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Xometry, Inc. (XMTR)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record quarter: revenue $132.6M (+19% Y/Y), record gross profit $52.9M (+21% Y/Y), and record marketplace gross margin 33.5% (+180 bps Y/Y), with Adjusted EBITDA loss narrowing to $2.6M (2.0% of revenue) .
  • Q3 guide: revenue $136–$138M (+14–16% Y/Y) and Adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.5–$3.5M; FY24 outlook reaffirmed for marketplace revenue growth of at least 20% and supplier services down ~10% .
  • Structural margin expansion continued; management targets ~35% marketplace gross margin by year-end 2024, citing AI-driven pricing/matching and supplier network scaling .
  • Product catalysts: beta instant quoting for tube cutting/bending leveraging Google Cloud Vertex AI, expected Q3 rollout; continued Teamspace adoption (3,300+ teams) supports enterprise penetration .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Record topline and profitability metrics: “record revenue, record gross profit and record gross margins” driven by 25% marketplace growth; Adjusted EBITDA loss improved 70% Y/Y to $2.6M (2% of revenue) .
    • Marketplace unit economics: marketplace gross margin reached 33.5% (record), with management “target[ing] towards 35% by the end of the year,” attributing gains to AI price prediction and optimal supplier matching .
    • Enterprise and buyer growth: active buyers +27% Y/Y to 61,530; accounts with LTM ≥$50K +24% Y/Y to 1,436; management: “we are increasingly becoming embedded across our customer supply chains” .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Supplier services headwind: revenue down 13% Y/Y as tools/materials exit and non-core wind-down continue; active paying suppliers down 7% Y/Y to 6,992 .
    • Profitability still negative on GAAP basis: net loss of $13.7M; SBC of $8.1M, payroll tax on SBC $0.8M, D&A $3.3M; Adjusted EBITDA definition updated to exclude payroll tax related to SBC .
    • Guide implies slower Y/Y growth vs H1 due to tougher comps; management highlighted Q4’23’s +42% marketplace comp and maintained “at least 20%” marketplace growth stance amid macro uncertainty .

Financial Results

Headline P&L (oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Revenue ($M)$128.1 $122.7 $132.6
Gross Profit ($M)$49.1 $47.9 $52.9
Gross Margin (%)38.3% 39.0% 39.9%
Marketplace Revenue ($M)$112.1 $107.2 $117.3
Supplier Services Revenue ($M)$16.1 $15.5 $15.3
Marketplace Gross Margin (%)31.3% 32.0% 33.5%
Supplier Services Gross Margin (%)87.3% 87.9% 88.9%
Net Loss ($M)$(10.6) $(16.6) $(13.7)
GAAP EPS ($)$(0.22) $(0.34) $(0.28)
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$(2.9) $(7.5) $(2.6)
Non-GAAP Net Loss ($M)$(0.4) $(5.7) $(0.6)
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$(0.01) $(0.12) $(0.01)
Cash + Marketable Securities (end) ($M)$268.8 $254.0 $241.0

Estimate context (Actual vs Estimates vs Guidance)

ItemQ2 2024 ActualQ2 2024 S&P Global ConsensusQ2 2024 Guidance (given May 9)
Revenue ($M)$132.6 N/A – S&P Global data unavailable at time of request$127–$129
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$(2.6) N/A – S&P Global data unavailable at time of request$(6)–$(8)

Note: S&P Global consensus data were unavailable due to request limits at retrieval time. Values would normally be sourced from S&P Global.

Segment revenue (oldest → newest)

Segment Revenue ($M)Q4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
U.S.$110.6 $103.4 $112.2
International$17.6 $19.3 $20.4
Total$128.1 $122.7 $132.6

KPIs (as of period end)

KPIQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Active Buyers55,458 58,504 61,530
% Revenue from Existing Accounts96% 95% 96%
Accounts with LTM ≥$50K1,331 1,381 1,436
Active Paying Suppliers7,271 7,159 6,992

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($M)Q3 2024$136–$138 New issuance
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)Q3 2024$(3.5)–$(1.5) New issuance
Marketplace Revenue GrowthFY 2024≥20% Y/Y (May 9) ≥20% Y/Y reaffirmed Maintained
Supplier Services RevenueFY 2024Down ~10% Y/Y (May 9) Down ~10% Y/Y reaffirmed Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA Profitability Timing2024“Expect to be Adj. EBITDA profitable in Q3’24” (Feb 29) “At ~$600M annual revenue run-rate” (no specific quarter) Updated methodology; Q3 timing removed
Q2’24 Revenue vs GuideQ2 2024$127–$129 (May 9) Actual $132.6 Beat vs guidance
Q2’24 Adj. EBITDA vs GuideQ2 2024$(6)–$(8) (May 9) Actual $(2.6) Beat vs guidance

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’23, Q1’24)Current Period (Q2’24)Trend
AI/Instant Quoting (Vertex AI)Partnership with Google Cloud Vertex AI; expanding instant quoting scope . Added Vacuum Casting; testing multiple new auto-quote models planned for Q3 Beta testing tube cutting/bending; release expected later Q3; leveraging Vertex AI to accelerate development Accelerating
Marketplace MarginsMarketplace GM 31.3% (Q4’23) ; 32.0% (Q1’24) Record 33.5%; management targeting ~35% by YE Improving
Enterprise/TeamspaceTeamspace launched; 1,500+ teams (Q4’23) 2,300+ teams (Q1’24) 3,300+ teams; ERP integration with large medical device firm
InternationalLaunch of xometry.uk; intl rev $17.6M (Q4’23) ; +69% Y/Y in Q1; 18% of marketplace +31% Y/Y; APAC expansion (AU/SG/NZ), WeChat service; 15 languages; 15% of marketplace Strong growth, tough comps acknowledged
Supplier Services (Thomas)Expanded self-serve and bundles (Q4’23) Beta testing self-serve ad tools (Q1’24) Modernizing platform; 88.9% GM; new partnerships (Machines Italia), expanded accounts (American Crane)
Macro/End-MarketsStrength in semis, industrial, A&D, auto (Q1’24) Continued strength incl. semis; management highlights comp headwinds and macro uncertainty Resilient vs macro

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We delivered record revenue, record gross profit and record gross margins as our AI-powered marketplace continues to gain market share” .
  • CEO: “We grew our marketplace revenue 25%…and a record 33.5% marketplace gross margin as more customers turn to Xometry for their supply chain solutions” .
  • CFO: “Q2 gross margin for marketplace was a record 33.5%… We still think we can target towards 35% by the end of the year” .
  • CFO: “We expect to reach adjusted EBITDA profitability at the $600 million revenue run rate” .
  • CEO: On enterprise adoption: “a top global medical device company embedded the Xometry marketplace directly into their procurement program” .
  • CTO press statement: Vertex AI “accelerate[s] the pace at which we develop and bring to market new auto-quote methods and models” (tube cutting/bending) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Margin outlook and drivers: Management reiterated a path toward ~35% marketplace GM by YE 2024, citing AI-driven pricing, better supplier matching, and data scale as key levers .
  • Growth cadence and comps: Underlying metrics remain strong; team maintained “at least 20%” marketplace growth view and highlighted very tough Q4’23 comp (+42% Y/Y) that will weigh on optics .
  • Buyer behavior: Revenue per active buyer decreased ~1% Y/Y but rose ~4% Q/Q; net adds of ~3,000 buyers; growing ≥$50K accounts supports deeper enterprise penetration .
  • International: Trends “very strong”; apparent deceleration versus Q1 driven by prior-year comp, not demand; semiconductors cited as a strong end market, including AI-related tailwinds .
  • EBITDA bridge/guide: Q3 EBITDA loss $(1.5)–$(3.5)M reflects continued investment balancing with leverage; long-term profitability tied to scale and operating discipline .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates could not be retrieved at the time of analysis due to request limits; as a result, explicit beats/misses vs Street consensus cannot be asserted. We anchored guidance and results to company disclosures and will update vs-consensus deltas when S&P Global data are accessible .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Marketplace flywheel strengthening: AI-led pricing/matching plus supplier network scaling is expanding gross margins (33.5% in Q2; ~35% YE target), a key driver of earnings power as volume ramps .
  • Operational leverage improving: Adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to 2% of revenue; company beat its own Q2 revenue and EBITDA guidance, underscoring execution .
  • Near-term optics: Q3 guide (+14–16% Y/Y) reflects tougher comps rather than fundamental deceleration; model gross profit dollars accelerating in H2 given margin gains .
  • Enterprise penetration rising: Teamspace adoption (3,300+ teams) and ERP integrations support larger accounts (≥$50K LTM +24% Y/Y), improving stickiness and share of wallet .
  • Product catalysts: New instant-quote categories (tube cutting/bending) and APAC/Europe enhancements should broaden TAM and improve conversion/retention .
  • Mix headwind persists: Supplier services revenue declines (while high-margin) remain a top-line drag; modernization aims to stabilize and restore growth over time .
  • Liquidity and runway: ~$241M cash and marketable securities supports continued investment and path to Adjusted EBITDA breakeven at ~$600M revenue run-rate .

Additional notes

  • Non-GAAP definitions changed in Q2’24 to exclude payroll tax expense related to stock-based compensation; consider for period-to-period Adjusted EBITDA comparability .