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SW

Select Water Solutions, Inc. (WTTR)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Solid start to 2025: revenue rose 7% q/q to $374.4M and Adjusted EBITDA increased 14% q/q to $64.0M; GAAP diluted EPS was $0.08, up from $(0.02) in Q4 as gross margin improved 220 bps to 14.9% .
  • Beat on revenue vs S&P Global consensus ($374.4M vs $360.8M*) and beat on S&P “Primary EPS” ($0.1335 vs $0.06*), while S&P EBITDA (non‑GAAP definition) came in below consensus ($58.2M vs $60.7M*) even as company-reported Adjusted EBITDA exceeded internal guidance . Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Strategic momentum: announced multiple long-term Permian water infrastructure contracts (incl. an 11-year, largest-ever project) and bolt-on SWD acquisitions; raised 2025 net capex plan to $225–$250M (from $170–$190M) to fund growth; adjusted 2025 FCF conversion to ~5–15% of Adjusted EBITDA .
  • Near-term outlook: Q2’25 Adjusted EBITDA guided to $68–$72M, driven by a “sharp” increase in Water Infrastructure, with Services and Chemicals facing sequential revenue pressure but stable-to-higher gross margins before D&A .
  • Liquidity and returns: closed a new $550M sustainability-linked credit facility (revolver $300M, term loan $250M) and declared a $0.07 dividend payable May 16, 2025 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Broad-based improvement vs Q4: revenue +7% q/q to $374.4M; gross margin expanded to 14.9%; Adjusted EBITDA +14% to $64.0M; GAAP net income swung to $9.6M from a $(2.1)M loss in Q4 .
  • Water Infrastructure resilience: gross margin before D&A held at 53.7% with rising recycling and disposal volumes; management expects Q2 segment revenue to increase by low double-digits with >50% gross margin before D&A sustained .
  • Strategic backlog and scale: new long-term Permian projects expand an integrated Northern Delaware network to >1 million acres under dedication/ROFR, with an 11-year, largest-ever capital project adding ~100 miles of pipelines and significant capacity; management highlighted confidence in decade-long revenue potential .

Quotes:

  • “The first quarter represented a strong start to the year for Select… in excess of our guidance… coupled with an increase in our consolidated margins.” — CEO John Schmitz .
  • “We expect continued growth in our consolidated Adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter to an estimated $68–$72 million.” .
  • “Pro forma… we expect to have more than 1.3 million barrels per day of fixed facility recycling throughput capacity in the Northern Delaware Basin alone…” .

What Went Wrong

  • Sequential Infrastructure revenue dip: Water Infrastructure revenue fell 5.8% q/q to $72.4M on legacy freshwater pipeline declines (conversion to produced water service), despite higher recycling and disposal volumes .
  • Working capital headwind and cash usage: operating cash flow was $(5.1)M vs $67.8M in Q4, with a $61.8M working capital build, including a $57.1M rise in A/R; free cash flow was $(51.5)M as net capex ran $46.5M .
  • Higher growth capex lowers 2025 FCF conversion: net capex raised to $225–$250M; 2025 FCF conversion revised to ~5–15% of Adjusted EBITDA (from 2024’s ~30% result), reflecting aggressive infrastructure buildout .

Financial Results

Consolidated performance (GAAP unless noted)

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($M)$371.3 $349.0 $374.4
Diluted EPS ($)$0.15 $(0.02) $0.08
Gross Margin (%)16.8% 12.7% 14.9%
Gross Margin before D&A (%)27.3% 24.2% 25.2%
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$72.8 $56.2 $64.0
Cash from Operations ($M)$51.9 $67.8 $(5.1)
Free Cash Flow ($M)$20.4 $16.2 $(51.5)
Net Capex ($M)$31.5 $51.5 $46.5

Non-GAAP adjustments (Q1 2025): Adjusted EBITDA adds back $1.2M transaction costs, $1.1M impairments/abandonments, $0.7M lease abandonment, ~$0.7M other; plus $3.5M non-cash comp .

Segment revenue and margins

SegmentQ3 2024 Revenue ($M)Q3 GM before D&A (%)Q4 2024 Revenue ($M)Q4 GM before D&A (%)Q1 2025 Revenue ($M)Q1 GM before D&A (%)
Water Infrastructure82.0 56.7% 76.8 54.7% 72.4 53.7%
Water Services234.0 20.5% 209.3 16.4% 225.6 19.5%
Chemical Technologies55.3 12.4% 62.9 12.9% 76.3 15.2%

KPIs and Balance Sheet

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Working Capital Δ ($M)$(15.4) use $(1.8) use $61.8 build
Liquidity ($M)$138.7 $134.8 $260.2
Term Loan Balance ($M)$250.0 (new facility)
ERP rollout impactERP rollout contributed to WC build; normalization expected

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)Q2 2025$68–$72 New
Water Infrastructure revenue (seq.)Q2 2025Q4’24: WI q/q down low single digits in Q1; “sharp double-digit” increases Q2/Q3 Increase by low double-digits; GM before D&A >50% Reaffirmed trajectory (quantified)
Water Services revenue (seq.)Q2 2025Q1’25 GM before D&A 21–22% guided; revenue to increase low/mid single digits in Q1 Revenue down 5–10%; GM before D&A 20–22% Lowered near-term revenue; margins maintained
Chemical Technologies revenue (seq.)Q2 2025Q1’25 revenue +10–15% guided; GM 14–15% Revenue down mid-single digits; GM 14–16% Lower near-term revenue; margins steady
Water Infrastructure FY growthFY 2025Revenue & gross profit growth +15–25% y/y Tracking toward low end (~15%) Tilt to low end
Net Capital Expenditures ($M)FY 2025$170–$190 $225–$250 Raised
FCF conversion (of Adj. EBITDA)FY 2025~5–15% New
SG&A as % of revenueQ2 2025~10–11% New
D&A ($M per quarter)2025 run-rateLow $40s per quarter New
Interest expense ($M per quarter)2025 run-rate~$4–$5 per quarter New
Effective book tax rate2025Low 20% (cash taxes ~≤$10M) New
DividendQ2 2025$0.07 declared Oct’24$0.07 per share payable May 16, 2025 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3’24, Q4’24)Current Period (Q1’25)Trend
Permian/N. Delaware infrastructureQ3: Pull-forward activity; converting freshwater line; new dedications and acquisitions 11-year largest-ever project; +~100 miles pipe; >1.3MM bpd recycling capacity pro forma; continued bolt-ons Expanding scale and contract coverage
Macro/tariffs/supply chainSeasonal/services pressure in Q4; 2025 activity modestly down Limited direct tariff impact; polymers not steel; resilient Chemicals supply chain, domesticated >50% Managed risk; minimal near-term impact
Segment mix and marginsWI GM before D&A surpassed 50% ahead of plan WI GM before D&A ~54%; Services and Chemicals margins stable/improving despite lower revenue Margin quality sustained
Dry gas basins (Haynesville/Marcellus)Footprint and acquisitions to support growth Strong disposal networks; capacity to grow; LNG offtake a demand tailwind (Haynesville) Growing focus and opportunity
Non-energy water (Colorado AV Farms)Announced $62M initial investment, long-cycle, ultra-long contracts Ownership to 39% via +$10M; LOIs progressing; Select to operate long term; remaining $74M commitments Execution advancing; commercialization in progress
Systems/technologyERP rolled out company-wide; WC spike to normalize; “digital twin” for system planning Operational enablement, forecasting

Management Commentary

  • “Gross margins before D&A for the Water Infrastructure segment remained strong at 54% during the quarter… revenue declines were driven entirely by our legacy freshwater pipeline assets… converted… into produced water distribution lines tied into our key recycling infrastructure network.” — CEO John Schmitz .
  • “We expect continued growth in our consolidated Adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter to an estimated $68–$72 million… primarily from our Water Infrastructure segment.” .
  • “With our latest long-term contract awards, we are adding new capital projects that should continue to provide a further level of growth… into 2026 and beyond.” .
  • “We reduced consolidated SG&A by 6% and grew net income by $12 million.” — CEO on Q1 vs Q4 .
  • “We achieved a single facility record 500,000 barrel per day peak recycling rate… helping a new monthly record for total barrels recycled at a single facility.” — CFO Chris George .

Q&A Highlights

  • Activity/macro: No pullback seen yet in core Permian assets; strong rocks and contracts underpin resilience; preparing for potential H2 activity reductions in services-oriented businesses .
  • AV Farms commercialization: LOIs in place; will scale construction with offtake contracts; Select expects to own/operate long term, leveraging pipeline/reservoir ops expertise; ownership pathway to majority over 2–3 years .
  • Tariffs/pass-through risk: Minimal impact to WI as supply chain is domestic and pipe is polyethylene; economics intact; Chemicals supply chain largely domesticated; added vertical integration .
  • WI growth cadence: Double-digit seq. growth into Q2/Q3; 2026 uplift from new 11-year project; tracking FY’25 WI growth towards low end of +15–25% .
  • Dry gas basins: Largest disposal provider in Haynesville/Marcellus; capacity and brownfield expansion opportunities; LNG growth supportive .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $374.4M actual vs $360.8M estimate* (beat); S&P “Primary EPS” $0.1335 actual vs $0.06 estimate* (beat); S&P EBITDA $58.2M actual vs $60.7M estimate* (miss) — note S&P EBITDA and “Primary EPS” definitions differ from company-reported Adjusted EBITDA and GAAP diluted EPS ($0.08) . Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Q2 2025 consensus snapshot: Revenue $364.9M estimate*; S&P “Primary EPS” $0.1422 estimate*; S&P EBITDA $69.0M estimate* versus company’s Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $68–$72M . Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
MetricQ1 2025 Consensus*Q1 2025 ActualQ2 2025 Consensus*
Revenue ($M)360.8374.4 364.9
Primary EPS ($)0.060.13350.1422
EBITDA ($M)60.758.269.0

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The core thesis—contracted, production‑weighted Water Infrastructure—continues to play out: margin quality >50% and backlog visibility improved, supporting Q2 sequential growth and a 2026 ramp from the largest project in company history .
  • Near-term Services/Chemicals revenue headwinds appear manageable given expected margin resilience (Services 20–22%, Chemicals 14–16%) and consolidated Q2 EBITDA guide of $68–$72M .
  • Working capital normalization is an important watch item for FCF in 2025 after Q1 ERP-driven build; management expects abatement and cash release over coming quarters .
  • Capex raised to fund high-return, contracted WI growth ($225–$250M); FCF conversion trimmed to ~5–15% in 2025 as growth outlays are prioritized, but balance sheet/liquidity strengthened via new $550M credit facility and term loan .
  • Gas basin optionality (Haynesville/Marcellus) and LNG tailwinds could diversify cycle risk and offer high-ROI brownfield expansions .
  • AV Farms (Colorado) offers ultra long-dated, higher-margin, non-energy cash flows; LOIs progressing; Select to operate the asset over time .
  • Dividend maintained at $0.07/share (May 16) provides a base return while growth projects scale .

Appendix: Q1 2025 Additional Details

  • Segment outlook Q2’25: WI revenue up low double-digits, GM before D&A >50%; Services revenue down 5–10% with GM 20–22%; Chemicals revenue down mid-single digits with GM 14–16% .
  • Non-GAAP definitions and reconciliations provided in the earnings release (Adjusted EBITDA, Gross Profit before D&A, Free Cash Flow) .
  • Dividend: $0.07 per share declared April 24; payable May 16 to holders of record May 6 .

Notes: Where estimates are shown with an asterisk (*), values were retrieved from S&P Global.