Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

Xometry - Q3 2023

November 9, 2023

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Xometry's Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session.

To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one, one on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star one, one again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Shawn Milne, VP of Investor Relations.

Shawn Milne (VP of Investor Relations)

Good morning and thank you for joining us on Xometry's third quarter 2023 earnings call. Joining me are Randy Altschuler, our Chief Executive Officer, and Jim Rallo, our Chief Financial Officer. During today's call, we will review our financial results for the third quarter of 2023 and discuss our guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2023.

During today's call, we will make forward-looking statements, including statements related to the expected performance of our business, future financial results, strategy, long-term growth, and overall future prospects. Such statements may be identified by terms such as believe, expect, intend, and may. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause them to differ materially from actual results.

Information concerning those risks is available in our earnings press release, distributed before the market opened today, and in our filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Form 10-K for the year ended 31 December 2022, and our Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2023, that will be filed later today. We caution you to not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements and undertake no duty or obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of new information, future events, or changes in our expectations.

We'd also like to point out that on today's call, we report GAAP and non-GAAP results. We use these non-GAAP financial measures internally for financial and operating decision-making purposes and as a means to evaluate period-to-period comparisons.

Non-GAAP financial measures are presented in addition to, and not as a substitute or superior to, measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with US GAAP. To see the reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures, please refer to our earnings press release distributed today and our investor presentation, both of which are available on the investors section of our website at investors.xometry.com. A replay of today's call will also be posted on our website. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Randy.

Randy Altschuler (CEO)

Thank you, Shawn. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our third quarter 2023 earnings call. In third quarter, we had record financial results, including our highest revenue and gross profit in Xometry history. We reduced our Adjusted EBITDA loss by 51% from the prior quarter on our path to profitability. Behind those strong results was record additions of active buyers and orders and leverage on all of our operating expenses.

With momentum from third quarter carrying into fourth quarter, we are successfully executing what we set out to do in the beginning of this year: return to our historical marketplace revenue growth of 40%+, expand gross margins, improve operating efficiencies, and reduce fixed costs so we could go from a $11.8 million Adjusted EBITDA loss in first quarter to potentially break even in fourth quarter.

This positions Xometry for robust growth and full-year adjusted EBITDA profitability in 2024. We continue to innovate and expand. In October, we launched Teamspace, a collaboration tool to augment our enterprise sales efforts and increase our organic buyer growth. Additionally, today, we announced a new exciting partnership with Google Cloud to leverage Vertex AI to accelerate instant quoting for new markets on Xometry's AI-powered marketplace. I will outline each in more detail later in the call. Here are some of the financial highlights from third quarter and their expected impact on fourth quarter.

Let's start with revenue. We grew revenue 15% year-over-year to $119 million, driven by strong 22% year-over-year growth in marketplace revenue, offset by a 16% year-over-year decline in supplier services revenue, primarily due to the discontinuation of our sale of tools and materials. Marketplace revenue included 78% year-over-year growth in our international segment, primarily in our European markets. We had forecast even more revenue growth in international in third quarter, but some of that has been pushed into fourth quarter due to the timing of certain orders.

US marketplace third quarter revenue was also strong, with the highest sequential quarterly growth in the last 12 months, growing $9 million quarter-over-quarter from second quarter of this year. In both the US and internationally, growth was across many customer verticals, including general manufacturing, industrial equipment, aerospace, and defense.

Growth remains strong in injection molding, as recent investments in technology and processes are driving an expanding pipeline of business. Underlying activity in the marketplace is strong, with active buyers and orders in third quarter growing over 40% year-over-year. In fourth quarter, we expect marketplace revenue growth and active buyer growth to converge as quarterly revenue per active buyer remains stable year-over-year. This will power overall marketplace growth of approximately 40% in fourth quarter.

Coupled with relatively flat quarter-over-quarter supplier services revenue, we expect overall revenue growth in fourth quarter in the range of 30%... next is gross profit. Gross profit increased 13% year-over-year to $46.2 million, driven by 25% growth in marketplace gross profit. Over the last two years, we've expanded marketplace gross margins by 550 basis points. In fourth quarter, we expect marketplace gross margins to increase sequentially quarter-over-quarter, driven by our machine learning algorithms and the growth of our network of suppliers. Finally, is our adjusted EBITDA.

As I noted earlier, in third quarter, we further improved our operating leverage, reducing our Adjusted EBITDA loss from second quarter by 51% or $4.4 million. This is a result of higher revenue and gross profits, increased operating efficiency, and cuts we've made in our fixed costs. In third quarter, we balanced our advertising investments against profitability goals, with advertising spend down 7% year-over-year. Our marketplace unit economics continuing to improve, driven by expanding gross margins and increasing advertising efficiencies, partly driven by the strong growth in our SEO traffic.

We reduced our cost to acquire a net new active buyer by 27% year-over-year. Powering our strong third quarter financial results and the outlook for fourth quarter, was progress we made in different areas of our business. Here are some of the highlights.

One, after a successful pilot with several large customers in third quarter, in fourth quarter, we integrated Teamspace into the Xometry platform for all of our buyers to use. Teamspace moves the Xometry marketplace from a focus on individual buyers and parts, to procurement teams managing assemblies and products. Teamspace further expands our enterprise solutions and land and expand strategy. We expect Teamspace to drive organic user growth on the marketplace and further drive advertising efficiency.

The early feedback is positive, with rapid adoption, including over 300 teams created since launch. Two, we continue to expand aggressively internationally. Customers and orders are ramping at a solid pace in recently launched markets, including the United Kingdom. In third quarter, we added Portuguese to our European site and launched new automated inspection reports for buyers.

In early fourth quarter, Xometry Asia, in collaboration with Alibaba Group's 1688.com, launched our instant quoting technology on 1688's B2B wholesale marketplace mobile app. Through xometry.eu, xometry.uk, and xometry.asia, we've leveraged Xometry's core technology to provide localized marketplaces in 14 different languages, with networks of suppliers across Europe and Asia, as well as North America.

Three, we made further progress expanding our marketplace menu with new processes, materials, finishes, and certifications. In third quarter, we launched a new certification on the platform, AS9100, which is an important quality management standard for the global aerospace industry. This further expands our capabilities in this vertical and is particularly relevant for customers ordering flight parts. Four, we continue to modernize advertising products and expand self-service options on the Thomasnet platform, making it easier for suppliers to start their advertising journey.

In third quarter, we made further investments to move to a pay-for-performance advertising model on Thomasnet.com. Five, today, we announced a partnership with Google Cloud, leveraging Vertex AI to help accelerate deployment of new auto quoting models within Xometry's AI-powered instant quoting engine. Since our inception, we've been utilizing AI to instantly quote a growing number of categories in our marketplace. Leveraging Vertex AI, Xometry expects to accelerate the deployment of new auto quoting models.

With the data we have for hundreds of additional unique categories, including many in Thomasnet, we can further grow our customer share of wallet in the giant custom manufacturing market. This partnership represents a formidable combination. Xometry is a technology company disrupting an addressable market that can be measured in multi-trillion dollars and millions of buyers.

As we continue to expand the application of our AI, increase the breadth of what we can offer, and grow our international footprint, we are serving more and more buyers. Likewise, as we continue to gain market share, we expect more and more suppliers to participate, accepting jobs from buyers, advertising on Thomasnet, and using our Workcenter software. Capitalizing on those trends, we not only expect accelerated revenue growth in fourth quarter of this year, we expect robust growth in 2024 and for many years thereafter.

We went public in 2021 with the goal of driving significant shareholder value by building a large, disruptive, leading technology company in one of the largest global industries. The shift to the digital, which has happened in so many other industries, is inevitable in custom manufacturing.

We are the market leader, and every day we continue to expand our competitive moat by improving upon our proprietary pricing and matching algorithms, growing our data lake, enlarging our network of buyers and suppliers, and increasing our global footprint. Throughout 2023, our sequential revenue growth and profitability have improved each quarter. In fourth quarter, we expect accelerating revenue growth of approximately 30% and the potential to be Adjusted EBITDA breakeven, setting Xometry up for a powerful 2024. With that, I'll now turn the call over to our CFO, Jim Rallo.

Jim Rallo (CFO)

Thanks, Randy, and good morning, everyone. As Randy mentioned, third quarter was a record revenue and gross profit quarter for Xometry, and we significantly reduced our adjusted EBITDA loss quarter over quarter 51%. Third quarter revenue increased 15% year-over-year to $119 million, driven by strong growth. Third quarter marketplace revenue was $102 million, and supplier services revenue was $16.5 million, reflecting the discontinuation of the sale of supplies. Third quarter revenue growth, adjusting for the exit of the supplies business, increased year-over-year.

Third quarter marketplace revenue increased 22% year-over-year, driven by a strong growth in the number of active buyers, partly offset by lower average revenue per buyer on a basis. Third quarter active buyers increased 43% year-over-year to 52,467, with a record net addition of 4,173 active buyers.

Our active buyer and order growth were much stronger than our reported marketplace revenue growth rate in third quarter. In fourth quarter, we expect marketplace revenue growth and active buyer growth to converge as quarterly revenue per active buyer remains stable year-over-year. This will drive overall marketplace revenue growth of approximately 40% in fourth quarter, year-over-year. In third quarter, the percentage of revenue from existing accounts was 96%, underscoring the efficiency and transparency of our business model that leads to increasing account stickiness and spend over time.

Once an account joins our platform, we aim to expand the relationship and increase engagement in spending activities from the account over time. The number of accounts with last twelve months spend of at least $50,000 on our platform reached 1,223 at the end of third quarter, up 26% year-over-year.

In third quarter, we accelerated the growth of net new accounts with LTM spend of at least $50,000, with 64 versus 50 in second quarter. Supplier services revenue declined 16% year-over-year in third quarter. We discontinued the sale of supplies in the US in second quarter, which negatively impacted supplier services revenue by approximately $2 million year-over-year in third quarter. Our core advertising and marketing services revenue remained stable in third quarter, quarter-over-quarter.

The number of active paying suppliers for third quarter 2023 was 7,415 on a trailing 12-month basis, a decrease of 2% year-over-year. Excluding the impact of the exit of the supplies business, active paying suppliers increased 4% year-over-year. Active paying suppliers is the number of suppliers who have purchased one or more of our supplier services, including digital marketing or financial services, during the last twelve months.

third quarter gross profit was $46.2 million, an increase of 13% year-over-year. Total gross profit margin 38.9%. Third quarter gross margin from marketplace was 31.1%, up 70 basis points year-over-year. Third quarter marketplace gross profit dollars increased 25% year-over-year. We are focused on driving marketplace gross profit dollar growth. In third quarter, incremental marketplace gross margin was 34% year-over-year, providing further visibility to our long-term gross margin expectations of 35% to 40%. We expect marketplace gross margin to expand sequentially from third quarter to fourth quarter.

Third quarter gross margin for supplier services was an all-time high of 87.2%, driven by the high gross margin of Thomas Marketing and Advertising Services and growing financial services. Supplier services gross margin increased 740 basis points quarter-over-quarter due to the discontinuation of the sales of supplies, which carried a significant lower gross margin.

Moving on to third quarter costs. Third quarter total non-GAAP operating expenses increased 6% year-over-year to $50.5 million. Third quarter non-GAAP operating expenses declined $2 million quarter-over-quarter, reflecting the full quarter impact of the 4% reduction in workforce and consolidation of office space we announced in second quarter 2023. Additionally, based on our cost savings and operating efficiency initiatives, we are seeing improving profitability in our Thomas Advertising and Marketing Services businesses.

Within our operating expenses, sales and marketing is our largest component. In third quarter, non-GAAP sales and marketing expenses increased 9% to $21.2 million, as compared to $19.5 million in third quarter 2022. This increase in non-GAAP sales and marketing expense on a year-over-year basis was driven by hiring of additional salespeople to support growth in our Land and Expand strategy. We delivered record growth in new net active buyers in third quarter, leveraging increasing brand awareness and marketing.

Third quarter advertising spend decreased 7% year-over-year as we continue to balance growth and goals. Third quarter adjusted EBITDA loss was $4.2 million or 3.5% of revenue, compared with 6.3% of revenue in third quarter 2022. Turning to segment reporting. In third quarter, revenue from our US and international operating segments was $103 million and $15.5 million, respectively. As Randy mentioned earlier, we saw strong order growth in Europe.

We had forecast even more European revenue growth in third quarter, but some of that has been pushed into fourth quarter due to the timing of certain orders... we therefore expect particularly strong quarter-over-quarter international revenue growth in fourth quarter. Segment loss from our US and international operating segments for third quarter was $7.9 million and $4.1 million, respectively. At the end of the third quarter, cash and cash equivalents and marketable securities were $276.8 million. Now, moving on to guidance.

We are widening our revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance range slightly, given the rapid growth and increasing size of our business. In particular, for revenue, our range encompasses the recent strengthening of the US dollar, which creates a potential incremental headwind in fourth quarter revenue versus our prior guidance on a spot basis.

We expect fourth quarter 2023 revenue in the range of $126 to 130 million, representing year-over-year growth of 28% to 32%. We expect marketplace revenue growth to accelerate in fourth quarter on a year-over-year basis to the 40% range. As previously mentioned, in fourth quarter, we expect our marketplace revenue growth to largely converge with the active buyer growth rates that we have consistently delivered this year. In fourth quarter, we expect adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of breakeven to a loss of $2 million.

Fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA loss will be lower quarter over-quarter, driven by sequential growth in marketplace revenue, improving marketplace gross profit, increased operating efficiency, and further measures to tighten operating expenses. We are continuing to invest in key growth initiatives, including enterprise sales and international.

In fourth quarter, we expect Stock-Based Compensation expense to be approximately $5 to 6 million, which we will exclude from Adjusted EBITDA. With that, operator, can you please open up the call for questions?

Operator (participant)

Thank you very much. As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star one, one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star one, one again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question today comes from Brian Drab with William Blair. Your line is open. Brian, your line is open.

Shawn Milne (VP of Investor Relations)

Operator, we can come back to Brian for a second if he's on.

Operator (participant)

Pardon me?

Shawn Milne (VP of Investor Relations)

We can come back to Brian in a second if he jumps back on. Let's go to the next caller.

Operator (participant)

Okay. Our next caller is Nick Jones from JMP Securities. Your line is open.

Nick Jones (Managing Director of Internet Equity Research)

Great, thank you for taking the questions. I have two. I guess first on kind of the buyer growth, can you speak to how much the Teamspace is contributing to the buyer growth? You know, I think in the shareholder, there was over 300 teams have been created. Could this kind of structurally change the type of kind of net adds we should expect on the active buyer number?

And then I guess a follow-up on this would be, you know, what is the spending behavior of active buyers coming in through Teamspace? Do they spend similarly, you know, if you're gonna increase maybe the net adds from this solution, does this maybe weigh on marketplace revenue per active buyer near term as you kind of ratchet up the number of active buyers adding? Thanks.

Randy Altschuler (CEO)

Thanks, Nick. It's Randy, and great question. So, we didn't release Teamspace until October. So, in third quarter, it was still in beta with just a handful of customers. So, the record net add in third quarter was not because of Teamspace, but we certainly think that Teamspace in fourth quarter and beyond will contribute to net active, you know, the growth in net active buyers. At this point, we don't expect there to be any change, negative change in revenue per quarter from active buyers with the Teamspace. Potential upside, but at this point, we certainly don't expect any downside from it.

Shawn Milne (VP of Investor Relations)

Yeah, Nick, it's Shawn. I'd just add, you know, in third quarter, what we saw, you know, as Randy said, record net additions. We're seeing really strong growth in SEO traffic. You know, one of the things we called out on the call was that our cost of a net new active buyer was down 27% year-over-year. So, seeing very strong efficiency in advertising. We're also seeing very good growth in Europe as well, and just seeing across the board, our brand awareness is improving, and you should continue to see very healthy net adds going forward.

Nick Jones (Managing Director of Internet Equity Research)

Great. If I can ask just a quick follow-up on international. You know, still strong year-over-year growth, but sequentially it was kind of flat in third quarter. Anything to call out on what's happening internationally. Are things may be slowing down a little bit on a sequential basis, or just any extra color there would be great. Thanks.

Randy Altschuler (CEO)

Yeah. No, Nick, business is very healthy in international, and again, this year, as we talk about international, it's primarily Europe. Order growth and buyer growth is very strong. It was really just a timing issue. So, as we call out on the call, on the call, you're gonna see some really strong quarter-over-quarter revenue growth in international, particularly in Europe, in fourth quarter. So, everything's going great. It's more of a timing issue, and you should see a nice uptick in fourth quarter.

Shawn Milne (VP of Investor Relations)

Yeah, and it's Shawn again, and just to, you know, double click on that, I mean, again, that was a very slight timing issue. All that revenue has been recognized in October, and we have good visibility there, and we expect strong sequential growth. As Randy said, top of the funnel in Europe in third quarter, year-over-year, was very strong in terms of buyer and order growth.

Nick Jones (Managing Director of Internet Equity Research)

Thanks, Randy. Thanks, Shawn.

Randy Altschuler (CEO)

Thanks, Nick.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. We will now return to Brian Drab with William Blair. Your line is open. Mr. Drab? We appear to be having...

Brian Drab (Co-Group Head)

Come on. Hello?

Operator (participant)

Oh, there you are.

Brian Drab (Co-Group Head)

Can you hear me?

Operator (participant)

Yes, sir.

Randy Altschuler (CEO)

We can hear you now, Brian.

Brian Drab (Co-Group Head)

Sorry, sorry, sorry that's what you heard first. I was about to say something else. Yeah, I think we need an announcement about how that we're gonna be muted when we get introduced. Star six, I guess, fixes that. So anyways, it'd be very interesting and will be very interesting to see how you guys perform when manufacturing environment is actually a little more favorable.

This is impressive results in this environment. Randy, I wonder, can you talk at all about the trends that you're seeing in some of the different services, different service lines? You mentioned injection molding was positive. Can you comment on, you know, trajectory and CNC and 3D printing as well?

Randy Altschuler (CEO)

Yeah, Brian, it really has been, you know, strong growth across the board. You know, injection molding has been particularly strong, but we're really seeing good upticks in all categories. So it's pretty broad, and as we said, also, it's across many industries.

Brian Drab (Co-Group Head)

Okay, great. And I guess you called out financial services and the good margins, you know, that you have in the financial services. Is that, you know, it feels like that has yet to really gain the traction that it might at some point. Can you just talk more about, you know, what you expect for that component of the business in the future?

Randy Altschuler (CEO)

Yeah, Brian, I think financial services actually have continued to expand. That's being driven obviously by the addition of suppliers into the, into the marketplace and the adoption of that. I think what we, what we really called out in the quarter was the increase in margin on the supplier services side of the business, so where, again, the fin serve sits. So you saw increasing margins there this period, and we expect that to continue.

A lot of that had to do with, obviously, the exit of supplies and materials. So, you know, with that part of the business being gone now, and we'll lap that obviously in this quarter here, you know, we feel really good about where the margins are going in the business overall.

Jim Rallo (CFO)

And the advertising, just to add to what you said, the advertising business is very high margin, Brian. So the fin serve business obviously is very high, too, but the advertising business, so the core, you know, the biggest product we have in supplier services is very high margin.

Brian Drab (Co-Group Head)

Okay, thanks. And then, for now, just lastly, you know, you're adding more manufacturing partners all the time. It is a challenging environment in the industrial world right now. And even heard, you know, one of your competitors talking about how their manufacturer partner base has, you know, some extra capacity in certain regions.

And, you know, it... I'm just wondering, how can you comment at all about trends in how fast your manufacturing partners are accepting jobs or prices, trend in prices at which they're accepting jobs, and, you know, what kind of bearing that is having on Marketplace Gross Margin? Thanks.

Randy Altschuler (CEO)

Yeah. Okay, so in terms of Marketplace gross margin, just to jump on that, you know, we've indicated that we expect gross margins for Marketplace to grow sequentially from third quarter to fourth quarter. And again, just to, you know, put, just to be clear, you know, the incremental gross margin in third quarter for Marketplace was 34%, so very strong there.

I do want to say, Brian, you know, so our revenue per Active Buyer per quarter has been, you know, flat this year. Was slightly up in third quarter, but basically flat since fourth quarter of last year. We do not expect that to change. We don't see any trends in that changing. So, irrespective if there's a little bit more capacity here or there, or price on an individual part goes up or down, we expect revenue per Active Buyer to be flat to stable.

Brian Drab (Co-Group Head)

Okay, thanks very much.

Randy Altschuler (CEO)

Thanks, Brian.

Operator (participant)

Thank you for your question. One moment. Our next question comes from Eric Sheridan with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

Eric Sheridan (Managing Director)

Thanks so much for taking the question. Maybe if I could just ask one that's more bigger picture. With the partnership with Google Cloud, just to better understand a little bit of implementation of that partnership, how we should see it showing up in the numbers as we look into 2024, and what you think, it was implied in your prepared remarks, but how we should be thinking about sort of, bringing more, density into the marketplace and potentially, widening out some of the vertical exposure. Thanks.

Randy Altschuler (CEO)

Yeah, Eric, thanks. Thanks for the question. So, you know, we're very excited about this partnership, and this will help us accelerate the expansion and deployment of new categories in our auto quoting engine. And think about it, you know, things that have taken us months to years will now go weeks to months in terms of how quickly we can deploy things.

And we think it will have a material impact on the number of categories and different processes that we can auto quote. It's, you know, it's gonna be happening over a period of months. And as you see us deploy new categories during that period, you know, we can provide updates.

Jim Rallo (CFO)

Great. Thank you.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. As a reminder, please unmute your phone if so that you are able to ask your question. Our next question comes from Ron Josey from Citi. Your line is open.

Ron Josey (Managing Director)

Great. Thanks for taking the question. Maybe, Randy and Jim, can you just walk us through a little bit more on the revenue per active buyer? I know it was down more here in third quarter, but then I think the guidance was for it to be stable, flat to stable in fourth quarter. So, I'd love to hear more insights on that in terms of what you're seeing. And then any thoughts on just around the top 200 largest accounts, the penetration there? Are you seeing, call it expansion of buyers, across those active, those top 200? Thank you.

Randy Altschuler (CEO)

Yeah, thank you. So just to, just to be clear, everybody, we saw last year, you know, third quarter last year was a high watermark for us for revenue, monthly revenue per active buyer marketplace. And then we saw a sharp reduction from third quarter of last year to fourth quarter.

Since fourth quarter of last year, our revenue per active buyer, you know, each quarter has been flat. So, when we gave the comment about year-over-year, that was because last year was a high watermark, but most important, it's been flat, and we expect it to be flat again in fourth quarter. So now, as we are now in a sort of a flat basis from fourth quarter of last year, that's why we thought about how we expect the growth in active buyers to mirror our growth in marketplace revenue.

So, we, you know, and we've been trending there on, in the 40%+ range throughout this year, and we expect, you know, as we talked about in the call, sort of a 40% marketplace growth in fourth quarter. So since fourth quarter of last year, that metric has been very stable, and we expect it to continue to be stable. On the second question...

Jim Rallo (CFO)

Can you repeat the second question?

Ron Josey (Managing Director)

Sure. It was just about expanding in the top 200 largest accounts, given the focus there. And Randy, that was very helpful on the revenue per active buyer comment, but just top 200 largest accounts and the progress there.

Jim Rallo (CFO)

Yeah, I think, I mean, the one thing I would say is, you know, we saw very strong growth quarter-over-quarter in the US And then part of that is, you know, we are, is we've talked about focusing on the top 200 accounts. And, you know, as Randy mentioned on the call, you know, we just introduced Teamspace, and that's for all our buyers, but, but in particular, you know, we think this is gonna be very helpful for our top 200 accounts. And so again, we're really pleased with the traction thus far, and we'll keep you up to date on that.

Ron Josey (Managing Director)

Okay, thank you.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. Our next question comes from Corey Carpenter with JP Morgan. Your line is open.

Danny Pfeiffer (Equity Research Associate)

Hey, this is Danny Pfeiffer on for Corey Carpenter. Thanks for the questions. On the first, can you just talk about if there's anything to call out in particular on what led to the sequential decline of marketplace gross margins in third quarter? And then on the second, is there any update on the Alibaba 1688 partnership and how that's performing? And maybe if you could, size any current or potential revenue contribution. Thanks.

Randy Altschuler (CEO)

Yeah. Hey, thanks. Thanks for the questions, Jim. So, I think a couple of things. One, on the Alibaba relationship, so that continued to evolve. I think we have just rolled out recently for that mobile. So that's been a big change recently. And we first rolled out, obviously, we shared everything, it was all laptop-based, which is not really used very much in China. So, the mobile has really helped. We started to get- we're starting to get orders rolling out there.

So, we do expect that to, you know, continue to, to, you know, be a bigger piece of the China business. But to be clear, that's very immaterial at this point in time. We don't really have to see a lot of that in the next quarter, but we are making, you know, we are making good progress there.

Jim Rallo (CFO)

In terms of the gross margin, so just to, you know, refresh, you know, that was up 70 basis points year-over-year. We, you know, we do expect that the gross margin sequentially for marketplace to grow from third quarter to fourth quarter. And again, if you look at the incremental gross margin, it was 34% in the third quarter. So, we feel, you know, again, we feel good about exiting 2024 with that 35% to 40%. But there's gonna be some slight variability, but there's really nothing of note why it may have declined sequentially.

Randy Altschuler (CEO)

Yeah. I think also, though, what we've said, right, growth, growth margin is gonna continue to increase, but it's not gonna increase in a straight line. So, you know, we'll have better quarters and, you know, we'll have slower growth quarters and so forth. So I think, again, we're moving in the right direction. We feel solid about our guidance of 35% to 40%, and we're certainly well on our path to get there.

Danny Pfeiffer (Equity Research Associate)

Thanks.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. Our next question comes from Matt Hedberg with RBC. Your line is open.

Matt Hedberg (Software Research Analyst)

Great, guys. Thanks for the question. Maybe a high-level question, either Randy or Jim. I think, Randy, on the call, you noted you expect to you expect robust growth in 2024, and obviously, you haven't really given us a ton of parameters around that. But wondering if you could sort of outline for us key building blocks for next year's growth, just so we can kind of make sure that we're kind of thinking about the trajectory appropriately next year before the fourth quarter call.

Shawn Milne (VP of Investor Relations)

Hey, Matt, it's Shawn. I'll take that. You know, we're not going to guide there, obviously, specifically to today, but the building blocks are, you know, as we called out before, you should continue to expect to see strong, robust net active buyers being added every quarter. So, you can build that into your model. And, you know, we delivered over 4,000 this quarter, and that did not have the impact of Teamspace, so we'll have to update you as we get into 2024 on that impact.

And then against that, we're seeing very stable marketplace revenue per active buyer. So, as we called out on this call, you're now going to see that marketplace revenue is converging with buyer growth and order growth.

I would think that that's the kind of building block you should look into for 2024. Then in supplier services, you know, we expect to grow that in 2024, you know, modestly, but we've put in investments this year to modernize the Thomasnet platform. We brought in a new head of sales, and we expect some of these moves to bear some fruit next year, and that's a very high-margin business.

Randy Altschuler (CEO)

Yeah, I would just add on that, too, is the penetration of our top 200 accounts. We continue to see strong penetration in our top 200 accounts, and really, we've done, you know, a great job here with Teamspace. Teamspace is our fastest adopted service or product that we've rolled out since the company's been founded. It's unbelievable, the adoption to that, especially with our top 200 accounts. We're seeing great adoption throughout the organization, a lot more engineers getting involved, and frankly, we feel real good about that in driving revenue next year.

Matt Hedberg (Software Research Analyst)

Thanks, guys. Super helpful. Yeah, it really does seem like Teamspace could be a, could be a nice incremental boost to 2024 and beyond. Thanks, thanks again, guys, for the time.

Operator (participant)

Thank you for your question. Our next question comes from Greg Palm with Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Your line is open.

Greg Palm (Senior Research Analyst)

Yeah, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. Just, you know, broadly speaking, I'm curious if you have noticed any kind of change in buyer behavior, you know, over, you know, recent months relative to kind of what you've seen on a year-to-date basis, whether that be, you know, buying more parts, whether that be utilizing, you know, standard versus priority shipping, et cetera. Anything to note? And then just, specifically, in the month of October, any change in trends relative to sort of what you saw over the course of third quarter?

Randy Altschuler (CEO)

Yeah, so let me start with the first one, and good morning. So, we really haven't seen any change in buyer behavior. And again, just to reiterate, we expect revenue per active buyer each quarter to be relatively flat quarter over quarter and into next year as well. October has been strong. So...

Shawn Milne (VP of Investor Relations)

Yeah, and...

Randy Altschuler (CEO)

Or 1 October 2023.

Shawn Milne (VP of Investor Relations)

Greg, it's Shawn. The one thing, and Jim mentioned in his script, just look, in terms of the fourth quarter revenue range, we're just being mindful of recent currency changes. You know, Jim talked about it, but if the US dollar were to be 5% stronger for the entire quarter, it would be about a $1 million impact. So we're just being mindful of that.

Greg Palm (Senior Research Analyst)

Yep. Okay. Thanks, thanks for that clarification. And then I'm curious, as you look out, whether it's next year or at some point, you've given, you know, this metric with, you know, accounts last twelve months spend of over $50,000. I'm curious if you have... you know, I'm sure you've got the information, whether that's over $100 or over $200,000 of spend and how that's growing.

I know you've been trying to go deeper within those sorts of top accounts, and I'm just sort of curious if we'll get some more sort of metrics like that, that show that, you know, the amount of money that some of your top customers are spending is accelerating. Maybe you can maybe give us a little bit of detail on what you're seeing there.

Randy Altschuler (CEO)

Yeah, I think that's a good question, and I, you know, we've been talking about, at the right time, adding another metric at a higher dollar amount. So, to you know, to be seen, but we, we hear you, and we think it's a smart idea.

Shawn Milne (VP of Investor Relations)

Greg, the other thing is, you know, we've talked about with you before is, you know, we have certainly invested in our enterprise sales efforts in 2023. As you know, we have a new leader in that group, and what we're really trying to move to in 2024 is to get our largest accounts with committed spend. So not only is there a potential tranche of, you know, potential new KPI of a higher spend number, you know, we'll update you as we get further along. We're really trying to get with our biggest customers and have them drive committed spend, which would add a lot of visibility certainly for you guys.

Greg Palm (Senior Research Analyst)

Yep, makes sense. Okay, I will leave it there. Thanks.

Operator (participant)

Thank you very much. This concludes our question and answer session. We do thank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the program, and you may now disconnect. Have a good day.