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REV Group, Inc. (REVG)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record Q1 Adjusted EBITDA of $36.8M and Adjusted EPS of $0.40; consolidated net sales of $525.1M declined year-over-year due to prior-year bus divestitures but rose 3.1% ex-bus, driven by Specialty Vehicles strength .
  • Specialty Vehicles delivered robust throughput, favorable ambulance mix, and price realization; Recreational Vehicles remained soft on lower unit shipments and higher dealer assistance .
  • FY2025 guidance reaffirmed: net sales $2.3–$2.4B, Adjusted EBITDA $190–$220M; segment outlooks unchanged (SV growth HS/LD on pro forma base; RV roughly flat) .
  • Capital allocation remains shareholder-friendly: $19.2M buybacks in Q1, additional $13.8M repurchased through Feb 28; quarterly dividend maintained at $0.06/share; ABL facility extended to 2030 .
  • Catalyst: Continued backlog durability (~$4.49B total), visible 2–2.5 years in Specialty Vehicles, and disciplined execution support margin trajectory; risk monitoring centered on tariff impacts and inflation pass-through mechanics .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record first-quarter Adjusted EBITDA ($36.8M), up 78.6% ex-bus; Adjusted EPS $0.40 vs $0.25 prior year .
  • Specialty Vehicles: higher fire apparatus shipments, favorable ambulance mix, price realization; SV Adjusted EBITDA up 116% ex-bus; SV backlog reached $4.226B (record) .
  • Management highlighted improved operations and cash efficiency exceeding typical seasonality; reaffirmed FY2025 guidance amid strong execution momentum .

Quote: “We are pleased to have delivered record first quarter results, demonstrating the strength of our operational execution... As a result, we are reaffirming our Fiscal 2025 guidance” — CEO Mark Skonieczny .

What Went Wrong

  • Recreational Vehicles: net sales down 8.5% YoY, Adjusted EBITDA down 21% to $9.2M on lower unit shipments and increased dealer assistance; backlog fell to $264.5M .
  • Working capital increased ($290.2M vs. $248.2M) and operating cash outflow (-$13.1M) driven by AR timing and lower AP; ABL availability declined vs Oct 31 .
  • Company did not raise FY2025 guidance despite an internal beat, citing early-year uncertainty around tariffs/inflation; EBITDA beat vs consensus acknowledged but range held .

Financial Results

Consolidated Results vs Prior Quarters

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Net Sales ($USD Millions)$579.0 $597.9 $525.1
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$45.2 $49.6 $36.8
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)~7.8% (calc 45.2/579.0) 8.3% 7.0%
Diluted EPS ($)N/A$0.80 $0.35
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)N/A$0.51 $0.40
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)N/A$78.8 $69.8
Operating Income ($USD Millions)N/A$34.6 $28.0

Segment Breakdown (YoY)

Segment MetricQ1 2024Q1 2025
Specialty Vehicles Net Sales ($USD Millions)$417.2 $370.2
Recreational Vehicles Net Sales ($USD Millions)$169.4 $155.0
Specialty Vehicles Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$26.2 $35.2
Recreational Vehicles Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$11.6 $9.2
Specialty Vehicles Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)6.3% 9.5%
Recreational Vehicles Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)6.8% 5.9%

Backlog

Backlog ($USD Millions)Jan 31, 2024Oct 31, 2024Jan 31, 2025
Specialty Vehicles$3,864.1 $4,179.8 $4,226.1
Recreational Vehicles$376.7 $291.5 $264.5
Total$4,240.8 $4,471.3 $4,490.6

KPIs and Balance Sheet

KPIQ1 2025
Net Debt ($USD Millions)$108.4
Cash ($USD Millions)$31.6
ABL Availability ($USD Millions)$262.9
Trade Working Capital ($USD Millions)$290.2
Capital Expenditures ($USD Millions)$4.9
Share Repurchases0.6M shares for $19.2M; avg $33.09
Subsequent Repurchases (through Feb 28)0.425M shares for $13.8M
Quarterly Dividend$0.06/share (declared; payable Apr 11, 2025)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Dec 11, 2024)Current Guidance (Mar 5, 2025)Change
Net Sales ($USD Billions)FY2025$2.3 – $2.4 $2.3 – $2.4 Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)FY2025$190 – $220 $190 – $220 Maintained
Net Income ($USD Millions)FY2025$98 – $125 $98 – $125 Maintained
Adjusted Net Income ($USD Millions)FY2025$116 – $140 $116 – $140 Maintained
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)FY2025$90 – $110 $90 – $110 Maintained
Specialty Vehicles ToplineFY2025HS/LD growth vs pro forma $1.56B HS/LD growth vs pro forma $1.56B Maintained
RV Topline/EBITDAFY2025~Flat vs FY2024 ~Flat vs FY2024 Maintained
Interest Expense ($USD Millions)FY2025$18 – $20 $18 – $20 Maintained
Tax Provision ($USD Millions)FY2025$34.6 – $43.9 Reaffirmed via guidance Maintained
DividendOngoing$0.06/share quarterly $0.06/share (Apr 11 payable) Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024)Previous Mentions (Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Tariffs/MacroNoted industry cycles, terminal trucks at trough; cautious RV demand Risk monitoring includes tariffs/inflation; supply chain resiliency improved; <2% Tier-1 exposure outside U.S. Direct exposure ~2% of direct materials from China/Mexico/Canada; steel/aluminum ~5% of materials; multi-sourcing, potential surcharges if needed Increasing focus; mitigation plans in place
Supply Chain & ThroughputFire ramp and SIOP; ambulance at or above pre-COVID rates; double-digit SV margins targeted Operational excellence and lean; SV margins 11.4% Q4; backlog 2–3 years; updated intermediate targets SV record first-quarter performance; continued throughput initiatives; confidence in meeting FY targets Sustained improvement
Pricing & Pass-throughPrice realization in SV; discounting in RV moderating as dealer inventories improve Mid-single-digit pricing cadence; structurally higher SV margins (14–16% by FY2027) Mid-single-digit SV price increases; pass-through on commercial chassis/ambulances; limited ability to reprice fixed-bid fire contracts; surcharges possible Continued disciplined pricing
Backlog & Demand VisibilitySV backlog ~$4.1B; RV backlog down to $240M SV backlog $4.2B; investor day frames 2–3 year visibility Total backlog $4.49B; SV backlog $4.226B; visibility 2–2.5 years; RV backlog $264.5M Stable high backlog
RV Market & ShowsHershey/Elkhart as indicators; dealer destocking; decrementals managed Tampa expected to set pace; FY25 RV roughly flat Tampa SuperShow: higher retail sales across brands; still cautious outlook until sustained retail improvement Gradual improvement signs

Management Commentary

  • Strategic posture: “Record first quarter adjusted EBITDA and cash efficiency that exceeded typical seasonality... positions us well to continue delivering on our long-term strategy for value creation.” — CEO Mark Skonieczny .
  • Tariffs: “Approximately 2% of our direct material purchases come from China, Mexico, and Canada... raw material spend on steel and aluminum ~5%... multi-sourcing strategy reduces sole-source exposure.” — CEO Mark Skonieczny .
  • Capital allocation: “We recommenced share repurchases... repurchasing approximately 579,000 shares... We continued to purchase shares subsequent to the first quarter...” — CEO Mark Skonieczny .
  • Segment drivers: “Increased shipments of fire apparatus, a favorable mix of ambulance units, and price realization...” — Press release .
  • Guidance tone: “We are reaffirming our Fiscal 2025 guidance provided in December.” — CEO Mark Skonieczny .

Q&A Highlights

  • Tariff exposure and mitigation: Management reiterated limited direct exposure, improved supply resilience, and potential use of surcharges if needed to manage indirect cost spikes .
  • RV outlook: Despite strong Tampa retail, management wants to see retail-wholesale normalization and sustained bookings before increasing FY25 RV guidance; back-half weighted .
  • Pricing mechanics: Mid-single-digit price increases in SV; pass-through mechanisms on ambulances and some fire commercial chassis; limited repricing of fixed-bid contracts but commercial discipline provides buffer .
  • Guidance stance: Q1 was above internal expectations, but guidance maintained due to early-year inflation/tariff uncertainty; pathway exists to top-half even with known tariff risk .
  • Orders/Market share: Fire industry units ~5,000 in 2024 vs long-term ~4,000; ambulance demand still above normal; market share commentary limited .

Estimates Context

  • Management noted Q1 EBITDA was above consensus, but the company did not raise FY guidance due to uncertainty around tariffs/inflation .
  • SPGI/Capital IQ Wall Street consensus (EPS/Revenue/EBITDA) for Q1 2025 was unavailable via our data service at this time due to request limits; as such, detailed numeric comparison vs consensus cannot be provided .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Specialty Vehicles operational momentum is durable: throughput, mix, and pricing drove a record Q1; SV margins are tracking toward double-digits sustainably, underpinning FY25 and intermediate targets .
  • RV remains the swing factor: early retail strength at Tampa is encouraging, but management needs sustained retail momentum and dealer restocking; FY25 RV is guided roughly flat, implying upside optionality if trends persist .
  • Backlog supports multi-year visibility: ~$4.49B total, 2–2.5 years in SV, providing planning and margin continuity even amid macro noise; lumpy orders but above long-term trends in fire .
  • Pricing discipline and pass-through mechanics mitigate inflation/tariff risks; surcharges are a lever to preserve margins if indirect costs rise .
  • Capital deployment constructive: ongoing buybacks ($33.09/share avg in Q1) and dividend support TSR; ABL maturity extension enhances flexibility for opportunistic repurchases or bolt-ons .
  • FY2025 guide reaffirmed with room to the top half: early beat and SV strength offset RV caution; watch Q2 tariff clarity and RV booking cadence for potential revision .
  • Trading implications: near-term upside biased to continued SV execution and backlog conversion; monitor tariff headlines and RV order intake post-spring for estimate revisions and sentiment shifts .