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Zoetis Inc. (ZTS) Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 delivered modest topline growth and solid profitability: revenue $2.40B (+1% y/y; +4% organic operational), GAAP diluted EPS $1.63, and adjusted diluted EPS $1.70; adjusted net income +9% organic operational, with gross margin expansion supported by price and mix .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, EPS beat while revenue was roughly in line/slightly below: adj/“primary” EPS $1.70 vs $1.62 consensus (beat), revenue $2.400B vs $2.406B consensus (slight miss)* .
  • FY25 outlook was trimmed on revenue/margins and narrowed for adjusted net income growth; adjusted EPS range maintained at $6.30–$6.40, reflecting cost discipline and lower effective tax rate (~20.5%) .
  • Operational drivers: International grew 6% organic with strength in Simparica and derm; livestock +8–10% organic; U.S. companion animal flat amid softer therapeutic visits, derm competition, and OA mAb headwinds (Librela/Solensia) that management says are stabilizing into 2026 .
  • Near‑term catalysts: Canadian approval of Lenivia (3‑month canine OA mAb), EU approval of Portela (3‑month feline OA mAb), U.S. conditional approval of Dectomax‑CA1 for screwworm, and a U.S. commercial realignment; innovation webcast on Dec 2 to update pipeline and strategy .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Adjusted gross margin expanded ~90 bps y/y to 71.6% on price and mix; adjusted opex up just ~1% operational, supporting adjusted EPS growth despite mixed volumes .
  • International segment +6% organic operational revenue; Simparica franchise strong globally (International Simparica revenue $93M, +22% op; Trio $41M, +32% op), with derm growth (+7% op) offsetting OA pressure .
  • Livestock momentum: +8–10% organic operational growth, broad‑based across species; U.S. livestock +14% organic operational on improved ceftiofur supply and vaccine strength .

Management quote: “We reported 4% organic operational revenue growth and 9% growth in adjusted net income… we achieved significant regulatory milestones… and are well positioned to… deliver sustainable growth and value” — CEO Kristin Peck .

What Went Wrong

  • OA pain franchise declined 11% operationally (global), with Librela facing perception issues amplified via social media in primarily English‑speaking markets; U.S. Librela down 26% to $41M; Solensia $17M (‑4%) .
  • U.S. therapeutic visits were down for three consecutive quarters, pressuring new patient starts in derm and OA; distributor inventory normalized by quarter‑end but remains below the low end of historical range .
  • Derm competition led to promotional pressure and “modest share loss” in U.S. derm; U.S. derm sales $306M grew just 1% with clinic softness, partially offset by Apoquel Chewable and retail strength .

Financial Results

Headline Metrics by Period (oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($B)$2.388 $2.460 $2.400
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$1.50 $1.61 $1.63
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$1.58 $1.76 $1.70
Adjusted Cost of Sales (% of revenue)29.3% 26.3% 28.4%

Q3 2025 Actual vs S&P Global Consensus

MetricConsensusActualResult
Revenue ($B)$2.405*$2.400 Slight miss (~$0.005B)*
Primary/Adj EPS ($)$1.622*$1.70 Beat (~$0.08)*

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment & Species Revenue (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024)

CategoryQ3 2024 ($M)Q3 2025 ($M)y/y
Companion Animal1,609 1,652 +3%
Livestock758 725 -4%
Contract Mfg & Human Health21 23 +10%
U.S. Revenue (Total)1,346 1,322 -2%
- U.S. Companion Animal1,068 1,069 ~0%
- U.S. Livestock278 253 -9%
International Revenue (Total)1,021 1,055 +3%
- International Companion Animal541 583 +8%
- International Livestock480 472 -2%

Selected Franchise KPIs (Q3 2025)

KPIQ3 2025y/y
Global Simparica franchise revenue ($M)356 +7%
Global key Dermatology revenue ($M)469 +3%
Global OA pain franchise revenue ($M)138 -11%
U.S. Simparica revenue ($M)263 +2%
U.S. Dermatology revenue ($M)306 +1%
U.S. Librela revenue ($M)41 -26%
U.S. Solensia revenue ($M)17 -4%
International Simparica revenue ($M)93 +22% op
- Simparica Trio ($M)41 +32% op
- Simparica ($M)52 +15% op
International Dermatology revenue ($M)162 +7% op
International OA pain revenue ($M)80 -3% op
- Librela ($M)62 -6% op
- Solensia ($M)18 +9% op

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Aug 5, 2025)Current Guidance (Nov 4, 2025)Change
RevenueFY 2025$9.450–$9.600B $9.400–$9.475B Lowered
Organic Op Revenue GrowthFY 20256.5%–8.0% 5.5%–6.5% Lowered
Adjusted Net IncomeFY 2025$2.825–$2.875B $2.800–$2.840B Lowered/Narrowed
Adjusted Diluted EPSFY 2025$6.30–$6.40 $6.30–$6.40 Maintained
Adjusted Cost of Sales (% rev)FY 2025~28.0% ~28.3% Higher
Adjusted SG&A ($)FY 2025$2.355–$2.405B $2.320–$2.360B Lower
Adjusted R&D ($)FY 2025$0.690–$0.700B $0.690–$0.700B Maintained
Adj Interest & Other (net)FY 2025~ $170M ~ $175M Higher
Effective Tax Rate (adj)FY 2025~21% ~20.5% Lower

Rationale: Management cited macro/operational headwinds in H2 (U.S. therapeutic visits, competitive promotions), while maintaining adj EPS via cost discipline and tax rate reduction .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 2025)Q3 2025 CommentaryTrend
U.S. companion animal demand & clinic trafficQ1: U.S. companion +8% with Simparica, derm, OA mAbs; livestock -21% on MFA divestiture . Q2: U.S. companion +9%; noted strong comps into H2 .Therapeutic visits down three straight quarters, pressuring new starts; alternative channels (retail/home delivery) grew ~21% but clinic softness impacted derm/OA .Deteriorating near term; channel mix shifting.
Dermatology competitionQ2: Key derm growth; competitive landscape noted but manageable .Aggressive launch promotions led to modest U.S. share loss; International derm +7% despite competition .Heightened competition near term; mgmt expects short‑lived promotions .
OA mAbs (Librela/Solensia)Q1: OA mAbs contributed to growth . Q2: U.S. OA mAbs declined; still part of growth drivers internationally .OA franchise -11% op; social media‑driven misperceptions hurt Librela; stabilization observed; aiming for 2026 return to growth .Near‑term pressure; stabilization underway.
Parasiticides (Simparica)Q1/Q2: Simparica Trio labeled expansions; strong growth across regions .Global Simparica +7% op; Int’l +22% op; U.S. +2% against 27% comp .Sustained growth; lapping tough U.S. comps.
LivestockQ1: Int’l cattle and salmon vaccines strong . Q2: Int’l livestock +10% op .Livestock +8–10% organic op; improved ceftiofur supply; poultry vaccine focus; Dectomax‑CA1 conditional approval in U.S. .Durable growth, above market.
Diagnostics/AIEarlier: expanding diagnostics footprint not highlighted;Vetscan Opticell hematology analyzer expanded to EU; AI‑powered classification at point-of-care .Building out diagnostics with AI.
Regulatory/approvalsQ2: Several label expansions across regions .Health Canada approved Lenivia (3‑month canine OA); EU approved Portela (3‑month feline OA) .Pipeline delivering annual major approvals.
U.S. commercial modelNot discussed in Q1/Q2.U.S. field realignment to simplify/expand reach and efficiency .Organizational optimization underway.

Management Commentary

  • CEO Kristin Peck: “While growth moderated in the third quarter in line with our expectations, we achieved significant regulatory milestones… With our manufacturing excellence, strong customer relationships and a robust pipeline, we are well positioned… to deliver sustainable growth and value” .
  • CFO Wetteny Joseph: “Adjusted gross margins of 71.6% grew 90 basis points… driven by the favorable impact of our MFA divestiture as well as benefits from price… Adjusted operating expense increased by a modest 1% operationally” .
  • On OA mAbs: “Our performance… has been affected by misperceptions amplified on social media… we are executing a focused multi‑pronged strategy to return Librela to growth… encouraged by recent trends showing signs of stabilization” — CEO .
  • On competition: “These [derm] impacts are typically short‑lived… we remain confident in the value our dermatology portfolio provides” — CFO .
  • On 2026: “We would expect a return to [Librela] growth in 2026… livestock has continued to demonstrate strength for us” — CFO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Guidance recalibration: Analysts pressed on why outlook changed after Q2 raise; management cited therapeutic visit declines, competitive promotions, and strong comps; emphasized these are near‑term dynamics and not read‑through to 2026 .
  • Derm competition: Management sees limited patient share gains by competitors; launch promotions are expected to be short‑lived; U.S. Merck timing uncertain; European competitor launches factored into Q4 .
  • OA mAb launch learning: For Lenivia/Portela, Zoetis plans specialist‑led early experience, deeper education, and Phase 4 data to reinforce benefit‑risk; expects launches to expand markets and support compliance in 2026 .
  • Channel inventory: Distributor inventory normalized by quarter‑end but remains below low end of historical range; alternative channels (retail/home delivery) growing strongly .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025: EPS beat and revenue roughly in line/slightly below consensus — Primary/adjusted EPS $1.70 vs $1.6216 consensus; revenue $2.400B vs $2.405B consensus; 12 EPS and 10 revenue estimate contributors* .
  • Implications: Lowered revenue guidance and higher adjusted cost of sales percentage may drive modest outer‑year revenue and margin estimate trims; adjusted EPS range maintained, aided by lower effective tax rate (20.5%), which may cushion EPS estimates .

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • EPS resilience amid topline moderation: Gross margin expansion and opex discipline enabled an EPS beat despite OA and U.S. clinic headwinds; FY25 adj EPS range intact at $6.30–$6.40 .
  • Near‑term pressure concentrated in U.S. companion animal: Softer therapeutic visits and promotional intensity weighed on derm and OA; management expects promotions to be transient and OA to stabilize into 2026 .
  • Structural growth drivers remain intact: International strength, robust Simparica growth ex‑U.S., and durable livestock performance support multi‑year growth .
  • Pipeline/regulatory momentum: Lenivia (canine OA, q3‑month) and Portela (feline OA, q3‑month) approvals position ZTS for 2026 protruding launches in 2026, expanding the OA market and improving compliance .
  • Execution levers: U.S. field realignment and diagnostics expansion (AI‑enabled Vetscan Opticell) provide incremental growth and efficiency vectors .
  • Trading setup: Stock reaction likely balances an EPS beat and pipeline wins against a revenue trim and U.S. macro/competitive headwinds; watch Dec 2 innovation webcast and any data on OA stabilization/derm competitive intensity as near‑term catalysts .

Appendices

Additional Relevant Press Releases (Q3 2025 timeframe)

  • Health Canada approval of Lenivia (izenivetmab): first long‑acting (3‑month) canine OA mAb; launch expected 2026 in Canada .
  • EU marketing authorization for Portela (relfovetmab): first 3‑month feline OA mAb; EU commercial availability anticipated in 2026 .
  • U.S. conditional approval for Dectomax‑CA1 injectable for New World screwworm in cattle .
  • Q4 2025 dividend declared at $0.50 per share .

Primary Source Documents

  • Q3 2025 8‑K and Exhibit 99.1: revenue, EPS, segment tables, and guidance .
  • Q3 2025 press release: headline metrics, segment details, and guidance tables .
  • Q3 2025 earnings call transcript: margin/opex commentary, franchise KPIs, macro/competition, and Q&A .
  • Prior quarters: Q2 2025 press (raised guidance; revenue/EPS) ; Q1 2025 press (9% organic revenue growth; initial guidance updates) .

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