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High Probability Advisors, LLC

CIK:0002039415
Investment Adviser
$813M AUM
65 holdings
Pittsford, NY, United States
Founded:2017
13 employees
Latest filing:Sep 30, 2025

High Probability Advisors, LLC is an SEC-registered investment adviser headquartered in Pittsford, New York. Founded in 2017, the firm is principally owned by Stephen Carl, Michael Jones, and Jeff Coons, with additional minority and affiliated ownership including Bonadio & Co., LLP. The firm employs around 13 professionals and serves individuals (both high net worth and others), charitable organizations, and pension/profit-sharing plans. High Probability Advisors offers portfolio management on both a discretionary and non-discretionary basis as well as comprehensive financial planning services.

Investment Strategy

High Probability Advisors, LLC primarily uses a factor-based investment approach to portfolio management, aiming to increase the probability of outperforming the market while managing for risk and taxes. Client portfolios typically consist of exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, equities, fixed-income securities, real estate investment trusts (REITs), and money market instruments, with account supervision guided by the client's stated objectives. The firm also provides tailored financial planning, focusing on clients’ individual risk profiles and long-term financial goals, and acts as a fiduciary, committed to operating in clients' best interests under ERISA and related regulation.

Top Buys
G
GSLCGOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR
+$8.7M
M
MTUMISHARES TR
+$6.2M
D
DUHPDIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST
+$4.9M
S
SCHOSCHWAB STRATEGIC TR
+$3.8M
A
AVUVAMERICAN CENTY ETF TR
+$3.2M
Top Sells
S
SPLGSPDR SERIES TRUST
-$135.0K
B
BNLBROADSTONE NET LEASE INC
-$90.1K
I
IXUSISHARES TR
-$68.1K
S
SPMDSPDR SERIES TRUST
-$35.1K
A
AVBAVALONBAY CMNTYS INC
-$34.3K

Top Holdings

G
GSLCGOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR
+14.5%$105.7M
M
MTUMISHARES TR
+11.2%$81.7M
D
DUHPDIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST
+7.7%$56.1M
G
GSIEGOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR
+5.4%$39.3M
N
NYFISHARES TR
+5.2%$37.6M

Equity Positions (65)

TickerSecurityWeightMarket ValueSharesAvg CostPriceChange (QoQ)
G
GSLC
GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR14.49%$105.7M810,962$82.87$130.28+$8.7M
M
MTUM
ISHARES TR11.20%$81.7M318,438$172.90$256.45+$6.2M
D
DUHP
DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST7.69%$56.1M1,484,014$25.38$37.77+$4.9M
G
GSIE
GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR5.39%$39.3M956,661$31.90$41.11+$2.5M
N
NYF
ISHARES TR5.15%$37.6M704,625$54.07$53.35+$2.7M

Industry Allocation

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
+0.3%
ELECTRONIC COMPUTERS
+0.2%
SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
+0.1%
FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
+0.1%
AUTO CONTROLS FOR REGULATING RESIDENTIAL & COMML ENVIRONMENTS
+0.1%