NI
nCino, Inc. (NCNO)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 FY25 delivered accelerating growth and margin expansion: revenue up 14% YoY to $138.8M, non-GAAP operating margin 20% (+350bps YoY), and non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.21 .
- Management raised FY25 guidance for non-GAAP operating income ($95–$96M) and non-GAAP EPS ($0.75–$0.76), while narrowing total revenue to $539–$541M; Q4 guidance introduced with total revenue $139.5–$141.5M and non-GAAP EPS $0.18–$0.19 .
- Strategic momentum: >30 multi-solution deals, RPO up 19% YoY to $1.095B, international wins (Japan’s largest nCino customer; Nordic expansion), and Banking Advisor added 11 new customers in Q3 .
- Mortgage mixed: Q3 mortgage subscription revenue $20.7M (16% YoY growth) with ~$3M churn; elevated IMB M&A drives prudence in Q4 guide; FullCircl acquisition to contribute ~$4M subscription revenue in Q4 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “Once again exceeding expectations” on revenue and non-GAAP operating income; >30 multi-solution deals, and more gross bookings from net new customers than prior two quarters combined .
- RPO strength to $1.095B (+19% YoY) with $730M under 24 months (+16% YoY), underscoring durable demand and multi-year visibility .
- Banking Advisor traction: 11 new customers in Q3 and plan to include in every new deal/renewal under new pricing; customer feedback positive (simplified buying and value alignment) .
What Went Wrong
- Mortgage headwinds: ~$3M churn in Q3 and ~$2M expected in Q4; IMB consolidation introduces unpredictability despite improving profitability in the sector .
- Q4 organic subscription outlook tempered (ex-FullCircl) due to mortgage rates not falling with Fed funds cuts; management is prudent on volumes timing .
- International growth remains lumpy; while pipelines are up, closures skew to larger, longer-cycle enterprise deals; management is focusing efforts by region (Nordics, Spain, Japan) .
Financial Results
Segment mix and mortgage metrics:
Notes: Q3 FY25 YoY growth: total revenues +14% ($138.8M vs. $121.9M in Q3 FY24); subscription +14% ($119.9M vs. $104.8M) .
Guidance Changes
Additional guidance color: FullCircl expected to contribute ~$4M subscription revenue in Q4; mortgage revenues assumed cautious given rates; ~118M diluted shares for Q4 EPS guide .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are very pleased with our third quarter financial results, once again exceeding expectations for both revenues and non-GAAP operating income.” — Pierre Naudé, CEO .
- “Our non-GAAP operating margin for the third quarter was 20%… paired with improved gross margins, we have further expanded operating margins through thoughtful hiring and operating expense management.” — Greg Orenstein, CFO .
- On new pricing: “We expect all new customer and contract renewal discussions beginning February 1 to be under this new framework… [and] immediately beneficial to the subscription revenues we recognize.” — Greg Orenstein .
- On Banking Advisor: “We added 11 new Banking Advisor customers in the quarter… we plan for Banking Advisor to be part of every new deal and renewal.” — Pierre Naudé .
Q&A Highlights
- Q4 guidance decomposition: organic softness tied to mortgage rates not falling in tandem with Fed cuts; FullCircl adds ~$4M to Q4 subscription revenue .
- Pricing framework reception: customers welcome simplified, asset/volume-aligned model; expected ACV uplift on renewals and inclusion of Banking Advisor .
- Mortgage churn outlook: mix shifting from closures to IMB M&A; management sees stabilization, but prudently forecasts churn (~$10M FY25, including ~$2M in Q4) .
- International pipeline: key large deals signed (Japan, Nordics); Q4 focus more on “singles and doubles” after closing largest U.S. enterprise deal early in quarter .
- KPI framework update: company will refresh reported KPIs beginning with Q4 to better aid modeling .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q3 FY25 EPS and revenue was unavailable to retrieve due to data access limits at time of analysis; as such, definitive beat/miss vs. consensus cannot be provided (management stated they exceeded expectations) .
- If you need a formal beat/miss assessment, we can refresh when S&P Global access resumes.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue and margin trajectory improving: three consecutive quarterly revenue steps ($128.1M → $132.4M → $138.8M) with non-GAAP operating margin expanding to 20%; raised FY25 EPS/OI guides signal confidence .
- Pricing modernization is a catalyst: Intelligent Solution Framework should simplify selling, align value to assets/volumes, and embed Banking Advisor—expect ACV uplift through renewals/new logos beginning Feb 1 .
- AI insertion point is real: Banking Advisor adoption (11 Q3 deals) and data consents from large banks position nCino to monetize workflow automation and intelligence over time .
- Mortgage remains a watch item: churn tied to IMB M&A persists; rates not yet translating to lower mortgage rates; however, Q3 mortgage subs grew 16% YoY and framework supports volume-driven upside when thresholds are exceeded .
- International diversification: Japan’s largest nCino customer signed; Nordic expansion; EMEA leadership strengthened—expect lumpy but supportive contributions and branding benefits .
- RPO growth supports multi-year visibility: $1.095B total, $730M <24 months—underpins forward revenue stability amid pricing transition and product cross-sell .
- Near-term trading lens: Q4 guide prudent (mortgage dynamics) but FullCircl adds ~$4M; any signs of mortgage rate declines or stronger international closings could drive upside vs. cautious expectations .