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    ZIPRECRUITER (ZIP)

    Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

    Reported on Feb 26, 2025 (After Market Close)
    Pre-Earnings Price$6.73Last close (Feb 25, 2025)
    Post-Earnings Price$7.06Open (Feb 26, 2025)
    Price Change
    $0.33(+4.90%)
    • Positive trends in revenue and employer reactivations indicate improving market conditions. ZipRecruiter saw revenue come in better than guidance in Q4 2024 due to increased employer account reactivations, and Q1 2025 revenue guidance shows only a 2% sequential decline, contrasting with declines of 13% and 10% in Q1 2023 and Q1 2024, respectively. This suggests a return to normal seasonality and potential for growth.
    • Growth in job seeker traffic and market share positions ZipRecruiter for future success. The company achieved 15% quarter-over-quarter growth in web traffic in Q4 2024, driven by new product features like ZipIntro and the updated resume database. This focus on engaging job seekers is expected to translate into employer revenue dollars over time.
    • ZipRecruiter's flexible operating model allows it to adapt and invest in growth opportunities. The company can adjust sales and marketing spend based on ROI, enabling it to lean into favorable trends while maintaining profitability. This positions ZipRecruiter to capitalize on a recovery in hiring activity.
    • ZipRecruiter does not expect to achieve year-over-year revenue growth until Q4 2025, even in a recovery scenario, indicating continued revenue declines in the near term and potential weakness in the business outlook.
    • Margins are coming down in Q1 2025 due to increased sales and marketing investments, indicating potential pressure on profitability and the need for higher spending to drive growth in a challenging market.
    • The prolonged decrease in the quits rate leading to the "great stay" has significantly reduced hiring activity, and while stabilization might help, the overall hiring environment remains uncertain and challenging.
    MetricYoY ChangeReason

    Total Revenue

    18% decrease (from $135,922k to $111,020k)

    Total Revenue declined by 18% YoY largely due to reduced employer spending amid challenging market conditions, echoing previous periods where revenue drops were linked to market softness and reduced SMB demand.

    Cost of Goods Sold

    15% decrease (from $13,478k to $11,504k)

    COGS fell by 15% YoY as the company achieved cost efficiencies and experienced lower service volume, continuing a trend from previous periods where operational adjustments helped lower costs in line with revenue declines.

    Operating Income

    Swing from +$13,287k to –$4,016k

    Operating Income shifted from a positive $13,287k in Q4 2023 to a loss of $4,016k in Q4 2024 as declining revenue and a more burdensome expense structure (with fixed costs weighing more heavily) reversed prior profitability improvements.

    Net Income

    Swing from $5,631k profit to –$12,854k

    Net Income reversed sharply from a profit of $5,631k to a loss of $12,854k, driven by the revenue decline and increased expense pressures that undercut previous gains in profitability.

    Earnings per Share

    Dropped from +$0.06 to –$0.11

    EPS deteriorated significantly, moving from a modest profit of roughly $0.06 (basic) in Q4 2023 to a loss of $0.11 in Q4 2024, reflecting the impact of declining net income and potential share count adjustments compared to the previous period.

    Research and Development

    Increased by 88% (from $32,754k to $61,719k)

    R&D expenses nearly doubled (an 88% increase), driven by a $1.5 million rise in personnel costs following strategic investments like the Breakroom acquisition, in contrast to much lower levels in Q4 2023.

    Depreciation & Amortization

    Increased by 289% (from $3,165k to $12,291k)

    Depreciation and Amortization surged by 289% YoY, likely due to new capitalized assets or revaluation of existing ones, representing a significant shift from the relatively moderate levels seen in Q4 2023.

    Interest Expense

    Increased by over 300% (from $7,355k to $29,597k)

    Interest Expense rose sharply by over 300% YoY, indicating a significant increase in borrowing costs or debt levels, a dramatic change from the previous period's stable interest expense.

    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    Revenue Guidance

    Q4 2024

    $107 million

    no current guidance

    no current guidance

    Adjusted EBITDA Guidance

    Q4 2024

    $9 million

    no current guidance

    no current guidance

    Adjusted EBITDA margin

    FY 2024

    16%

    no current guidance

    no current guidance

    Revenue Guidance

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    $109 million

    no prior guidance

    Adjusted EBITDA Guidance

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    $5 million

    no prior guidance

    MetricPeriodGuidanceActualPerformance
    Revenue
    Q4 2024
    $107 million
    $111.02 million
    Beat
    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    Job Seeker Traffic Growth and Engagement

    Consistently highlighted across Q1–Q3 with strong organic growth, increased mobile engagement and improved application rates ( , , ).

    Q4 shows continued solid growth with 15% YoY increase in web traffic, boosted by new features like ZipIntro, next-generation resume database, and ZipApply ( ).

    Consistent, positively reinforced with added product enhancements.

    Revenue Trends, Seasonality, and Guidance Adjustments

    Repeated discussions in Q1–Q3 emphasizing revenue declines due to soft hiring demand and seasonal effects, accompanied by cautious guidance ( , , ).

    Q4 reports an 18% YoY revenue decline with seasonal softness but notes Q1 2025 guidance with only a 2% sequential decline, suggesting stabilization ( ).

    Steady revenue challenges with emerging signs of seasonal and guidance stabilization.

    Labor Market Dynamics, Hiring Activity, and Quits Rate Trends

    Across Q1–Q3, consistently noted soft hiring activity, extended decline in seasonally adjusted hires, and low quits rates (the “Great Stay”), underscoring a prolonged downturn ( , , ).

    Q4 emphasizes a 28‐month consecutive decline in hiring activity and the lowest quits rate since 2015, yet hints at early stabilization through improved employer sentiment ( ).

    Ongoing challenges but with a subtle shift toward cautious optimism.

    Operational Efficiency, Margin Pressure, and Investment Flexibility

    Q1–Q3 stressed a nimble operating model, disciplined cost management and flexible investment strategies to offset margin pressures amid revenue declines ( , , ).

    In Q4, the focus remains on effective cost control and flexible marketing spend despite margin pressure (e.g. a drop to 13% adjusted EBITDA margin), with readiness to adjust expenses as needed ( ).

    Consistent focus on resiliency and flexibility despite persistent margin pressures.

    Enterprise Market Expansion and Integration Partnerships

    Earlier quarters (notably Q1 and Q3) discussed significant opportunities in enterprise expansion—with numerous ATS integrations (including iCIMS) and enterprise revenue contributions ( , ).

    Q4 does not mention enterprise market expansion, focusing solely on integration partnerships exemplified by the Paradox ATS integration ( ).

    Shift away from enterprise expansion emphasis while maintaining focus on integration partnerships.

    Product Innovation and Technological Investments (including AI advancements)

    Q1–Q3 featured robust innovation efforts—including products such as ZipIntro, next-generation resume databases, Breakroom acquisition and AI-driven matching improvements ( ).

    Q4 continues to stress new product innovations like ZipIntro, the next-gen resume database, and strategic AI applications to enhance job matching and user experience ( ).

    Stable and consistently strong focus on technology and product innovation.

    Sector-Specific Demand Weakness in Key Verticals

    Across Q1–Q3, there was repeated commentary on demand weakness in key sectors—tech and finance underperforming while SMBs drove most challenges, with some nuances in vertical performance ( , , ).

    Q4 reaffirms challenges with SMBs and notes stable (though not booming) performance in the tech sector, with no significant updates on other verticals ( ).

    Ongoing negative sentiment in key verticals with persistent challenges, especially for SMBs.

    Market Uncertainty and Forecast Visibility Limitations

    Q1–Q3 consistently addressed low forecast visibility and market uncertainty driven by the prolonged labor downturn and atypical seasonality ( , , ).

    Q4 continues to emphasize uncertainty and limited forecasting accuracy due to ongoing macroeconomic challenges, while underlining flexibility in the operating model to adjust as conditions change ( ).

    Persistent uncertainty with cautious, adaptable guidance remaining a key concern.

    1. Revenue Growth Guidance
      Q: Are you ruling out revenue growth before Q4?
      A: Yes, achieving year-over-year growth before Q4 is unlikely; we expect growth by Q4 if positive sentiment leads to a hiring recovery.

    2. Margin Outlook in Downside Scenario
      Q: In a downside scenario, will EBITDA margins be higher?
      A: Yes, in a downside scenario, we would generate higher adjusted EBITDA margins by reducing expenses, especially in sales and marketing, maintaining profitability despite lower revenues. ,

    3. Positive Trends and Employer Reactivations
      Q: Can you provide more color on positive trends and reactivations?
      A: We've seen meaningful increases in employer reactivations since late Q4, leading to better-than-expected revenue; our Q1 revenue guidance is down 2% at the midpoint, contrasting with negative 10% and 13% in '24 and '23, respectively. Reactivations are high-intent employers posting jobs, indicating actual hiring activity.

    4. Increased Investment in Response to Trends
      Q: Are you investing more due to positive trends?
      A: Yes, we're increasing sales and marketing investments based on data, leaning into positive trends to drive growth, which may lower margins in the near term.

    5. Cost Structure Flexibility
      Q: How much cost flexibility do you have for negative surprises?
      A: We have significant flexibility, especially in our $50 million sales and marketing spend, which is highly variable; we can adjust expenses quickly to manage through downturns.

    6. Macro Outlook and Quit Rates
      Q: Are you expecting stabilization in quit rates and hiring?
      A: Yes, we're cautiously optimistic about stabilization in quit and hire rates, which would significantly improve hiring activity compared to the declines over the past two years.

    7. Competitive Landscape and AI Initiatives
      Q: How is competition and AI impacting your business?
      A: We're focusing on gaining market share among job seekers to position for long-term success; leveraging AI beyond matching to enhance engagement between job seekers and employers, improving the overall experience.

    8. Technology Sector Hiring Trends
      Q: Any notable trends in tech hiring?
      A: We see recent signs of stability in tech hiring; tech is one of our top ten verticals but not disproportionately large; the anticipated AI hiring boom hasn't dominated the category yet.

    9. Exposure to Government Hiring
      Q: What's your exposure to government hiring?
      A: Federal government employees comprise about 3 million of the 160 million U.S. labor force; since we skew toward SMBs, changes in federal hiring don't significantly impact our business.

    10. Monetization of New Products
      Q: How is ZipIntro performing and being monetized?
      A: ZipIntro and other new features are increasing engagement by connecting job seekers to employers quickly; monetization will contribute to revenue over the mid and long term; we saw 15% quarter-over-quarter growth in job seeker volume at the end of 2024.

    Research analysts covering ZIPRECRUITER.