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    Danaher Corp (DHR)

    Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

    Reported on Jan 6, 2025 (Before Market Open)
    Pre-Earnings Price$272.09Last close (Oct 21, 2024)
    Post-Earnings Price$264.03Open (Oct 22, 2024)
    Price Change
    $-8.06(-2.96%)
    • Danaher's bioprocessing business is showing positive momentum, with larger customers moving past inventory destocking, giving confidence in the long-term high single-digit growth outlook for this business.
    • The Abcam acquisition is progressing well, with the team making great progress integrating into Danaher, and expectations that it will meet both growth and bottom-line targets.
    • Danaher is launching innovative products like Rapid Genes, offering whole genes to customers with high quality and turnaround time, expected to provide tailwinds in their gene editing business.
    • Capital equipment spending in Life Sciences remains constrained, particularly in China, impacting growth in equipment sales.
    • Uncertainty in 2025 projections due to variables such as bioprocessing orders momentum, respiratory sales, and lack of meaningful China stimulus, raising concerns about meeting growth expectations.
    • Diagnostics in China are facing headwinds due to volume-based procurement policies, leading to low double-digit declines in that region.
    1. 2025 Growth Outlook
      Q: Should the street's 2025 growth estimates be adjusted?
      A: Management indicated that current street estimates for 2025, which include 8% core growth with bioprocessing growing double digits and Life Sciences growing 7%, may be optimistic. They emphasized the need to see how the fourth quarter plays out, particularly regarding the China stimulus and bioprocessing order momentum, before providing definitive guidance. ,

    2. Bioprocessing Recovery
      Q: Is the bioprocessing market showing signs of recovery?
      A: Management noted that bioprocessing orders have improved with five consecutive quarters of order growth, including over 20% growth in the latest quarter. While revenue is down low single digits in 2024, they expect a gradual recovery to continue into 2025, potentially turning positive next year. They remain encouraged by the trajectory but emphasize that the recovery is gradual. ,

    3. China Stimulus Impact
      Q: How is the China stimulus affecting business outlook?
      A: While a stimulus has been announced in China, it hasn't translated into meaningful orders as customers await details. The impact of the China stimulus is a significant variable for 2025, especially for Life Sciences and bioprocessing. Management expects China to remain stable but is monitoring for any material changes in the stimulus execution during the fourth quarter. , , ,

    4. Margin Outlook
      Q: Why did Q4 operating margin assumptions change?
      A: Operating margin projections for Q4 decreased slightly to approximately 30%, while the full-year margin remains at about 29%. This adjustment is due to expected lower revenue in respiratory products in Q4, timing differences in bioprocessing revenues, and strategic investments being made in the business. Margins in a normal environment are expected to be in the low 30s, with further updates for fiscal 2025 to come in January.

    5. Cepheid Respiratory Sales
      Q: Was there a pull-forward in Cepheid kit purchases?
      A: Management acknowledged that the $425 million in respiratory sales exceeded the $200 million guidance, partly due to customers purchasing ahead to ensure supply for Q4. A significant portion of the beat was likely related to this pull-forward. They also noted that Cepheid is gaining market share, particularly in the U.S., by expanding into hospitals and near point-of-care settings.

    6. M&A and Share Buyback
      Q: What's the update on M&A activity and share buybacks?
      A: The share buyback announced earlier was completed between Q2 and Q3. On M&A, management is actively cultivating opportunities across all segments but noted that while the environment is improving, valuations remain elevated. They are maintaining discipline to ensure deals meet their criteria of attractive end markets, companies, and valuation frameworks.

    7. Impact of Local Competition in China
      Q: Is local competition in China affecting long-term growth?
      A: Management acknowledged local competitors in China but indicated that many biotech companies are opting for cheaper solutions due to financial struggles. However, companies targeting international markets prefer multinational suppliers like Danaher to meet global regulatory standards. Local competition impacts more on the margin and doesn't change their long-term growth outlook for the bioprocessing segment.

    8. Genomics and New Product Launch
      Q: How is the new Rapid Genes product expected to perform?
      A: The Rapid Genes product offers whole genes with high quality and fast turnaround times, highly differentiating it in the market. Management expects this to provide tailwinds over time. While the gene reading market is softer due to reduced activity among smaller biotech customers, gene editing solutions like CRISPR and guide RNA are performing well, and they are pleased with IDT's performance.

    9. Diagnostics Performance in China
      Q: How did diagnostics perform in China this quarter?
      A: Diagnostics revenue in China was down in the low double digits, impacted by volume-based procurement initiatives and tough comparisons due to high hardware sales in the prior year. Globally, diagnostics showed strong performance, with high single-digit recurring revenue growth in North America and Europe.

    10. Life Science Equipment Trends
      Q: What were the trends in Life Science equipment sales?
      A: Capital equipment spending remained constrained, particularly in China, consistent with the first half of 2024. However, consumables and services grew as lab activities stabilized. Equipment sales face headwinds, but there's positive momentum in consumables.

    11. Smaller Bioprocessing Customers
      Q: Are smaller bioprocessing customers impacting revenue?
      A: Smaller customers, representing about 25% of bioprocessing revenues, are recovering more slowly due to funding challenges and earlier-stage projects. While the larger customers (about 75%) have begun to recover from destocking, the slow recovery among smaller customers provides insight into market dynamics but isn't significantly impacting overall revenues.

    12. Abcam Integration
      Q: How is the integration of Abcam progressing?
      A: Management is focused on transitioning Abcam into Danaher, with great progress being made. They are leveraging Danaher's capabilities to drive growth and improve cost positioning. They feel confident that Abcam will meet expectations for growth and profitability in the long term.