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REV Group, Inc. (REVG)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record Q1 Adjusted EBITDA of $36.8M and Adjusted EPS of $0.40; consolidated net sales of $525.1M declined year-over-year due to prior-year bus divestitures but rose 3.1% ex-bus, driven by Specialty Vehicles strength .
- Specialty Vehicles delivered robust throughput, favorable ambulance mix, and price realization; Recreational Vehicles remained soft on lower unit shipments and higher dealer assistance .
- FY2025 guidance reaffirmed: net sales $2.3–$2.4B, Adjusted EBITDA $190–$220M; segment outlooks unchanged (SV growth HS/LD on pro forma base; RV roughly flat) .
- Capital allocation remains shareholder-friendly: $19.2M buybacks in Q1, additional $13.8M repurchased through Feb 28; quarterly dividend maintained at $0.06/share; ABL facility extended to 2030 .
- Catalyst: Continued backlog durability (~$4.49B total), visible 2–2.5 years in Specialty Vehicles, and disciplined execution support margin trajectory; risk monitoring centered on tariff impacts and inflation pass-through mechanics .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record first-quarter Adjusted EBITDA ($36.8M), up 78.6% ex-bus; Adjusted EPS $0.40 vs $0.25 prior year .
- Specialty Vehicles: higher fire apparatus shipments, favorable ambulance mix, price realization; SV Adjusted EBITDA up 116% ex-bus; SV backlog reached $4.226B (record) .
- Management highlighted improved operations and cash efficiency exceeding typical seasonality; reaffirmed FY2025 guidance amid strong execution momentum .
Quote: “We are pleased to have delivered record first quarter results, demonstrating the strength of our operational execution... As a result, we are reaffirming our Fiscal 2025 guidance” — CEO Mark Skonieczny .
What Went Wrong
- Recreational Vehicles: net sales down 8.5% YoY, Adjusted EBITDA down 21% to $9.2M on lower unit shipments and increased dealer assistance; backlog fell to $264.5M .
- Working capital increased ($290.2M vs. $248.2M) and operating cash outflow (-$13.1M) driven by AR timing and lower AP; ABL availability declined vs Oct 31 .
- Company did not raise FY2025 guidance despite an internal beat, citing early-year uncertainty around tariffs/inflation; EBITDA beat vs consensus acknowledged but range held .
Financial Results
Consolidated Results vs Prior Quarters
Segment Breakdown (YoY)
Backlog
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic posture: “Record first quarter adjusted EBITDA and cash efficiency that exceeded typical seasonality... positions us well to continue delivering on our long-term strategy for value creation.” — CEO Mark Skonieczny .
- Tariffs: “Approximately 2% of our direct material purchases come from China, Mexico, and Canada... raw material spend on steel and aluminum ~5%... multi-sourcing strategy reduces sole-source exposure.” — CEO Mark Skonieczny .
- Capital allocation: “We recommenced share repurchases... repurchasing approximately 579,000 shares... We continued to purchase shares subsequent to the first quarter...” — CEO Mark Skonieczny .
- Segment drivers: “Increased shipments of fire apparatus, a favorable mix of ambulance units, and price realization...” — Press release .
- Guidance tone: “We are reaffirming our Fiscal 2025 guidance provided in December.” — CEO Mark Skonieczny .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariff exposure and mitigation: Management reiterated limited direct exposure, improved supply resilience, and potential use of surcharges if needed to manage indirect cost spikes .
- RV outlook: Despite strong Tampa retail, management wants to see retail-wholesale normalization and sustained bookings before increasing FY25 RV guidance; back-half weighted .
- Pricing mechanics: Mid-single-digit price increases in SV; pass-through mechanisms on ambulances and some fire commercial chassis; limited repricing of fixed-bid contracts but commercial discipline provides buffer .
- Guidance stance: Q1 was above internal expectations, but guidance maintained due to early-year inflation/tariff uncertainty; pathway exists to top-half even with known tariff risk .
- Orders/Market share: Fire industry units ~5,000 in 2024 vs long-term ~4,000; ambulance demand still above normal; market share commentary limited .
Estimates Context
- Management noted Q1 EBITDA was above consensus, but the company did not raise FY guidance due to uncertainty around tariffs/inflation .
- SPGI/Capital IQ Wall Street consensus (EPS/Revenue/EBITDA) for Q1 2025 was unavailable via our data service at this time due to request limits; as such, detailed numeric comparison vs consensus cannot be provided .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Specialty Vehicles operational momentum is durable: throughput, mix, and pricing drove a record Q1; SV margins are tracking toward double-digits sustainably, underpinning FY25 and intermediate targets .
- RV remains the swing factor: early retail strength at Tampa is encouraging, but management needs sustained retail momentum and dealer restocking; FY25 RV is guided roughly flat, implying upside optionality if trends persist .
- Backlog supports multi-year visibility: ~$4.49B total, 2–2.5 years in SV, providing planning and margin continuity even amid macro noise; lumpy orders but above long-term trends in fire .
- Pricing discipline and pass-through mechanics mitigate inflation/tariff risks; surcharges are a lever to preserve margins if indirect costs rise .
- Capital deployment constructive: ongoing buybacks ($33.09/share avg in Q1) and dividend support TSR; ABL maturity extension enhances flexibility for opportunistic repurchases or bolt-ons .
- FY2025 guide reaffirmed with room to the top half: early beat and SV strength offset RV caution; watch Q2 tariff clarity and RV booking cadence for potential revision .
- Trading implications: near-term upside biased to continued SV execution and backlog conversion; monitor tariff headlines and RV order intake post-spring for estimate revisions and sentiment shifts .