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Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. (MEG)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record Q3 revenue of $178.7M (+6.4% y/y) and record Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA of $28.3M (15.8% margin, +190 bps y/y); diluted Adjusted EPS rose to $0.41 vs $0.31 y/y .
  • GAAP net loss widened to $10.6M, driven primarily by higher interest expense; GAAP LPS remained $0.39, flat y/y due to lower preferred dividends and higher share count .
  • Full-year 2024 guidance reaffirmed: revenue $690–$740M and Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA $95–$100M; Q4 expected to deliver +10–15% y/y revenue growth and +350–400 bps y/y margin expansion .
  • Near-term capital allocation pivot: redeem remaining Series A-2 preferred and delever (no equity issuance), temporarily deemphasizing M&A; operating cash flow conversion improved to ~40% of Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 with further improvement expected in Q4 .
  • Regulatory tailwinds and federal exposure strengthen demand (PFAS-related lab +~30% and consulting +~75% in 2024; selected for $249M USACE environmental services contract), supporting 2025 momentum .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record revenue ($178.7M) and record Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA ($28.3M) with consolidated margin expansion to 15.8%; CEO: “Record quarterly revenues and Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA… as well as the 190 basis points of margin improvement” .
  • Measurement & Analysis delivered strong organic growth and operating leverage: revenue +16.1% to $58.6M; segment Adjusted EBITDA +29.2% to $13.4M, margin 22.8% (+230 bps y/y) .
  • Matrix Canada operating turnaround: achieved mid-teens EBITDA margin in Q3 (tripled y/y vs pre-acquisition), with solid organic growth despite pricing actions .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP net loss increased to $10.6M due to higher interest expense despite improved operating loss; LPS flat at $0.39 owing to lower preferred dividends and higher share count .
  • AP&R segment revenue declined y/y ($52.0M vs $57.0M) with Adjusted EBITDA down ($11.2M vs $14.9M), reflecting a $12.8M reduction in high-margin environmental emergency response revenue .
  • Operating cash flow YTD turned negative (-$9.7M) vs prior-year positive $41.5M, largely due to higher receivables and contract assets amid invoicing delays (Matrix) and slower payments on a large U.S. government-funded project (collections normalizing) .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$155.3 $173.3 $178.7
Diluted Adjusted EPS ($)$0.16 $0.20 $0.41
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$16.9 $23.3 $28.3
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)10.9% 13.5% 15.8%
GAAP LPS ($)N/A$0.39 $0.39
SegmentQ3 2023Q3 2024
AP&R Revenue ($USD Millions)$57.009 $52.019
AP&R Segment Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$14.878 $11.188
Measurement & Analysis Revenue ($USD Millions)$50.468 $58.583
M&A Segment Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$10.352 $13.370
Remediation & Reuse Revenue ($USD Millions)$60.460 $68.085
R&R Segment Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$7.446 $11.655
Corporate & Other Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$(9.373) $(7.901)
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$167.937 $178.687
Total Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$23.303 $28.312
KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024
Liquidity ($USD Millions)$188.3 $139.8
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$16.9 $13.0
Revolver Availability ($USD Millions)$171.4 $126.7
Leverage Ratio (x)2.4x 2.6x
Operating Cash Flow (YTD, $USD Millions)$(21.1) $(9.7)
Operating Cash Flow Conversion (% of Adj EBITDA)N/A~40%

Note on estimates: We attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus estimates for Q3 (revenue, EPS, EBITDA), but the data was unavailable due to API rate limits; therefore, beat/miss vs consensus cannot be assessed at this time.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2024$690–$740M $690–$740M Maintained
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDAFY 2024$95–$100M $95–$100M Maintained
Environmental Emergency Response RevenueFY 2024$50–$70M $50–$70M Maintained
Revenue Growth (y/y)Q4 2024N/A+10–15% New Detail
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Change (y/y)Q4 2024N/A+350–400 bps New Detail

Management also reiterated a long-term target to convert 50%+ of Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA into operating cash flow and near-term prioritization of redeeming the Series A-2 preferred without issuing equity, with a temporary deemphasis on acquisitions .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
PFAS and regulatory tailwindsEPA finalized MCLs/CERCLA; testing ramps; treatment to follow; TAM ~$200B; strong cross-segment impact PFAS-related lab +~30% y/y; consulting +~75% y/y; treatment technology revenue increasing sequentially since April Strengthening
Matrix Canada marginsSeasonal Q1 pressure; full-year double-digit margin expected Achieved mid-teens margins in Q3; margin ~3x y/y vs pre-acquisition Improving
Emergency response revenueTough comp vs 2023 derailment; lower ER revenue in H1 AP&R down y/y due to $12.8M ER decline; Q4 ER likely toward upper end of $50–$70M range (hurricane impact) Variable/Normalizing
Capital allocationRedeemed $60M preferred; upsized credit facility; April equity raise Redeem remaining preferred; delever; no equity issuance; deemphasize M&A near term Balance sheet simplification
Macro/regulatory postureLoper Bright & election outcome not expected to alter outlook Resilient across administrations; Chevron/Loper effects increased advisory demand Resilient
Federal sector exposureSelected for $249M USACE contract, validating integrated model; pipeline of awards ahead Expanding

Management Commentary

  • “Record quarterly revenues and Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA… as well as the 190 basis points of margin improvement” – Vijay Manthripragada, CEO .
  • “We do not intend to issue equity as a source of funds for the preferred redemption… we will prioritize redemption of the preferred equity and subsequent deleveraging… temporarily deemphasizing acquisitions” .
  • “Operating cash flow conversion to 40% of consolidated adjusted EBITDA in our third quarter. We expect operating cash flow to increase materially in the fourth quarter” .
  • “PFAS-related revenue in our laboratories is expected to increase approximately 30% in 2024… consulting services… ~75% in 2024… treatment technology revenue has increased each quarter since April” .
  • “We are reaffirming our full year 2024 guidance ranges… revenues of $690M to $740M and consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $95M to $100M… Q4 revenue +10% to +15% y/y; margin +350 to +400 bps” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Political cycle resilience: Management reiterated growth through prior Trump administration and across geographies; limited exposure to federal swings; consulting/treatment tend to outperform when federal enforcement is deemphasized .
  • Preferred redemption & M&A cadence: Plan to take out next $60M by April, remaining ~$62M shortly after, using cash/credit; near-term pause on acquisitions while maintaining pipeline; no equity issuance to redeem preferred .
  • Origins & Spirit integration: Both performing well with strong cross-selling; additive to permitting/testing footprint and margins .
  • USACE contract: Validates integrated strategy; milestones to come; broader federal opportunity set strong .
  • Q4 drivers: Organic growth across most lines; ER likely toward high end of range; treatment delays easing; supports maintained guidance .
  • Matrix execution: Q3 mid-teens margin; margin ~3x y/y vs acquisition; pricing, operational excellence, integration savings on plan; organic growth solid .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q3 revenue, EPS, and EBITDA were not retrievable at the time of analysis due to API rate limits; as a result, we cannot provide beat/miss analysis versus Wall Street consensus for Q3 2024. We attempted multiple queries but were unable to obtain values.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Quality of earnings improving: consolidated Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 15.8% (+190 bps y/y) on organic growth and acquisition synergies; Adjusted EPS accelerated to $0.41, with segment margin gains in Measurement & Analysis and Remediation & Reuse .
  • Near-term catalyst: balance sheet simplification via preferred redemption (no equity issuance) and deleveraging should improve equity profile and reduce dividend drag; expect staged takeout by and shortly after April .
  • Cash flow inflection: Q3 operating cash flow conversion improved to ~40% with further improvement expected in Q4 as Matrix invoicing delays normalize and large U.S. government payments catch up .
  • PFAS secular tailwinds: cross-segment PFAS exposure supports 2025 growth (labs ~+30%, consulting ~+75% in 2024) with sequential improvement in treatment technology revenue post-April rules .
  • Federal growth optionality: $249M USACE award positions MEG for multi-year federal remediation/quality work; expanding exposure adds demand visibility and diversification .
  • Emergency response normalization: ER weighed on AP&R y/y in Q3, but Q4 likely toward upper end of $50–$70M range; variability persists, yet core organic growth and mix shift support margins .
  • FY 2024 trajectory intact: guidance reaffirmed; Q4 expected stronger y/y revenue and margin; supports a constructive medium-term thesis anchored in regulatory complexity, cross-selling, and disciplined capital allocation .

Additional notes: We searched for the specific “8-K 2.02 earnings press release for Q3 2024” but only an 8-K (Investor Presentation) was listed; the comprehensive Q3 earnings press release was used as the primary source for results and reconciliations .