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XH

Xerox Holdings Corp (XRX)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 revenue was $1.46B, down 3.0% year over year (1.1% constant currency), with adjusted operating margin at 1.5% and adjusted EPS of $(0.06); GAAP EPS was $(0.75) driven by a $59M tax valuation allowance and $14M financing charges .
  • Guidance maintained: FY25 low-single-digit revenue growth (CC), adjusted operating margin ≥5.0%, and free cash flow $350–$400M; management expects minimal tariff impact in Q2 while noting potential ~$50M operating income headwind from current tariffs, subject to mitigation .
  • Segment mix shift accelerated: IT Solutions revenue more than doubled to $164M (+121.6% YoY) on ITsavvy integration; Print & Other fell 9.4% YoY; total segment profit declined to $46M from $57M .
  • Capital allocation pivot: quarterly dividend cut to $0.025 (annualized $0.10) to prioritize deleveraging ahead of Lexmark close; company reiterates FY25 guidance and >$1/share accretion expected post-Lexmark with >$238M synergies over two years .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Equipment installations +24% YoY, with entry devices +33% and mid-range improving on PrimeLink launch; sales force productivity +13% YoY aided by AI-enabled pricing tools and process simplification .
  • ITsavvy integration ahead of plan: IT Solutions revenue +121.6% YoY to $164M; pro-forma gross bookings +30%, pipeline +26%; majority of >$15M run-rate synergies implemented .
  • Operating expense discipline: excluding one-time Reinvention costs and ITsavvy, OpEx fell ~$46M (10%) YoY; improved working capital supported cash conversion despite seasonality .

What Went Wrong

  • Adjusted gross margin fell 220 bps YoY to 29.7% and adjusted operating margin fell 70 bps to 1.5%, reflecting higher product costs, IT Solutions mix, lower Print volumes and initial tariff costs .
  • Print & Other post-sale revenue down 11.2% YoY (9.2% CC); core post-sale decline ~4% when excluding backlog, Reinvention, and intentional non-strategic reductions; supplies/page volumes under pressure .
  • Free cash flow used $(109)M vs $(89)M prior year on lower operating cash flow; EBITDA proxy from estimates and OI&E pressures suggest higher interest burden; management guided Q2 adjusted op margin 4–4.5% due to tariff cost phasing .

Financial Results

Headline Results vs Prior Periods and vs Consensus

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025YoY Change (Q1)QoQ Change (vs Q4)Consensus (Q1 2025)Beat/Miss
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.528 $1.613 $1.457 (3.0%) (9.7%) $1.442*Beat by ~$0.015B*
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(9.71) $(0.20) $(0.75) +$0.19 YoY $(0.55) vs Q4 n/an/a
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.25 $0.36 $(0.06) $(0.12) YoY $(0.42) vs Q4 $(0.04)*Miss by $0.02*
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)5.2% 6.4% 1.5% (70) bps (490) bps n/an/a
Adjusted Gross Margin (%)31.6% 29.7% (220) bps (190) bps n/an/a

Note: Consensus values marked with * are Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment Performance

Segment ($USD Millions)Q1 2025 RevenueQ1 2024 RevenueYoYQ1 2025 ProfitQ1 2024 ProfitYoY
Print & Other$1,294 $1,428 (9.4%) $41 $58 (29.3%)
IT Solutions$164 $74 +121.6% $5 $(1) +$6
Total$1,457 $1,502 (3.0%) $46 $57 (19.3%)

Mix and KPIs

KPIQ1 2025Q1 2024Commentary
Equipment Sales ($USD Millions)$284 $290 Declined 2.1% AC / 0.7% CC; backlog normalization and high-end exit impact .
Entry Equipment Installations+33% YoY Strategy to gain A4 share; lower upfront margins, higher supplies tail .
Total Equipment Installations+24% YoY Driven by entry and modest mid-range growth; supports future post-sale .
Post-Sale Revenue ($USD Millions)$1,173 $1,212 Down 3.2% AC / 1.2% CC; excluding ITsavvy benefit, decline 11.4% AC .
Adjusted Gross Margin (%)29.7% 31.9% Down 220 bps on product costs, IT mix, lower Print volumes, tariffs .
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$(109) $(89) Seasonal Q1 use; improving ex-finance receivables >$60M YoY .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue Growth (CC)FY 2025Low single-digit (Jan 28) Low single-digit (May 1) Maintained
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)FY 2025≥5.0% ≥5.0% Maintained
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)FY 2025$350–$400 $350–$400 Maintained
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)Q2 20254.0–4.5% (call) New near-term outlook
Tariff Impact (Operating Income)FY 2025~$(50)M at current rates; mitigation plan described New disclosure
Dividend per Common ShareOngoing$0.125 in Q1 2025 (historic) $0.025 quarterly from July 31, 2025 Lowered

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2024 (10/29)Q4 2024 (1/28)Q1 2025 (5/1)Trend
Reinvention executionCost reductions >$50M; productivity programs; equipment shortfalls due to launches and sales productivity Structural model changes; 2025 focus on tactical initiatives; pipeline of >$400M gross savings 100+ initiatives progressing; double-digit OpEx declines; productivity +13% Improving execution; benefits cumulative
IT Solutions/ITsavvyAnnounced pending ITsavvy; accretive to FCF/EPS Closed ITsavvy; integration to complete before Lexmark Integration ahead of plan; bookings +30%, pipeline +26% Positive momentum
Tariffs/macroMacro impact minimal; execution issues dominant Planning for 2025; no major macro disruption noted ~$50M OI impact at current tariffs; minimal Q2 effect; mitigation via pricing/supply chain Risk disclosure increased; mitigation underway
Product performanceLaunch delays; A4 entry/mid-range mix evolving A4 growth; margin pressure expected near term Entry installations +33%; PrimeLink launch; high-end reduced Shift to entry/mid-range; supplies tail to follow
Capital structure/dividendsFCF strong; forward flow expansion Deleveraging priority; plan $0.50 annual dividend Dividend reduced to $0.025 quarterly; maintain FY guidance Deeper deleveraging focus pre-Lexmark

Management Commentary

  • “Improved sales productivity, the successful integration of ITsavvy and other Reinvention-enabled operating efficiencies drove momentum in revenue and positive adjusted operating income in our seasonally lowest quarter.” — Steve Bandrowczak, CEO .
  • “The vast majority of the expected run rate synergies totaling more than $15 million have been implemented and are expected to contribute to improved IT Solutions and total company profit in future periods.” — Management (prepared remarks) .
  • “Based on tariffs in place on May 1, the expected reduction in operating income... would be around $50 million in 2025. If China tariffs are reduced from 145% to 60%, we expect to be able to offset the impact... through price increases, surcharges... and Reinvention-related savings.” — John Bruno, President & COO .
  • “We maintained the guidance until the tariffs are final... we felt that a change in the guidance now, while tariffs are so fluid, wasn’t very helpful.” — Mirlanda Gecaj, CFO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Guidance posture: Management chose to maintain FY25 targets despite fluid tariff backdrop; investors given ~$50M OI impact context and Q2 margin range for modeling .
  • ITsavvy integration and cross-sell: Early signs of strong cross-sell to Print base and vice versa; pipeline/bookings momentum and operating leverage expected to drive double-digit operating profit over time .
  • Post-sale trajectory: Core Print post-sale decline ~4% excluding Reinvention/backlog/non-strategic reductions; management expects stabilization as recent installations pull through supplies/services in 6–9 months .
  • Free cash flow resilience: FCF more resilient than OI given working capital levers and finance receivable programs; FY25 FCF guide held at $350–$400M .

Estimates Context

MetricQ1 2025 ConsensusQ1 2025 ActualSurprise
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.442*$1.457 Beat by ~$0.015B*
Primary EPS ($)$(0.04)*$(0.06) Miss by $0.02*
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$165.8*$39.0*Miss by ~$127M*
# of EPS Estimates3*
# of Revenue Estimates2*

Note: Consensus values and EBITDA actual marked with * are Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Implications: modest revenue beat but EPS/EBITDA underperformed consensus, largely due to margin compression from product costs, mix, and OI&E/tax headwinds; estimate revisions may trend lower near term given Q2 margin guide and tariff cost phasing .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term margin pressure likely persists into Q2 (4–4.5% adjusted operating margin) as tariff cost phasing precedes price/surcharge offsets; watch for mitigation updates and CC growth trajectory in IT Solutions .
  • Strategic mix shift is working: IT Solutions scaling with strong bookings/pipeline; expect OpEx leverage and synergy capture to improve consolidated profitability through 2H25 .
  • Print stabilization depends on supplies/services pull-through; recent entry and mid-range installation growth is a positive leading indicator for post-sale recovery in 2H25/2026 .
  • Capital discipline intensified: dividend cut signals prioritization of deleveraging pre-Lexmark; combined run-rate cash flows and >$238M synergies support target ~3x gross leverage over time .
  • Lexmark is a potential catalyst: management reiterates >$1/share accretion and limited tariff exposure due to Mexico manufacturing; regulatory approvals progressing with remaining votes expected soon .
  • Estimate dispersion may widen: with fluid tariff policy and cost phasing, expect cautious Street models; monitor Q2 margin delivery and tariff policy changes for re-rating triggers .
  • Watch operating expense execution: double-digit OpEx reductions and AI-enabled pricing/process tools underpin margin recovery potential as mix normalizes .
Sources: All figures and commentary sourced from Xerox’s Q1 2025 8-K earnings release, Q1 2025 press release, Q1 2025 earnings call transcript, Q4 2024 8-K, and related May 2025 capital allocation press releases. Consensus estimates from S&P Global as noted.