Earnings summaries and quarterly performance for CF Industries Holdings.
Executive leadership at CF Industries Holdings.
W. Anthony Will
President and Chief Executive Officer
Ashraf K. Malik
Senior Vice President, Manufacturing and Distribution
Bert A. Frost
Executive Vice President, Sales, Market Development, and Supply Chain
Christopher D. Bohn
Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer
Gregory Cameron
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Linda M. Dempsey
Vice President, Public Affairs
Susan L. Menzel
Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer
Board of directors at CF Industries Holdings.
Anne P. Noonan
Director
Celso L. White
Director
Deborah L. DeHaas
Director
Javed Ahmed
Director
Jesus Madrazo
Director
John W. Eaves
Director
Michael J. Toelle
Director
Robert C. Arzbaecher
Director
Stephen J. Hagge
Chair of the Board and Lead Independent Director
Susan A. Ellerbusch
Director
Theresa E. Wagler
Director
Research analysts who have asked questions during CF Industries Holdings earnings calls.
Andrew Wong
RBC Capital Markets
8 questions for CF
Joel Jackson
BMO Capital Markets
8 questions for CF
Christopher Parkinson
Wolfe Research
7 questions for CF
Lucas Beaumont
UBS Group AG
7 questions for CF
Edlain Rodriguez
Mizuho Securities
6 questions for CF
Benjamin Theurer
Barclays Corporate & Investment Bank
5 questions for CF
Kristen Owen
Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.
5 questions for CF
Matthew Deyoe
Bank of America
5 questions for CF
Jeffrey Zekauskas
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
4 questions for CF
Richard Garchitorena
Wells Fargo
4 questions for CF
Vincent Andrews
Morgan Stanley
4 questions for CF
Steve Byrne
Bank of America
3 questions for CF
Aron Ceccarelli
Berenberg
2 questions for CF
Ben Theurer
Barclays
2 questions for CF
David Simmons
BNP Paribas
2 questions for CF
Edlaine Rodriguez
Mizuho
2 questions for CF
Justin Pellegrino
Morgan Stanley
2 questions for CF
Mike Sisson
Wells Fargo Securities
2 questions for CF
Andrew Orme
Wolfe Research
1 question for CF
Dmitry Silverstein
Water Tower Research
1 question for CF
Jordan Lee
Goldman Sachs
1 question for CF
Joshua Spector
UBS
1 question for CF
Mason Manware
Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.
1 question for CF
Recent press releases and 8-K filings for CF.
- 2025 financials: $2.9 billion EBITDA and $1.8 billion free cash flow, with assets running at 97% utilization.
- Global ammonia market remains tight with 200 million tons annual demand, only 15–17 million tons seaborne traded, and spot netbacks at $600–700/ton versus production costs of $120–130/ton at $3 /MMBtu gas.
- Competitive advantage through low-cost U.S. production and integrated logistics (pipeline, barge, terminals) for efficient supply into the Corn Belt.
- Low-carbon ammonia investment: the 1.4 million ton BluePoint complex (60% offtake to Japan, 40% to UK) in partnership with JERA and Mitsui, targeting 95% decarbonization.
- CapEx and gas management: employing fixed-price modular FEED to mitigate construction cost inflation and hedging winter gas costs (Q4 gas at $3.20/MMBtu; Q1 guidance $5–5.50/MMBtu).
- CF delivered $2.9 billion EBITDA and $1.8 billion free cash flow in 2025, running assets at 97% utilization.
- The global ammonia market remains structurally tight, with 200 Mt annual demand, only 15–17 Mt seaborne trade, and spot prices of $600–$700/ton versus CF’s cost of $120–$130/ton at $3 MMBtu gas.
- CF’s BluePoint low-carbon ammonia project (1.4 Mt capacity) is 60% contracted to Japan via JERA/Mitsui under a Contract for Difference and uses modular, fixed-price EPC to mitigate CapEx inflation.
- Aggressive gas hedging and basis management yielded roughly $3.20/MMBtu gas cost in Q4 2025, while Q1 2026 hedges target $5.00–$5.50/MMBtu to smooth volatility.
- 2025 results: $2.9 billion EBITDA and $1.8 billion free cash flow on 97% asset utilization
- Ammonia market is structurally tight with 200 million tonne demand (15–17 MT seaborne), global prices at $600–700/ton versus CF’s cost of $120–130/ton at $3 MMBtu gas, and U.S. logistics (pipeline/barge/terminals) giving Corn Belt access
- BluePoint low-carbon ammonia project (1.4 MT capacity) secured 60% offtake in Japan via JERA/Mitsui CfDs, 40% backstop in UK; modular fixed-price design to mitigate CapEx inflation
- Gas strategy delivered $3.20/MMBtu average cost in Q4 2025 through basis hedges; Q1 2026 gas exposure stands at $5.00–$5.50/MMBtu amid volatility
- Regulatory environment: EU CBAM uncertainty has halted UAN exports to Europe; CF’s low-carbon portfolio is positioned for future compliance
- CF reported Q4 net earnings of $404 M ($2.59/share) and adjusted EBITDA of $821 M; full-year 2025 net earnings were $1.5 B ($8.97/share) and adjusted EBITDA was $2.9 B.
- Produced 10.1 M tons of ammonia in 2025 (97% utilization); forecast ~9.5 M tons in 2026 given the Yazoo City outage.
- November incident at Yazoo City’s ammonium nitrate plant led to a $25 M impairment; no injuries; restart now expected in Q4 2026 with business interruption insurance to offset losses.
- Completed a $1 B senior notes offering; 2026 capex guided at $1.3 B (CF share ~$950 M); returned $1.7 B to shareholders in 2025, including $1.3 B in buybacks and a new $2 B program.
- Blue Point low-carbon ammonia JV achieved FID and all 2025 milestones; civil work to begin in Q1 2026.
- CF reported Q4 2025 net earnings of $404 M and adjusted EBITDA of $821 M.
- FY 2025 free cash flow of $1.8 B on $2.8 B of cash from operations; returned $1.7 B to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
- Utilized $1.3 B to repurchase 16.6 M shares in 2025, leaving $1.7 B remaining under the $2 B authorization.
- 2026 outlook includes ~9.5 MMT ammonia production, $950 M of CF capex, and long-term mid-cycle targets of $3 B EBITDA and $2 B FCF by 2030.
- CF Industries delivered FY 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $2.9 billion and net earnings of $1.5 billion ($8.97 per diluted share), with Q4 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $821 million and net earnings of $404 million ($2.59 per share).
- Operationally, CF produced 10.1 million tons of gross ammonia in 2025 (97% utilization) but will curtail output to ~9.5 million tons in 2026 due to the Yazoo City incident, with restart now expected in late Q4 2026.
- The Blue Point low-carbon ammonia joint venture (CF’s 40% stake) met all end-of-2025 milestones post-FID and will commence civil construction in Q2 2026.
- CF returned $1.7 billion to shareholders in 2025 via share repurchases (16.6 million shares) and launched a $2 billion buyback program (expires Dec 2029) with $1.7 billion remaining.
- For 2026, CF plans $1.3 billion in consolidated capital expenditures ($950 million CF share) and closed a $1 billion senior notes offering to refinance maturing debt and enhance flexibility.
- CF Industries reported Q4 2025 net earnings of $404 million ($2.59/diluted share), EBITDA of $731 million and adjusted EBITDA of $821 million, after $76 million of impairments related to its Donaldsonville electrolyzer pilot and the Yazoo City incident.
- For full year 2025, CF generated $2.9 billion of adjusted EBITDA, $2.75 billion of net cash from operations and $1.8 billion of free cash flow, returning $1.7 billion to shareholders including $1.3 billion in share repurchases.
- Operations produced 10.1 million tons of gross ammonia in 2025 (97% utilization); due to the Yazoo City outage, CF now expects 9.5 million tons in 2026, with restart not before Q4 2026.
- In Q4, CF completed a $1 billion senior notes offering, outlined $1.3 billion of 2026 capital expenditures (CF share $950 million), and repurchased 4.1 million shares for $340 million, launching a new $2 billion buyback through 2029.
- Its Blue Point low-carbon ammonia JV (with JERA and Mitsui) has hit all post-FID milestones and will commence civil work in Q2 2026, advancing CF’s low-carbon growth strategy.
- FY 2025 net sales rose to $7.084 B and Q4 2025 net sales to $1.872 B, up from $5.936 B and $1.524 B a year ago.
- FY 2025 adjusted EBITDA increased to $2.893 B and Q4 2025 adjusted EBITDA to $821 M, compared with $2.284 B and $562 M in the prior year.
- FY 2025 diluted EPS was $8.97 (Q4 2025: $2.59) versus $6.74 (Q4 2024: $1.89).
- 2026 outlook: gross ammonia production expected at 9.5 MMT; total capital expenditures of $1.3 B, with CF’s share excluding JV funding of $950 M.
- FY 2025 free cash flow was $1.8 B (62% FCF/adj. EBITDA conversion); $1.7 B returned to shareholders and $1.7 B remains under the share repurchase authorization.
- CF Industries reported Q4 2025 net earnings of $404 million, or $2.59 per diluted share, with EBITDA of $731 million and adjusted EBITDA of $821 million.
- For full year 2025, net earnings were $1.46 billion, or $8.97 per share, with adjusted EBITDA of $2.89 billion on net sales of $7.08 billion.
- Returned $1.7 billion to shareholders in 2025 via repurchasing 16.6 million shares for $1.34 billion, reducing the share count by ~10% year-over-year.
- Achieved a recordable incident rate of 0.26 incidents per 200,000 work hours and raised gross ammonia production to 10.1 million tons; 2026 production is guided at ~9.5 million tons due to the Yazoo City outage.
- CF Industries, POET and four agriculture co-operatives (WinField United, NuWay-K&H, New Cooperative, Farmer’s Cooperative) have initiated a low-carbon nitrogen fertilizer supply chain pilot across Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri and Nebraska to lower ethanol feedstock carbon intensity.
- The consortium will track carbon intensity certification from CF’s distribution network to corn growers, with POET planning to convert the corn into 5–6 million gallons of lower-carbon ethanol.
- CF produces low-carbon ammonia at its Donaldsonville Complex by capturing and storing CO₂, with a capacity of 1.9 million tons per year, enough for 19–22 million acres of corn.
Quarterly earnings call transcripts for CF Industries Holdings.
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