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Zeta Global Holdings Corp. (ZETA)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Zeta delivered a record quarter with revenue of $227.8M, up 33% Y/Y, and Adjusted EBITDA of $38.5M (16.9% margin); the company achieved the “Rule of 50” for the first time as a public company and beat its own Q2 revenue/EBITDA guidance materially, citing agency-driven brand adds and strength in insurance/auto as key drivers .
  • Guidance was raised across Q3 and FY24: Q3 revenue to $237.2–$241.2M and Adjusted EBITDA to $46.8–$47.3M; FY24 revenue to $920–$930M, Adjusted EBITDA to $174.5–$176.5M, and FCF to $80–$90M. Management emphasized high visibility and confidence heading into 2H24 .
  • KPIs strengthened: Scaled Customers rose to 468, Scaled ARPU accelerated to $479K (+22% Y/Y), and 1/3 of scaled customers now use 3+ channels; cash from operations was $31.1M and FCF $19.8M in Q2 (+51%/+53% Y/Y) .
  • Near-term stock catalysts: accelerating growth (33% Y/Y), guidance raise, “beat and raise” print, visible AI product momentum (ZOE, Amazon Bedrock) and upcoming mobile offering; watch gross margin mix (integrated/social) and sustained GAAP losses from stock-based comp .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • Record revenue and margin expansion: Q2 revenue $227.8M (+33% Y/Y) and Adjusted EBITDA $38.5M (+44% Y/Y) with margin 16.9% (+130 bps Y/Y); CEO: “we have achieved the rule of 50” .
    • Agency-led ARPU acceleration and multi-channel adoption: Scaled ARPU $479K (+22% Y/Y), with agency Holdcos expanding from ~12 to 19 brands on average; 1/3 of scaled customers now using 3+ channels .
    • Guidance raised on high visibility: CFO cited momentum in insurance/auto and agency social as drivers for the beat and confidence to raise Q3 and FY24 guidance; “visibility into our business is hot” .
  • What Went Wrong
    • Gross margin mix pressure: GAAP cost of revenue rose to 40% (vs. 36.1% in 2Q’23) on faster growth in integrated/social channels, though management notes it is accretive to operating margins .
    • Continued GAAP losses: Net loss of $28.1M (–12.3% margin), driven primarily by $52.2M in stock-based compensation despite Y/Y improvement from 2Q’23 .
    • Working capital timing with agencies: A ~$5M working-capital headwind persisted as Zeta learns agency payment patterns, though management expressed high collectability confidence .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$210.3 $194.9 $227.8
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(0.22) $(0.23) $(0.16)
Net Income Margin %(16.8)% (20.3)% (12.3)%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$44.8 $30.5 $38.5
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %21.3% 15.6% 16.9%
GAAP Cost of Revenues %40.2% 39.4% 40.0%

Results vs Company Guidance (Q2 2024):

  • Revenue: $227.8M vs $210–$214M guidance; beat midpoint by ~$16M (company-stated) .
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $38.5M vs $35.3–$35.8M; CFO noted ~$3M above midpoint .

Revenue Mix

MixQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Direct Platform (% of revenue)73% 67% 67%
Integrated Platform (% of revenue)27% (calc)33% (calc)33% (calc)

Customer & ARPU KPIs

KPIQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Scaled Customers (≥$100K TTM)452 460 468
Super-Scaled Customers (≥$1M TTM)131 144 144
Scaled Customer ARPU ($K, quarterly)$454 $416 $479
Super-Scaled Customer ARPU ($M, quarterly)$1.31 $1.12 $1.30

Cash Flow (select)

MetricQ2 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Cash from Operating Activities ($M)$20.6 $24.7 $31.1
Free Cash Flow ($M)$13.0 $15.1 $19.8

KPIs/Other Operating Data (Q2 2024 commentary)

  • Integrated/social grew 71% Y/Y; direct growth improved to 20% Y/Y .
  • 1/3 of scaled customers now use 3+ channels; conversations with AI agents rose 300% M/M in June .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($M)Q3 2024$230.0 (prior midpoint reference) $237.2–$241.2 Raised
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)Q3 2024$45.3 (prior midpoint reference) $46.8–$47.3 Raised
Revenue ($M)FY 2024$895–$905 $920–$930 Raised
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)FY 2024$170–$172 $174.5–$176.5 Raised
Free Cash Flow ($M)FY 2024$75–$85 $80–$90 Raised
Political revenue ($M)FY 2024N/A~$15 (maintained) Maintained

Note: Company does not reconcile forward-looking non-GAAP metrics to GAAP due to uncertainty in reconciling items .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2: Q4’23)Previous Mentions (Q-1: Q1’24)Current Period (Q2’24)Trend
AI/GenAI as core growth driverAI at center of platform; 10th straight beat & raise; guiding to 20%+ growth “Actionable intelligence”/GenAI driving growth; raised outlook “Rule of 50” achieved; Amazon Bedrock partnership; Zeta Economic Index; 400+ AI agents; 300% M/M agent conversations Accelerating
Agency channelDirect mix 73%; no specific agency stats New agency customers driving visibility; direct mix 67% Holdco brands per agency up from 12→19; integrated/social growth 71% Y/Y; ARPU acceleration Strong tailwind
Vertical trendsNot detailedEarly signs of recoveryInsurance/auto outpaced 33% company growth; pipeline remains; not yet at peak Improving
Channel mix (social/integrated vs direct)Cost of revenue 40.2% Cost of revenue 39.4%; direct 67% Cost of revenue 40%; integrated/social growth lifts cost profile but is EBITDA accretive Mix pressure, EBITDA accretive
Mobile productN/AN/AMobile debut at Zeta Live (Sept 26); in beta; not in 2024 numbers Upcoming catalyst
Political/AdvocacyN/AN/APolitical $1.5M in Q2; FY guide $15M; advocacy mostly “always on” Seasonal tailwind H2
Privacy/cookies/regulatoryN/AN/ACookie deprecation manageable; Zeta not reliant on 3rd-party cookies; Zeta ID enables attribution Competitive advantage
Sales motion & RFPsN/ALand-expand extend; pilots to scale CTO/CMO involvement rising; pilots bypassing RFPs; making RFP scopes bigger Efficient GTM

Management Commentary

  • Strategic positioning: “Investments we made over the last seven years to put Artificial Intelligence and data at the core of our platform are now helping us accelerate the marketing cloud replacement cycle” — David A. Steinberg, CEO .
  • Growth drivers: “Two growth catalysts contributed to the beat… growth in insurance and automotive… and our agency business… led to the highest quarterly ARPU growth rate in 3 years” — Chris Greiner, CFO .
  • Confidence and visibility: “Visibility into our business is hot, and therefore, confidence in our guidance continues to strengthen” — CFO .
  • Product momentum: “We recently announced an advancement in Gen AI functionality by partnering with Amazon’s Bedrock platform… to create intelligent AI assistants” — CEO ; ZOE/AI agents now 400+ with 300% M/M conversation growth in June .

Q&A Highlights

  • Agency expansion and ARPU: Most ARPU strength came from adding brands within existing Holdcos; seasonality minimal on brand adds; 12→19 brands per Holdco on average; management expects trend to continue .
  • Vertical recovery: Insurance and auto grew faster than company average; not yet at prior peaks; pipeline supports further growth .
  • GenAI adoption and monetization: Vast majority of customers are using GenAI tools; indirect revenue impact via higher consumption and contract expansion; potential direct monetization longer-term .
  • Mobile roadmap: Mobile CRM product debuting at Zeta Live (Sept 26); in beta; could scale quickly; not included in 2024 guide .
  • Cookie deprecation: Zeta not reliant on 3P cookies; Zeta ID enables full-path attribution; expects gradual dissipation, not cliff .
  • Margin and mix: Integrated/social lowers gross margin but is accretive to operating margins; gross margin around 60% for the year with political as a swing factor .
  • Collections/FCF: Agency cohorts cause timing headwinds (~$5M in Q2), but collectability high; raised FY FCF midpoint to $85M .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus estimates were unavailable at the time of analysis due to a data access limitation. As a result, Street comparisons cannot be shown. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable at time of request.
  • Company vs guidance: Zeta reported revenue $227.8M vs $210–$214M guided (≈$16M beat at midpoint) and Adjusted EBITDA $38.5M vs $35.3–$35.8M guided (~$3M beat at midpoint) .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Zeta posted a classic “beat and raise” with accelerating growth (+33% Y/Y), expanded margins (Adj. EBITDA 16.9%), and “Rule of 50” achieved — a strong setup into 2H24 and 2025 planning cycles .
  • The agency channel is a durable growth lever: brand adds per Holdco are rising (12→19), integrated/social growth is rapid (71% Y/Y), and multi-channel adoption is broadening; while it pressures gross margin mix, it is accretive to operating margins .
  • Verticals matter: insurance and auto outperformed; continued recovery here can sustain elevated growth above the corporate average .
  • AI traction is tangible: 400+ AI agents and surging usage (300% M/M in June) underpin ARPU acceleration; Bedrock partnership and ZOE analytics strengthen competitive moat .
  • Near-term catalysts: Q3/FY24 raised guidance; mobile product launch (Sept 26) could open a new vector of demand; political/advocacy spend adds seasonal upside in 2H .
  • Watch items: sustained GAAP losses driven by stock-based comp; cost-of-revenue mix near ~40% from integrated/social; agency working capital timing — though collections risk appears low .
  • Medium-term thesis: platform-centric AI + first-party data advantage, efficient land-expand-go-to-market, and increasing enterprise/CTO engagement support share gains in a marketing cloud replacement cycle .

Appendix: Additional Q2 Press Releases (Q2’24)

  • ZOE expansion via Amazon Bedrock (Cannes Lions): enhanced GenAI agent capabilities; GA in Q3 2024 .
  • Board enhancement: Imran Khan elected to Board of Directors .
  • Forrester study on CLV in the era of AI: highlights strategic need for predictive value orientation .