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CF Industries Holdings (CF)

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Earnings summaries and quarterly performance for CF Industries Holdings.

Research analysts who have asked questions during CF Industries Holdings earnings calls.

AW

Andrew Wong

RBC Capital Markets

8 questions for CF

Also covers: CCJ, LGO, LXU +3 more
Joel Jackson

Joel Jackson

BMO Capital Markets

8 questions for CF

Also covers: AGCO, ALB, ALTM +12 more
CP

Christopher Parkinson

Wolfe Research

7 questions for CF

Also covers: ALB, APD, ASH +18 more
LB

Lucas Beaumont

UBS Group AG

7 questions for CF

Also covers: AXTA, FUL, IPI +5 more
ER

Edlain Rodriguez

Mizuho Securities

6 questions for CF

Also covers: ALB, AXTA, BALL +8 more
BT

Benjamin Theurer

Barclays Corporate & Investment Bank

5 questions for CF

Also covers: ADM, BG, BYND +17 more
Kristen Owen

Kristen Owen

Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.

5 questions for CF

Also covers: , AGCO, AVNT +15 more
Matthew Deyoe

Matthew Deyoe

Bank of America

5 questions for CF

Also covers: APD, AXTA, CTVA +12 more
JZ

Jeffrey Zekauskas

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

4 questions for CF

Also covers: ALB, AMCR, APD +31 more
Richard Garchitorena

Richard Garchitorena

Wells Fargo

4 questions for CF

Also covers: CTVA, DOW, FMC +2 more
Vincent Andrews

Vincent Andrews

Morgan Stanley

4 questions for CF

Also covers: ALB, APD, AVNT +20 more
Steve Byrne

Steve Byrne

Bank of America

3 questions for CF

Also covers: ADM, APD, AXTA +19 more
Aron Ceccarelli

Aron Ceccarelli

Berenberg

2 questions for CF

Also covers: MOS, NTR, PPG +1 more
BT

Ben Theurer

Barclays

2 questions for CF

Also covers: ADM, BG, CX +8 more
DS

David Simmons

BNP Paribas

2 questions for CF

Also covers: MOS, NTR
ER

Edlaine Rodriguez

Mizuho

2 questions for CF

Justin Pellegrino

Justin Pellegrino

Morgan Stanley

2 questions for CF

Also covers: CC, NTR, TROX
MS

Mike Sisson

Wells Fargo Securities

2 questions for CF

Also covers: EMN, IFF, NTR +1 more
Andrew Orme

Andrew Orme

Wolfe Research

1 question for CF

Also covers: CCK
DS

Dmitry Silverstein

Water Tower Research

1 question for CF

Jordan Lee

Jordan Lee

Goldman Sachs

1 question for CF

Also covers: NTR, SFD
Joshua Spector

Joshua Spector

UBS

1 question for CF

Also covers: ALB, AMBP, APD +37 more
MM

Mason Manware

Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.

1 question for CF

Also covers: LNN

Recent press releases and 8-K filings for CF.

CF Industries highlights strong 2025 performance and low-carbon ammonia strategy
CF
New Projects/Investments
  • 2025 financials: $2.9 billion EBITDA and $1.8 billion free cash flow, with assets running at 97% utilization.
  • Global ammonia market remains tight with 200 million tons annual demand, only 15–17 million tons seaborne traded, and spot netbacks at $600–700/ton versus production costs of $120–130/ton at $3 /MMBtu gas.
  • Competitive advantage through low-cost U.S. production and integrated logistics (pipeline, barge, terminals) for efficient supply into the Corn Belt.
  • Low-carbon ammonia investment: the 1.4 million ton BluePoint complex (60% offtake to Japan, 40% to UK) in partnership with JERA and Mitsui, targeting 95% decarbonization.
  • CapEx and gas management: employing fixed-price modular FEED to mitigate construction cost inflation and hedging winter gas costs (Q4 gas at $3.20/MMBtu; Q1 guidance $5–5.50/MMBtu).
3 days ago
CF Industries discusses strong 2025 results and low-carbon ammonia expansion
CF
New Projects/Investments
  • CF delivered $2.9 billion EBITDA and $1.8 billion free cash flow in 2025, running assets at 97% utilization.
  • The global ammonia market remains structurally tight, with 200 Mt annual demand, only 15–17 Mt seaborne trade, and spot prices of $600–$700/ton versus CF’s cost of $120–$130/ton at $3 MMBtu gas.
  • CF’s BluePoint low-carbon ammonia project (1.4 Mt capacity) is 60% contracted to Japan via JERA/Mitsui under a Contract for Difference and uses modular, fixed-price EPC to mitigate CapEx inflation.
  • Aggressive gas hedging and basis management yielded roughly $3.20/MMBtu gas cost in Q4 2025, while Q1 2026 hedges target $5.00–$5.50/MMBtu to smooth volatility.
3 days ago
CF Industries highlights strong 2025 performance and low-carbon expansion plans
CF
New Projects/Investments
  • 2025 results: $2.9 billion EBITDA and $1.8 billion free cash flow on 97% asset utilization
  • Ammonia market is structurally tight with 200 million tonne demand (15–17 MT seaborne), global prices at $600–700/ton versus CF’s cost of $120–130/ton at $3 MMBtu gas, and U.S. logistics (pipeline/barge/terminals) giving Corn Belt access
  • BluePoint low-carbon ammonia project (1.4 MT capacity) secured 60% offtake in Japan via JERA/Mitsui CfDs, 40% backstop in UK; modular fixed-price design to mitigate CapEx inflation
  • Gas strategy delivered $3.20/MMBtu average cost in Q4 2025 through basis hedges; Q1 2026 gas exposure stands at $5.00–$5.50/MMBtu amid volatility
  • Regulatory environment: EU CBAM uncertainty has halted UAN exports to Europe; CF’s low-carbon portfolio is positioned for future compliance
3 days ago
CF Industries reports Q4 2025 results
CF
Earnings
Debt Issuance
Share Buyback
  • CF reported Q4 net earnings of $404 M ($2.59/share) and adjusted EBITDA of $821 M; full-year 2025 net earnings were $1.5 B ($8.97/share) and adjusted EBITDA was $2.9 B.
  • Produced 10.1 M tons of ammonia in 2025 (97% utilization); forecast ~9.5 M tons in 2026 given the Yazoo City outage.
  • November incident at Yazoo City’s ammonium nitrate plant led to a $25 M impairment; no injuries; restart now expected in Q4 2026 with business interruption insurance to offset losses.
  • Completed a $1 B senior notes offering; 2026 capex guided at $1.3 B (CF share ~$950 M); returned $1.7 B to shareholders in 2025, including $1.3 B in buybacks and a new $2 B program.
  • Blue Point low-carbon ammonia JV achieved FID and all 2025 milestones; civil work to begin in Q1 2026.
Feb 19, 2026, 4:00 PM
CF Industries reports Q4 2025 results
CF
Earnings
Share Buyback
Guidance Update
  • CF reported Q4 2025 net earnings of $404 M and adjusted EBITDA of $821 M.
  • FY 2025 free cash flow of $1.8 B on $2.8 B of cash from operations; returned $1.7 B to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
  • Utilized $1.3 B to repurchase 16.6 M shares in 2025, leaving $1.7 B remaining under the $2 B authorization.
  • 2026 outlook includes ~9.5 MMT ammonia production, $950 M of CF capex, and long-term mid-cycle targets of $3 B EBITDA and $2 B FCF by 2030.
Feb 19, 2026, 4:00 PM
CF Industries reports Q4 and full-year 2025 results
CF
Earnings
New Projects/Investments
Share Buyback
  • CF Industries delivered FY 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $2.9 billion and net earnings of $1.5 billion ($8.97 per diluted share), with Q4 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $821 million and net earnings of $404 million ($2.59 per share).
  • Operationally, CF produced 10.1 million tons of gross ammonia in 2025 (97% utilization) but will curtail output to ~9.5 million tons in 2026 due to the Yazoo City incident, with restart now expected in late Q4 2026.
  • The Blue Point low-carbon ammonia joint venture (CF’s 40% stake) met all end-of-2025 milestones post-FID and will commence civil construction in Q2 2026.
  • CF returned $1.7 billion to shareholders in 2025 via share repurchases (16.6 million shares) and launched a $2 billion buyback program (expires Dec 2029) with $1.7 billion remaining.
  • For 2026, CF plans $1.3 billion in consolidated capital expenditures ($950 million CF share) and closed a $1 billion senior notes offering to refinance maturing debt and enhance flexibility.
Feb 19, 2026, 4:00 PM
CF Industries reports Q4 2025 results
CF
Earnings
Debt Issuance
Share Buyback
  • CF Industries reported Q4 2025 net earnings of $404 million ($2.59/diluted share), EBITDA of $731 million and adjusted EBITDA of $821 million, after $76 million of impairments related to its Donaldsonville electrolyzer pilot and the Yazoo City incident.
  • For full year 2025, CF generated $2.9 billion of adjusted EBITDA, $2.75 billion of net cash from operations and $1.8 billion of free cash flow, returning $1.7 billion to shareholders including $1.3 billion in share repurchases.
  • Operations produced 10.1 million tons of gross ammonia in 2025 (97% utilization); due to the Yazoo City outage, CF now expects 9.5 million tons in 2026, with restart not before Q4 2026.
  • In Q4, CF completed a $1 billion senior notes offering, outlined $1.3 billion of 2026 capital expenditures (CF share $950 million), and repurchased 4.1 million shares for $340 million, launching a new $2 billion buyback through 2029.
  • Its Blue Point low-carbon ammonia JV (with JERA and Mitsui) has hit all post-FID milestones and will commence civil work in Q2 2026, advancing CF’s low-carbon growth strategy.
Feb 19, 2026, 4:00 PM
CF Industries announces Q4 2025 and FY 2025 results
CF
Earnings
Guidance Update
Share Buyback
  • FY 2025 net sales rose to $7.084 B and Q4 2025 net sales to $1.872 B, up from $5.936 B and $1.524 B a year ago.
  • FY 2025 adjusted EBITDA increased to $2.893 B and Q4 2025 adjusted EBITDA to $821 M, compared with $2.284 B and $562 M in the prior year.
  • FY 2025 diluted EPS was $8.97 (Q4 2025: $2.59) versus $6.74 (Q4 2024: $1.89).
  • 2026 outlook: gross ammonia production expected at 9.5 MMT; total capital expenditures of $1.3 B, with CF’s share excluding JV funding of $950 M.
  • FY 2025 free cash flow was $1.8 B (62% FCF/adj. EBITDA conversion); $1.7 B returned to shareholders and $1.7 B remains under the share repurchase authorization.
Feb 18, 2026, 9:55 PM
CF Industries reports Q4 and full year 2025 results
CF
Earnings
Share Buyback
Guidance Update
  • CF Industries reported Q4 2025 net earnings of $404 million, or $2.59 per diluted share, with EBITDA of $731 million and adjusted EBITDA of $821 million.
  • For full year 2025, net earnings were $1.46 billion, or $8.97 per share, with adjusted EBITDA of $2.89 billion on net sales of $7.08 billion.
  • Returned $1.7 billion to shareholders in 2025 via repurchasing 16.6 million shares for $1.34 billion, reducing the share count by ~10% year-over-year.
  • Achieved a recordable incident rate of 0.26 incidents per 200,000 work hours and raised gross ammonia production to 10.1 million tons; 2026 production is guided at ~9.5 million tons due to the Yazoo City outage.
Feb 18, 2026, 9:47 PM
CF Industries launches low-carbon fertilizer pilot with POET and co-operatives
CF
New Projects/Investments
  • CF Industries, POET and four agriculture co-operatives (WinField United, NuWay-K&H, New Cooperative, Farmer’s Cooperative) have initiated a low-carbon nitrogen fertilizer supply chain pilot across Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri and Nebraska to lower ethanol feedstock carbon intensity.
  • The consortium will track carbon intensity certification from CF’s distribution network to corn growers, with POET planning to convert the corn into 5–6 million gallons of lower-carbon ethanol.
  • CF produces low-carbon ammonia at its Donaldsonville Complex by capturing and storing CO₂, with a capacity of 1.9 million tons per year, enough for 19–22 million acres of corn.
Jan 26, 2026, 10:00 PM