WI
Walmart Inc. (WMT)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 FY26 delivered strong top-line with total revenues of $177.4B (+4.8% reported; +5.6% cc), underpinned by 25% global eCommerce growth and accelerating Walmart U.S comps (+4.6%) .
- Profit quality mixed: GAAP EPS was $0.88 while adjusted EPS was $0.68, pressured by higher self-insured general liability claims (~560 bps headwind to adjusted OI growth) and discrete legal/restructuring charges; adjusted EBITDA margin slipped ~10 bps YoY to 6.5% .
- Guidance: Q3 FY26 net sales (cc) +3.75%–4.75%, operating income (cc) +3.0%–6.0%, adjusted EPS $0.58–$0.60; FY26 outlook raised for net sales to +3.75%–4.75% (cc) and adjusted EPS to $2.52–$2.62 (currency headwind $0.02–$0.03), while adjusted operating income (cc) unchanged at +3.5%–5.5% .
- Catalysts: top-line beat versus Street, raised FY26 sales/EPS, secular growth in advertising (+46% global; Walmart Connect +31%) and membership (+15% global), and accelerating omni speed (≈1/3 of store deliveries in ≤3 hours) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- eCommerce scale and speed: 25% global growth; ~1/3 of U.S. store deliveries expedited (≤3 hours), with 20% delivered in ≤30 minutes; Walmart Connect up 31% .
- Market share gains across income cohorts; Walmart U.S. comps +4.6% with strength in grocery and health & wellness; general merchandise positive low single-digits .
- Strategic growth businesses lifting profit mix: advertising +46% globally (incl. VIZIO), membership income +15% globally; “We’re people-led and tech-powered…the way we’re deploying AI will make these experiences even better.” – Doug McMillon .
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What Went Wrong
- Claims cost pressure: adjusted SG&A deleveraged 35 bps; CFO accrued an incremental $450M in Q2 for general liability/workers’ comp, producing ~560 bps headwind to adjusted OI growth .
- Sam’s Club restructuring: ~$80M strategic supply chain reorganization charges; gross margin rate ex-fuel −21 bps, adjusted operating income pressured by ~710 bps from higher claims .
- International margin compression: Int’l gross margin −80 bps; OI (cc) −2.8% due to format/channel mix shifts and price investments across markets (India, Canada, Mexico) .
Financial Results
Consolidated performance versus prior periods
Versus Wall Street consensus (S&P Global)
Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment breakdown (Q2 FY26)
KPIs (Q2 FY26)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy: “Connecting with our customers and members through digital experiences is helping to drive our business, and the way we’re deploying AI will make these experiences even better.” – Doug McMillon, CEO .
- Profit mix transformation: CFO highlighted diversified profit streams (advertising, membership, marketplace) contributing ~50% of incremental profit in Q2 excluding claims costs .
- Pricing & elasticity: “We’re keeping our prices as low as we can for as long as we can…We do see, as costs go up, units change…managing mix gives us a lot of flexibility.” – Doug McMillon .
- Risk management: “We accrued an additional $450M…equates to a headwind of 560 bps to adjusted operating income growth in the quarter.” – John Rainey, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Profit resilience vs. temporary cost noise: Management emphasized long-term trend of growing profits faster than sales despite unexpected costs (claims), maintaining annual OI guidance and raising sales/EPS guidance .
- AI acceleration as growth lever: New AI leadership and “Sparky” assistant to enhance discovery, personalization, and operational productivity; omni assets (stores + digital) cited as unique advantage .
- Inventory health: Clean inventories, strong back-to-school sell-through, unit growth supporting Sam’s; inventory up ~2% U.S., ~11.7% at Sam’s to support demand .
- Pricing strategy & rollbacks: Rollbacks increased to ~7,400; merchants actively managing price gaps and markdown cadence to maintain share during tariff-related pressure .
- Competitive stance in grocery delivery: Competition improving, Walmart remains focused on price, assortment, and convenience (expedited delivery) to defend advantages .
Estimates Context
- Q2 FY26 revenue beat consensus; EPS missed: Revenue $177.4B vs $174.3B*; adjusted EPS $0.68 vs $0.739* .
- Drivers of divergence: Top-line outperformance from eCommerce and International; EPS impacted by higher-than-anticipated claims expense and discrete legal/restructuring items .
Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Top-line momentum intact with secular omni gains; advertising and membership scaling the profit mix even as merchandise mix (grocery/health) dilutes near-term margins .
- Near-term EPS pressure appears transitory as claims inflation normalizes; annual OI guidance unchanged, implying underlying structural margins progressing .
- International growth (China, Walmex) is accretive to consolidated sales; profitability investments should support long-term ROI .
- Raised FY26 sales/EPS guidance supports medium-term thesis of profit growing faster than sales despite VIZIO and leap-year headwinds baked into the framework .
- AI/tech initiatives (Sparky, agent architecture) and delivery-speed leadership are credible differentiators to drive customer acquisition/frequency and lower fulfillment costs over time .
- Sam’s Club remains a comp engine with omni engagement (Scan & Go, club-fulfilled delivery) and membership mix upgrade (Plus), albeit temporarily weighed by reorg/claims .
- Trading lens: Revenue beat and raised FY26 EPS could offset EPS miss, with investor focus on sustainability of ad/member growth, holiday setup, and cadence of claims costs through H2 .