DR
DIGITAL REALTY TRUST, INC. (DLR)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered solid operating momentum but modest headline misses versus Street: revenue was $1.41B (−2% q/q, +6% y/y) with diluted EPS of $0.27; Core FFO/share rose to $1.77 (+2% q/q, +6% y/y) as leasing strength and lower opex flowed through .
- Bookings were strong at $242M annualized GAAP rent at DLR share, driving a record backlog to $919M and ~10-month average commencement lag; renewal cash spreads rose +5.6% .
- 2025 guidance raised: revenue to $5.825–$5.925B (from $5.800–$5.900B), Adjusted EBITDA to $3.125–$3.225B (from $3.100–$3.200B), Core FFO/share to $7.05–$7.15 (from $7.00–$7.10); FX assumptions updated (USD/GBP $1.25–$1.35, USD/EUR $1.05–$1.15) .
- Strategic funding evolution: launch of U.S. Hyperscale Data Center Fund with >$1.7B LP commitments; Azure ExpressRoute on-ramps added (Atlanta, Brussels, Vienna); dividend maintained at $1.22 per share for Q2 2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- Record backlog and sustained leasing: “Leasing kept pace with our 2024 record, lifting our backlog to a new high of $919 million” as Q1 bookings hit $242M at share and renewal cash spreads were +5.6% .
- Guidance raise on top-line and Core FFO: revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, and Core FFO/share ranges all moved up on FX improvements and execution .
- Funding model and ecosystem progress: >$1.7B LP commitments into the new U.S. Hyperscale Fund; added three Azure ExpressRoute on-ramps; continued sustainability initiatives (e.g., IL solar partnership) .
- What Went Wrong
- Modest estimate misses: revenue ($1.41B) trailed consensus ($1.42B*), and FFO/share ($1.67) trailed consensus ($1.73*); diluted EPS ($0.27) below consensus ($0.31*) .
- GAAP EPS down y/y: diluted EPS fell to $0.27 vs $0.82 in 1Q24 on lower non-operating gains/other items despite stronger Core FFO; occupancy broadly stable at ~84% .
- Leverage ticked up vs year-end: net debt/Adjusted EBITDA at 5.1x (vs 4.8x at 12/31), reflecting development ramp and capital timing; still within comfort and backed by >$5B liquidity prior to fund capital .
Financial Results
- Estimate comparison (Q1 2025)
- Revenue: Actual $1.408B vs Consensus $1.425B* .
- FFO/share: Actual $1.67 vs Consensus $1.731* .
- GAAP EPS: Actual $0.27 vs Consensus $0.315*.
- Note: Consensus values marked with an asterisk (*) are from S&P Global.
- KPIs and balance sheet
- New bookings (annualized GAAP, DLR share): $242.3M; interconnection bookings: $14.649M .
- Backlog (signed-but-not-commenced): $919M annualized GAAP base rent; average lag ~10 months .
- Renewal cash spreads: +5.6%; GAAP basis +7.1% .
- Occupancy: 84.0%; data centers: 308; cross-connects: 228,000 .
- Adjusted EBITDA: $791.2M; Interest coverage: 5.3x; Net debt/Adj. EBITDA: 5.1x .
Leasing Mix – Q1 2025 (Annualized GAAP Base Rent)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “Robust demand across our key product segments drove strong leasing and acceleration in Core FFO per share growth… leasing kept pace with our 2024 record, lifting our backlog to a new high of $919 million” .
- CFO: “We are increasing our core FFO guidance range for the full year 2025 by $0.05 to $7.05 to $7.15 per share… top-line and adjusted EBITDA growth of more than 10% in 2025 on a normalized, constant-currency basis” .
- CEO on tariffs: “We’re seeing a very modest, less than 5% impact to potential build costs… supply chains very U.S.-focused or under USMCA” .
- Strategy: “The fund will support approximately $10 billion of hyperscale data center investment… enabling us to serve robust demand while enhancing returns through fees” .
Q&A Highlights
- Leasing outlook despite volatility: Pipeline “very robust” across both enterprise and hyperscale; largest signing occurred in March; quotes for large blocks “going out across multiple markets” .
- Tariffs & supply chain: Tariffs expected to have “less than 5%” cost impact; proactive component orders and USMCA footprint help mitigate .
- Land/capacity expansion: Charlotte to support up to 400MW campus; Atlanta ~100 acres post-quarter, >200MW supported; strategy ties hyperscale campuses near connectivity hubs .
- Pricing & escalators: Positive pricing in both segments; majority of leases include ≥4% escalators or CPI link .
- AI mix: ~Two-thirds of new signings AI-related in Q1; growing enterprise AI pipeline and rising power densities supported by HD Colo .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 vs Wall Street (S&P Global): revenue $1.41B vs $1.42B*, FFO/share $1.67 vs $1.73*, GAAP EPS $0.27 vs $0.31* — modest misses on headline metrics despite strong Core FFO/share and Adjusted EBITDA execution .
- Street FY outlook: 2025 revenue $6.06B* and 2026 revenue $6.73B* reflect multiyear growth underpinned by backlog commencements and development conversion; FFO/share consensus: $7.31* (FY25), $7.82* (FY26). Values marked with an asterisk (*) are from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strong underlying demand with quality mix: Backlog at a record $919M and healthy renewal spreads (+5.6% cash) improve visibility; ~10-month lag should translate to H2’25/H1’26 revenue ramps .
- Guidance raised across key lines: FY25 revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, and Core FFO/share all increased; constant-currency CFFO maintained, suggesting balanced confidence amid macro/FX .
- Funding optionality expands: U.S. Hyperscale Fund (> $1.7B LPs) supports ~$10B of investments while generating fee income and capital efficiency; complements already robust liquidity .
- Tactical risks: Small headline misses vs consensus and leverage up to 5.1x reflect the development ramp; occupancy (~84%) leaves room to improve via 0–1MW execution and interconnection attach .
- Near-term trading setup: Guidance raise and record backlog are positives; modest revenue/FFO misses may temper reaction. Watch for H2 commencements cadence, additional fund closes, and pricing power in core metros .
- Medium-term thesis: Multiyear acceleration driven by commencements (2025–2026), double-digit normalized top-line/EBITDA growth, rising development yields, and expanding ecosystem (cloud on-ramps, HD Colo) .
Footnote: Consensus/Guidance metrics marked with an asterisk (*) are values retrieved from S&P Global.