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    Zeta Global Holdings Corp (ZETA)

    Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

    Reported on Mar 7, 2025 (After Market Close)
    Pre-Earnings Price$20.60Last close (Feb 25, 2025)
    Post-Earnings Price$20.48Open (Feb 26, 2025)
    Price Change
    $-0.12(-0.58%)
    • Significant Growth Opportunity in Increasing Wallet Share Among Existing Customers: Zeta's scaled customers currently spend over $100 billion in marketing, with Zeta capturing only 1% of that spend last year. The company aims to increase this to 2% by 2028, with some enterprise clients already above 5% wallet share. This presents a substantial opportunity for revenue growth as they deepen penetration within their existing customer base.
    • Strong Growth and Visibility in Agency Business: Agencies are moving more brands and volume to Zeta because it is their most profitable partner, bundling data into activations and lowering costs or increasing profits by 25% compared to competitors. Existing agreements with agencies include minimum commitments for the year, providing significant confidence in projections and positioning the agency business as a key driver of future growth.
    • Zeta's AI Capabilities Driving Client Adoption and Revenue Growth: Zeta's AI implementations are delivering meaningful revenue growth per dollar invested, leading clients to shift budgets from competitors to Zeta. The company saw a 200% sequential growth in AI adoption from Q3 into Q4, contributing to business growth of 50% in Q4 (40% excluding political), demonstrating the effectiveness of their AI solutions in attracting and retaining clients.
    • Deceleration in Q1 organic growth guidance: The company is guiding to a 20% organic growth in Q1 2025, down from the 30% all-in growth, indicating a potential slowdown in organic revenue growth.
    • Increasing reliance on agency business: Agency revenue, which is approximately 20% of total revenue, may become a larger portion of the revenue mix. Dependence on agencies could impact margins and free cash flow due to potentially longer payment cycles and different margin profiles.
    • High allocation of free cash flow to share repurchases: The company used about 100% of free cash flow for share repurchases in the quarter, which may suggest a lack of better investment opportunities and raise concerns about capital allocation priorities.
    MetricYoY ChangeReason

    Total Revenue

    Q4 2024 revenue reached USD 314.66 million (with US revenue at USD 303.11 million and International at USD 11.56 million)

    Total Revenue increased sharply in Q4 2024, building on the incremental revenue momentum observed in prior quarters—such as the 24.1% rise in Q3 2023 and a 42% jump in Q3 2024 driven by strong contributions from both new and existing customers. The remarkable U.S. performance, which accounted for the vast majority of revenue, reflects continued market penetration and channel expansion from previous periods.

    Operating Income

    Turned positive at USD 74.77 million in Q4 2024 compared to an operating loss of USD 31.86 million in Q4 2023

    Operating Income experienced a dramatic turnaround of approximately USD 106.6 million. This improvement reflects sustained revenue growth and cost efficiencies established in prior periods—for example, decreased stock‐based compensation and reduced general and administrative expenses in Q3 2023 and Q3 2024 ( ). These efficiencies, combined with a better cost structure, helped flip operating losses to earnings.

    Net Income

    Improved to USD 84.94 million in Q4 2024 from a loss of USD 35.28 million in Q4 2023

    Net Income showed a significant rebound as profitability turned around. This change continues the trend seen in previous quarters where revenue growth, improved operating margins, and better expense management (including lower stock‐based compensation) contributed to reducing losses, as seen in Q3 2023 and Q3 2024 ( ). The strong performance underscores the company’s momentum in addressing prior period operational inefficiencies.

    EPS

    Shifted from a loss per share of USD 2.19 in Q4 2023 to a profit per share of USD 0.09 in Q4 2024

    EPS improved markedly due to the combined effects of higher total revenue coupled with cost control measures. The turnaround in EPS mirrors previous improvements in operating income and net income from Q3 2023 to Q3 2024, where revenue growth and operating leverage delivered better margins ( ). This shift from negative to positive EPS highlights the benefits of the company’s strategic initiatives in reducing expense pressures.

    Cash Flow

    Q4 2024 witnessed a net cash decrease of USD 52.38 million

    Cash Flow in Q4 2024 was impacted by significant outflows, including share repurchases of USD 66.24 million and capital expenditures of USD 61.56 million. This contrasts with the strong operational cash flow improvements noted in Q3, where operating cash flow and free cash flow increased substantially (with Q3 2024 operating cash flow at USD 34.4 million and free cash flow up 93% YoY). Thus, while operations improved, financial uses in Q4 weighed on cash balances.

    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    Revenue growth

    FY 2025

    17%

    23% (implied in “Full-year revenue guidance at the midpoint: $1.24 billion, representing 23% growth”)

    raised

    Adjusted EBITDA

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    $256.5 million at a 20.7% margin with a 150 basis point expansion

    no prior guidance

    Free Cash Flow

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    $129.5 million at a 10.4% margin with 40% growth

    no prior guidance

    Advocacy Revenue

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    Between $20 million and $25 million

    no prior guidance

    MetricPeriodGuidanceActualPerformance
    Revenue
    Q4 2024
    $295 million
    $314.66 million
    Beat
    Revenue
    FY 2024
    $986 million
    $1,005.75 million (sum of Q1+ Q2+ Q3+ Q4)
    Beat
    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    AI and Data Integration

    Across Q1–Q3, AI was positioned as a core strategic driver. In Q1, emphasis was on integrating AI natively into the application layer and deploying generative intelligent agent composers. Q2 discussed native AI integration, partnerships (e.g., Amazon Bedrock), and the buildup of a large proprietary data cloud. Q3 expanded on generative AI agents, intelligent mobile solutions, and key data integrations such as Yahoo! Connect ID and the LiveIntent acquisition.

    Q4 highlighted significant advances including a 200% sequential growth in AI agent usage, doubled behavioral taxonomies, and further maturation of AI’s role in enhancing productivity, personalization, and precision. The completed LiveIntent integration and continued revenue impact underscore its evolving role.

    Continuous evolution and scaling: AI remains a consistent strategic focus but with accelerated performance metrics and deeper integration capabilities in Q4, suggesting strong long‐term impact.

    Agency Business Growth and Dependency

    Q1 through Q3 consistently discussed robust agency growth via scaling relationships with both large holdcos and independent agencies. Q1 emphasized rapid scaling with agency holdcos and increasing direct revenue mix. Q2 described expansion driven by social channel capabilities and highlighted working capital challenges due to longer payment cycles. Q3 further detailed growing direct revenue contributions and renewing key agency contracts.

    Q4 focused on growth and profitability with agencies by noting that Zeta is the “most profitable partner” (driving a bundled data and activation strategy) and provided strong pipeline visibility owing to minimum commitment contracts. The discussion reinforced a consistent emphasis on increasing ARPU and direct channel adoption.

    Sustained strength with improved profitability: Consistent positive emphasis across periods with Q4 reiterating profitability and pipeline clarity; challenges (such as payment cycles) remain but are managed.

    Organic Revenue Growth Guidance Shifts

    Q1 signaled a focus on organic growth with a broad free cash flow range and emphasis on being a high‐quality organic grower. Q2 showcased revenue guidance improvements (27% growth midpoint for 2024) and strong organic momentum. Q3 projected a conservative 17% organic growth (pro forma 21–22% when adjusted) amid a disciplined outlook.

    In Q4, guidance was shifted upward for 2025 from an initial 17% to a 21% organic growth rate (excluding LiveIntent and political candidate contributions), reflecting stronger underlying demand and execution confidence.

    More optimistic outlook: The upward shift in guidance in Q4 reflects improved sentiment and confidence in organic growth, despite prior cautious estimates.

    Customer Wallet Share Expansion and Cross-Selling

    Q1 through Q3 consistently noted successful cross-selling, increased ARPU, and expansion into multiple channels. Q1 mentioned an increase in scaled customers using multiple channels and growth in super scale customers. Q2 emphasized a "land, expand, extend" model and year-over-year cross-sell improvements. Q3 touched on opportunities with agency holdcos and cross-selling prospects with LiveIntent's client base.

    Q4 emphasized continued wallet share expansion with scaled customers already spending significantly, and cited examples like a Fortune 500 retailer expanding use cases that more than doubled investment. The focus on consolidating use cases under the One Zeta initiative further boosted larger and more comprehensive deals.

    Continued expansion and deepening relationships: The focus remains on cross-selling and growing wallet share, now with larger deals and clearer roadmap for deepening customer investments.

    Mobile Product Adoption and Traction

    Q1 discussed initial mobile platform launches with a planned production by mid‑2024 and potential to be the next $100 million business. Q2 highlighted beta testing and early debut plans, with optimism on fast scaling relative to CTV. Q3 noted rapid scaling, integration of AI into the mobile product, and significant early adoption by enterprise and agency clients.

    Q4 reiterated that mobile is poised to be a significant growth driver by 2025/2026. Despite starting from a near-zero base, multiple client adoptions and strong performance signals foreshadow a transformative impact on the business.

    High-growth potential emerging: Although previously in early development, mobile is now viewed as a key strategic pillar with accelerated adoption expectations and significant future revenue potential.

    Sales Force Scaling and Hiring Challenges

    Q1 highlighted a quality-over-quantity approach with a modest increase in quota carriers and challenges sourcing experienced talent. Q3 described a 20% year-over-year sales force growth and the integration impact of LiveIntent hires, with an emphasis on quality (balanced “hunters” and “farmers”). Q2 had no specific mention.

    Q4 continued the narrative of cautious yet focused expansion, referencing a planned 10–15% growth in quota carriers and continued high-quality hiring priorities to drive performance.

    Consistent focus on quality: While growth rates remain measured, the emphasis on quality hiring persists, with Q4 reinforcing improved efficiency and enhanced sales productivity expectations.

    Working Capital and Payment Cycle Headwinds

    Q1 underscored longer payment cycles from newer agency customers as a gating factor for free cash flow. Q2 noted a $5 million headwind while confirming solid payment reliability from established clients despite slower cycles. Q3 detailed a $10 million headwind resulting in lower free cash flow conversion, with a full-year impact noted as well.

    Q4 reported a heightened $22 million working capital headwind driven by agency growth and longer industry payment cycles, which significantly reduced free cash flow conversion (45% vs. a potential 76%).

    Consistent challenge with increased impact: Payment cycle issues persist across periods—with Q4 evidencing a stronger negative cash flow impact—necessitating continued management attention.

    Capital Allocation Priorities (Free Cash Flow Usage)

    Q1 discussed a free cash flow guidance range ($75–85 million) and an emphasis on disciplined capital allocation amid investments. Q2 mentioned improved free cash flow guidance (up to $85 million) and general confidence in cash conversion, despite timing variability. Q3 focused on ongoing free cash flow generation and discipline in pursuing opportunistic acquisitions while managing LiveIntent impacts.

    Q4 emphasized accelerated share repurchases ($31 million in the quarter) and a strategic decision to use at least 50% of free cash flow for buybacks, while remaining opportunistic for M&A within defined pillars.

    Heightened shareholder return focus: There is a clear trend toward leveraging free cash flow for accelerated share buybacks, reflecting confidence in the company's cash generation and undervaluation conviction.

    Key Vertical Market Performance Variability

    Q1 highlighted variability with around half of the top 10 verticals growing over 30% year-over-year and underscored rapid rebounds in automotive and insurance. Q2 noted strong performance in automotive and insurance with overall balanced growth among top verticals. Q3 described rapid growth in five of the top ten industries with insurance, tech/media, and consumer retail leading.

    Q4 provided further nuance by identifying seven of the top ten industries growing faster than 20% year-over-year, and detailed both strong performers (automotive, consumer/retail, insurance, technology, etc.) as well as underrepresented verticals (CPG, healthcare, commerce, travel) with expansion plans.

    Broad-based strength with expansion focus: Markets remain variable but overall robust; Q4 extends the narrative with plans to penetrate underrepresented sectors, suggestive of long-term growth opportunities.

    Margin Pressure and EBITDA Expansion Challenges

    Q1 described margin pressure due to a lower direct revenue mix from integrated channels and noted modest EBITDA margin expansion driven by disciplined expense management. Q2 acknowledged initial gross margin pressure from the agency business and social channel adoption while still achieving EBITDA margin expansion. Q3 reported positive EBITDA improvements (with expanded margins and operational leverage) but without detailed discussion on margin challenges.

    Q4 discussed targeted initiatives to reduce the cost of revenue (by 100–300 basis points) and cited ongoing efforts—in areas such as shifting to direct channels and scaling AI—to improve margins. There was clear acknowledgment of margin pressures while reiterating the plan to achieve substantial EBITDA margin improvement by 2028.

    Persistent pressure offset by strategic initiatives: While margin pressure remains a concern due to channel mix and cost structure, deliberate actions are in place to drive consistent EBITDA expansion over time.

    1. Increasing Wallet Share
      Q: How will you increase wallet share with customers?
      A: David Steinberg explained that their "One Zeta" strategy consolidates all use cases into one sale, aiming to increase their share of customers' marketing spend from 1% to 2% by 2028. They already have clients where they capture over 5% of wallet share, providing a roadmap to expand others (Index ).

    2. Agency Business Growth
      Q: What's driving growth opportunities with agencies for '25 and beyond?
      A: Steinberg stated they are "the most profitable partner" for agencies, offering bundled data that lowers costs or increases agency profits by 25%. As a result, agencies are moving more brands and volume to Zeta, and existing agreements give them confidence in their projections (Index ).

    3. Guidance and Macro Environment
      Q: Thoughts on macro environment for Q1 and 2025?
      A: CFO Chris Greiner said they followed their historical approach, requiring only the low end of KPIs to meet guidance, providing flexibility. They have good visibility into Q1 and expect high-performing verticals from 2024 to do well in 2025. They've accounted for macro factors like inflation and tariffs in the guidance (Index ).

    4. Customer Response Post Short Report
      Q: Any customer impact after the short report?
      A: Steinberg reported no material changes; they haven't lost any clients due to it. Their Audit Committee conducted a full review with forensic accountants and legal experts, finding "no merit" in the report and putting the issue behind them (Index ).

    5. AI Adoption Impact
      Q: What's driving customers to do more with Zeta?
      A: Steinberg mentioned their AI capabilities are driving efficiency and superior revenue growth for clients, causing them to shift budgets to Zeta. They saw a 200% sequential growth in AI adoption from Q3 to Q4, contributing to 50% business growth in Q4 (Index ).

    6. LiveIntent Integration
      Q: How is LiveIntent integration progressing?
      A: Steinberg said they integrated LiveIntent quickly, creating "Zeta Direct" that combines their Data Cloud with newsletter inventory for deterministic targeting. This has led to higher ROI for marketers and higher revenue for publishers, enhancing ARPU growth and strengthening their customer base (Index ).

    7. 2028 Agency Role
      Q: Role of agencies in your 2028 model?
      A: Greiner noted agencies accounted for around 20% of revenue and are expected to become an even bigger part by accessing more wallet share. As agencies adopt more direct channels, it will boost gross margins, especially with growing consumption-based revenue from AI (Index ).

    8. Pipeline Conversion Timing
      Q: Timing of pipeline converting into revenue?
      A: Greiner stated they see no change in deal cycles; larger RFP deals take 7–12 months, but many deals are pilots that can move faster. They don't expect pipeline conversion to differ in 2025 compared to previous years (Index ).

    9. Competitive Landscape
      Q: Any competitive concerns from Meta's AI advertising?
      A: Steinberg said they aren't seeing competition from Meta; instead, they have a deep relationship and are growing business materially with them. They've not seen new entrants replicating what Zeta offers due to financing challenges for startups (Index ).

    10. Mobile Product Growth
      Q: Update on mobile becoming a key revenue channel?
      A: Steinberg said mobile could become meaningful in 2025 and is expected to be a big driver into 2026 and beyond. It's growing at a massive rate from a zero base, similar to connected TV, which is growing above 100% annually and impacting their business (Index ).

    11. Creative Services Approach
      Q: Will you go deeper into creative services?
      A: Steinberg clarified they don't compete with agencies in creative; instead, they optimize agency creatives for different screen sizes and enhance conversion rates and ROI. They support agency assets without offering stand-alone creative products (Index ).

    12. Sales Integration
      Q: Challenges integrating sales forces under One Zeta?
      A: Steinberg said they are seeing benefits, with meaningful RFPs coming in as One Zeta. New hires Pam and Ed enhance cross-selling across the company. Average deal size increased by 35% year-over-year, breaking through previous silos (Index ).