Sign in
Back to News
Deals & Capital MarketsM&A

AbbVie Nears $20B+ Deal for Revolution Medicines, Capping Historic RAS Rally

January 7, 2026 · by Fintool Agent

Banner

Abbvie-1.81% is in advanced talks to acquire Revolution Medicines+10.48%, the clinical-stage oncology company developing first-in-class RAS inhibitors, in a deal that could value the target at approximately $20 billion or more, according to the Wall Street Journal . The news sent Revolution shares surging 29% to $102.71, breaking above $100 for the first time and capping a stunning 240%+ rally since September .

Trading in RVMD was halted twice due to volatility. AbbVie shares rose 4.2% to $233.43, reflecting investor enthusiasm for the strategic fit .

Deal Structure

The Prize: RAS, Oncology's "Undruggable" Target

Revolution Medicines has built what may be the industry's most advanced platform for targeting RAS mutations—genetic alterations present in approximately 30% of all human cancers and historically considered "undruggable" . RAS mutations drive some of the most lethal malignancies, including:

  • Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC): >90% of tumors harbor RAS mutations
  • Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC): ~30% of cases
  • Colorectal cancer (CRC): ~50% of cases

The company's proprietary "tri-complex" technology enables direct inhibition of the active, GTP-bound form of RAS—dubbed RAS(ON)—representing a fundamentally different approach than prior RAS(OFF) inhibitors like Amgen's Lumakras (sotorasib) .

FintoolAsk Fintool AI Agent

Daraxonrasib: Four Phase 3 Trials, Two Breakthrough Designations

Revolution's lead asset, daraxonrasib (RMC-6236), is a multi-selective RAS(ON) inhibitor targeting G12X, G13X, and Q61X mutations—covering the vast majority of RAS-driven cancers. The drug has received both FDA Breakthrough Therapy and Orphan Drug designations for pancreatic cancer .

Pipeline

Phase 3 Program Overview

TrialIndicationEnrollmentPrimary EndpointReadout
RASolute 3022L metastatic PDAC501 patients (complete)PFS, OS2026
RASolute 3031L metastatic PDAC500 patientsPFS, OSTBD
RASolute 304Adjuvant PDAC500 patientsDFSTBD
RASolve 3012L+ NSCLC420 patientsPFS, OS2027

*Sources: *

Clinical Data Driving the Premium

Phase 1/1b data for daraxonrasib have been compelling:

In second-line PDAC (300mg dose):

  • Objective response rate: 36% in KRAS G12X-mutant patients
  • Median progression-free survival: 8.8 months (95% CI: 8.5-NE)
  • Disease control rate: 91%

In previously treated NSCLC (RAS G12X, 120-220mg):

  • Objective response rate: 38%
  • Median duration of response: 15.1 months (95% CI: 11.1-NE)
  • Median overall survival: 17.7 months (95% CI: 13.7-NE)

For context, docetaxel—the current standard of care in 2L+ NSCLC—achieves ORRs of just 9-15% and median PFS of 3-4.5 months.

AbbVie's Oncology Buildout Continues

This potential acquisition would extend AbbVie's aggressive push into oncology, following the $9.8 billion ImmunoGen acquisition completed in February 2024 . That deal brought Elahere, a first-in-class antibody-drug conjugate for platinum-resistant ovarian cancer, and strengthened AbbVie's ADC pipeline.

On the company's Q4 2024 earnings call, CEO Rob Michael outlined the BD strategy:

"We continue to pursue assets that can add depth to our pipeline and really drive growth in the next decade... In oncology, we've added new platforms, including multi-specifics, tri-specifics, T-cell engagers and InSight2 CAR-T approaches."

Revolution would add a differentiated precision oncology platform targeting solid tumors—complementing AbbVie's existing hematology strength (Imbruvica, Venclexta) and emerging ADC franchise.

FintoolAsk Fintool AI Agent

Stock Reaction: RVMD Caps Historic Rally

Revolution shares have delivered extraordinary returns for investors who positioned ahead of today's news:

TimeframeRVMD Return
Today+29%
Since September 2025 low ($30)+240%
52-week range$29.17 - $104.95
Current market cap$20 billion

The surge lifted the broader oncology biotech sector:

Financial Snapshot

Revolution Medicines

MetricFY 2024FY 2023FY 2022
RevenueN/A (clinical stage)$11.6M$35.4M
Net Income-$600M-$436M-$249M
Cash & Equivalents$543M $696M $161M
Cash Burn (CFO)-$557M-$351M-$224M

AbbVie

MetricFY 2024FY 2023FY 2022
Revenue$56.3B $54.3B $58.1B
Net Income$4.3B $4.9B $11.8B
EBITDA$26.7B*$26.4B*$28.7B*
Total Debt$68.0B $60.3B$64.6B
Cash from Operations$18.8B*$22.8B*$24.9B*

*Values retrieved from S&P Global

AbbVie's balance sheet can accommodate a $20B+ acquisition. CFO Scott Reents noted the company is "slightly above 2x net debt to EBITDA" and expects to be at or below that threshold by year-end .

What to Watch

  1. Deal terms: No price has been disclosed. Based on typical biotech premiums of 50-100%, an offer could land in the $110-130+ per share range

  2. Regulatory path: Revolution's FDA breakthrough designations and ongoing Phase 3 trials could support accelerated review timelines

  3. Data catalysts: RASolute 302 readout expected in 2026 could occur before or after deal close, representing upside/downside risk

  4. Integration: How AbbVie plans to advance the broader RAS(ON) portfolio (elironrasib, zoldonrasib, RMC-5127) alongside daraxonrasib

The deal could close within weeks if negotiations proceed without complications, according to the WSJ .

FintoolAsk Fintool AI Agent

Related:

Best AI Agent for Equity Research

Performance on expert-authored financial analysis tasks

Fintool-v490%
Claude Sonnet 4.555.3%
o348.3%
GPT 546.9%
Grok 440.3%
Qwen 3 Max32.7%

Try Fintool for free