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Guidewire Software - Earnings Call - Q1 2025

December 5, 2024

Executive Summary

  • Strong start to FY25: Q1 revenue rose 27% YoY to $262.9M and GAAP EPS reached $0.11 (non-GAAP $0.43), with subscription and support revenue up 33% YoY; ARR ended at $874M, at the high end of guidance.
  • Broad-based execution and Tier‑1 momentum: nine Q1 cloud deals including five Tier‑1s; Zurich signed a global framework agreement, accelerating multi-entity cloud adoption.
  • Profitability/margin upside: subscription & support gross margin reached 70% and overall gross margin 63% on platform efficiency and mix; services margin hit 20% on high utilization.
  • Guidance raised: FY25 total revenue increased to $1.155–$1.167B and non‑GAAP operating income to $164–$176M; Q2 revenue guided to $282–$288M with non‑GAAP op income $39–$45M; operating cash flow unchanged at $220–$250M.
  • Stock reaction catalysts: beat vs company Q1 guidance on revenue and profitability, visible Tier‑1 wins (Zurich framework), and FY25 guidance raise; S&S margin at 70% underscores cloud scale benefits.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Tier‑1/International momentum: 9 cloud deals (5 Tier‑1s), including Zurich’s global framework plus adoptions at Zurich entities (commercial suite and ClaimCenter Australia); additional Tier‑1 wins in Europe and ANZ.
  • Margin expansion: subscription & support gross margin reached 70% (vs 65% a year ago) on platform efficiency; services margin improved to 20% on utilization and lower subcontracting.
  • Cloud maturity and AI narrative: CEO highlighted easier updates, stronger referenceability, and generative AI plans to enhance developer productivity and underwriting/claims, resonating with customers; Gartner MQ named InsuranceSuite a clear leader.

Selected quotes:

  • “Cloud demand remained strong with 9 deals in Q1… five were with Tier 1 insurers… [Zurich] global framework agreement…”.
  • “Subscription and support gross margin was 70%… ahead of expectations due to… platform efficiency.”.
  • “We shared our vision to infuse generative AI in our platform… feedback was incredibly positive.”.

What Went Wrong

  • Cash outflows seasonality: Q1 operating cash flow was -$62.3M and free cash flow -$67.4M, impacted by annual bonus and commissions timing (seasonally weakest cash quarter).
  • Services mix still below ideal steady-state: management does not expect services margins to sustain 20% through the year; utilization expected to tick down from Q1 strength.
  • ARR nuance and churn: one large deal signed in Q1 starts ARR in Q2; churn was “a little bit higher” in Q1 than expected for the rest of the year.

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Greetings and welcome to the Guidewire First Quarter of Fiscal 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. As a reminder, this call is being recorded and will be posted on our Investor Relations page later today. I would now like to turn the call over to Alex Hughes, Vice President of Investor Relations. Thank you, Alex. You may begin.

Alex Hughes (VP of Investor Relations)

Thank you, Grace. Hello, everyone. With me today is Mike Rosenbaum, Chief Executive Officer, Jeff Cooper, Chief Financial Officer, and John Mullen, President and Chief Revenue Officer, who will be with us for Q&A today on the call. A complete disclosure of our results can be found in our press release issued today, as well as in our related Form 8-K furnished to the SEC, both of which are available in the Investor Relations section of our website. Today's call is being recorded, and a replay will be available following its conclusion. Statements today include forward-looking ones regarding our financial results, product, customer demand, operations, the impact of local, national, and geopolitical events on our business, and other matters.

These statements are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, are based on management's current expectations as of today, and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any subsequent date. Please refer to the press release and risk factors and documents we file with the SEC, including our most recent annual report on Form 10-K and our prior and forthcoming quarterly reports on Form 10-Q filed and to be filed with the SEC for more information on risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in such statements. We also will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures to provide additional information to investors. All commentary on margins, profitability, and expenses are on a non-GAAP basis unless stated otherwise. A reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures is provided in our press release.

Reconciliations and additional data are also posted in a supplement on our IR website. Finally, this quarter, Investor Relations has decided to enter the current decade and conduct our earnings call on Zoom rather than a tele-bridge. This means we will manage the Q&A portion of today's call internally with the help of Grace moderating, who you just heard from, and me managing Q&A. Since it's our first go, please be patient with us if we encounter any short pauses in the handoffs during Q&A, so with that, I will hand it off to Mike.

Mike Rosenbaum (CEO)

Thank you, Alex. Good afternoon, and thanks, everyone, for joining us today. Q1 was a very strong start to the year for us, and coming on the heels of a record-breaking Q4, I'm excited about the continued and consistent momentum in our business. In November, we had the opportunity to connect with thousands of our customers and partners at our industry conference, Connections, and also released Las Leñas our 12th cloud release. Connections is an opportunity for us to present our company and product vision to the world, and the feedback has been universally positive. It was gratifying to see the results of our team's efforts come together, and I think it appropriate to call out four key themes that I took from the event, and I believe are driving our company right now.

First, we continue to see strong demand from our cloud-based solutions, particularly at the high end of the market. Second, this demand is being driven by the increasing maturity of our cloud platform, particularly around the ease of updates, which is driving referenceability throughout our cloud customer base. Third, the improved agility and flexibility that our cloud platform and solutions deliver is resonating with the industry's growing demand for pace and speed in delivering analytics and AI-powered innovation. Fourth, our partner ecosystem, both in terms of consulting partners and marketplace solutions, continues to rally around our cloud platform, which is extending and accelerating our reach and impact. Finally, unrelated to Connections, but important to call out, we continue to create leverage in our operating model as we drive greater efficiency running Guidewire Cloud Platform.

I'll touch on each of these briefly before handing it over to Jeff to discuss the financials. Cloud demand remains strong with nine deals in Q1. Our results were particularly strong at the high end of the market. Of the seven total InsuranceSuite cloud deals, five were with Tier 1 insurers. This included two deals at Zurich Insurance Group, a top three global commercial insurer. In the quarter, we signed a global framework agreement with Zurich that streamlines the decision process for each of its local and country-specific entities to adopt Guidewire Cloud. In conjunction with this agreement, Guidewire Cloud was adopted within two Zurich entities, one for the full suite at an entity focused on large corporate and commercial lines, and another for ClaimCenter at Zurich, Australia. This agreement and these wins speak to our scale and ability to serve the largest insurers in the world.

We closed another three InsuranceSuite deals at Tier 1 insurers. Arch Insurance's middle market, commercial, and entertainment business selected InsuranceSuite on Guidewire Cloud. Also, one of the world's largest insurance companies based in Australia selected InsuranceSuite to replace a legacy system for the commercial lines of business, and a European mobility insurance arm of a global Tier 1 insurer elected to adopt InsuranceSuite for a multi-country rollout across Europe. As we have discussed before, these relationships take years to develop and are expected to last decades. We are all excited about the momentum in this segment of the market and the opportunity to serve some incredible new customers. Our continued momentum with Tier 1 insurers is great, but the international momentum is also exciting and aligns to a strategic focus we've outlined previously.

In our European region, we added three cloud customers, including the ones I just mentioned, and I was particularly pleased to earn the trust of the Baloise Group, a longtime self-managed customer who chose to migrate to Guidewire Cloud Platform while expanding to the full suite for its European entities. In the Asia-Pacific region, it was another strong quarter in Australia and New Zealand with two Tier 1 deals mentioned. I'm very pleased to see the investments we've made in this region continue to pay off. We also had another good quarter for InsuranceNow, which supports smaller insurance customers, with one net new win and an expansion in the quarter. Our continued strong demand is primarily driven by the increasing maturity and referenceability of the Guidewire Cloud Platform and our cloud-based solutions. This was one of the main takeaways from Connections.

Simply put, customers are successful with Guidewire and specifically Guidewire Cloud, and with more of our overall customer base now on cloud, customers who have been waiting for the right time to see the success and getting more serious about their plans for modernization. The CTO of Travelers shared her experience migrating to PolicyCenter on Guidewire Cloud and implored others to get started now, saying, "The faster and earlier you move, the sooner you'll drive growth and innovation." The COO of IAG, Australia's largest insurer and operator of 26 insurance brands, spoke about the greater efficiency and innovation they unlocked by consolidating to a single claims platform with intelligent automation. Their team has gone from taking 22 minutes to report a claim to just 90 seconds, and more importantly, has made it vastly easier for thousands of employees to develop and innovate on our platform.

We also had the opportunity to connect with a leadership contingent from Japan at the event and conducted a specific strategy session for this market. It was exciting to see this level of engagement from our Japanese customers, and we're excited about the opportunity to further our commitment to the Japanese insurance market. The maturity of our cloud platform also creates the baseline P&C insurers need to innovate. Rapid technology advances around generative AI are underscoring the need for a modern cloud platform. At Connections, we shared our vision and plans to infuse generative AI in our platform and solutions to improve developer productivity and accelerate underwriting and claims processes. The feedback we received from customers was incredibly positive, as I think customers increasingly appreciate the need to run an agile and flexible core platform with modern APIs that allow them to innovate and stay competitive.

The pace at which generative AI-driven capabilities are evolving is unprecedented, and taking advantage of this potential requires a modern core platform. This fact, together with the maturity of Guidewire Cloud Platform, especially around being able to take releases more easily, has led to very positive customer engagement and I think shifted the nature of many of our cloud migration conversations. It's great to see the maturity and momentum of our platform continue to grow, and underscoring this was Gartner's recent Magic Quadrant for Software as a Service P&C Core Platforms, North America, which showed InsuranceSuite as the clear leader. Our partner community is a key element of our success, and we continue to see great momentum with both SI partners and technology partners. The presence of 33 SI partners, including PwC, Deloitte, Capgemini, Accenture, EY, Sollers, and Cognizant, was very impressive to see.

It was clear that we bring to the table a unique strength relative to our competitors in the space. Our intention is to focus on being a best-in-class software company and build products that can be implemented successfully by partners. This strategy isn't just achieved by creating great products. It requires creating a one-of-a-kind partner ecosystem that ultimately creates far more successful customers. It was also great to see marketplace partners really step up and use the event as an opportunity to launch new technology and integrations with us. For example, Hi Marley launched a conversational first notice of loss experience that leverages automation and AI to dramatically increase the ease and speed of starting a claim. In addition, Box announced it's leveraging Guidewire Cloud Platform's integration framework to offer a pre-built integration that automatically extracts data from Box files and populates corresponding InsuranceSuite records.

Insurers can now automatically categorize and analyze claims documents, extracting critical information such as policy numbers, incident details, and customer data to accelerate claims processing and enhance accuracy. Partnerships like these increase my confidence that our approach to aggressively partner with companies across the insurance lifecycle is working, and like I said before, leading to better customer outcomes and success. Finally, as we grow adoption and deployments of Guidewire Cloud Platform, we continue to demonstrate increasing leverage in our business model. It is great to see expanding operating efficiency play out with subscription and support gross margins reaching 70% in the first quarter, which Jeff will talk about in more detail. This continued operating execution gives us confidence in the future and the freedom to begin to work on what's next.

To conclude, I'd say we continue to build a very attractive business with a blue-chip customer base and best-in-class customer retention that's based on a platform designed to continually deliver greater innovation and value to our customers in the P&C industry. We are at a point where pace of change makes a platform like this more important than ever for insurers, and we believe this positions us to build a business that delivers an attractive combination of durable growth and margin. And with that, I'll turn it over to Jeff to discuss the financials.

Jeff Cooper (CFO)

Thanks, Mike. We're off to a great start in fiscal 2025. I want to touch on four key financial highlights before I jump into the details of the quarter. First, ARR ended at the high end of our outlook at $874 million. Second, subscription and support revenue growth accelerated to 33% in Q1. Third, subscription and support gross margin hit 70% in the quarter. And fourth, total revenue on a trailing 12-month basis surpassed $1 billion. Combining these financial highlights with the energy we just experienced coming out of Connections, it is clearly an exciting time to be at Guidewire. Now let me dive into the details. Total revenue was $263 million, above the high end of our outlook and up 27% year-over-year. Our total revenue beat was due to higher-than-expected subscription and support revenue and services revenue.

Subscription and support revenue finished Q1 at $170 million, reflecting 33% year-over-year growth, which is the highest growth rate in two years. This is a reflection of our continued InsuranceSuite cloud momentum. Services revenue finished at $56 million as healthy services bookings translated into higher utilization rates. Turning to profitability for the first quarter, which we will discuss on a non-GAAP basis unless stated otherwise, gross profit was $167 million, representing 38% year-over-year growth. Overall gross margin was 63% compared with 58% a year ago and 42% in Q1 of fiscal 2023. Our progress on profitability has been fantastic. Subscription and support gross margin was 70% compared to 65% a year ago. This was ahead of our expectations due to higher-than-expected revenue and continued progress on platform efficiency. Services gross margin was 20% compared to 10% a year ago.

This profitability benefited from strong utilization rates and lower subcontractor costs. All this positive momentum on gross margins led to an operating profit of $34.7 million. This is a strong result when compared with our outlook of $21 million at the midpoint. About $12 million of this beat came from the gross profit line, with the remainder coming from operating expense discipline. Overall stock-based compensation was $38 million, up 5% from Q1 of last year, and higher-than-expectations due to an adjustment in our accrual for prior year performance-based stock grants and share price appreciation prior to grant date for recent employee RSU grants. We ended the quarter with over $1.5 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and investments. During the quarter, we completed a $690 million convertible debt offering.

Using a portion of the net proceeds of this offering, we retired about 30% of our existing convertible notes that are maturing in March of 2025. The remaining converts due in 2025 are expected to be net share settled at maturity. On December 2nd, we established a $300 million revolving credit facility. This facility gives us incremental flexibility to ensure we have liquidity necessary to pursue inorganic growth while minimizing shareholder dilution. Operating cash flow ended the quarter at -$62 million. As a reminder, annual employee bonuses and commission expenses related to Q4 sales are paid out in Q1, and as a result, Q1 cash flow is always lower than the other quarters in the fiscal year. Now let me go through our updated outlook for fiscal year 2025.

Starting with the top line, we are very pleased with our first quarter performance and feel confident in our pipeline and our ability to hit our annual targets. Given we are just one quarter into the year, we are maintaining our annual outlook for ARR of $995 million-$1.005 billion. For total revenue, we now expect between $1.155 billion and $1.167 billion. We expect approximately $648 million in subscription revenue and $713 million in subscription and support revenue. Given higher-than-expected services revenue in Q1 and improving utilization, we now expect services revenue to be approximately $205 million. Turning to margins and profitability, which we'll discuss on a non-GAAP basis, we are increasing our subscription and support gross margin expectations to be approximately 69% for the year, up from the 68% we discussed last quarter.

We expect services gross margins of approximately 12% and overall gross margins to be approximately 65% for the full year. As a result of raising our revenue outlook, we are also lifting our outlook for operating income. We expect GAAP operating income of between break-even and $12 million and non-GAAP operating income of between $164 million and $176 million for the fiscal year. We expect stock-based compensation to be approximately $159 million, representing 9% growth year-over-year. We still expect cash flow from operations for the year to be between $220 million and $250 million. Turning to our outlook for Q2, we expect ARR to finish between $909 million and $914 million. Our outlook for total revenue in Q2 is between $282 million and $288 million. We expect subscription and support revenue of approximately $175 million and services revenue of approximately $48 million.

We expect subscription and support margins of approximately 68%, services margins to be around 6%, and total gross margins around 64%. Our outlook for non-GAAP operating income is between $39 million and $45 million. In summary, Q1 was a great start to the year, and we are very excited for what is ahead. Alex, you can now open the call for questions.

Alex Hughes (VP of Investor Relations)

Great. Thanks, Jeff. Our first question comes from the line of Dylan Becker at William Blair.

Dylan Becker (Technology, Media, and Communications Research Analyst)

Hey, gentlemen. Hopefully, you can hear me here. Appreciate the question. Mike, you touched on this to start. Obviously, we were at Connections, and it was very clear the enthusiasm from customers and partners that you talked to. I'm wondering if you could dive into the importance. You called out kind of now roughly half of the base along this cloud migration journey. I think the vast majority of those are on kind of more frequent versions of the software as well. So how that kind of unlocks more of this ecosystem enthusiasm and how it contributes confidence in your aspirational goal of getting 100% of this ecosystem converted to the cloud over time.

Mike Rosenbaum (CEO)

Yeah, thanks, Dylan. I appreciate the question, so yeah, I think one of the things that's been, you know, it's been hard over the past few years is just the, you know, the use case is not an experimental use case that the customers we serve in the industry and the use case that we serve for customers is incredibly serious, and so they take the, you know, they take the decision to move to cloud very seriously, and they want to see a track record. Many of these customers want to see a track record of success, and so it's kind of one of the things that we're very proud of is just how well we've executed and how consistently we've executed with our cloud programs. They haven't all gone perfectly, but I can genuinely say that they've all gone well.

Everybody that's made that decision is happy that they made the decision. So that just really helps us have the conversations with the customers that are still on-prem, that are still thinking about when's the right quarter and when's the right year for them to move. You know, that it just adds to the confidence and it reduces the perceived risk that they're taking in going to a platform like ours. Now, you know, the other side of your question, which we touched on, you know, at the Connections event is not only are we getting the programs live and not only are they running successfully in production, but we're actually able to keep the customers on current release versions of the product, which is slightly different than basically the way the distribution of releases existed in our on-prem customer base.

You know, we're doing a lot technically to validate the implementations and validate the new versions of the software that we write so that we can do these updates more frequently, faster, and cheaper for all of our cloud customers. And so that just adds to the benefit that the on-prem customers think about, you know, that expect that they'll see when they get to the cloud. It improves the value proposition and it increases the likelihood that they're going to make that decision. And so, you know, you add all that up and it's just kind of changing the nature of the conversations we're having. You know, it's never going to go, it's never going to go as fast as we want. You know, we've got to be patient and we've got to work with the customers based on the set of priorities that they have.

But I do genuinely believe, you know, that we are going to get 100% of our customer base to our cloud. And, you know, and that's a pretty amazing thing to say when you think about the scope of what Guidewire has achieved over its 20-year history. You know, I can legitimately say that there's a path to that and we're committed to that and I can see it happening. And so it's kind of exciting. You know, it's going to take a long time, but we're going to do it. And I think it speaks to the sort of commitment we make to the industry and our customer base. So anyway, hopefully that helps. Thanks for the question.

Dylan Becker (Technology, Media, and Communications Research Analyst)

No, no, no. It does appreciate it. And it was great to see the enthusiasm at the event. Maybe, Jeff, as a segue to you off of that, you called out the acceleration in subscription and support revenues as a function of some of these larger Tier 1 deals. Obviously, 70% gross margin there tracking well ahead. Maybe how this kind of gives confidence and obviously the kind of financial implications of this long-term normalization and some of your longer-term targets there. Thanks, guys. Appreciate it.

Alex Hughes (VP of Investor Relations)

Sorry. Next question comes from Ken Wong of Oppenheimer.

Ken Wong (Managing Director and Senior Analyst)

Hey, great. Thanks for taking my question. Mike, you called out the Zurich deal in your prepared remarks, and I couldn't help but notice global framework agreement being tossed out there. I guess maybe help us understand the significance of a global framework, and how much is this, how much of this is something that might materialize near-term financially versus something that we might see kind of flowing in, you know, more medium long-term as this framework gets rolled out?

Mike Rosenbaum (CEO)

Yeah, thanks for the question, Ken. So obviously, Zurich is a critical customer for us globally across many countries in many instances, and we've had success. We've had cloud success with various entities in the, as part of the Zurich group over the past few years, but as that, as our momentum kind of started to pick up and as the concept that this is this cloud offering that we have is really working, we began to have conversations with, you know, the Zurich group, the global kind of call it oversight entity that looks to create partnerships worldwide that supports every single entity. We started to have conversations with them about what we could do to facilitate the conversations and the negotiations and the structuring of the deals with each one of the individual entities.

And so, you know, somewhat this is a mechanism for us to create a more fluid conversation with each of those entities as we proceed and, you know, grease the skids, so to speak, about the decision to move to cloud. You know, so we still have to earn that business with each one of those entities, and we're certainly committed to doing it, but it should make the sales cycles a lot more straightforward because basically we've negotiated a structure centrally that we can share across all of those entities. And it was nice because that agreement kind of lined up to two short-term deals that I called out in the prepared remarks. You know, both of those deals were things that we had been discussing, but once we had the global agreement in place, it became easier for us to get those two deals completed.

You know, I don't want to project, you know, but it's certainly not going to slow down our momentum, our sales momentum with Zurich. It could only speed it up. I think it's just a great, I don't know, it represents just the incredible strength of this partnership and what we think we can create with Zurich worldwide. It's just an incredible milestone for us and to have earned their trust to like create that structure. I was really proud to get to that point.

Ken Wong (Managing Director and Senior Analyst)

Great. Thank you. Super helpful. And Jeff, I wanted to maybe pick on the, or dig into the subscription support gross margins, really meaningful step up to 70% this quarter. You know, you called out some of the tailwinds from top line and expenses, but any one-time uplifts that we should be aware of? I noticed you guided it to step back a little next quarter. Yeah, any help there would be great.

Jeff Cooper (CFO)

Sure. Yeah. I mean, there's a couple of things to know. First, we are modeling some significant increased customer usage of the platform as we move throughout the year as we see more and more customers go live. And so that does have an impact. The second thing that is a little bit more nuanced is we had some engineers that were building cloud migration tooling, and some of those engineers transitioned their focus to supporting cloud customers. And as a result, the expense associated with those engineers moved from R&D to cloud COGS. That impact occurred towards the end of Q1. It's pretty common for us, you know, with the function of DevOps to take a regular look at how people spend their time and how we're allocating the appropriate expenses associated with their time. And so that did happen. That had an impact.

If you look at that impact throughout the whole year, it adds up to about a kind of 1% impact to gross margin that didn't impact Q1, but will impact the rest of the year, and so you take that together. That's the reason why we're not expecting to sustain at 70%, but still, you know, tracking a little bit ahead of our expectations for the year.

Ken Wong (Managing Director and Senior Analyst)

Fantastic. Thanks for the color.

Alex Hughes (VP of Investor Relations)

Great. Our next question comes from Parker Lane at Stifel.

Parker Lane (Director)

Hey, can you guys hear me okay?

Alex Hughes (VP of Investor Relations)

Yes.

Parker Lane (Director)

Perfect. Thanks for taking the question here. Jeff, looking at the 1Q performance and the implied guide for the full year in services, I was wondering if you could dive into that dynamic of growth a little bit more this year and sort of comment on how close you are to the ideal split of services work being done by partners versus your internal teams.

Jeff Cooper (CFO)

Yeah, I think in general, when we've talked about this, we've indicated that, you know, it's really critical for us to have a high-performing services team. This is a strategic asset for us, and we have capacity to do a little bit over $200 million. As we established the outlook for this year, we thought it would take a little time to build back to that level. With the guidance that we've given at the end of this quarter, we now are kind of operating at a higher utilization than what we'd expected. I think we're finding a healthy balance right now between the work that our teams are engaging in and the work that the partners are engaged in. You know, the partners continue to lead most of these programs.

And as we look at utilization rates in Q1 and as we look kind of throughout the rest of the year, you know, I expect utilization to tick off a little bit. We're not expecting to be at 20% margins as we move through the year, but it was a really strong first quarter for us. And John Mullen is here as well, and he can offer up some comments.

John Mullen (President)

I'll just add that, you know, I agree. We're reaching that balance point where seeing what's ahead of us gives us that chance to look better at our utilization and what we do from a subcontracting standpoint. The unique part about Q1 was really Q4. We had some really, really nice sized deals in Q4 that created a hot start to the year. So we're a little bit ahead of schedule on utilization, but we're finding that balance Jeff is talking about, and we feel really good about the work that that team's done and also the really tight partnership with the systems integrators to make sure that we've got the right mix to ensure success across all of these deals.

Parker Lane (Director)

Appreciate the feedback and thanks for taking the question.

Jeff Cooper (CFO)

Thank you.

Alex Hughes (VP of Investor Relations)

Thanks, Parker. Our next question comes from Alex Sklar, Raymond James.

Alex Sklar (Director)

Thank you. Mike, I just want to follow up on Dylan's question earlier on the cloud migration pacing. You called out some of the highlights around the referenceability, the customers staying more current. AI is kind of a driver, an overall driver for customers that want to do anything with AI going in the future. Is there any change coming out of Connections, though, just in terms of your visibility over the kind of next two to three- to five-year window as far as pacing of cloud migrations?

Mike Rosenbaum (CEO)

I would say nothing's changed if you look out three to five years. I think we've had a couple of conversations coming out of Connections where you could say, you know, things have improved and there's a little bit more of a timeline associated with planning. And so, like I said, it certainly helps kind of solidify our expectations for opportunities through the remainder of the fiscal year. I think the, you know, the other characteristic of this is that we have begun to be more clear about what the long-term expectations should be for our ability to support on-prem customers out, you know, and beyond, you know, three to five years, and exactly what that looks like and starting to have real conversations with customers about what they should expect and how they should start to plan.

And so I would say like the, you know, the referenceability, the excitement about the product, you know, our ability to support and run these workloads successfully, all of that helps. But it also kind of relates to just what is the, you know, final outcome of these on-prem implementations. And, you know, that conversation we have with all those customers definitely stretches out five years. You know, we make a plan for what our, you know, what we expect the opportunity will look like, you know, each quarter out for the next couple of years. And we continue to hone that with our sales organization and our customer success leaders. And, you know, so I would say Connections helped a little, but it hasn't changed it dramatically.

John Mullen (President)

I'll add one quick point on that. I think, you know, Mike's keynote message balances trust and vision. So much of the conversations we've had have been about gaining trust and proof points. It does materially start to shift towards that vision for how our brands work together, us and customers and prospects in the industry at large work together to unlock opportunity. Just adding that that ties up really well with the pressure that exists right now, competitive pressure that exists right now in general insurance, property and casualty insurance. The need for agility, the need for more precise decision-making is very real.

And having the opportunity to sit across the table from these customers and prospects and map out how we can work together and continue to invest in our R&D to help them solve that problem gives me a tremendous amount of optimism about how we continue to work together with them in a more strategic context than just proving out the value of the platform asset.

Alex Sklar (Director)

Okay. Great color. Jeff, maybe just one follow-up for you. Just in terms of the really strong Tier 1 activity this quarter, any color on what those look like relative to kind of the ARR increase? Any of them that kind of aren't hitting in this Q1 ARR number or any different ramp schedules versus what you've kind of historically booked with Tier 1s in the past?

Jeff Cooper (CFO)

Yeah. So there was one deal in particular where the deal closed this quarter, but the ARR doesn't start until next quarter. And so that was one nuance in the quarter. But other than that, it was, you know, pretty typical blocking and tackling, pleased with the progress in Q1. If you're hinting at, you know, kind of the size of the ARR outperformance in the quarter, you know, Q1, we did have a little bit higher churn for the year than what we expect for the rest of the year. And that's kind of considered into our guidance and our forecast. And then the backlog in Q1 is usually, you know, pretty slow. And then that ramps throughout the year. And that's what we expect for this year as well.

Alex Sklar (Director)

Got it. I appreciate that color. And it wasn't suggestive of the upside. It just five Tier 1s, the way they were laid out sounded really large. So curious if there's anything different on how those were going to hit ARR over the next few years. But that's perfect. Thanks, Jeff.

Alex Hughes (VP of Investor Relations)

Great. Our next question comes from David Unger from Michael Turrin's team at Wells Fargo.

David Unger (VP of Equity Research)

Thank you very much. So, you know, great to be at Connections and good to see the continued success and call out of tier one wins. You know, we got to spend some time with Tier 2 and Tier 3 vendors at Connections. Can you just talk through their engagement levels out of Connections this year versus prior years? Thanks.

John Mullen (President)

Yeah.

Mike Rosenbaum (CEO)

Let me say something first. I can let John give you a perspective. He's spent, you know, as much or more time with customers at Connections as I did. You know, I would say, you know, we call out the Tier 1s just because it's so strategic and there's such a high percentage of the overall premium in the industry that relates to Tier 1 carriers. But we've had tons of success with carriers of all sizes and, you know, not just the Tier 1 space. Connections is obviously a great opportunity for us to connect with people one-to-one and find out, you know, how are the projects going and what feedback do they have about our roadmap and what we're doing.

And I would say, you know, I'm just very, very positive on the direction that we're headed and how it's aligned to where our customers want us to be. I mean, we're not perfect. And we definitely get feedback at these events about where we can improve. And we work hard to listen as closely as we can and adjust our approach to delivering on the programs and delivering on the roadmaps such that these implementations are as successful and fast as possible. But I would say there's just a lot of energy behind, you know, the idea that, okay, we've got PolicyCenter and ClaimCenter and BillingCenter and InsuranceNow running in the cloud and we've got the update system working, you know, and the system's generally working.

And now we can start to think about, you know, what are we doing for your claims experience and your claims adjusters and how are we making sure you can manage indemnity more effectively and what are we doing around underwriting and helping your underwriters and helping the, you know, your actuaries manage your rating systems more effectively. And all that kind of like insurance functionality that we haven't been as focused on over the past five years is starting to bubble its way back up the priority list and into the roadmap. And that's pretty exciting. And you get that kind of feedback from those customers, you know, at Connections. It's great. It's validating. And so that was my big takeaway. But I'll let John give a comment because he spent a lot of time with these customers there too.

John Mullen (President)

Yeah. I'll start with the Tier 3s. I love the conversations and the operating principle with the Tier 3s simply because they exercise the platform and the application so aggressively. It's such a critical element of their business that we learn so much in the operations with them. Great feedback, great opportunity to prioritize our R&D roadmap. And, you know, the way we stand shoulder to shoulder to drive value with those Tier 3s is absolutely critical to our kind of teaming coexistence. So that's fun. And I see the, I do see the Tier 3s really moving aggressively. I'll come back to that in a second. The Tier 2s certainly unlocking value, as Mike mentioned, is becoming so much more important to them.

The ability to talk about insurance features and functions, risk selection, pricing, rating, the things that we're talking about that drive their business and their ability to compete, you know, really aggressively brings the Tier 2s, which is such a big part of Guidewire's 20-year history, really brings it to that, how do we shape next chapters together. The thing I take away from Connections more than anything else with these customers is, you know, for the smaller customers, it's true that working with us, they can operate at a level of scale and leverage that was maybe not available without the partnership. And for those that are very large, we're unlocking a level of agility that would be quite difficult for them to achieve standalone. So those two things together is, it creates a great basis for conversation and planning.

David Unger (VP of Equity Research)

So you led right into my next question, which was, you know, obviously great demos being shown at Connections. And any initial stats, you know, you could share as it relates to customer engagement, you know, coming off of, you know, GenAI and what that could be for the future, just wondering how that compares across tiers in terms of customer engagement out of Connections related to GenAI?

John Mullen (President)

On a conversation basis, I would say, statistically speaking, 100% of our customer conversations have some implications on what their plans are for GenAI and maybe more specifically decision-making inside the enterprise. More and more, it's becoming part of the business case that we write together to take that next, that really big important step of addressing the core processing environment and modernizing the core processing environment to unlock that value. You know, 100% is, I don't think is an overstatement. What percentage of those work into the business case to make that next important move is critical for those that are looking at either a net new or a migration. For those that are customers, the intensity and frequency of conversation is very prevalent in both our customer success organization and our product organization and our analytics organization.

The number of conversations we're having in kind of, I don't want to call them co-design, but co-conceptualizing solutions for the market has increased quite a bit in the last six months.

Mike Rosenbaum (CEO)

Yeah. I can just give you a quick perspective. Generative AI is a tool that can be applied in a thousand ways to the insurance industry. And so it's like every customer we talk to is doing something, doing some level of experimentation, some have it in production in certain use cases. But everybody is out there doing different things, trying to learn from one another, trying to learn from partners, trying to learn from Guidewire. And like aligning what we're learning and what we're doing with what they're learning and what they're doing, it's all very interesting. But there isn't like a deployed generative AI step. Like literally that'll be done times a thousand different use cases across the industry, across countries, across tiers. It's a very ubiquitous technology capability that'll be applied all over the insurance lifecycle.

It's kind of fun to get to sit down with people and start to think about where we might apply this, especially given this like cloud platform that's like set up to enable us to deliver this innovation in a much more fluid way than we were able to do it before.

David Unger (VP of Equity Research)

I appreciate all the detail. Thank you.

Alex Hughes (VP of Investor Relations)

Great. Our next question comes from Aaron Kimson of JMP Securities.

Aaron Kimson (Equity Research Associate)

Great. Thanks for the questions and having us in Nashville last month. I know it's early on GenAI and that was part of the vision piece of the Connections keynote. But can you help us think about what the pricing model for GenAI use cases may look like?

Mike Rosenbaum (CEO)

I think it's premature for us to talk about it. It's just because, you know, we have a lot of options that we'll look at, different ways we could look at packaging it. And so it's just, you know, there's just like so many ways that this might go that it's probably premature for me to describe it. And I also think I would, you know, connect you back to the previous conversation. You know, I think it's almost like, you know, if you say like, how does the internet or web browsers interact with your technology? It's like, well, it's everywhere, right? And so like there's going to be components, there's going to be solutions and products that are packaged and priced that are powered by generative AI.

There, you know, those prices and packages will relate to the solutions and products more so than they will relate to the enabling technology, the enabling capability, which will certainly be like a factor in how much it costs to run and how much it costs to build and deliver. But it's going to be far more nuanced than just like, this is how we price generative AI at Guidewire.

Aaron Kimson (Equity Research Associate)

Understood. And then, Mike, you mentioned recently you have 122 customers running Workers' Comp on your platform. What type of activity are you seeing within that segment of the P&C market? And what's the incremental opportunity with your existing customer base like for Workers' Comp?

Mike Rosenbaum (CEO)

There's an existing opportunity to expand within the customer base. There's also net new opportunity for modernization activity where insurance carriers that are running Workers' Comp lines and want a modern platform. We're tracking both of those things uniquely. The other side of this is that we're uncovering opportunities to enhance the product and improve with data and analytic solutions in Workers' Compensation. There's also, you know, I think very interesting what I guess I would call like networked or common requirements across multiple Workers' Comp carriers where they can come together and say, hey, if Guidewire can work with us to do this centrally and then apply it generally across all of our Workers' Comp customers, it can provide a big lift and can provide a big benefit.

You know, I think that it's just very, I called it out just because we're starting to get feedback from customers that, you know, hey, there's some unique requirements here and you have a critical mass of customers, and so we deserve some attention, and if you focused on it, you might be able to unlock some new sales activity, but also we might be able to do a better job serving our existing customers, and it's kind of, we spent a year looking at this and we have an incredible leader at the company named Laura Drabik who's been driving this for us and pulling together a plan across function that we're pretty excited about.

And so, I hope that gives you a bit of a flavor for why we called it out. Like, I really think it's going to become a more important part of our customer base and the use cases people, you know, kind of attack with the platform.

Aaron Kimson (Equity Research Associate)

That's really helpful. Thank you.

Alex Hughes (VP of Investor Relations)

Great. Our next question comes from Alexei Gogolev of JPMorgan.

Alexei Gogolev (Executive Director and Equity Research Analyst)

Hello, everyone. Could you provide an update on fully ramped ARR growth levels now that you're now entering sort of the back half of those large contracts? When would you expect headline ARR and ramped ARR growth to begin to converge?

Jeff Cooper (CFO)

Yeah, Alexei, you know, we only comment on fully ramped ARR on an annual basis. You know, the one thing I would comment is it was a very strong Q1 for us with respect to overall bookings activity. And so, you know, that got us off to a good start. But we really measure ourselves with that particular metric on an annual basis. So we'll comment on that at year-end.

Alexei Gogolev (Executive Director and Equity Research Analyst)

Thank you, Jeff, and another question. Could you elaborate a bit more on some of this cost optimization where you were moving resources around?

Jeff Cooper (CFO)

Sure.

Alexei Gogolev (Executive Director and Equity Research Analyst)

Does that mean that you can go well beyond $1 billion in ARR with limited additional hirings?

Jeff Cooper (CFO)

Yeah. I mean, so, you know, we run a CloudOps Cloud Operations team and a dev team that formulates how we think about DevOps. And we do regular assessments of where those engineers are spending their time. And from time to time, we have folks that are really building capabilities that fit more appropriately into R&D. And then we looked at some of these, what these roles in particular were site engineers, and they were more focused on supporting specific customers. And so moved them into the cost of goods sold line on the income statement. And this is pretty typical for us to, you know, we don't like to see movement too much, but we do assessments on a regular basis with our accounting team to make sure that those are all appropriately resourced.

It does, you know. I think the way we run it, we do have some flexibility in terms of, you know, how we manage that team. And we can shift resources based on where they are needed. And so I think the team's done a good job in that capacity. But that's just what happened in the quarter. And I flagged that just because, you know, wanted to help you all understand a little bit as to why, you know, the margin guide is a little bit below where we landed in Q1.

Alexei Gogolev (Executive Director and Equity Research Analyst)

Okay. Thank you, Jeff.

Alex Hughes (VP of Investor Relations)

Okay. Great. That's the last question I saw. So I'll hand it over to Mike for closing comment.

Mike Rosenbaum (CEO)

Thanks everybody for participating in the call today. We couldn't be happier with the start to the year. It was a great Q1. It was incredible Connections. We're excited about the prospects for the rest of the fiscal year. We look forward to seeing everybody over the course of the next few months and maybe at the end of Q2. Thanks everybody very much.