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Dominion Energy is one of the largest energy producers and distributors in the United States, primarily operating as a state-regulated electric utility. The company serves approximately 6 million customers across 15 states, with a significant focus on Virginia, North Carolina, and South Carolina . Dominion Energy's operations are organized into several segments, including Dominion Energy Virginia, Dominion Energy South Carolina, and Contracted Energy, among others . The company is committed to providing reliable, affordable, and increasingly clean energy, with a strong emphasis on renewable energy sources like solar and offshore wind .
- Dominion Energy Virginia - Manages regulated electric distribution, transmission, and generation, significantly contributing to the company's revenue.
- Dominion Energy South Carolina - Focuses on regulated electric and gas distribution and transmission, playing a crucial role in the company's operations.
- Contracted Energy - Includes nonregulated electric generation, such as renewable natural gas operations, supporting the company's decarbonization efforts.
What went well
- Dominion Energy is actively engaging with Amazon and other large technology companies to develop Small Modular Reactors (SMRs), which could significantly address the growing energy demand and carbon-free generation goals. The company's strategic positioning in Virginia, with strong bipartisan support for nuclear initiatives, positions it favorably in advancing SMR technology.
- The company is making significant progress on their Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) project, which is proceeding on time and on budget. Additionally, the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for CVOW has improved due to higher expected Renewable Energy Credit (REC) pricing, enhancing the project's value proposition for customers.
- Dominion Energy is focused on achieving consistently high-quality, predictable, low-risk earnings growth. Management is committed to delivering on their financial plan and is open to evaluating opportunities to enhance rate base and earnings growth, while preserving a strong financial profile.
What went wrong
- Dominion Energy faces potential additional costs of $100 million to $200 million due to Hurricane Helene's damage in South Carolina, which may impact financials if not properly recovered.
- The company's Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) includes new gas-fired generation without accounting for potential costs of carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology, posing regulatory and financial risks if EPA regulations require CCS implementation.
- The favorable Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) project relies on higher Renewable Energy Certificate (REC) prices, which are uncertain and may negatively impact project economics if REC prices decline.
Q&A Summary
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Amazon Partnership and SMRs
Q: Can you provide more details on the Amazon deal and SMRs?
A: Dominion Energy is engaging with Amazon and other large customers regarding Small Modular Reactors (SMRs). They see SMRs as a vital part of meeting significant demand growth, providing around-the-clock carbon-free generation, and ensuring national security. They are exploring partnerships where customers like Amazon might participate in funding, potentially through structures like build-own-transfer, while ensuring that cost and development risks are mitigated for customers and investors. ( ) -
Integrated Resource Plan and Capacity Additions
Q: Why not add more generation to the IRP given the capacity shortfall?
A: Dominion Energy's IRP already includes substantial additions across all generation types, including potentially doubling offshore wind capacity, adding more natural gas, solar, and large amounts of battery storage. They believe it's an aggressive plan that adequately addresses the significant load growth forecasted. ( ) -
Millstone Nuclear Plant Opportunities
Q: Are there options to expand capacity at the Millstone plant?
A: The company is studying the possibility of uprates at Millstone, particularly Unit 2. There are potential options for contracted procurement in New England and exploring data center locations, but discussions are in early stages. ( ) -
South Carolina Regulatory Developments
Q: What's the outlook on legislation and regulatory lag in South Carolina?
A: Dominion Energy is working with policymakers as the Senate Select Energy Committee continues to discuss authorization for partnering on a combined cycle plant, permitting reform, and addressing regulatory lag, which is a priority for the company and legislators in the upcoming session. ( ) -
Storm Recovery Costs and Impact
Q: How will storm recovery costs be finalized and recovered?
A: In South Carolina, storm-related costs are deferred to the balance sheet, with a bias towards capital rather than O&M expenses. The company will pursue constructive recovery outcomes, potentially through securitization for costs exceeding $100 million, as agreed in the recent electric settlement. ( , ) -
MOU with Amazon and Capital Structures
Q: Can non-utilities invest capital in projects like SMRs under current rate structures?
A: While specific details are limited, Dominion acknowledges opportunities for special contract rates or tariffs with customers like Amazon. Any structure needs to address first-of-a-kind risks, cost overruns, and protect the company's balance sheet. ( ) -
REC Value and CVOW's LCOE Revision
Q: What factors are driving the revision of CVOW's LCOE due to REC values?
A: The higher expected REC pricing is the main driver for the substantial move in CVOW's LCOE. The REC value reflects increased demand due to the Renewable Portfolio Standard requirements, including higher percentages of load to be met with RECs and procurement from Virginia-based resources, which enhances the project's value for customers. ( ) -
Transmission Projects with AEP and FirstEnergy
Q: Can you expand on the transmission opportunities with AEP and FirstEnergy in PJM?
A: Dominion has submitted proposals in PJM's latest open window process, collaborating with AEP and FirstEnergy to develop innovative, cost-effective transmission solutions to support growing demand. These projects are under review, with selection anticipated in the first quarter of next year, potentially adding CapEx beyond the current plan. ( ) -
Impact of Load Growth on Fossil Retirements
Q: How does load growth affect coal plant retirement timelines and EPA regulations on gas plants?
A: Due to significant load growth, the IRP shows no fossil retirements within the next 15 years. The company has modeled scenarios with and without new EPA regulations, finding minimal changes in their building plans. They do not currently plan to fit new plants with CCS technology but account for capacity factor limits within the regulations. ( , ) -
Financial Plan and Earnings Growth
Q: How do you evaluate potential revisions to your financial plan and growth targets?
A: Dominion is committed to delivering consistent, high-quality, predictable, low-risk earnings. While they acknowledge potential tailwinds and opportunities to improve rate base or earnings growth, any changes will be considered carefully to ensure they maintain their ability to deliver on their financial trajectory. ( ) -
SMR Commercialization Timing
Q: What is the expected timeline for SMR commercialization?
A: The IRP reflects Dominion's view on SMR timing, targeting a potential start in 2034. They intend to adhere to their outlined principles as they explore this technology. ( )
Guidance Changes
Annual guidance for FY 2024:
- Operating Earnings Per Share: $2.68–$2.83 (no change from $2.62–$2.87 )
Annual guidance for FY 2025:
- Operating Earnings Per Share: $3.25–$3.54 (no change from $3.25–$3.54 )
- Operating Earnings Annual Growth Rate: 5%–7% (no change from 5%–7% )
- Given the preliminary estimate of storm restoration costs in South Carolina ranging from $100 million to $200 million, how confident are you in securing securitization for these deferred costs, and what impact could this have on your financials and customer rates?
- With the acquisition of an additional offshore wind lease from Avangrid for approximately 800 megawatts and no set time lines or cost estimates, how do you plan to manage potential capital expenditures and risks while maintaining your focus on balance sheet conservatism and a low-risk profile?
- Considering the significant projected load growth and power demand expected to double by 2039, why does your integrated resource plan rely on PJM imports instead of adding more generation capacity, and are there concerns about depending heavily on external sources given political sensitivities to new gas projects in the state?
- In your discussions with Amazon and other potential partners regarding small modular reactors, how will you mitigate first-of-a-kind risks and cost overruns to protect customers and shareholders, and can you provide more clarity on the proposed funding structures?
- Despite acknowledging tailwinds such as strong load growth and opportunities to deploy capital, why haven't you updated your earnings growth or rate base growth guidance, and how do you balance potential growth opportunities with your commitment to delivering consistent, predictable, low-risk earnings?
Q3 2024 Earnings Call
- Issued Period: Q3 2024
- Guided Period: FY 2024 and FY 2025
- Guidance:
- Full Year 2024 Earnings Guidance: Narrowed to $2.68 to $2.83 per share, with a midpoint of $2.75 .
- 2025 Operating Earnings Guidance: Reaffirmed at $3.25 to $3.54 per share, including approximately $0.10 of RNG 45Z credit income, with a midpoint of $3.40 .
- Operating Earnings Annual Growth Rate: Forecasted at 5% to 7% through 2029, based on a 2025 midpoint of $3.30, excluding RNG 45Z credits .
- Capital Investment Forecast Update: Planned for the fourth-quarter earnings call in early 2025 .
Q2 2024 Earnings Call
- Issued Period: Q2 2024
- Guided Period: FY 2024 and FY 2025
- Guidance:
- 2024 Operating Earnings Per Share (EPS): Expected between $2.62 and $2.87, with a midpoint of $2.75 .
- 2025 Operating Earnings Per Share (EPS): Expected between $3.25 and $3.54, including $0.10 of RNG 45 credit income, with a midpoint of $3.40 .
- Operating Earnings Annual Growth Rate: Forecasted at 5% to 7% through 2029, based on a midpoint of $3.30, excluding RNG 45 credits .
- Debt Reduction Initiatives: Announced transactions representing approximately $21 billion of debt reduction, with 72% of the target achieved .
- Offshore Wind Project: CVOW project on time and on budget .
- Safety Performance: OSHA injury recordable rate of 0.38 for the first half of the year .
Q1 2024 Earnings Call
- Issued Period: Q1 2024
- Guided Period: FY 2024 and FY 2025
- Guidance:
- 2024 Operating Earnings Per Share (EPS): Expected between $2.62 and $2.87, with a midpoint of $2.75 .
- 2025 Operating Earnings Per Share (EPS): Expected between $3.25 and $3.54, including RNG 45Z credits, with a midpoint of $3.40 .
- Operating Earnings Annual Growth Rate: Forecasted at 5% to 7% through 2029, based on a midpoint of $3.30, excluding RNG 45Z credits .
- Debt Reduction: Achieved 53% of the targeted debt reduction, representing over $11 billion .
- Capital Plan and Investment: Growth rate expectation of 4.5% to 5.5% for 2024 .
- Offshore Wind Project: On time and on budget, with an LCOE of $73 per megawatt hour .
- Financing Plans for 2024: Issuance of $600 million to $800 million of common equity and $700 million to $1.5 billion of hybrid securities .
Q4 2023 Earnings Call
- Issued Period: Q4 2023
- Guided Period: FY 2025
- Guidance:
- No specific guidance metrics for 2024 or beyond were provided. The company planned to provide a comprehensive strategic and financial update at their investor meeting scheduled for March 1, 2024 .
Recent developments and announcements about D.
Corporate Leadership
Leadership Change
Diane Leopold is leaving her role as Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer, and President – Contracted Energy at Dominion Energy, Inc. She will retire effective June 1, 2025, and transition from her role effective January 1, 2025. Edward H. Baine will take over responsibility for the company's utility operations, becoming President – Utility Operations and Dominion Energy Virginia. Eric S. Carr will assume responsibility for the Contracted Energy operating segment, becoming Chief Nuclear Officer and President – Nuclear Operations and Contracted Energy .