Sign in

    PVH Corp (PVH)

    Q3 2025 Summary

    Published Jan 16, 2025, 7:53 AM UTC
    Initial Price$90.48August 3, 2024
    Final Price$98.46November 3, 2024
    Price Change$7.98
    % Change+8.82%
    • Strong double-digit sell-through improvements in fall '24 products across both Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger brands, in all regions and channels, indicating robust customer demand and effective product execution. Management reported that D2C trends improved significantly from August to September, with September and October returning to growth versus last year, and gross margin rate increased by 170 basis points.
    • Positive outlook for 2025, with management expecting to return to growth and make progress toward their long-term 15% operating margin target. This confidence is based on building blocks such as improved inventory composition, stronger D2C trends, and improved sell-throughs.
    • Strategic initiatives such as taking back control of the women's product assortment in North America are expected to unlock significant growth potential. Management believes that bringing women's products in-house will strengthen long-term competitiveness, improve product execution, and drive long-term brand-accretive sales growth.
    • PVH expects a decrease in gross margin in Q4 2024 by approximately 200 basis points, driven by increased promotional activity in the U.S. holiday season, supply chain disruptions increasing freight costs, and unfavorable wholesale mix timing; this indicates potential pressure on profitability.
    • Supply chain disruptions in key sourcing locations and lingering impacts from the Red Sea are leading to higher freight costs in Q4, suggesting ongoing operational challenges that could negatively affect margins.
    • The transition of the women's wholesale licensing portfolio back in-house in North America is a complex, multiyear process, with approximately 20% coming back in 2025; the lack of detailed financial guidance and potential execution risks may impact future profitability.
    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    Operating and Gross Margin Performance

    Q4 2024 and Q1–Q2 2025: Consistent double‐digit operating margins, record-high gross margins (up to 61.4%) and significant basis point improvements driven by channel mix, cost efficiencies and lower raw material costs

    Q3 2025: Operating margin at 10.5% (flat vs. last year) with a gross margin of 58.4% improved by 170bps; caution noted for Q4 due to promotional and freight cost pressures

    Recurring focus on margins continues. While operating performance remains solid, there is a slight moderation in gross margin improvement expectations due to emerging pricing and promotional challenges.

    Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Business Trends

    Q1–Q2 2025 & Q4 2024: Emphasis on a higher quality sales mix, DTC revenue growth in retail stores and regionally differentiated e-commerce performance with some declines offset by quality improvements

    Q3 2025: DTC revenue flat on a reported basis with slight declines in owned e-commerce; however, notable improvement from August onwards driven by better sell-through and inventory composition

    Recurring focus with a continued emphasis on quality of sales. Although revenue metrics show minor declines, strategic initiatives are driving improvements in product and inventory quality.

    Consumer Engagement and Brand Campaigns

    Q1–Q4 2024 and Q1–Q2 2025: Strong, culturally resonant campaigns leveraging mega talent (e.g., Kendall Jenner, Jeremy Allen White) that delivered high consumer engagement, increased social media interaction and sales uplift

    Q3 2025: Continued use of high-impact global and regional talent (e.g., NewJeans, Jisoo) for Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger campaigns, driving engagement especially in Asia Pacific

    Consistent and growing focus on consumer engagement remains central to strategy. Campaigns are evolving with more regionally relevant collaborations, further enhancing brand desirability globally.

    European Market Dynamics and Wholesale Order Books

    Q1–Q4 2024 & Q1–Q2 2025: European markets were challenged by cautious consumer sentiment, conservative wholesale order books and quality of sales initiatives; however, sequential order book improvements and inventory refresh efforts provided early signs of recovery

    Q3 2025: Improved sell-throughs for fall products and strategic emphasis on quality sales, with positive feedback from wholesale partners and the appointment of new leadership hinting at a more favorable outlook

    Recurring challenges but with emerging improvements: While cautious sentiment persists, strategic adjustments and leadership changes indicate a gradual upward trend toward stabilization and better wholesale dynamics.

    Macroeconomic Environment and Promotional Activity Pressures

    Q1–Q4 2024 & Q1–Q2 2025: Acknowledged tough macro conditions in key markets (Europe, North America, Asia Pacific) with initiatives to reduce clearance sales and mitigate discounting; increased promotional pressures were noted, especially during seasonal clearances

    Q3 2025: Continued reference to a tough macroeconomic backdrop in North America and Asia with early holiday promotions causing increased promotional pressures, impacting future gross margin guidance

    Recurring and intensifying: Macro challenges remain a constant concern, with seasonal factors (early holiday promotions) adding pressure on margins, necessitating careful management of promotional strategies.

    Supply Chain Disruptions and Freight Cost Challenges

    Q4 2024: Noted temporary supply chain disruptions and freight cost challenges, with improvements partially credited to lower ocean freight rates; regarded as transitory and offset by strategic inventory management

    Q3 2025: Alerts to modest freight cost increases due to temporary supply chain issues and Red Sea surcharges, expected to impact Q4 gross margins modestly while remaining largely transitory in nature

    Emerging focus: Although not heavily discussed in earlier Q1 and Q2, current disclosures note freight challenges as a cautious but temporary issue, warranting careful monitoring as Q4 approaches.

    Strategic Transition of Women's Product Assortment

    Q4 2024: Initial mention with Stefan Larsson discussing the plan to take back North America women’s product categories for Wholesale and integrate them into the PVH+ framework, aimed at long-term growth and pricing power

    Q3 2025: Announcement of a strategic transition of the North America women’s product assortment, described as a multiyear process and targeting organic growth and improved product execution

    New emphasis: While first flagged in Q4 2024, the current period reinforces the transition as a key strategic move to drive long-term brand strength, signaling a deeper operational and strategic commitment.

    Management and Leadership Changes in Europe

    Q1–Q4 2024 & Q1–Q2 2025: Notable transitions including the departure of longstanding leaders, interim leadership assignments, and near-future permanent appointments aimed at revamping European operations

    Q3 2025: Announcement of Fredrik Olsson as the new permanent CEO of Europe, building on previous transitions and signaling a commitment to stronger regional leadership and growth

    Recurring focus with continued evolution: The European leadership narrative remains dynamic, shifting from interim to permanent appointments, highlighting an ongoing focus on improving strategic oversight and market performance.

    1. Gross Margin Guidance
      Q: Why is Q4 gross margin down 200 basis points?
      A: Gross margin is expected to decline by 200 basis points in Q4 due to increased promotions during an early holiday season (approx. 80 basis points), temporary freight cost increases (approx. 40 basis points), and a negative impact from North America wholesale mix (approx. 60 basis points). These impacts are predominantly transitory.

    2. Path to Mid-Teens Operating Margins
      Q: Comfort with 10.7% margin consensus next year?
      A: Management expects to return to growth and make progress toward their long-term 15% operating margin target in 2025. Factors include stronger D2C trends, fresher inventory, and double-digit sell-through improvements across brands, regions, and channels.

    3. Licensing Transition Impact
      Q: Effect of licensing transition on revenue next year?
      A: Bringing North America women's products in-house is on plan and part of a multi-year process. Approximately 20% of the women's wholesale licensing portfolio will return in 2025. Management is focused on returning to organic growth and will provide more financial details next quarter.

    4. Inventory Strategy and Impact
      Q: Impact of investing in essential products, in-stock levels?
      A: Inventory composition is better than last year, with more new inventory and less old. They aim to keep iconic products like Oxford shirts and underwear at least 95% in stock to drive sales. Adjustments ensure they are well positioned for spring.

    5. North America Progress
      Q: Update on North America trajectory and retail inventories?
      A: North America has made significant improvements, achieving a fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit EBIT growth. Direct-to-consumer shows more full-price sales and less clearance; wholesale is up low single digits for the year. Promotional pressure increased due to an earlier holiday season and heightened promotions.