XI
Xometry, Inc. (XMTR)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record quarter: revenue $132.6M (+19% Y/Y), record gross profit $52.9M (+21% Y/Y), and record marketplace gross margin 33.5% (+180 bps Y/Y), with Adjusted EBITDA loss narrowing to $2.6M (2.0% of revenue) .
- Q3 guide: revenue $136–$138M (+14–16% Y/Y) and Adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.5–$3.5M; FY24 outlook reaffirmed for marketplace revenue growth of at least 20% and supplier services down ~10% .
- Structural margin expansion continued; management targets ~35% marketplace gross margin by year-end 2024, citing AI-driven pricing/matching and supplier network scaling .
- Product catalysts: beta instant quoting for tube cutting/bending leveraging Google Cloud Vertex AI, expected Q3 rollout; continued Teamspace adoption (3,300+ teams) supports enterprise penetration .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Record topline and profitability metrics: “record revenue, record gross profit and record gross margins” driven by 25% marketplace growth; Adjusted EBITDA loss improved 70% Y/Y to $2.6M (2% of revenue) .
- Marketplace unit economics: marketplace gross margin reached 33.5% (record), with management “target[ing] towards 35% by the end of the year,” attributing gains to AI price prediction and optimal supplier matching .
- Enterprise and buyer growth: active buyers +27% Y/Y to 61,530; accounts with LTM ≥$50K +24% Y/Y to 1,436; management: “we are increasingly becoming embedded across our customer supply chains” .
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What Went Wrong
- Supplier services headwind: revenue down 13% Y/Y as tools/materials exit and non-core wind-down continue; active paying suppliers down 7% Y/Y to 6,992 .
- Profitability still negative on GAAP basis: net loss of $13.7M; SBC of $8.1M, payroll tax on SBC $0.8M, D&A $3.3M; Adjusted EBITDA definition updated to exclude payroll tax related to SBC .
- Guide implies slower Y/Y growth vs H1 due to tougher comps; management highlighted Q4’23’s +42% marketplace comp and maintained “at least 20%” marketplace growth stance amid macro uncertainty .
Financial Results
Headline P&L (oldest → newest)
Estimate context (Actual vs Estimates vs Guidance)
Note: S&P Global consensus data were unavailable due to request limits at retrieval time. Values would normally be sourced from S&P Global.
Segment revenue (oldest → newest)
KPIs (as of period end)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We delivered record revenue, record gross profit and record gross margins as our AI-powered marketplace continues to gain market share” .
- CEO: “We grew our marketplace revenue 25%…and a record 33.5% marketplace gross margin as more customers turn to Xometry for their supply chain solutions” .
- CFO: “Q2 gross margin for marketplace was a record 33.5%… We still think we can target towards 35% by the end of the year” .
- CFO: “We expect to reach adjusted EBITDA profitability at the $600 million revenue run rate” .
- CEO: On enterprise adoption: “a top global medical device company embedded the Xometry marketplace directly into their procurement program” .
- CTO press statement: Vertex AI “accelerate[s] the pace at which we develop and bring to market new auto-quote methods and models” (tube cutting/bending) .
Q&A Highlights
- Margin outlook and drivers: Management reiterated a path toward ~35% marketplace GM by YE 2024, citing AI-driven pricing, better supplier matching, and data scale as key levers .
- Growth cadence and comps: Underlying metrics remain strong; team maintained “at least 20%” marketplace growth view and highlighted very tough Q4’23 comp (+42% Y/Y) that will weigh on optics .
- Buyer behavior: Revenue per active buyer decreased ~1% Y/Y but rose ~4% Q/Q; net adds of ~3,000 buyers; growing ≥$50K accounts supports deeper enterprise penetration .
- International: Trends “very strong”; apparent deceleration versus Q1 driven by prior-year comp, not demand; semiconductors cited as a strong end market, including AI-related tailwinds .
- EBITDA bridge/guide: Q3 EBITDA loss $(1.5)–$(3.5)M reflects continued investment balancing with leverage; long-term profitability tied to scale and operating discipline .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates could not be retrieved at the time of analysis due to request limits; as a result, explicit beats/misses vs Street consensus cannot be asserted. We anchored guidance and results to company disclosures and will update vs-consensus deltas when S&P Global data are accessible .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Marketplace flywheel strengthening: AI-led pricing/matching plus supplier network scaling is expanding gross margins (33.5% in Q2; ~35% YE target), a key driver of earnings power as volume ramps .
- Operational leverage improving: Adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to 2% of revenue; company beat its own Q2 revenue and EBITDA guidance, underscoring execution .
- Near-term optics: Q3 guide (+14–16% Y/Y) reflects tougher comps rather than fundamental deceleration; model gross profit dollars accelerating in H2 given margin gains .
- Enterprise penetration rising: Teamspace adoption (3,300+ teams) and ERP integrations support larger accounts (≥$50K LTM +24% Y/Y), improving stickiness and share of wallet .
- Product catalysts: New instant-quote categories (tube cutting/bending) and APAC/Europe enhancements should broaden TAM and improve conversion/retention .
- Mix headwind persists: Supplier services revenue declines (while high-margin) remain a top-line drag; modernization aims to stabilize and restore growth over time .
- Liquidity and runway: ~$241M cash and marketable securities supports continued investment and path to Adjusted EBITDA breakeven at ~$600M revenue run-rate .
Additional notes
- Non-GAAP definitions changed in Q2’24 to exclude payroll tax expense related to stock-based compensation; consider for period-to-period Adjusted EBITDA comparability .