UGI - Q3 2024

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the UGI Corporation Q3 2024 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during this session, you will need to press star one one on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Tameka Morris, Senior Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Tameka Morris (Senior Director of Investor Relations)

Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining our fiscal 2024 third quarter earnings call. With me today are Mario Longhi, Interim President and CEO, Sean O'Brien, CFO, and Bob Beard, COO. On today's call, we will provide a business update and discuss our financial results before concluding with a question-and-answer session. Before we begin, let me remind you that our comments today include certain forward-looking statements which management believes to be reasonable as of today's date only. Actual results may differ significantly because of risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. Please read our earnings release and our most recent annual report for an extensive list of factors that could affect results. We assume no duty to update or revise forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that are different from expectations. We will also describe our business using certain non-GAAP financial measures.

Reconciliations of these measures to the comparable GAAP measures are available within our presentation. With that, I'll turn the call over to Mario.

Mario Longhi (Interim President and CEO)

Thank you, Tamika, and good morning, everyone. UGI delivered solid results for the fiscal third quarter, reporting adjusted earnings per share of $0.06 in comparison to $0.00 in the prior year. Our team has continued to make steady progress in executing on our key strategic priorities, including our focus on driving sustainable cost savings across the business, which is reflected in the results for the quarter. In alignment with our objective to strengthen the balance sheet, particularly at AmeriGas and the corporate level, we executed several critical financing transactions during the quarter. These transactions, some of which Sean will further discuss, have enhanced our overall liquidity, begun to address upcoming maturities, and supported AmeriGas in its journey to stabilize operations.

At the end of the quarter, UGI had available liquidity of $1.9 billion, inclusive of cash and cash equivalents, and available borrowing capacity on our revolving credit facilities. Next, we continue to explore opportunities to optimize our portfolio across the entire business. This quarter, UGI Energy Services entered into a stock purchase agreement to divest Hunlock Creek, a 169-megawatt natural gas-fired facility located in Pennsylvania, and we completed the sale of the LPG business in Switzerland. For the fiscal year, we anticipate raising approximately $80 million of cash proceeds from divestitures or using and reducing absolute debt across the entity. Lastly, I want to highlight that in July, we released our sixth annual ESG report entitled The Journey: Managing Climate Risks and Opportunities, which provides an update on the progress made on our key ESG commitments.

Of note, we were pleased to report that we achieved 50% reduction in Scope 1 emissions, well-positioning the company to meet its commitment of delivering a 55% reduction by the end of fiscal 2025. Similarly, we achieved our goal of a 25% improvement in spend with diverse Tier 1 and Tier 2 suppliers two years ahead of schedule. On a year-to-date basis, despite several headwinds facing the business, UGI delivered one of the strongest year-to-date financial performances in its history, reporting Adjusted Diluted EPS of $3.22. Year-to-date, our weather-resilient and growth-oriented natural gas businesses achieved a 23% increase in adjusted earnings per share and continued to maintain a strong balance sheet.

UGI International delivered a 43% increase in adjusted earnings per share when compared to the prior year and generated approximately $140 million in free cash flow. At AmeriGas, we continue to execute on our objectives to stabilize and optimize the business, and this includes reducing costs and eliminating inefficiencies. Across the enterprise, the actions taken to optimize our cost profile and create greater efficiencies have begun to provide a meaningful contribution to our financial performance, and we expect to achieve the targeted $70-$100 million in permanent cost savings by the end of fiscal 2025.... With this backdrop, and based on our assumptions for the fourth quarter, we are on track to deliver on our fiscal 2024 adjusted EPS guidance range of $2.07-$3.

Also of note, while we are employing strong capital discipline, we continue to invest a substantial amount of capital in our natural gas businesses. Year-to-date, UGI deployed approximately $510 million of capital expenditure, with 77% allocated to both the regulated utilities for infrastructure replacement and betterment in the Midstream and Marketing segment. The utility segment continues to be an area of organic growth, and we are pleased with the addition of roughly 10,000 residential, heating, and commercial customers on a year-to-date basis. I want to thank our dedicated employees who work hard every day to execute on our strategy and deliver these stellar results. And with that, I'll hand the call over to Sean to discuss the financial results for the quarter.

Sean O'Brien (CFO)

Thanks, Mario, and good morning. First, I will provide my comments on the performance for the quarter before turning to the outlook for the rest of this fiscal year. As Mario mentioned, for the fiscal 2024 third quarter, UGI delivered adjusted diluted EPS of $0.06 in comparison to $0.00 in the prior year period. The utility segment was up $0.01, largely due to higher gas and electric base rates, and results for the Midstream and Marketing segment were flat to prior year. UGI International reported an increase of $0.13, largely stemming from higher LPG unit margins and lower operating and administrative expenses. AmeriGas was flat, as lower EBIT was offset by favorable income taxes. Similar to the prior quarter, the impact at Corp and Other was related to taxes, offsetting the effects of the tax benefit at AmeriGas.

Before I walk through the key drivers for each reportable segment, I also wanted to note, excluded from adjusted net income was a $45 million non-cash impairment related to the Hunlock Creek asset. As Mario mentioned, we entered into an agreement to sell that asset, generating cash that is being used to pay down debt and improve our credit metrics. In addition, we recorded a $25 million non-cash impairment associated with the write-off of our investment related to a renewable dimethyl ether pilot plant. This action aligns with our previously communicated intent to curtail investment in renewables, limiting spend to the $500 million of committed capital. Now moving to the review of each segment performance versus the prior year period. At the utility segment, EBIT was $39 million for the third quarter, up $5 million over the prior year period.

An $8 million increase in total margin was partially offset by increased depreciation and amortization expense associated with continued investment in our distribution system. The core market volume was flat, as customer growth was offset by weather that was 17% warmer than the prior year. The utilities realized an increase in total margins, largely due to higher gas and electric base rates, incremental benefits from the DSIC program, as well as continued customer growth. Next, Midstream and Marketing reported EBIT of $43 million, a $2 million increase over the prior year period, reflecting, among other things, a $1 million reduction in operating and administrative expenses. At UGI International, EBIT was $57 million, up $35 million on a year-over-year basis. LPG volumes declined by 4% to the prior year, primarily attributed to the effect of warmer weather and lower growth in natural gas LPG conversions.

Total margin was up $18 million, driven by higher LPG unit margins and increased margin associated with the exit of the non-core energy marketing business. These increases were partially offset by the effect of lower LPG volumes. On operating and administrative expenses, we realized a $19 million reduction due to lower personnel and maintenance costs. Lastly, at AmeriGas, EBIT was down $19 million on a year-over-year basis, as lower total margin was partially offset by reduced operating and administrative expenses. Warmer weather and continued customer loss led to a 13% reduction in retail volumes over the prior year. The effect of lower volumes and lower LPG unit margins led to a $35 million reduction in total margin when compared to the prior year. Operating and administrative expenses were down $17 million, reflecting, among other things, lower compensation and advertising expenses. Pivoting to the full-year outlook.

As Mario shared, we've delivered one of the strongest year-to-date financial performances. Across our reportable segments, we delivered a $54 million reduction in operating and administrative expenses as we look to drive sustainable operational efficiencies, rightsize the organization, and strengthen our overall cost profile. The natural gas businesses are up $0.43 year-over-year from higher base rates, benefits from the weather normalization rider, which partially offset the effect of warmer weather and increased capacity management margin. The global LPG businesses are down $0.02 on a year-to-date basis, as lower operating administrative expenses, increased LPG margins at UGI International, and higher margins due to the continued exit of the non-core European energy marketing business have been fully offset by the effect of lower volumes at AmeriGas.

As we turn to the fiscal 2024 fourth quarter, I want to remind you that we typically give back some earnings in this quarter due to the seasonal nature of the business. Outside of the normal earnings cadence, we anticipate that business will continue to benefit from the cost reduction efforts and the wind down of the European energy marketing operations. These benefits will be more than offset by lower LPG volumes and reduced gain from asset sales at AmeriGas and lower earnings for the Midstream and Marketing business when compared to the prior year. Lastly, I want to point out that we are addressing damage to the jetty at Norgal, one of our supply terminals in France.

Repairs to this facility, in which UGI has a 61% ownership interest, are expected to take up to 18 months, and we anticipate that the capital expenditure will be covered by our insurance policy. The impact in the fiscal year is forecasted to be immaterial, $0.01-$0.02. But at this point, we anticipate that the impact of fiscal 2025 could be as much as $0.05-$0.08. We continue to work through modifications to our supply and logistics plan, and we will provide more information on our year-end earnings call. Turning to the balance sheet update, we completed several key financing activities this quarter, which align with the priorities that we shared with you earlier in the year. Most notably, in June, UGI issued $700 million of 5% convertible senior notes due in 2028.

The net proceeds were used to repay a portion of borrowings under the UGI Corporation credit facilities to make cash contribution to AmeriGas Propane and for general corporate purposes. Next, we repurchased $475 million of the 2025 senior notes at AmeriGas, using cash on hand, $315 million in parent contribution and other sources of liquidity. With these actions, UGI's Q3 leverage ratio was 3.9 times, within our target range of 3.5-4x. Most importantly, AmeriGas leverage was 4.9 times. Lastly, on August 2, AmeriGas entered into a new 5-year senior secured asset-based lending revolver, which has a credit line of $200 million. Concurrent with the execution of the new revolver, AmeriGas terminated the prior facility and with it, eliminated the debt to EBITDA covenant ratio.

I am incredibly proud of the company's execution on strengthening the balance sheet. Since the beginning of fiscal 2023, we have reduced absolute debt by approximately $300 million and executed important financings to support the business. We are maintaining cost and capital discipline as we create greater financial flexibility and capacity within our balance sheet. With that, I'll hand it over to Mario.

Mario Longhi (Interim President and CEO)

Thanks, Sean. Before we open the line for Q&A, I want to acknowledge that Bob Beard has elected to retire from his role as COO at the end of this calendar year. Over Bob's 30+ years as a highly regarded executive in the utilities and natural gas sector, including his 16-year career with UGI, he has made many meaningful contributions to the company. Among them, one that needs to be highlighted is the development of strong and talented leaders in the natural gas line of business. As Bob will remain in his COO role through the end of the year, we will have a seamless transition to the existing leadership team. I am also grateful that Bob will continue to act as an advisor to the board and the company for a period of one year post-retirement to assure strong support to our natural gas business.

In closing, I am confident that with diligent focus and execution of the key strategic priorities, UGI will continue to create sustainable value for its shareholders. Our priorities and the long-term commitments that we have made are clear. We continue to explore opportunities to drive further portfolio optimization and growth, prioritize stabilizing and optimizing AmeriGas propane, seek to create operational efficiencies, and establish an optimal cost structure and drive balance sheet improvement. I'll now turn the call back to our operator to open the line for questions.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. At this time, we will conduct the question-and-answer session. As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star one one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from Gabriel Moreen of Mizuho. Your line is now open.

Gabriel Moreen (Analyst)

Hey, good morning, everyone. Maybe I can start off with the last comments on the dock damage in France. I'm just curious, one, the EPS impact, if you're confident about recovering the damage costs from insurance, why that's gonna hit EPS, or is it gonna be just a timing thing? And then also the larger implications around supply and margins and your degree of confidence that you're gonna maintain margins, if, yeah, I guess you have to scramble a little bit for supply?

Mario Longhi (Interim President and CEO)

... Good morning, and thanks for the question. The coverage from insurance is going to address the amount of capital required to rebuild it. As we speak, the alternative logistics plans are in place. Our customers are not suffering from that. And we just shared with you some of the expected potential impact to the operational side of the business as we get into the next year. That was just to give you a frame of reference. So we're going to be validating some of those numbers as we get further into the analysis.

Gabriel Moreen (Analyst)

Thanks, Mario. Then maybe if I can shift to an update at AmeriGas and how you feel broader picture things are progressing on your initiatives there, particularly with the facilities having been swapped out and I guess being unburdened by a debt-to-EBITDA covenant there. Does that change your approach in terms of how you think about investing in that business going forward, and I guess the metrics you're looking at as you head into the winter heating season here?

Mario Longhi (Interim President and CEO)

No, it just, as a matter of fact, is a big positive when it comes to ability to focus. You know, the strategy that we laid out to address stability inside of AmeriGas, that remains set firm. The clarity around some of the root causes of issues we have, be it, you know, with new algorithms to define the best way for optimizing and getting more efficient all of the logistics, as well as a bigger proximity to the customers, where we're moving the organization towards a pod concept, which will create much greater interaction between local supporters of the customer base rather than having a distant support to that very same customer base. So there is a lot of work that's going into that direction. The plans and any strategic approach is not changing.

It's just going to allow a better focus as we take this, you know, burden from over us.

Gabriel Moreen (Analyst)

Great. And then last one for me, if I could. You got the power plant sale under agreement. You divested a smaller property in UGI International. Can you just talk about where things stand, maybe prospectively, for any additional asset sales as you look across the portfolio?

Mario Longhi (Interim President and CEO)

Yeah, the portfolio analysis is a live element of what we are doing. There is quite a bit of understanding of where value lies and where opportunities lie for improvement on this portfolio for us to be able to focus on the more value-adding elements of the organization. So more to come on that, but there is a lot of good work being put in place that continues. Okay?

Gabriel Moreen (Analyst)

Great. Thanks very much.

Mario Longhi (Interim President and CEO)

Pleasure.

Operator (participant)

Again, as a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star one one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. Please stand by while we bring our next caller up. Our next caller is from Paul A. Zimbardo of Jefferies. Your line is now open.

Paul Zimbardo (Analyst)

Hi, good morning, team. Thank you.

Mario Longhi (Interim President and CEO)

Good morning.

Sean O'Brien (CFO)

Good morning.

Paul Zimbardo (Analyst)

I had a two-part question on CapEx. Just noticing, declines pretty much across the board, but particularly the utilities looks like it's down about 25%, $100 million year to date. If you could discuss, like, what the driver is there, and also looking at the LPG businesses, International and AmeriGas, like, notably down as well, if we should think about those as kind of like the new run rates, for the LPG businesses and just some color on what's happening at the utilities. Thanks.

Sean O'Brien (CFO)

Yeah, Paul, this is Sean. I can handle that. I think, look, the on the LPG side of the equation, we've been very clear that, you know, we're gonna limit some of the capital. Obviously, we've got maintenance capital, both internationally and domestically. We're not pulling back on that. But in terms of the growth side of the equation, you know, our strategy is to focus on running those businesses, you know, stabilizing AmeriGas, running international. So that step down change that you're seeing this year in the LPG businesses will continue. We have that forecasted out through the, you know, next few years, and that is our intent. On the, nat gas side, two drivers there. We're finishing up some of the renewable projects in our, you know, midstream business.

I think we're about $380 million into a $500 million spend. As Mario mentioned, we've curtailed that back. At one point, the company was committing, you know, a little bit over $1 billion, but we're finishing these projects that are in service. That'll probably be about $400 million this year, maybe $100 million next year. So you'll see that sort of pull back in the midstream side. And then on the utility, there's a little bit of ebb and flow, but we're still, you know, heavily investing in those rate base programs to replace cast iron and bare steel. This year we're down just a little bit. Part of that is we are focusing on the balance sheet. Obviously, Mario talked about some divestitures.

We're trying to get the balance sheet in order, but you'll still continue to see a very good chunk of capital going into the rate base. We're going to honor our commitments there, you know, over the next few years. There'll be a little bit of seasonality. I think you could see that uptick maybe, a little bit in 2026 and 2027, but we still have a fair amount of capital. We'll give you guidance later on in the Q4 call around 2025, but our goal is to keep that going. The other key metric, I think, to keep in mind is about 85% of the capital that we're still deploying will be into the nat gas businesses. We've been clear on that. That's where we wanna continue to grow the company.

Paul Zimbardo (Analyst)

... Okay, great. Now, thank you for the color across the board. And then the, the last one I have is just on the leverage metrics. Nice to see the, the improvement through June 30. Just as we fast-forward to a year from now, do you think that those stay the same levels, increase, or decrease for UGI Corp and AmeriGas?

Sean O'Brien (CFO)

The goal is to decrease both of them. I want, you know, Q3. Look, we're very pleased to see 3.9 at Corp at 4.9 at AmeriGas. Q3 typically is our lowest quarter, but that's why, you know... But they're definitely below where we were Q3 of last year, so I think that's real progress. You know, I mentioned the absolute debt of the company, I'm very excited, is below $7 billion. That's a big move, you know, down $300 million. The absolute debt at AmeriGas is below $2 billion. It wasn't that long ago that AmeriGas was holding about 2.7, 2.8 billion. So some big milestones. I think you're thinking about it right, Paul. I think the balance sheet stays in focus through fiscal 2025.

I think we continue, hopefully, to make some progress on that side of the equation. So the short answer is, we wanna continue to see improvement. Remember our ranges at corporate 3.5-4, so we're still at the top end of that range, but within the range. And the same thing with AmeriGas, 4.5-5, and we're at the top end of that range as well. So good progress, but it's still a little more to do.

Paul Zimbardo (Analyst)

Okay, great. Now, thank you all, and congratulations to Bob on the retirement. Thanks, everyone.

Sean O'Brien (CFO)

Thanks, Paul. Appreciate that. Thank you.

Operator (participant)

Thank you, and one moment, please. As a reminder, to ask a question, you'll need to press star one one on your telephone. I am showing no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn it back to Interim President and CEO, Mario Longhi.

Mario Longhi (Interim President and CEO)

Well, I appreciate you being with us today for the session, and I just wanna wish you a great rest of summer and look forward to seeing you in November for the year-end call. All the best to you. Thanks again.

Operator (participant)

Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect.