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High Probability Advisors, LLC
High Probability Advisors, LLC is an SEC-registered investment adviser headquartered in Pittsford, New York. Founded in 2017, the firm is principally owned by Stephen Carl, Michael Jones, and Jeff Coons, with additional minority and affiliated ownership including Bonadio & Co., LLP. The firm employs around 13 professionals and serves individuals (both high net worth and others), charitable organizations, and pension/profit-sharing plans. High Probability Advisors offers portfolio management on both a discretionary and non-discretionary basis as well as comprehensive financial planning services.
Investment Strategy
High Probability Advisors, LLC primarily uses a factor-based investment approach to portfolio management, aiming to increase the probability of outperforming the market while managing for risk and taxes. Client portfolios typically consist of exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, equities, fixed-income securities, real estate investment trusts (REITs), and money market instruments, with account supervision guided by the client's stated objectives. The firm also provides tailored financial planning, focusing on clients’ individual risk profiles and long-term financial goals, and acts as a fiduciary, committed to operating in clients' best interests under ERISA and related regulation.
Latest 13F Filing Activity
High Probability Advisors, LLC filed their most recent 13F report on Sep 30, 2025 disclosing 65 equity positions with a total 13F market value of $729M. The fund increased holdings in Goldman Sachs Etf TR, Ishares TR, Dimensional Etf Trust among other positions. High Probability Advisors, LLC reduced exposure to SPDR Series Trust, Broadstone Net Lease Inc., Ishares TR among others.
Top Holdings
Equity Positions (65)
| Ticker | Security | Weight | Market Value | Shares | Avg Cost | Price | Change (QoQ) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
G GSLC | GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | 14.49% | $105.7M | 810,962 | $82.87 | $130.28 | +$8.7M |
M MTUM | ISHARES TR | 11.20% | $81.7M | 318,438 | $172.90 | $256.45 | +$6.2M |
D DUHP | DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | 7.69% | $56.1M | 1,484,014 | $25.38 | $37.77 | +$4.9M |
G GSIE | GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | 5.39% | $39.3M | 956,661 | $31.90 | $41.11 | +$2.5M |
N NYF | ISHARES TR | 5.15% | $37.6M | 704,625 | $54.07 | $53.35 | +$2.7M |
Industry Allocation
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