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SYSCO CORP (SYY)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 FY25 delivered revenue of $20.2B (+4.5% YoY), GAAP diluted EPS of $0.82 (flat YoY), and adjusted EPS of $0.93 (+4.5% YoY); gross margin was 18.1% (-11 bps YoY) and operating margin 3.5% (-10 bps YoY) .
  • International and SYGMA drove strength: International adjusted operating income rose 26.5% to $129M and SYGMA sales rose 10.6% to $2.12B; U.S. Foodservice local case volume declined 0.9% .
  • FY25 guidance reiterated: net sales growth 4–5% and adjusted EPS growth 6–7%; buyback upsized to $1.25B (from $1.0B), lifting total cash return target to ~$2.25B (dividends ~$1.0B) .
  • Near-term catalysts: second-half $100M+ annualized savings (strategic sourcing, supply chain efficiencies, organizational optimization), clarified international modeling after Mexico JV divestiture (~$500M annualized sales impact, margin accretive) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • International accelerating: “adjusted operating income up 26.5%,” driven by local case growth (+4.7%), procurement synergies, and assortment expansion .
    • National sales resilience: volume up 4.3% with strong retention and new wins improving route density and fixed cost coverage .
    • Capital returns raised: CFO announced upsized buyback to $1.25B and total cash return to ~$2.25B for FY25 .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Local case softness: U.S. Foodservice local case volume fell 0.9%, with management citing hurricane impacts and unfavorable holiday timing as headwinds .
    • Gross margin dilution YoY: 18.1% (-11 bps) from customer mix shift and timing of strategic sourcing contributions; Sysco Brand penetration eased (U.S. Broadline 36.0%, Local 46.1%) .
    • First-half cash flow down: operating cash flow $498M and FCF $331M for first 26 weeks, down vs prior year due to working capital timing and opportunistic inventory purchases .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 FY24Q1 FY25Q2 FY25
Revenue ($USD Billions)$20.6B $20.5B $20.2B
Gross Profit ($USD Billions)$3.8B $3.8B $3.7B
Gross Margin (%)18.7% 18.3% 18.1%
Operating Income ($USD Billions)$0.98B $0.81B $0.71B
Operating Margin (%)4.8% 3.9% 3.5%
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$1.23 $0.99 $0.82
Adjusted EPS (Non-GAAP)$1.39 $1.09 $0.93
SegmentMetricQ4 FY24Q1 FY25Q2 FY25
U.S. FoodserviceSales ($USD Billions)$14.41B $14.36B $14.04B
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$1,042M $908M $834M
Adjusted Operating Income ($USD Millions)$1,066M $925M $859M
InternationalSales ($USD Billions)$3.79B $3.79B $3.73B
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$115M $101M $95M
Adjusted Operating Income ($USD Millions)$164M $130M $129M
SYGMASales ($USD Billions)$2.04B $2.05B $2.12B
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$26M $18M $19M
OtherSales ($USD Millions)$310M $282M $263M
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$13M $9M $4M
KPIQ4 FY24Q1 FY25Q2 FY25
U.S. Foodservice Case Growth (%)3.5% 2.7% 1.4%
Local Case Growth (%)0.7% 0.2% -0.9%
Sysco Brand % of Cases – U.S. Broadline36.6% 36.5% 36.0%
Sysco Brand % of Cases – Local47.1% 47.0% 46.1%
EBITDA ($USD Billions)$1.20B $1.00B $0.93B
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Billions)$1.30B $1.10B $0.97B
Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA (x)2.69x 2.74x 2.76x
Product Cost Inflation (Enterprise)1.6% 2.2% 2.1%

Non-GAAP adjustments: Q2 adjusted EPS adds $0.06 for restructuring/transformational costs and $0.08 for acquisition-related costs, with tax impacts of -$0.02 each .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Sales GrowthFY254–5% 4–5% Maintained
Adjusted EPS GrowthFY256–7% 6–7% Maintained
Adjusted Tax RateFY25~25% 24.5–25% Lowered slightly
Share RepurchasesFY25$1.0B $1.25B Raised
Total Cash Return to ShareholdersFY25~$2.0B ~$2.25B Raised
DividendsFY25~$1.0B ~$1.0B; declared $0.51/share payable Apr 25, 2025 Maintained (timing updated)
Net Leverage TargetFY252.5–2.75x 2.5–2.75x Maintained
International Reporting (Mexico JV)FY25Planned divestiture (announced) Divested mid-Dec; ~($500M) annualized sales impact; margin accretive; no recast of prior Implemented & clarified modeling

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 FY24 and Q1 FY25)Current Period (Q2 FY25)Trend
Technology/operational efficiencyTransformation initiatives cited; supply chain productivity gains; business technology strategy changes Route optimization, colleague retention improving on-time/in-full; ongoing tech deployment in international Improving
Supply chain/service levelsFully staffed supply chain; rising productivity; NPS momentum emerging Customer-facing fill rates and on-time delivery improved; NPS up QoQ/YoY Improving
Tariffs/macroRestaurant traffic down but improving through Q1; cautious macro optimism Operating in normalized ~2% inflation; center-of-plate inflation risks; tariffs excluded from 2% outlook Mixed (inflation manageable; tariff risk)
Product mix/Sysco BrandStrong program; slight penetration easing YoY driven by national brand fill rates Penetration stable-to-easing; trade management actions to lift mix Stabilizing
International growthStrong FY24 and Q1 growth; margin expansion Adjusted OI +26.5%; local case +4.7%; Canada +5%, GB +8% local case growth Strengthening
Labor/compensationNew sales comp model rollout; transitional Q1 turnover but stabilizing Retention stabilized; cohorts maturing; new customer win rate rising Improving
Regulatory/legalListeria-related supplier recall and halted purchases from facility Addressed promptly

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “Our International segment… adjusted operating income up 26.5%. Our local business is beginning to show signs of progress, with improvements to our new customer win rate and our Net Promoter Scores” .
  • CFO: “We are now on target to return over $2.25 billion to shareholders through share repurchase and dividends in FY ’25” and upsized buyback to $1.25B .
  • CEO on second-half trajectory: “We have a direct line of sight… $100 million of annualized savings to benefit both the gross profit line and the operating expense line” .
  • CFO on leverage/cash: “We ended the quarter at a 2.76x net debt leverage ratio… operating cash flow ~$498M and free cash flow ~$331M for the first half” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Second-half tailwinds: Management expects stronger adjusted EPS growth in H2, driven by strategic sourcing, supply chain efficiencies, and organizational optimization (~$100M annualized savings) .
  • Local case dynamics: Q2 local cases down 0.9%; headwinds from hurricanes and holiday timing; cohorts maturing and new customer wins set to improve H2 local growth .
  • Inflation outlook: Enterprise product cost inflation ~2.1%; higher center-of-plate inflation (dairy/eggs/proteins); outlook excludes potential tariffs .
  • Compensation model: Q1 disruption behind them; top performers “earning more,” retention stabilized; intentional pacing of sales hires by market ROI .
  • International cadence: Broad-based margin expansion across markets; continued runway for EBIT margin improvement, with bolt-on specialty additions aiding growth .

Estimates Context

S&P Global consensus estimates could not be retrieved due to provider limits (Daily Request Limit exceeded). As a result, we cannot assess beat/miss versus Wall Street consensus for Q2 FY25 revenue and EPS at this time [GetEstimates error].

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • International strength and SYGMA momentum offset local weakness; second-half mix improvements and strategic sourcing should support margin expansion .
  • Upsized buyback ($1.25B) and ~$2.25B total cash return underpin support for TSR; dividend cadence reaffirmed (recent $0.51/share declaration) .
  • Near-term local volume recovery hinges on salesforce retention, cohort maturation, and service-level improvements—watch H2 local case growth trajectory and Sysco Brand mix .
  • Modeling note: Mexico JV divestiture reduces reported international sales (~$500M annualized) but is margin accretive—monitor reported vs underlying trends with management’s disclosure .
  • Cash flow softness in H1 tied to working capital/inventory timing; management guides FY25 conversion of ~70% adjusted EBITDA to operating cash and ~50% to FCF—track H2 cash conversion .
  • Macro remains manageable with ~2% inflation; center-of-plate inflation elevated; tariff risk remains an external variable excluded from current assumptions .
  • Stock narrative likely driven by H2 execution on $100M+ savings, improving local cadence, and continued international margin expansion—near-term prints that show sequential local improvement and sourcing benefits should serve as catalysts .