SW
Select Water Solutions, Inc. (WTTR)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Solid start to 2025: revenue rose 7% q/q to $374.4M and Adjusted EBITDA increased 14% q/q to $64.0M; GAAP diluted EPS was $0.08, up from $(0.02) in Q4 as gross margin improved 220 bps to 14.9% .
- Beat on revenue vs S&P Global consensus ($374.4M vs $360.8M*) and beat on S&P “Primary EPS” ($0.1335 vs $0.06*), while S&P EBITDA (non‑GAAP definition) came in below consensus ($58.2M vs $60.7M*) even as company-reported Adjusted EBITDA exceeded internal guidance . Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
- Strategic momentum: announced multiple long-term Permian water infrastructure contracts (incl. an 11-year, largest-ever project) and bolt-on SWD acquisitions; raised 2025 net capex plan to $225–$250M (from $170–$190M) to fund growth; adjusted 2025 FCF conversion to ~5–15% of Adjusted EBITDA .
- Near-term outlook: Q2’25 Adjusted EBITDA guided to $68–$72M, driven by a “sharp” increase in Water Infrastructure, with Services and Chemicals facing sequential revenue pressure but stable-to-higher gross margins before D&A .
- Liquidity and returns: closed a new $550M sustainability-linked credit facility (revolver $300M, term loan $250M) and declared a $0.07 dividend payable May 16, 2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Broad-based improvement vs Q4: revenue +7% q/q to $374.4M; gross margin expanded to 14.9%; Adjusted EBITDA +14% to $64.0M; GAAP net income swung to $9.6M from a $(2.1)M loss in Q4 .
- Water Infrastructure resilience: gross margin before D&A held at 53.7% with rising recycling and disposal volumes; management expects Q2 segment revenue to increase by low double-digits with >50% gross margin before D&A sustained .
- Strategic backlog and scale: new long-term Permian projects expand an integrated Northern Delaware network to >1 million acres under dedication/ROFR, with an 11-year, largest-ever capital project adding ~100 miles of pipelines and significant capacity; management highlighted confidence in decade-long revenue potential .
Quotes:
- “The first quarter represented a strong start to the year for Select… in excess of our guidance… coupled with an increase in our consolidated margins.” — CEO John Schmitz .
- “We expect continued growth in our consolidated Adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter to an estimated $68–$72 million.” .
- “Pro forma… we expect to have more than 1.3 million barrels per day of fixed facility recycling throughput capacity in the Northern Delaware Basin alone…” .
What Went Wrong
- Sequential Infrastructure revenue dip: Water Infrastructure revenue fell 5.8% q/q to $72.4M on legacy freshwater pipeline declines (conversion to produced water service), despite higher recycling and disposal volumes .
- Working capital headwind and cash usage: operating cash flow was $(5.1)M vs $67.8M in Q4, with a $61.8M working capital build, including a $57.1M rise in A/R; free cash flow was $(51.5)M as net capex ran $46.5M .
- Higher growth capex lowers 2025 FCF conversion: net capex raised to $225–$250M; 2025 FCF conversion revised to ~5–15% of Adjusted EBITDA (from 2024’s ~30% result), reflecting aggressive infrastructure buildout .
Financial Results
Consolidated performance (GAAP unless noted)
Non-GAAP adjustments (Q1 2025): Adjusted EBITDA adds back $1.2M transaction costs, $1.1M impairments/abandonments, $0.7M lease abandonment, ~$0.7M other; plus $3.5M non-cash comp .
Segment revenue and margins
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Gross margins before D&A for the Water Infrastructure segment remained strong at 54% during the quarter… revenue declines were driven entirely by our legacy freshwater pipeline assets… converted… into produced water distribution lines tied into our key recycling infrastructure network.” — CEO John Schmitz .
- “We expect continued growth in our consolidated Adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter to an estimated $68–$72 million… primarily from our Water Infrastructure segment.” .
- “With our latest long-term contract awards, we are adding new capital projects that should continue to provide a further level of growth… into 2026 and beyond.” .
- “We reduced consolidated SG&A by 6% and grew net income by $12 million.” — CEO on Q1 vs Q4 .
- “We achieved a single facility record 500,000 barrel per day peak recycling rate… helping a new monthly record for total barrels recycled at a single facility.” — CFO Chris George .
Q&A Highlights
- Activity/macro: No pullback seen yet in core Permian assets; strong rocks and contracts underpin resilience; preparing for potential H2 activity reductions in services-oriented businesses .
- AV Farms commercialization: LOIs in place; will scale construction with offtake contracts; Select expects to own/operate long term, leveraging pipeline/reservoir ops expertise; ownership pathway to majority over 2–3 years .
- Tariffs/pass-through risk: Minimal impact to WI as supply chain is domestic and pipe is polyethylene; economics intact; Chemicals supply chain largely domesticated; added vertical integration .
- WI growth cadence: Double-digit seq. growth into Q2/Q3; 2026 uplift from new 11-year project; tracking FY’25 WI growth towards low end of +15–25% .
- Dry gas basins: Largest disposal provider in Haynesville/Marcellus; capacity and brownfield expansion opportunities; LNG growth supportive .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $374.4M actual vs $360.8M estimate* (beat); S&P “Primary EPS” $0.1335 actual vs $0.06 estimate* (beat); S&P EBITDA $58.2M actual vs $60.7M estimate* (miss) — note S&P EBITDA and “Primary EPS” definitions differ from company-reported Adjusted EBITDA and GAAP diluted EPS ($0.08) . Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
- Q2 2025 consensus snapshot: Revenue $364.9M estimate*; S&P “Primary EPS” $0.1422 estimate*; S&P EBITDA $69.0M estimate* versus company’s Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $68–$72M . Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The core thesis—contracted, production‑weighted Water Infrastructure—continues to play out: margin quality >50% and backlog visibility improved, supporting Q2 sequential growth and a 2026 ramp from the largest project in company history .
- Near-term Services/Chemicals revenue headwinds appear manageable given expected margin resilience (Services 20–22%, Chemicals 14–16%) and consolidated Q2 EBITDA guide of $68–$72M .
- Working capital normalization is an important watch item for FCF in 2025 after Q1 ERP-driven build; management expects abatement and cash release over coming quarters .
- Capex raised to fund high-return, contracted WI growth ($225–$250M); FCF conversion trimmed to ~5–15% in 2025 as growth outlays are prioritized, but balance sheet/liquidity strengthened via new $550M credit facility and term loan .
- Gas basin optionality (Haynesville/Marcellus) and LNG tailwinds could diversify cycle risk and offer high-ROI brownfield expansions .
- AV Farms (Colorado) offers ultra long-dated, higher-margin, non-energy cash flows; LOIs progressing; Select to operate the asset over time .
- Dividend maintained at $0.07/share (May 16) provides a base return while growth projects scale .
Appendix: Q1 2025 Additional Details
- Segment outlook Q2’25: WI revenue up low double-digits, GM before D&A >50%; Services revenue down 5–10% with GM 20–22%; Chemicals revenue down mid-single digits with GM 14–16% .
- Non-GAAP definitions and reconciliations provided in the earnings release (Adjusted EBITDA, Gross Profit before D&A, Free Cash Flow) .
- Dividend: $0.07 per share declared April 24; payable May 16 to holders of record May 6 .
Notes: Where estimates are shown with an asterisk (*), values were retrieved from S&P Global.