ZD
ZIFF DAVIS, INC. (ZD)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue was $328.6M, up 4.5% YoY and above consensus; Adjusted diluted EPS was $1.14, slightly below consensus, while Adjusted EBITDA was ~$100.2M, essentially in line with internal targets .
- The company reaffirmed full-year 2025 guidance (Revenue $1.442–$1.502B, Adjusted EBITDA $505–$542M, Adjusted diluted EPS $6.64–$7.28), signaling confidence in accelerating growth into Q2 and H2 .
- Four of five segments grew; Tech & Shopping (+17.9% revenue, ~44% Adj. EBITDA growth) led performance, while Cybersecurity & Martech (-10.8% revenue) declined due to prior-year timing effects; ad markets were strong across Tech, Gaming, and Health .
- Free cash flow was -$5.0M due to seasonal working capital usage at TDS Gift Cards; management remains active on buybacks (~$34.9M in Q1) and M&A (two Q1 acquisitions closed, pipeline robust), and highlighted a low net leverage profile (gross leverage ~1.8x TTM Adj. EBITDA) as a catalyst for capital deployment .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Tech & Shopping revenue +17.9% with ~44% Adj. EBITDA growth; margin expansion at CNET and “shrink-to-grow” in B2B drove bottom-line strength. “We’re pleased with our first quarter results…accelerating revenue growth, a healthy M&A cadence, and our active share buyback program” — Vivek Shah, CEO .
- Health & Wellness revenue +7.3% and Adj. EBITDA +12% YoY, with a strong pharma upfront and subscription revenue reaching 15% of segment mix, supporting diversification priorities .
- Connectivity revenue +5% with subscription and licensing +7% and industry-leading margins (>50%); WiFi 7 adoption seen as a reacceleration driver; Speedtest and Downdetector growth remained strong .
What Went Wrong
- Cybersecurity & Martech revenue -10.8% YoY, reflecting timing benefits in the prior-year quarter; management expects sequential improvement and H2 growth aided by a small Q2 acquisition and stabilization of VPN .
- Free cash flow -$5.0M vs $47.4M YoY, driven primarily by TDS Gift Cards working capital usage (operating cash flow $20.6M vs $75.6M YoY); Adjusted diluted EPS fell YoY (to $1.14 from $1.27) on higher net interest expense, higher D&A from 2024 capital allocation, and FX-related “other loss” .
- Humble subscription lineup weaker in the quarter, modest drag in Gaming & Entertainment; management expects merchandising/IP improvements and possible tailwinds from Nintendo Switch 2 (June) to benefit the ad market .
Financial Results
Consolidated Actuals (YoY)
Consolidated Actuals (Sequential)
Q1 2025 vs. Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
Values retrieved from S&P Global*. Note: SPGI “EBITDA” may reflect a definition differing from company-reported Adjusted EBITDA; company discloses non-GAAP definitions and reconciliations in the press release .
Segment Revenue Breakdown (YoY)
KPIs and Revenue Mix
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Four of our 5 reportable segments grew in revenues…Tech & Shopping…adjusted EBITDA grew nearly 44%…simplified our B2B product offerings and reduced expenses in a shrink-to-grow approach that’s working.” — Vivek Shah .
- “Connectivity…core subscription and licensing grew by 7%…margins…over 50%…we believe this will once again be a rule of 60-plus data services and software business.” — Vivek Shah .
- “On capital allocation…we have bought 4.25 million shares…over the last 4 quarters…we will continue to lean into this dislocation.” — Vivek Shah .
- “We intend to use our existing share repurchase authorization to accelerate our share repurchase activity in the second quarter while maintaining our robust balance sheet.” — Bret Richter .
- “Our decision to file a lawsuit against OpenAI stems from a fundamental conviction to protect the core principles underpinning quality journalism…” — Vivek Shah .
Q&A Highlights
- Ad market and pipeline: Broad strength across Tech, Gaming, Health; B2B intentionally reduced to improve margin; pharma upfronts “good,” supportive of Health & Wellness growth trajectory .
- Connectivity priorities: Focused on WiFi/Ekahau tied to WAP cycles; expect WiFi 7 to drive enterprise demand; core Speedtest/Downdetector growing .
- Tariffs impact: Direct exposure low; vertical analysis suggests insulation; RMN could benefit as consumers seek discounts amid potential price increases .
- Generative AI/search: AIO present on a little over 20% of top queries; ~35% of revenues traffic-dependent and ~40% of that from search; ~1/3 AIOs cite ZD; programmatic only ~3% of total revenue by design .
- Capital allocation posture: Active M&A across five segments and continued buybacks; disciplined on price and leverage; valuations in digital media attractive amid market “fears” .
Estimates Context
- Revenue beat: $328.64M actual vs $322.76M consensus — modest beat driven by strong advertising and resilient subscription/license in core assets (Speedtest/Downdetector) .
- EPS miss: $1.14 Adjusted diluted EPS actual vs $1.247 “Primary EPS” consensus — slight miss attributed to higher net interest expense, higher D&A tied to 2024 capital allocation, and FX in “other loss” .
- EBITDA: Company Adjusted EBITDA $100.18M; SPGI “EBITDA” consensus $100.09M reflects differing definitions; use company non-GAAP for comparability .
Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
Where estimates may adjust:
- Ad strength and reaffirmed FY guide likely support modest upward revenue revisions; EPS revisions depend on Q2 margin trajectory and interest expense profile (management expects Q2 margins similar to or slightly below prior year given investment spend and dilutive early-stage acquisitions) .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue outperformed consensus with broad-based ad strength; slight EPS miss driven by transitory cost/FX factors — near-term sentiment likely tied to Q2 growth acceleration and margin delivery .
- Reaffirmed FY guidance and commentary on Q2 sequential improvement support a constructive setup; watch for execution in Connectivity (WiFi 7 cycle) and Health pharma bookings .
- Tech & Shopping margin expansion (CNET integration, B2B repositioning) is a key bottom-line driver; sustained performance here underpins FY EPS trajectory .
- Cybersecurity & Martech headwinds are largely timing-related; management expects H2 improvement and VPN stabilization — monitor sequential trends and small Q2 acquisition impact .
- Capital deployment is active and opportunistic: buybacks set to accelerate in Q2 and M&A across all segments; low net leverage affords flexibility and potential EPS accretion .
- Free cash flow seasonality (TDS) explains Q1 headwind; full-year FCF generation remains a core pillar of the equity story (2024 FCF $283.7M) .
- Legal/IP stance (OpenAI suit) defends monetization of content; outcome could unlock licensing value and mitigate long-term search/AI risks .