XH
Xerox Holdings Corp (XRX)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue was $1.46B, down 3.0% year over year (1.1% constant currency), with adjusted operating margin at 1.5% and adjusted EPS of $(0.06); GAAP EPS was $(0.75) driven by a $59M tax valuation allowance and $14M financing charges .
- Guidance maintained: FY25 low-single-digit revenue growth (CC), adjusted operating margin ≥5.0%, and free cash flow $350–$400M; management expects minimal tariff impact in Q2 while noting potential ~$50M operating income headwind from current tariffs, subject to mitigation .
- Segment mix shift accelerated: IT Solutions revenue more than doubled to $164M (+121.6% YoY) on ITsavvy integration; Print & Other fell 9.4% YoY; total segment profit declined to $46M from $57M .
- Capital allocation pivot: quarterly dividend cut to $0.025 (annualized $0.10) to prioritize deleveraging ahead of Lexmark close; company reiterates FY25 guidance and >$1/share accretion expected post-Lexmark with >$238M synergies over two years .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Equipment installations +24% YoY, with entry devices +33% and mid-range improving on PrimeLink launch; sales force productivity +13% YoY aided by AI-enabled pricing tools and process simplification .
- ITsavvy integration ahead of plan: IT Solutions revenue +121.6% YoY to $164M; pro-forma gross bookings +30%, pipeline +26%; majority of >$15M run-rate synergies implemented .
- Operating expense discipline: excluding one-time Reinvention costs and ITsavvy, OpEx fell ~$46M (10%) YoY; improved working capital supported cash conversion despite seasonality .
What Went Wrong
- Adjusted gross margin fell 220 bps YoY to 29.7% and adjusted operating margin fell 70 bps to 1.5%, reflecting higher product costs, IT Solutions mix, lower Print volumes and initial tariff costs .
- Print & Other post-sale revenue down 11.2% YoY (9.2% CC); core post-sale decline ~4% when excluding backlog, Reinvention, and intentional non-strategic reductions; supplies/page volumes under pressure .
- Free cash flow used $(109)M vs $(89)M prior year on lower operating cash flow; EBITDA proxy from estimates and OI&E pressures suggest higher interest burden; management guided Q2 adjusted op margin 4–4.5% due to tariff cost phasing .
Financial Results
Headline Results vs Prior Periods and vs Consensus
Note: Consensus values marked with * are Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Performance
Mix and KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Improved sales productivity, the successful integration of ITsavvy and other Reinvention-enabled operating efficiencies drove momentum in revenue and positive adjusted operating income in our seasonally lowest quarter.” — Steve Bandrowczak, CEO .
- “The vast majority of the expected run rate synergies totaling more than $15 million have been implemented and are expected to contribute to improved IT Solutions and total company profit in future periods.” — Management (prepared remarks) .
- “Based on tariffs in place on May 1, the expected reduction in operating income... would be around $50 million in 2025. If China tariffs are reduced from 145% to 60%, we expect to be able to offset the impact... through price increases, surcharges... and Reinvention-related savings.” — John Bruno, President & COO .
- “We maintained the guidance until the tariffs are final... we felt that a change in the guidance now, while tariffs are so fluid, wasn’t very helpful.” — Mirlanda Gecaj, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Guidance posture: Management chose to maintain FY25 targets despite fluid tariff backdrop; investors given ~$50M OI impact context and Q2 margin range for modeling .
- ITsavvy integration and cross-sell: Early signs of strong cross-sell to Print base and vice versa; pipeline/bookings momentum and operating leverage expected to drive double-digit operating profit over time .
- Post-sale trajectory: Core Print post-sale decline ~4% excluding Reinvention/backlog/non-strategic reductions; management expects stabilization as recent installations pull through supplies/services in 6–9 months .
- Free cash flow resilience: FCF more resilient than OI given working capital levers and finance receivable programs; FY25 FCF guide held at $350–$400M .
Estimates Context
Note: Consensus values and EBITDA actual marked with * are Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Implications: modest revenue beat but EPS/EBITDA underperformed consensus, largely due to margin compression from product costs, mix, and OI&E/tax headwinds; estimate revisions may trend lower near term given Q2 margin guide and tariff cost phasing .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term margin pressure likely persists into Q2 (4–4.5% adjusted operating margin) as tariff cost phasing precedes price/surcharge offsets; watch for mitigation updates and CC growth trajectory in IT Solutions .
- Strategic mix shift is working: IT Solutions scaling with strong bookings/pipeline; expect OpEx leverage and synergy capture to improve consolidated profitability through 2H25 .
- Print stabilization depends on supplies/services pull-through; recent entry and mid-range installation growth is a positive leading indicator for post-sale recovery in 2H25/2026 .
- Capital discipline intensified: dividend cut signals prioritization of deleveraging pre-Lexmark; combined run-rate cash flows and >$238M synergies support target ~3x gross leverage over time .
- Lexmark is a potential catalyst: management reiterates >$1/share accretion and limited tariff exposure due to Mexico manufacturing; regulatory approvals progressing with remaining votes expected soon .
- Estimate dispersion may widen: with fluid tariff policy and cost phasing, expect cautious Street models; monitor Q2 margin delivery and tariff policy changes for re-rating triggers .
- Watch operating expense execution: double-digit OpEx reductions and AI-enabled pricing/process tools underpin margin recovery potential as mix normalizes .
Sources: All figures and commentary sourced from Xerox’s Q1 2025 8-K earnings release, Q1 2025 press release, Q1 2025 earnings call transcript, Q4 2024 8-K, and related May 2025 capital allocation press releases. Consensus estimates from S&P Global as noted.