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TEXAS INSTRUMENTS (TXN)

Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Reported on Apr 23, 2024 (After Market Close)
Pre-Earnings Price$165.47Last close (Apr 23, 2024)
Post-Earnings Price$178.23Open (Apr 24, 2024)
Price Change
$12.76(+7.71%)
  • Texas Instruments is investing $5 billion per year in capital expenditures over the next three years to expand manufacturing capacity, positioning the company for future growth and strengthening its competitive advantages.
  • TI's unique "geopolitically dependable capacity" outside of China and Taiwan is in high demand, especially from automotive customers seeking supply chain security, giving TI a competitive edge in the market.
  • Bookings increased each month of the quarter, and some industrial sectors are starting to recover from inventory corrections, indicating improving demand trends for TI's products.
  • Significant year-over-year declines in key markets: The industrial market revenue declined 25%, communications equipment was down about 50%, and enterprise systems was down mid-teens, indicating ongoing weakness in these sectors.
  • Increasing competition in China from local suppliers: TI acknowledges that it is now harder to compete in China due to competent local competitors and subsidized capacity, which could potentially lead to loss of market share.
  • High capital expenditures reducing free cash flow and share repurchases: TI's free cash flow for the trailing 12 months was $940 million, while it returned $4.8 billion to shareholders, leading to reduced share repurchases to preserve cash amid high capital investments.
  1. Financial Impact of ITC and CHIPS Act
    Q: Update on CHIPS Act funding and ITC benefits?
    A: We've accrued about $1.5 billion in ITC credits. Starting next quarter, we'll receive $300 million, totaling $1 billion for all of 2024. No update on CHIPS Act grant; still in process.

  2. Capital Allocation and Share Buybacks
    Q: When will share buybacks resume?
    A: As our free cash flow increases post-investment phase, we'll consider resuming buybacks. In the last 12 months, free cash flow was $940 million, and we returned $4.8 billion to owners.

  3. Demand Trends and Market Outlook
    Q: Is demand normalizing, and is inventory correction over?
    A: Some markets show recovery; personal electronics is behaving seasonally. Industrial sectors are mixed; some slowing declines, a few grew sequentially. Overall, Q2 is seasonally strong for us.

  4. China Competition and Market Share
    Q: How is China competition affecting you?
    A: Competition in China has increased over the years, but we continue to compete effectively. We're leveraging our advantages in manufacturing, portfolio breadth, and market reach.

  5. Pricing Trends and Margins
    Q: Any changes in pricing environment?
    A: Pricing returned to pre-pandemic trends with low single-digit declines. We continue to see this environment.

  6. Inventory Levels and Factory Utilization
    Q: Outlook for inventory levels and factory loadings?
    A: Adjusted factory loadings as we neared desired inventory levels, growing inventory by about $80 million in Q1. For Q2, we'll adjust loadings based on future demand.

  7. Supply Chain and Dependence on China
    Q: Impact of customers reducing China dependence?
    A: Customers seek "geopolitically dependable capacity"; we're positioned to support them. We're unique in building capacity at scale outside China and Taiwan.

  8. Year-over-Year End Market Performance
    Q: How did end markets perform year-over-year?
    A: Industrial down 25%; automotive down low single digits; personal electronics up single digits; communications equipment down 50%; enterprise systems down mid-teens.

  9. R&D Investment Allocation
    Q: Where are R&D investments focused?
    A: Increasing investments in industrial and automotive due to secular growth trends. Maintaining steady investments in personal electronics and communications equipment.

  10. Embedded Business Strategy
    Q: Update on embedded business progress?
    A: We continue to invest, aiming for growth and free cash flow contribution. Investing in capacity to gain control over supply and gain share.

  11. Bookings and Demand Signals
    Q: Are bookings recovering broadly?
    A: Bookings increased each month in Q1, behaving as expected. Demand signals are reflected in our guidance.

  12. Depreciation Expectations
    Q: Update on depreciation impact?
    A: Expecting $1.5 to $1.8 billion in depreciation this year, likely at bottom half. For 2025, expect $2 to $2.5 billion.

  13. Capital Management and Cash Usage
    Q: Any changes in cash usage and capital management?
    A: Increasing cash to protect $5 billion per year CapEx investments in manufacturing. Conscious of liquidity and repurchases.

  14. Pricing Strategy with Increased Capacity
    Q: Will increased capacity affect pricing strategy?
    A: No change in pricing strategy; we price to be competitive. Our competitive products and 300mm capacity support this.

  15. Automotive Market Inventory and Demand
    Q: Are automotive inventories normalizing?
    A: Customers are re-evaluating supply chains; seeking dependable capacity. We're positioned to support growth in this market.

  16. Industrial Sector Recovery
    Q: Which industrial sectors are recovering?
    A: Shorter-cycle sectors began recovery earlier; longer-term sectors are turning recently.

  17. Impact of China Insourcing
    Q: Is China insourcing affecting growth?
    A: Local suppliers account for about 12% of content; we aim to maintain and gain share in China.

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