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HOULIHAN LOKEY, INC. (HLI)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record quarter: Q4 FY2025 revenue $666.4M and adjusted diluted EPS $1.96; all three segments grew double/single digits YoY; dividend raised to $0.60 per share .
- Broad-based strength: Corporate Finance +44% YoY to $412.7M (147 closed transactions), Financial Restructuring +6% to $164.5M (38 closed), and FVA +15% to $89.2M (1,224 fee events) .
- Cost discipline: Adjusted compensation ratio held at 61.5% and adjusted non-comp ratio fell to 12.8%; adjusted tax rate improved to 24.5% due to lower state taxes and audit-related item .
- Outlook: Management highlighted macro volatility and refrained from revenue guidance; expects restructuring to remain elevated and reaffirmed 61.5% comp ratio target for FY2026 .
- Catalysts: Dividend increase, continued Capital Solutions momentum (record year), and elevated restructuring cycle; expanding sector/geographic coverage via senior hires (Oil & Gas midstream, Digital Infrastructure) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Strong CF recovery with larger deal size/fees; CF revenues +44% YoY to $412.7M and 147 closes; “average transaction fee continued to grow” (CEO) .
- Elevated restructuring activity; FR revenues +6% YoY to $164.5M; management expects “restructuring to remain at elevated levels” .
- FVA resilience with cyclical and non-cyclical drivers; revenues +15% YoY to $89.2M and 1,224 fee events; portfolio valuation and opinions grew nicely .
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What Went Wrong
- Forecastability challenged; management cited “current volatility makes meaningful forecasts difficult” and gave no revenue guidance .
- GAAP comp ratio slightly higher YoY/QoQ to 64.6% in Q4 (seasonality and acquisitions), though adjusted held at 61.5% .
- Macro/tariffs creating sector/geography bifurcation; management noted differential impacts across industrials and regions, adding uncertainty to throughput .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Fiscal 2025 was a record year for our firm as all three groups ended the year with a strong fourth quarter… we are well positioned to handle the uncertainty of current market conditions.” — Scott Adelson, CEO .
- “We ended the quarter with revenues of $666 million and adjusted earnings per share of $1.96… Financial Restructuring and Financial and Valuation Advisory produced record revenues for the year.” — CEO prepared remarks .
- “Our adjusted compensation expense ratio… was 61.5%. We expect to maintain our target of 61.5% for this ratio in fiscal 2026.” — CFO .
- “Our adjusted non-compensation expense… we expect… to grow in the high single digits for fiscal 2026.” — CFO .
- “We tend to see a very strong fourth quarter restructuring year after year… not necessarily a reflection of each quarter next year.” — CFO .
- “Acquisitions continue to be an important component of our overall growth strategy… we closed 3 acquisitions… expanding our industry, geographic and product reach.” — CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Revenue tracking/visibility: Management emphasized normal throughput but refrained from near-term guidance amid volatility; activity improving “quarter by quarter” .
- Tariffs/macro dispersion: Impacts vary by sector/geography; not uniformly negative across industrials; Europe less affected in mid-market .
- Restructuring mix/capacity: Expect elevated activity; capacity well above FY2025 levels (historical revenue/MD +40% at Great Recession peak) .
- Corporate Finance pipeline/mid vs large-cap: Backlogs “strong and growing”; mid-cap volumes more resilient than large-cap across cycles .
- Capital Solutions and sponsors: Sponsor client base ~50% of clients; multiple forms of capital (e.g., continuation vehicles) addressing liquidity needs .
Estimates Context
Comparison vs Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) and actuals
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Implications: HLI delivered clean beats on both revenue and adjusted EPS for three consecutive quarters, aided by CF throughput improvements, elevated restructuring fees, and disciplined non-comp expense, with an improving adjusted tax rate .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Broad-based strength with three straight quarters of revenue/EPS beats; CF momentum and elevated FR provide dual-cycle support .
- Operating leverage intact: adjusted comp ratio sustained at 61.5% and adjusted non-comp ratio trending lower (12.8% in Q4), supporting margin durability .
- Near-term visibility limited (no revenue guidance) due to macro/tariffs; expect seasonality and potential FR uplift if macro stress increases .
- Capital Solutions (record year) diversifies revenue and reduces cyclicality; continued build-out via senior hires enhances sector coverage and fee mix .
- Adjusted effective tax rate expected lower in FY2026 (benefit in Q1), providing EPS tailwind if operations hold .
- Mid-market focus and international share gains position HLI to outperform large-cap M&A cycles; Europe/non-U.S. business less impacted by U.S. disruptions .
- Dividend raised to $0.60/share and ongoing repurchases signal balanced capital return; supports shareholder yield while offsetting comp dilution .
Appendix: Additional Q4-Period Press Releases (Context)
- Oil & Gas coverage expansion: Head of Midstream hire in Houston (strategic sector depth) .
- Digital Infrastructure expansion: Senior MD hire to drive TMT/digital infra transactions (pipeline/international reach) .
Cross-Period Trend Snapshot (Q2 → Q3 → Q4)
- Revenue progression: $574.96M → $634.43M → $666.42M .
- Adjusted EPS progression: $1.46 → $1.64 → $1.96 .
- CF throughput: Closed deals 131 → 170 → 147 (seasonal) with higher average fees .
- FR resilience: Revenues $131.6M → $130.9M → $164.5M; Q4 seasonality strong; elevated cycle expected ahead .
- FVA growth: Fee events 903 → 1,005 → 1,224; non-cyclical portfolio valuation and opinions underpin stability .