may tighten FY ranges in line with management’s unchanged midpoints but narrowed bands and lower tax rate (~20%) .
- Q3 2025 guidance ($1.165–$1.195B revenue; $245–$265M adjusted EBITDA) aligns near consensus revenue (~$1,178MM*) and suggests slight margin uptick from Q2; tariff and Saudi headwinds are key swing factors . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Weatherford executed well in a softer market: revenue/Primary EPS beat, resilient 21% EBITDA margins, and improved free cash flow conversion; GAAP EPS benefited from a $70M gain on sale—focus on adjusted metrics for operating trend .
- Near-term setup: Q3 guide modestly down with tariff and Saudi headwinds, but project start-ups support an implied Q4 ramp; expect flattish 2H revenue trajectory .
- Balance sheet and capital returns support downside protection: ~$1.3B liquidity, ~0.49x net leverage, continued buybacks/dividend; optionality to refinance 2030 notes to lower interest and extend maturities .
- Regional mix shift: Latin America remains pressured (Argentina divestiture, Mexico payments), while Europe/SSA/Russia rebounded sequentially; MENA/Asia solid but price pressure in service lines .
- Technology differentiation is a structural positive: deepwater MPD leadership (Woodside Trion), AWS digital modernization, and continued product innovation should support share and margin resilience through the cycle .
- Watch catalysts: tariff clarity, Mexico payment timing, Saudi activity path, and Q4 project ramps; these will drive estimate revisions and stock reaction.
- FY 2025 guide band tightened (midpoint unchanged): revenue $4.7–$4.9B, adjusted EBITDA $1.015–$1.06B; effective tax rate lowered to ~20%—a modest EPS tailwind if sustained .
Additional Supporting Press Releases
- Dividend: $0.25 per share payable Sep 4, 2025; shareholder returns in Q2 totaled $52M (dividends $18M + share repurchases $34M) .
- Woodside Trion MPD award: multi-year deepwater contract, deploying Victus™ intelligent MPD system .
- AWS agreement: modernization of Modern Edge Platform and Unified Data Model; enhances Software Launchpad with data control and integration flexibility .