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    LKQ Corp (LKQ)

    Board Change

    LKQ Corporation is a global distributor specializing in vehicle products, including replacement parts, components, and systems for vehicle repair and maintenance, as well as specialty aftermarket products and accessories that enhance vehicle performance, functionality, and appearance . The company operates through four main segments: Wholesale - North America, Europe, Specialty, and Self Service . LKQ Corporation sells vehicle products such as replacement parts and specialty products, and offers services including warranties, self-service yard fees, and diagnostic and repair services .

    1. Europe - Offers alternative vehicle replacement and maintenance products across various European countries.
    2. Wholesale - North America - Provides alternative vehicle collision replacement products, paint, and related products, and alternative vehicle mechanical replacement products in the United States and Canada.
    3. Specialty - Distributes specialty vehicle aftermarket equipment and accessories in the U.S. and Canada.
    4. Self Service - Operates retail facilities across the U.S. that sell recycled automotive products from end-of-life vehicles.
    Initial Price$41.74July 1, 2024
    Final Price$39.99October 1, 2024
    Price Change$-1.75
    % Change-4.19%

    What went well

    • LKQ is heavily weighted towards share repurchases, believing it's the best use of capital at current stock price levels, indicating confidence in the company's future and returning value to shareholders.
    • Integration of acquired businesses is providing competitive advantages, such as the integration of FinishMaster into LKQ's footprint, enabling superior service levels and cost efficiencies that competitors find hard to match.
    • Operational excellence initiatives, including SKU rationalization in Europe, are expected to drive better returns by simplifying and rationalizing the business, with over 425,000 SKUs reviewed, representing more than 50% of the project scope.

    What went wrong

    • Economic slowdown in the U.K. and Germany is negatively impacting LKQ's business, with these markets being the worst economically among their European operations.
    • The SKU rationalization effort in Europe will not be completed until early 2025, delaying anticipated improvements, which are expected to be small in the back half of 2025.
    • Industry headwinds are weighing on top-line growth, with low visibility around recovery timelines in both North America and Europe, potentially delaying recovery and impacting profitability.

    Q&A Summary

    1. Earnings Guidance Impact
      Q: Can you quantify the impact from storms and strikes on full-year guidance?
      A: Rick Galloway explained that while storms had minimal impact on Q3, ongoing clean-up from hurricanes Helene and Milton is affecting Q4. Additionally, a decline in repairable claims and the impacts of two hurricanes and a strike have led the company to lower EPS guidance by $0.07, from consensus $3.53 down to $3.45.

    2. 2025 Recovery Outlook
      Q: When do you expect macro pressures to abate and claims to improve?
      A: Justin Jude anticipates that used car pricing, which has been declining for almost two years, should start to moderate by mid-2025. As used car values increase, it becomes more economical for consumers to repair vehicles, improving repairable claims in the back half of next year.

    3. Capital Spending and Free Cash Flow
      Q: What capital spending adjustments maintain the $850M free cash flow, and implications for 2025?
      A: The team managed trade working capital effectively, and some capital projects not meeting hurdle rates are delayed or canceled. These adjustments won't impact earnings or growth and aren't expected to increase capital spending in 2025. The free cash flow guidance remains at $850 million for 2024.

    4. Acquisition Strategy Amid Headwinds
      Q: Are you considering acquisitions as peers face headwinds?
      A: Justin Jude stated that LKQ is not pursuing large acquisitions given the current stock price, focusing instead on smaller, highly synergistic tuck-in acquisitions with returns in the mid- to upper teens over a short period.

    5. Competition in Paint Category
      Q: What's happening in the paint category, and how are you addressing competition?
      A: Due to the quiet period during the Uni-Select acquisition, FinishMaster lost some accounts pre- and post-acquisition. LKQ has since integrated the footprint and sales teams, moderated losses, and begun growing share. They believe their service and availability make it hard for competitors to match them.

    6. Value of Paint in Portfolio
      Q: How does having paint in your portfolio benefit customers?
      A: Integrating FinishMaster allows LKQ to deliver paint to body shops twice a day, leveraging existing parts delivery routes. This high service level and cost structure make it difficult for competitors to compete.

    7. Aftermarket Business Dynamics
      Q: What's affecting the aftermarket business in North America?
      A: The aftermarket segment is tied to collision repairable claims, which have decreased, putting downward pressure on sales. Tough comparisons from last year, including benefits from State Farm re-entering the market and OEM strikes, also impacted performance.

    8. Ongoing Portfolio Review
      Q: Are you considering closing other small operations in Europe?
      A: Portfolio review is ongoing, and there may be more divestitures ahead. The company prefers to demonstrate results rather than discuss plans in advance.

    9. Elitek Business Update
      Q: Can you provide an update on the Elitek diagnostics business?
      A: The Elitek business continues to grow but at a slower pace due to declining repairable claims. It remains strong with good margins. LKQ has no concerns regarding the ongoing lawsuit with Repairify.

    10. Working Capital Improvements
      Q: How much more can you enhance working capital to boost cash flow?
      A: They've seen about a 10% improvement in trade working capital, with European operations up 12% in supply chain financing. Improvements are expected to continue for another year or two before tapering off around 2026.

    11. Competition in European Markets
      Q: Is competition increasing in Europe, especially from GSF in the U.K.?
      A: While GSF is a competitor in the U.K., LKQ faces competitors in every market. The worst economic conditions are in the U.K. and Germany, but LKQ competes daily across all markets.

    12. European Product Review Timeline
      Q: When will the European product review be completed and benefits realized?
      A: The analysis of 25 product categories covering 425,000 SKUs will be completed in early 2025, with changes expected to show improvements, albeit small, in the back half of 2025.

    NamePositionStart DateShort Bio
    Dominick ZarconeExecutive AdvisorJuly 1, 2024Dominick Zarcone became the President and CEO of LKQ in May 2017. He previously served as EVP and CFO from March 2015 to May 2017. He will retire as President and CEO on June 30, 2024, and transition to Executive Advisor from July 1, 2024, through December 31, 2024 .
    Michael T. BrooksSenior Vice President and Chief Information OfficerFebruary 2020Michael T. Brooks joined LKQ as SVP and CIO in February 2020. He previously held senior management positions at GATX Corporation and Constellation NewEnergy .
    Michael S. ClarkVice President – Finance and ControllerFebruary 2011Michael S. Clark has been VP – Finance and Controller at LKQ since February 2011. He was previously Assistant Controller from May 2008 and SEC Reporting Manager at FMC Technologies, Inc. .
    Genevieve L. DombrowskiSenior Vice President - Human ResourcesMarch 2021Genevieve L. Dombrowski became SVP of Human Resources at LKQ in March 2021. She held various leadership positions at Republic Services and Aramark before joining LKQ .
    Rick GallowaySenior Vice President and Chief Financial OfficerSeptember 2022Rick Galloway became SVP and CFO of LKQ in September 2022. He was previously CFO of LKQ's Wholesale - North America and Self Service segments and held various positions at Alcoa Corporation .
    Andy HamiltonSenior Vice President & President and Managing Director of LKQ EuropeJanuary 2024Andy Hamilton became SVP and President and Managing Director of LKQ Europe in January 2024. He joined Euro Car Parts in 2010, which was acquired by LKQ in 2011, and held several executive roles including CEO of LKQ Euro Car Parts .
    Walter P. HanleySenior Vice President - DevelopmentDecember 2005Walter P. Hanley joined LKQ in December 2002 as VP of Development, Associate General Counsel, and Assistant Secretary. He became SVP of Development in December 2005 .
    Justin L. JudePresident and Chief Executive OfficerJuly 1, 2024Justin L. Jude became President and CEO of LKQ on July 1, 2024. He has been with LKQ since February 2004, serving in various roles including EVP and COO starting in January 2024 .
    Matthew J. McKaySenior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate SecretaryMarch 2021Matthew J. McKay became SVP, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary of LKQ in March 2021. He previously served as SVP of Human Resources and Associate General Counsel .
    John R. MeyneSenior Vice President & President of Wholesale - North AmericaJanuary 2024John R. Meyne became SVP and President of Wholesale - North America in January 2024. He has been with LKQ since 2009, following the acquisition of his aftermarket collision parts company .
    Todd G. CunninghamVice President, Finance and ControllerMay 1, 2024Todd G. Cunningham serves as VP, Finance and Controller at LKQ Corporation, appointed on May 1, 2024 .
    1. Given the continued softness in organic revenue in North America and Specialty, and with top-line headwinds expected to linger into 2025 , can you elaborate on the specific strategies you have in place to mitigate these declines and how confident are you that these initiatives will offset the revenue pressures?
    2. You mentioned that the SKU rationalization in Europe is only 50% complete and won't be finished until early 2025, with benefits starting to show in the back half of 2025 ; considering the current economic slowdown in the U.K. and Germany , what measures are you taking to expedite this process to improve profitability sooner?
    3. With the recent sale of your Poland and Bosnia operations and indications of other potential divestitures , are there additional underperforming businesses in your portfolio, and how do these divestitures align with your long-term strategic vision for Europe?
    4. The hurricanes Helene and Milton forced significant closures of your locations in the Southeast and Florida, impacting revenue ; how have these disruptions affected your Q3 results, and what is your outlook for recovery in these regions amidst potential future climate-related challenges?
    5. In Europe, you cited increased competition and economic slowdowns in key markets like the U.K., Germany, and Benelux ; how are you positioning LKQ to navigate these headwinds, and what are your expectations for market share and profitability in these regions going forward?
    Program DetailsProgram 1
    Approval DateOctober 22, 2024
    End Date/DurationOctober 25, 2026
    Total additional amount$1,000 million
    Remaining authorization$796 million as of September 30, 2024
    DetailsThe program allows LKQ to purchase its common stock from time to time, with the amount and timing of repurchases depending on market conditions and corporate needs. The program does not obligate the company to acquire any specific number of shares and may be suspended or discontinued at any time.

    Q3 2024 Earnings Call

    • Issued Period: Q3 2024
    • Guided Period: FY 2024
    • Guidance:
      1. Organic Parts and Services Revenue: Negative 275 basis points to negative 175 basis points .
      2. Adjusted Diluted EPS: $3.38 to $3.52 .
      3. Free Cash Flow: 50% to 60% annual EBITDA conversion, approximately $850 million .
      4. North America's EBITDA Margins: Low to mid-16s .
      5. Europe's EBITDA Margins: Mid- to high 9s .
      6. Specialty's EBITDA Margin: Closer to 7% .
      7. Global Tax Rate: 27.0% .

    Q2 2024 Earnings Call

    • Issued Period: Q2 2024
    • Guided Period: FY 2024
    • Guidance:
      1. Organic Parts and Services Revenue: Negative 125 basis points to positive 25 basis points .
      2. Adjusted Diluted EPS: $3.50 to $3.70 .
      3. Free Cash Flow: 50% to 60% annual EBITDA conversion, approximately $850 million .
      4. Global Tax Rate: 26.8% .
      5. North America Segment EBITDA Margin: Around 17% .
      6. Europe Segment EBITDA Margin: Mid- to high 9s .
      7. Specialties Segment EBITDA Margin: Slightly lower than 8% .
      8. Self-Service Segment EBITDA Margin: Roughly 10% .

    Q1 2024 Earnings Call

    • Issued Period: Q1 2024
    • Guided Period: FY 2024
    • Guidance:
      1. Organic Parts and Service Revenue Growth: 2.5% to 4.5% .
      2. Adjusted Diluted EPS: $3.90 to $4.20 .
      3. Free Cash Flow: Approximately $1 billion, 50% to 60% EBITDA conversion .
      4. Specialty EBITDA Margin: Flat to slight increase .
      5. North America EBITDA Margin: Around 17% .
      6. Europe EBITDA Margin: Double-digit margins .
      7. Global Tax Rate: 26.8% .

    Q4 2023 Earnings Call

    • Issued Period: Q4 2023
    • Guided Period: FY 2024
    • Guidance:
      1. Organic Parts and Services Revenue Growth: 3.5% to 5.5% .
      2. Adjusted Diluted EPS: $3.90 to $4.20 .
      3. Free Cash Flow: Approximately $1 billion, low 50% EBITDA conversion .
      4. Effective Tax Rate: 26.8% .
      5. Capital Spending: $350 million .
      6. Total Leverage Ratio: 2.0x by Q1 2025 .
      7. Interest Expense Sensitivity: $12 million increase per 100 basis point rise .
      8. Foreign Exchange Rates: Euro at $1.09, pound sterling at $1.27, Canadian dollar at $0.74 .

    Competitors mentioned in the company's latest 10K filing.

    • OEMs: Compete primarily on price and, to a lesser extent, on service and quality. They exert pricing pressure in the marketplace and have engaged in efforts to increase market share and restrict consumer choice .
    • Alternative parts suppliers: Compete on distribution network, efficient inventory management systems, and proprietary technology .
    • Recycling businesses, refurbishing operations, parts remanufacturers, and internet-based suppliers: Considered competitors in the vehicle collision and mechanical products market .
    • Local owner-operated companies, larger regional suppliers, national and international providers, and internet-based suppliers and distributors: Serve the vehicle replacement products industry and vehicle accessory parts industry .
    • Warehouse distributors and mail order catalog businesses: Deliver products to market and are considered competitors in the specialty vehicle aftermarket equipment and accessories market .

    Recent developments and announcements about LKQ.

    Corporate Leadership

      Leadership Change

      ·
      Dec 12, 2024, 9:51 AM

      Dominick Zarcone is leaving LKQ Corporation as he has decided not to stand for re-election and will retire from the Board when his term expires in connection with the Company’s 2025 Annual Meeting . James S. Metcalf is stepping up as a new independent director, effective December 11, 2024, as part of the Board’s ongoing refreshment process .

      Board Change

      ·
      Dec 12, 2024, 9:51 AM

      James S. Metcalf has been appointed to the LKQ Corporation Board of Directors as a new independent director, effective December 11, 2024. Additionally, Dominick Zarcone has decided not to stand for re-election and will retire from the Board when his term expires in connection with the Company’s 2025 Annual Meeting .