PA
Palo Alto Networks Inc (PANW)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 revenue was $2.26B, up 14% YoY and above the high end of guidance; non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.81, GAAP diluted EPS $0.38, with non-GAAP operating margin at 28.4% .
- Management raised FY 2025 non-GAAP operating margin guidance to 28.0%-28.5% and non-GAAP EPS (post-split) to $3.18-$3.24; FY revenue guidance inched up to $9.14-$9.19B, while NGS ARR and RPO targets were maintained .
- Platformization momentum and AI-driven demand underpinned broad strength across SASE, software firewalls, and Cortex/XSIAM; NGS ARR reached $4.78B (+37% YoY) and RPO hit $13.0B (+21% YoY) .
- Notable catalysts: launch of Cortex Cloud (code-to-cloud-to-SOC), major international deals (largest ever in EMEA and JPAC, each >$50M), and FedRAMP High across platforms; near-term narrative centers on AI-enabled platforms driving consolidation and profit leverage .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Broad-based execution: “growth across regions and demand for our platforms” with revenue above high end of guidance; Americas +13%, EMEA +18%, JPAC +17% .
- Platformization/AI momentum: “strong business performance [...] fueled by customers adopting technology driven by the imperative of AI,” and raised operating margin/EPS for the year .
- Product strengths: SASE customers >5,600 with >23M seats; Prisma Access browser bookings >$30M and seats +95% QoQ; software firewalls bookings +50%; XSIAM cumulative bookings surpassed $1B; QRadar-related bookings >$100M .
What Went Wrong
- Gross margin pressure: 76.6% gross margin, down slightly due to newer SaaS offerings not yet at scale and onetime inventory/product transition costs; management expects non-repeat in 2H .
- ARR scrutiny: Analyst concern on net new ARR dynamics; management cited lapping prior-year attaches and strength shifting to newer products/platformization .
- Hardware growth remains modest: Appliance market expected to grow 0%-5%, reinforcing the strategic shift to software-driven network security .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown:
Key KPIs:
Actual vs prior guidance (Q2 2025):
Note: EPS guidance and reported EPS were affected by the 2-for-1 stock split; Q2 presentation retrospectively adjusts share/per-share amounts .
Guidance Changes
Split note: PANW effected a two-for-one stock split after Dec 12, 2024; Q2 2025 share/per-share amounts are retroactively adjusted .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Nikesh Arora (CEO): “In Q2, our strong business performance was fueled by customers adopting technology driven by the imperative of AI, including cloud investment and infrastructure modernization... It reaffirms our faith in our 2030 plans and our $15 billion NGS ARR goal.”
- Dipak Golechha (CFO): “As we drive leverage from our scale and see early benefits from AI-related efficiency initiatives, we again delivered profitable growth. We expect this will continue and, as a result, we are raising operating margins and EPS for the year.”
- Nikesh Arora on platformization: “We delivered approximately 75 new platformization in Q2... 2 platform customers grew over 50%... 3 platform customers up 3x year-over-year... XSIAM momentum.”
- Lee Klarich (CPO) on Cortex Cloud: A unified code-to-cloud-to-SOC platform enabling runtime protection and reduced MTTR via XSIAM .
Q&A Highlights
- Free cash flow durability and deferred payments: Management detailed rising visibility (FY25 ~$1.4B scheduled deferred payments; >41% of expected adj. FCF), with trend manageable given upfront appliance/smaller bookings; guided adj. FCF margin ≥37% through FY27 .
- AI security impact and platform advantage: AI-enabled platformization improves outcomes and efficiency versus point solutions; runtime shift (hard “shift right”) in cloud security where XDR/SOC integration matters .
- Margins: Gross margin pressure from scaling SaaS and onetime inventory write-offs (~40 bps hardware impact); expectation of normalization in 2H; operating margins ahead of internal targets .
- QRadar/IBM partnership: “Spectacular” partnership driving large deal inroads; QRadar-related bookings >$100M in Q2 .
- Federal and geography: Stable federal renewals; largest deals ever in EMEA/JPAC (> $50M each) in Q2 .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global Wall Street consensus for Q2 2025 revenue and EPS was unavailable at time of analysis due to data access limits. As context, management stated revenue growth was above the high end of guidance for the quarter .
- Post-split EPS presentation complicates direct comparisons across periods; management disclosed retrospective adjustment for share/per-share amounts .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- AI-enabled platformization is the core growth and consolidation thesis, with visible traction across SASE, software firewalls, and Cortex/XSIAM; expect continued ARR/RPO strength anchored by large multi-platform deals .
- Profit leverage remains a focus: raised FY operating margin and EPS guidance; internal AI initiatives (support/developer copilots, reduced contract labor) underpin multi-year margin expansion potential .
- Near-term stock catalysts: Cortex Cloud launch, international large deals, and FedRAMP High authorizations; revenue and EPS beats versus guidance support sentiment .
- Watch gross margin trajectory in 2H as SaaS offerings scale and onetime inventory charges fade; monitor net new ARR composition amid platformization shifts .
- Hardware/appliance growth likely low-single digits as mix shifts to software/cloud; sustained share gains and refresh cycles can stabilize product revenue contribution .
- QRadar partnership is translating into bookings and pipeline strength; combined with XSIAM momentum, PANW’s SOC position is improving against point solutions .
Sources: Q2 2025 8-K press release and exhibits , Q2 2025 earnings call transcript , related press releases (results, Cortex Cloud, board appointments) , and prior quarter releases (Q1 2025, Q3 2025) .