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GeneDx Holdings Corp. (WGS)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- GeneDx delivered revenue of $102.7M, its first quarter above $100M, with adjusted gross margin at 71% and adjusted net income of $15.0M; management raised FY25 revenue guidance to $400–$415M and Exome/Genome revenue growth to 48%–52% .
- Core Exome/Genome revenue rose 69% YoY to $85.9M on 28% volume growth and a higher average reimbursement; CFO emphasized the ASP uplift was driven by durable denial reduction and expanding Medicaid coverage, not one-time items .
- Guidance raises and AAP’s first-tier testing recommendation for pediatric DD/ID are catalysts that expand the serviceable market and support margin trajectory into H2 and beyond .
- Management reaffirmed profitability each quarter on an adjusted basis; cash, cash equivalents, marketable securities and restricted cash were $135.5M at quarter-end, despite $33.2M paid to acquire Fabric Genomics .
- Sell-side consensus via S&P Global was unavailable for quarterly comparisons; investors should anchor on company-raised guidance and volume/mix trajectory for estimate resets (see Estimates Context).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong Exome/Genome execution: revenue up 69% YoY to $85.9M; volumes up 28% to 23,102; mix climbed to 41% of tests .
- Margin expansion and profitability: adjusted GM reached 71% (vs. 62% in Q2’24); fourth consecutive quarter of adjusted net income ($15.0M) and positive operating cash flow .
- Strategic tailwinds: “Crossing the $100 million revenue mark and delivering our fourth consecutive profitable quarter is a major milestone… Our strong second quarter performance was driven by our core business” — CEO Katherine Stueland ; AAP guidance and Medicaid coverage broaden addressable market .
What Went Wrong
- Other panels and hereditary cancer continue to decline sequentially from prior highs; hereditary cancer revenue fell to $1.8M from $2.2M in Q1’25 and $3.8M in Q2’24, reflecting deprioritization and mix shift to Exome/Genome .
- Denial rates remain a headwind even as pay rate improved to the mid‑50s; guide embeds conservatism for higher initial denials in new indications and call points (NICU, immunology, pediatrics) .
- General pediatrics impact is minimal in 2025 as the company prioritizes core specialist growth; management expects broader pediatric volumes to materialize in 2026+ despite AAP’s guideline change .
Financial Results
Consolidated Performance vs Prior Periods
- Q4 2024 and Q3 2024 EPS per share were not disclosed in the 8-K; quarter-level EPS not provided in those filings .
Segment Volumes by Quarter
Segment Revenue by Quarter
Key KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Crossing the $100 million revenue mark and delivering our fourth consecutive profitable quarter is a major milestone for GeneDx… Our strong second quarter performance was driven by our core business” — Katherine Stueland, CEO .
- “Average reimbursement rate for Exome and Genome was over $3,700 a test… There’s nothing I would call out… as unique or one-time. We’re driving sustainable reimbursement rate improvements” — Kevin Feeley, CFO .
- “AAP now recommends exome and genome sequencing as first-tier tests for children with global developmental delay or intellectual disability… This is a sea change” — Katherine Stueland .
- “We’re raising our top-line total revenue guidance to between $400 and $415 million for full year 2025… Exome and Genome revenue guidance to deliver between 48% and 52% growth” — Kevin Feeley .
Q&A Highlights
- ASP dynamics: CFO affirmed Q2 ASP $3,718 and said uplift reflects ongoing denial reduction across payers; guide embeds conservatism for higher initial denials in new indications/call points .
- Volume bridge to H2: Outpatient specialists remain primary driver; NICU Epic Aura onboarding contributes more meaningfully in Q4; H2 test volumes implied ~33% YoY to hit ≥30% full-year growth .
- Denial rate context: Paid rate now mid‑50s, up several hundred bps sequentially; room to run remains, with payer “boxing match” better armed by the team .
- General pediatrics timing: Minimal 2025 volume impact despite AAP; focus maintained on ped neuro and specialists; broader pediatric adoption expected in 2026+ .
- Fabric Genomics: Integration tracking to plan; early international sales hiring and use cases for decentralized interpretation and standardized newborn screening highlighted .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for revenue, EPS, and EBITDA for Q3 2025–Q2 2026 was unavailable at time of retrieval; therefore, no vs-estimate beat/miss analysis is provided. Investors should recalibrate models to reflect raised FY25 revenue ($400–$415M) and adjusted GM (68%–71%) guidance, and Exome/Genome revenue growth (48%–52%) .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Guidance raise is material; the top-line bump to $400–$415M and GM to 68%–71% supports upward estimate revisions and multiple support given profitability cadence .
- Exome/Genome momentum is robust, with mix at 41%, ASP $3,718, and 28% volume growth; drivers include denial reduction and expanding Medicaid coverage (35 outpatient; 17 rapid NICU states) .
- Near-term growth remains outpatient specialist-led; NICU will contribute increasingly in Q4 as Epic Aura sites scale; general pediatrics is a 2026+ ramp .
- Margin levers should persist: mix shift, reimbursement, and dry lab optimization via Fabric’s algorithms point to structural COGS improvements .
- Data business and biopharma partnerships provide diversified revenue streams with growing same-store sales; watch for incremental contracts .
- Liquidity remains solid at $135.5M despite $33.2M Fabric cash outlay; business is generating positive operating cash flow while investing for growth .
- Trading implications: a “clean” quarter with guidance raises and structural tailwinds (AAP, coverage expansion). Monitor H2 volumes (33%+ YoY implied), ASP sustainability, and cadence of Epic Aura go-lives to gauge Q4 acceleration .