Hecla Mining Company - Q3 2023
November 7, 2023
Transcript
Operator (participant)
Welcome to the Q3 2023 Hecla Mining Company Earnings Conference Call. I would now like to welcome Anvita Patil, VP, Investor Relations and Treasurer, to begin the call. Anvita, over to you.
Anvita Patil (VP of Finance and Treasurer)
Good morning, Mandeep, and thank you all for joining us for Hecla's Q3 2023 financial and operations results conference call. I'm Anvita Patil, Hecla's Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer. Our financial results news release that was issued yesterday, along with today's presentation, are available on Hecla's website. On today's call, we have Phil Baker, Hecla's President and Chief Executive Officer, Lauren Roberts, Hecla's Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, Russell Lawlar, Hecla's Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, and Carlos Aguiar, Hecla's Vice President of Operations. Any forward-looking statements made today by the management team come under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act and involve risks as shown on slide two in our earnings release and in our 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC. These and other risks could cause results to differ from those projected in the forward-looking statements.
Non-GAAP measures cited in this call and related slides are reconciled in the slides or the news release. I want to remind you, if you would like to have a call with the management, you can do so by using the link under the section Virtual Investor Event in our earnings release that was issued yesterday. With that, I'll pass the call to Phil.
Phil Baker (CEO)
Thanks, Anvita. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining the call. Before I get to the slides, I want to just remind you that Lauren's going to be retiring at the end of the year, and I just want to thank Lauren for his tenure at Hecla. You know, during his time, there's been a lot of accomplishments that the company has done and that he has led. But what really stands out to me is that when he arrived at Hecla, we were still at the Lucky Friday, focused on cutting the rock using mechanical mining. And without his support, knowledge, leadership, you know, I doubt the UCB would have been developed.
You know, we wouldn't have a patent for, for a new mining method. So thanks, Lauren, for, for all that you've done. I'd also like to introduce Carlos Aguiar. He's our Vice President of Operations, and Carlos is from Mexico, and he became a U.S. citizen two years ago and has been with the company a total of 27 years.So 17 of those years has been working for us in Latin America, in both Mexico and Venezuela. He has nine years of experience as a GM for us at both San Sebastian and Lucky Friday mines, and he also knows Casa Berardi. He really started the mill modifications. And I, I've known Carlos now for about 20 years.
I first met him on a tour of the mill in Venezuela, and his leadership abilities and commitment to operational excellence has really been reflected in the consistent and improving end results that he's achieved everywhere that he's worked. Every operation has seen significant improvement with him at the helm. So you're gonna enjoy getting to know him, and with that introduction, I'll start with slide three. I want to take a moment to just step back and discuss our performance from a longer-term perspective. We typically do this. You know, it's the way we look at the business on a long-term basis. And over the past five years, you've seen our revenues grow 27%, silver reserves 79%, silver production 37%.
As we work toward producing up to 20 million ounces by 2025, it means that we will close to double our silver production since 2018. And maybe more impressively is that next number, the $767 million of free cash flow that our three operating mines have generated. And this, of course, has resulted in the strong share performance. And it's the quality of our assets. These are assets that have long reserve lives, high grades, low costs, consistent performance, and significant exploration potential, which allows you to have this performance over time. And I'll suggest to you that Greens Creek checks all five of those boxes. You know, long reserve life, high grade, low cost, consistent performance, and significant exploration potential. Lucky Friday, at this point, checks four of the five.
Casa and Keno checks three of them, but all the mines check the long lives. So we are focusing on setting up the mines for the long term, pushing for continuous improvement, and allowing innovation to fundamentally improve them. So they all end up, you know, I'm convinced all, all of them will end up checking all, all five of the boxes. So with that context for the quarter, let me move to slide four, and I'll start with the Lucky Friday, which will not have production until early 2024, as we block off the lower part of the two shaft and build a new secondary escapeway and vent raise. And this three-month project is going well. At the same time, we are still advancing other projects and completing our equipment purchases.
We actually have 10 pieces of equipment on surface that are ready to go underground. We expect to ramp back up to full production in Q1 and see the Lucky Friday continue in 2024, the production growth and the free cash flow that we saw before the fire. Now, Keno Hill production has been slowed due to the delay in the Shotcrete plant commissioning just yesterday, and the cement rock fill plant is scheduled to be completed later this month. Their completion puts us in a position to advance development and production faster, and the grade of the ore has even been better than what our block model had predicted. However, we're concerned with the safety culture at Keno. Our all-injury frequency rate at Keno is around four, which is not acceptable.
There, if you look at Greens Creek and the Lucky Friday, they're both less than one. In the last two months, and more recently in the last two weeks, we've had some near misses that didn't result in an injury or damage to equipment, but they could have, and that's not acceptable to us. As a result, I've tasked Carlos and his team to methodically review all our processes and procedures to get safety right, because we know that excellent safety not only prevents injury, but also standardizes activities, which increases predictability and productivity. And so the safety review at Keno will likely lead to changes in our processes, schedules, equipment, and the way we mine. And to make the mine safer, we will re-engineer certain processes.
With the mine just starting out and with its expected long mine life, we must get off on the right foot on safety. So we're going to take whatever time is needed to do that. Greens Creek had another consistent, strong operational quarter, and we are increasing silver production guidance at the mine. Greens Creek has already generated over $100 million of free cash flow for the year. Now, Casa Berardi had a very good quarter, progressing on the transition that we're making toward becoming only an open-pit mine, reporting cash costs and all-in sustaining costs that are well within guidance, and building infrastructure that sets the mine up for success in the next decade. Earlier this year, we saw the need to make the fundamental changes, which we began implementing just this past quarter, and we're already seeing the benefits of that.
As a company, silver production guidance is only slightly lower. Midpoint of guidance is just 400,000 ounces less silver. Silver costs are unchanged. Gold is unchanged other than a little, little lower cash cost. And finally, the safety performance at our mines, with the exception of Keno Hill, has been one of the best in the industry, with an all-injury frequency rate consistently lower than the U.S. national average. So with that, I'll pass the call on to Russ.
Russell Lawlar (Senior VP and CFO)
Thanks, Bill. I'll start on slide six. As we think about the year so far, even with Lucky Friday down for most of the Q3, silver accounted for 38% of revenues, with silver operations generating more than $120 million of free cash flow. With strong gold production of 39,000 ounces, gold accounted for 36% of revenues, and base metals contributed 25%. We are on a path of more than half of our revenues coming from silver. A strong balance sheet and financial flexibility have always been key priorities, with the goal of maintaining a leverage ratio of less than 2x and maintaining significant liquidity. In the Q3, we saw our leverage ratio increase to 2.2x due to the Lucky Friday suspension of production and our continued investment at Keno Hill.
Although we expect our leverage ratio will remain elevated next quarter, we see this increase as temporary. Our liquidity is adequate at $165 million. However, I expect our leverage ratio will be less than 2 times, and our liquidity will grow substantially once the Lucky Friday is back into production and Keno Hill matures. Now, I'll turn to slide seven to highlight some of the key attributes of our silver mines, especially now that we're going through a period of investment. Our silver mines have consistently provided strong margins. This is shown in the graph on the left, where over the past four years, this margin has been near or above 50% and has translated into consistent free cash flows.
The chart on the right highlights just how strong this free cash flow generation is from our silver mines, where since 2020, Lucky Friday and Greens Creek have generated more than $800 million of cash flow from operations, and even more impressive is the nearly $600 million of free cash flow. These strong margins and the resulting free cash flow generation allow us to invest both capital and exploration at these mines, as well as in our broad exploration portfolio, in addition to returning capital to our shareholders in the, in the form of dividends. Now I'll turn the call to Lauren
Lauren Roberts (Senior VP and COO)
Thanks, Russell. I'd like to just make a few comments on my time with Hecla. I began with Hecla as a summer intern in 1988 and became a full-time employee in 1989. I spent a little under eight years with Hecla and could not have asked for a better start to my career. So when the opportunity to rejoin Hecla presented itself some two decades later, it was a very easy decision for me to return home. The chance to give something back was very important to me and has been a really rewarding four years. So I'd just like to thank the Hecla family for that. With that, I'll start on slide nine. Greens Creek, our flagship mine, turned in another strong and consistent quarter, producing 2.3 million ounces of silver, in line with the prior quarter's 2.4 million ounces.
The mine has already produced 7.5 million ounces in the first three quarters of the year and remains on track to achieve its throughput target of 2,600 tons per day by the end of the year. Cash costs and all-in sustaining costs per silver ounce were $3.04 and $8.18 respectively, and were higher than the Q2 because of lower gold production and lower gold prices. Capital spend for the quarter was $12 million, higher than the previous quarter and as planned due to equipment purchases and seasonal surface projects. The mine generated $28 million in free cash flow in the quarter and has already generated more than $100 million in free cash flow this year. We're increasing silver production guidance to 9.8-10 million ounces for the year.
Due to mine sequencing, zinc production is expected to be somewhat lower, increasing our cash costs and all-in sustaining costs per ounce guidance due to lower expected byproduct credits. Capital guidance is unchanged at $47milliom -$50 million. Greens Creek truly is a premier silver mine, the 11th largest in the world, and I want to congratulate the team on delivering excellent and consistent results at this truly world-class asset. Turning to slide 10, I'm excited to report that we've been executing well on our plan to transition Casa Berardi to a fully open pit operation by mid-2024. The mine produced approximately 24,000 ounces of gold at a cash cost of $1,475, and an all-in sustaining cost of $1,695. Mill throughput was lower than the previous quarter due to a planned upgraded gravity circuit.
We're optimizing that circuit now and expect it to enhance overall plant recovery. The first phase of the in-house open pit fleet was commissioned this quarter, resulting in record tons moved. With the execution of our plans on track and good performance on cost control, we are lowering our cash cost guidance to $1,600-$1,800. The mine remains on track to achieve its production and all-in sustaining cost guidance. Carlos was General Manager of Lucky Friday mine until just a few months ago, when he was promoted to Vice President of Operations. The progress and consistency we've seen from the Lucky Friday over the past few years was largely a result of Carlos and his team. And as I will be retiring at the end of the quarter, I'll hand him the reins to discuss the remainder of the operations.
Carlos Aguiar (VP and General Manager)
Thanks, Lauren, and good morning, everyone. I will start on slide 11. However, before we discuss the progress made at Lucky Friday, I want to congratulate our team at Lucky Friday for receiving the 2023 NIOSH Mine Safety and Health Technology Metal Section Innovation Award for the UCB mining method. In addition, we also received a U.S. patent in the Q3. In August, we report a fire at the Lucky Friday in the number two shaft, which is also the secondary egress. The fire was extinguished in September, however, the operations of the mine are suspended for the remaining of the year until the secondary egress is established. Our mitigation plans include driving a ramp, vertical escape way, and a vent raise to bypass the damaged portion of the shaft.
The ramp and the ladder way raise will serve as a secondary egress, with the vent raise serving as a bypass for ventilation. To explain our mitigation plans in more detail, I will turn to slide 12. I will start with the graphic on the left. First, I want to highlight that the Lucky Friday has two shafts that start at the surface. The Silver shaft, which in the left graphic is the left of the two shafts, and the number two shaft. Silver shaft is our main production shaft. It is a circular, concrete-lined shaft. It moves people, equipment, materials, and is critical for our, our operations on Lucky Friday. This is the shaft where the service hoist was installed early this year and is unaffected by the fire.
To the right of the Silver shaft in the graphic, is the number two shaft, where the fire occurred about halfway down. This shaft provides ventilation, and in emergency, an alternative way to leave the mine. Between the two shafts is the new 850-foot vent raise we are driving for ventilation, shown in fuchsia. The graphic on the right shows the plans in fuchsia to reestablish the secondary egress. The plans comprise an extension of 1,600-foot drift or ramp, and from this ramp, we will install a 290-foot vertical escape raise, basically a ladder with landings. Once complete, this infrastructure will allow for the mine to resume production. The escape way is the critical path to production and is on schedule, with 35% of the ramp and 10% of the raise complete.
The ventilation raise work has just begun. These mitigation plans are expected to cost about $10 million, and we expect the mine to restart production in January of next year. We have property and business interruption insurance with an underground sublimit up to $50 million. I will now move to slide 13. As Phil mentioned it earlier, the safety performance of Keno Hill has not been to Hecla standards, so I am on my way with my team to assess what needs to be done to get safely where it needs to be. With the mine just starting, this is a critical time to establish the culture we want at Keno Hill. Easier now than later. Keno has produced almost 900,000 ounces a year, 700,000 in the Q3. I expect in the fourth quarter, we will produce between 800,000 and 1 million ounces.
We have the shortcrete plant commissioning, office and a dry at the portal, expanded camp facilities, 8,000 feet of development, 10 ore headings, and the modified secondary crusher. We are in a good position for a strong 2024 if we can get the safety right. Slide 14 shows two of our critical projects: the secondary crusher on the left and the shtcrete plant on the right. With that, I will pass the call back to Phil.
Phil Baker (CEO)
Thanks, Carlos. So on slide 15, just a little bit on the exploration of Keno. With the tons we've mined, we've been really pleased with Keno's grade. At 33 ounces per ton, the rock has an NSR value in excess of $700
... And, our exploration team is finding more in a number of deposits, but we'll just talk about Birmingham. So let me orient you on this slide. The Birmingham has a number of zones, Bear, Arctic, Northeast, Deep, and we're going to be mining here for a long time. The images that you see are only of the Bear, and the image on the left is the Bear vein, and on the right is the Footwall vein. And there's a third vein that is not shown, called the Main vein. I've got to think about names of veins, you know, it's a little bit confusing. But so you got the Bear zone with the Bear vein, the Footwall vein, and the Main vein.
So looking at the image on the left, to the Northeast, outside the current design stopes, we are identifying another mineralized shoot in the reddy eclipse. Grade appears high enough to have the potential to add to our resource. The best hole is about 163 ounces over seven feet. So if you look at the right image, and this is the Footwall vein, this is within the currently planned stopes, and we have 36 feet of 36 ounce and 17 feet of 56 ounce. And we don't yet have the results on the Main vein drilling. Point is, there is the likelihood to continue to grow high-grade resources at Keno. We could not be more excited about the exploration results that we're having and the potential that we have in the future.
So slide 16 summarizes our production cost guidance for the year, and we are reiterating our consolidated cost guidance for silver, but lowering the silver production guidance slightly, as I previously mentioned. Gold cash costs are a little lower, capital is unchanged. Also on this slide, you can see the, the ramp-up costs for Keno and Lucky Friday's suspension costs for the year. Exploration is unchanged, and as we look ahead to 2025, we, we think we're still on track to produce up to 20 million ounces. So if you go to slide 17, and, and before I open the call for questions, I wanna, I wanna end our prepared remarks focusing on the expected increase in solar energy.
Last year, globally, 269 gigawatts of solar was installed, and the International Energy Agency estimates that in seven years, the world's going to install about twice as many solar panels this year, about 500 gigawatts. That's not an unreasonable estimate. It's a 9% growth rate, and that actually compares to a 12% growth rate that we've had over the last 10 years. Now it takes 500,000 ounces of silver for every gigawatt installed. So last year, that was 140 million ounces, or 12% of the total demand for silver. In 2030, with 498 gigawatts solar, we're going to use 100 million ounces more, or almost 250 million ounces, which would be 21% of the demand if overall demand doesn't grow. That's not likely.
There's you know, other uses for silver that will see increased demand. Now, to put the 100 million ounces of demand in context, the production for every year of two more is two more of the largest silver mines in the world that produce silver. They're actually not silver mines. It's not a silver mine, but it produces about 50 million ounces. Or it's ten Greens Creeks, which is the 11th largest silver mine. Clearly, the additional demand for silver that we have over the next seven years is not going to be met by more mine production. Even if there's discoveries of silver, you're not going to be able to get them permitted or constructed in that seven year time frame.
So that's going to come from, you know, the to meet that demand, it's got to come from above-ground supply, which is going to require substantially higher prices to be mobilized. Finally, I'm going to be the chairman of the Silver Institute for the next two and a half years, and as a result of that, I was invited to speak at the LBMA conference three weeks ago. And what I was struck by from that conference is that very well-respected, knowledgeable market participants are thinking about silver in the same way they have for the past four years, primarily as torqued gold. And I would just encourage you to think about silver differently, because the demand for silver is so tied to changing our energy sources. It's not going to behave as it has in the past.
So while gold goes up, I'm sure silver will, and while copper goes up, I'm sure silver will. But if solar demand is as I have outlined, then a higher silver price, regardless of what gold and copper do, is inevitable. And with that, what I'd like to do is, and Anvita, you said you got a question from one of the analysts that's traveling, and why don't you tell me what that question is?
Anvita Patil (VP of Finance and Treasurer)
That's right, Phil. So we have a question from Mike Parkin of National Bank. He is in transit, so sent along this question. The question is: What are management's thoughts on potential timeline to get Keno Hill operating to Hecla's standards of practice?
Phil Baker (CEO)
Well, you know, I think I'll make some comments, and then I'll turn it to Lauren and Carlos. But I think, fundamentally, we will never reach our standard of practice. It's a continuous improvement effort, and so it will take some time, but to get to you know, you'll never get there, basically. But you know, we're going to send you know, Carlos and his team is going to go there, and they're just going to make sure that we have all the processes in place, all the procedures. We're going to make sure that there's an understanding at the site of the importance of safety and to follow the practices and procedures. That's that really is the starting point, and then it's how do you engineer out risks?
Fortunately, with the infrastructure that we're putting in, we're in a very good place to see that happen. But with that, I'll turn it over to the two of you. Lauren, anything to add?
Lauren Roberts (Senior VP and COO)
Sure. I'll start, and then I'll pass it to Carlos. I think the way to think about Keno is, in the past year, we've been very focused on the initial mine development and building out the infrastructure, and that phase is essentially coming to a close now. And as Phil suggests, there was an evolution of our process, even within that phase of the work. And now we need to turn our focus to our operational practices and delivering against our operational commitments. And to that end, Carlos and a group of people from our corporate tech services team are heading up there this week to begin that process. Carlos-
Carlos Aguiar (VP and General Manager)
Yeah.
Lauren Roberts (Senior VP and COO)
Would you go into details?
Carlos Aguiar (VP and General Manager)
Yeah, we are getting close, and we are making progress, but safety is our priority, and we are making sure that we have the right people at the right time, in the right place, with all the materials and equipment in place. So it's gonna take some time. We still don't know. We are expecting to complete the initial assessment, you know, before the end of the year, and then after that, we are gonna execute the plan.
Phil Baker (CEO)
So we'll... You know, I guess what I will suggest to you is, we will have substantial production from Keno in 2024. We will give you exactly what we think we'll have when we give the guidance for 2024, early in the new year. So any other questions, Anvita, before we take it from the operator?
Anvita Patil (VP of Finance and Treasurer)
That is all.
Phil Baker (CEO)
Okay, operator, you can open the call for questions.
Operator (participant)
At this time, I'd like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. We'll pause for just a moment to compile any questions. Again, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad now. Our first question comes from the line of Heiko Ihle with H.C. Wainwright. Please go ahead.
Heiko Ihle (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Hey there. Thanks for taking my questions, and I'll also join Phil in thanking Lauren for all he's done for the firm. Didn't realize you were with the firm since you were a summer intern.
Lauren Roberts (Senior VP and COO)
Yeah, it started a long time ago, Heiko.
Heiko Ihle (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Oh, well. This builds a little bit on the emailed-in question, but, I mean, there's been some minor infrastructure delays at Keno Hill. We're not concerned about it, especially since it seems like drilling at site continues to go quite well. But can you provide some color on what exactly you're seeing, and then also the timelines and anticipated costs to remediate the issues that you're still being faced with?
Phil Baker (CEO)
You know, look, I think the short answer is, it's a variety of things. It's not just one thing. And so that goes to the culture that's developing at the site. And you know, if you think about it, we've only been operating for about five months, and so as a result, you know. And you have people that are coming from all over Canada, from different mines. They've had different set of expectations, different set of practices. They will describe the same thing and use different words describing the same thing, and so becomes a communication issue. So it is not. There's not a, you know, sort of a one thing that we need to do. It is really about the culture.
Heiko Ihle (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Do you guys add to that?
Lauren Roberts (Senior VP and COO)
Yeah, I agree, Phil. Keno is rather unique in the sense that it's effectively a melting pot of the Canadian mining districts from east to west. So there's really no critical mass of miners or supervision from any one area, and as a consequence, we need to build the culture from scratch, the way we, as Hecla, want the culture to be. And that's going to take us a little bit of time, but the production will come along with that evolution in the culture, and as the culture comes together, the production will improve. So it's a normal process, actually, at the beginning of a mine. A bit unique at Keno, given the diversity of people there.
Phil Baker (CEO)
You know, it's behaviors, and it's behaviors, you know, from the miners and their supervisors and, you know, and you know, throughout the organization, and it's changing the attitudes so that the behaviors change.
Heiko Ihle (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
No, that makes sense. Completely different one. You maintained your capital guidance. Can you provide some color on what you're seeing in regards to inflation for expenses? As in, where are we compared to what you were expecting, and just in general, what you're seeing in regards to cost inflation, which line items are better or which may be a little bit worse than you had expected? And on that same token, any bottlenecks for availability of anything?
Phil Baker (CEO)
You know, I will turn it over to, you know, Lauren and Russell and Carlos. I mean, from my perspective, the inflationary pressure is reduced. There's no doubt that there's probably some items within the capital and operating costs that are feeling inflationary pressure, but it's not like what we had previously.
Lauren Roberts (Senior VP and COO)
Oh, for sure. The, it, you know, it's just inflation tends to be a sticky thing, Heiko, so it comes quickly, and it abates slowly. But we're not seeing the big increases that we did. I would say things are relatively flat. Fuel is starting to moderate, so we're not seeing any big changes now. I would guess in terms of supply, we are able to get the equipment we need and the materials that we need. Some items are longer lead than they were pre-COVID. Things like transformers are very slow, very long lead, but even those items are beginning to shorten in terms of lead time. Probably the most challenging aspect is skilled trades, and I think everybody in the industry is facing that same challenge. And it's a bit of a generational thing.
We are seeing the older guys starting to retire and fewer folks coming in, so we're, you know, we're hiring relatively inexperienced people and training. Just we've seen this before-
Phil Baker (CEO)
Yeah
Lauren Roberts (Senior VP and COO)
... probably, a couple decades back, but we're experiencing that.
Heiko Ihle (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Okay. That's it for me. I'll get back in queue. Thank you.
Phil Baker (CEO)
Thanks, Heiko.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from the line of Michael Siperco with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Michael Siperco (Director, Global Mining Research)
Thanks, thanks very much, all, for, for taking my question. Maybe shifting gears to Lucky Friday. So you've outlined the, the three key items, that, or it sounds like the three key items that you need to complete to, to bring the mine back into production. Based on the commentary, though, it looks like maybe you're about 15% done on the work that you need to do, across those three items. Is, is that fair, or, or how should we look at the, the timing and effort, required to, to get, that, that rehab work done?
Phil Baker (CEO)
I mean, the short answer is, well, we will be done very early in January, you know, unless we have some major surprise. Carlos?
Carlos Aguiar (VP and General Manager)
Yeah, as of today, we are between 35% and 40% of the project completed, and as you say, we are expecting to restart the mine starting in early 2024.
Lauren Roberts (Senior VP and COO)
In fact, Carlos and I were underground yesterday, looking at the progress, and we are slightly ahead of schedule in some areas, so we were pleased with what we saw.
Michael Siperco (Director, Global Mining Research)
Okay. So, has the vent bypass, the raise, been started yet? Just based on the commentary, it's not exactly clear.
Carlos Aguiar (VP and General Manager)
Yes. Yes, they have. Yeah. Yes. Yeah.
Lauren Roberts (Senior VP and COO)
Both raises got started, and the ramp is what percent, Carlos? 35% complete. So yeah, they're both going.
Carlos Aguiar (VP and General Manager)
It's forty.
Michael Siperco (Director, Global Mining Research)
Okay. Okay, and then-
Phil Baker (CEO)
It's a contractor, Michael. It's a contractor that, you know, has come on, that was mobilized, I don't know, a better part of a month ago. You know, mobilized on the escape way first, and it's more recently been mobilized on the ventilation. Realize the ventilation raise doesn't have to be done to go back into production. It's... The critical path is the escape way.
Michael Siperco (Director, Global Mining Research)
Right.
Phil Baker (CEO)
We have enough ventilation without the ventilation raise for a period of time.
Michael Siperco (Director, Global Mining Research)
Okay, that was gonna be my follow-up question on that. So the escape way is the critical path, and you're comfortable with, say, suppose we have two months or so to get that done and to get Lucky back into production by, say, February? Is that a fair way to look at it?
Phil Baker (CEO)
January.
Michael Siperco (Director, Global Mining Research)
Back in production in January.
Phil Baker (CEO)
If it's February, we've—something unexpected has happened.
Michael Siperco (Director, Global Mining Research)
Understood. Okay. And then just on the insurance, can you share if or when you think you'll have visibility into what will be covered? Do you anticipate that entire $25 million you outlined in terms of costs at Lucky being covered, plus business continuity, is that the right way to look at it?
Phil Baker (CEO)
Well, what we'll say is it will certainly be no more than $50 million. And, you know, like anytime you have a claim with an insurance company, there's a process that you go through, and we're in that process. And, you know, what the outcome is gonna be, you know, I'm not able to predict. But we're very confident that we will get a large portion of costs and business interruption up to $50 million. Russell, anything to add?
Russell Lawlar (Senior VP and CFO)
It's... Yes, it's a work in progress, obviously, as we, as we, you know, work through getting the Lucky Friday back in. We're engaged with the insurance company, and, and we're just working through the process at the moment. As, as more, as more info comes to light or as that becomes clear, then we can, we can tell the market.
Michael Siperco (Director, Global Mining Research)
But should we be thinking about this as a six-month kind of process, or would this be something that would be wrapped up sort of in line with when Lucky comes back into production?
Phil Baker (CEO)
It depends on who you ask within Hecla as to the answer to that question.
Michael Siperco (Director, Global Mining Research)
Okay.
Lauren Roberts (Senior VP and COO)
Look, I think, I think, Michael, you know, just to be safe, you know, to think more in terms of six months than immediately, but I think they should pay us immediately. So, so-
Russell Lawlar (Senior VP and CFO)
Yeah, I would agree with that. I think that you, from a conservatism standpoint, should push it out into the future a little bit, but that could change at any time, right? As we're working through the process.
Michael Siperco (Director, Global Mining Research)
Okay, understood. Thanks very much. I'll pass it on.
Russell Lawlar (Senior VP and CFO)
Thanks.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from the line of Lucas Pipes with B. Riley Securities. Please go ahead.
Lucas Pipes (Managing Director)
Thank you very much, operator. Lauren, I would like to add my congratulations. I wanted to start my questions with Phil, what you mentioned there on the silver solar side. What would be a substitute for silver in a PV solar panel?
Phil Baker (CEO)
Ultimately, it would be copper, is the substitute for it. The problem is the processes for building the solar is, you got to use for building, yeah, solar, you got to use silver for, given those processes. And then secondly, the performance and the durability of the solar panels is substantially less with copper. So is there a price in which the industry would change? Yeah, I'm sure there is. You know, but at the same time, you're seeing, you know, copper prices, you know, increase and the availability of copper. So I... It's certainly nothing that anyone is projecting to occur in the next decade.
Lucas Pipes (Managing Director)
Mm-hmm.
Phil Baker (CEO)
The other thing to mention is that there are new processes that on the new plants that are being built, they're all being built with processes that require even more silver. And they require that because it's they're not only cheaper to build, but it's also has greater efficiency. And realize these solar panels are somewhere around 25%-30% efficiency using silver. And so with these new processes, it gets to the upper end of that.
Lucas Pipes (Managing Director)
That's helpful. Phil, from your vantage point as a silver supplier, does it make any difference to you whether these solar panels are built in Asia or are near shore to the U.S., for example?
Phil Baker (CEO)
You know, I guess practically speaking, it doesn't matter from a, from just a, you know, thinking about supply chain. It would be great to see it built, you know, in U.S. or, or, or countries friendly to the U.S. Friendlier maybe is a better way of saying that. You know, without the, the potential disruption in the cells coming from China, because China does, I don't know, 80%-90% of all the solar panels.
Lucas Pipes (Managing Director)
Yeah. Would you have conversations about offtake agreements or supply agreements with potential customers?
Phil Baker (CEO)
Yeah. You know, remember, what we produce is a concentrate that goes to the smelters, and unfortunately, there are no smelters that can—well, there are not very many smelters in the US, and there's none that can really process our material. You know, there's in Canada, there's a few smelters that can process it, but frankly, we have to ship the material really to Korea and Japan to get it, to get it processed. And so we're, we're a step away from that ultimate customer. You know, it goes into the smelter. We don't, we don't receive the metal back. We're, we, we pay a, a fee, treatment charge for, processing that material.
Lucas Pipes (Managing Director)
Yeah. Okay. No, that's, that's helpful. Certainly keep my, my eyes on that. To go back to Keno, can you remind us what exactly caused the slowdown in the infrastructure developments?
Phil Baker (CEO)
I mean, I think the cause of the slowdown is, in part, you know, where we're located, you know, in the Yukon, getting people and materials there. You know, that's probably been the biggest challenge that we've had. Having camp space, you know, getting, you know, you got to get things sort of aligned where you got the camp space expanded, so you now have the room to bring the people in to do the work. Lauren and Carlos?
Carlos Aguiar (VP and General Manager)
Well, we bring the contractors in, almost 25% of our total workforce at the same time, so that causes some delays on the execution of the projects.
Phil Baker (CEO)
But the good news, Lucas, is we're essentially done with those infrastructure projects. You know, there's some cleanup that we'll be doing during the course of November on some of the projects. The rockfill plant will be completed at the end of this month. We're done with the crusher, with the exception of some electrical work that will happen during the course of November. So, you know, all of that is behind us, and when we look at capital for next year, it's substantially less than what we have. And while we're not done with the budget, and we're not prepared to give guidance as to what capital will be, it is a lot less.
Lucas Pipes (Managing Director)
That's helpful. When would you expect to demobilize some of the contractors and workforce out there?
Phil Baker (CEO)
Some of it is happening as we speak, but primarily in December.
Lucas Pipes (Managing Director)
Okay. That's helpful. Really appreciate the color. Thank you, and best of luck.
Phil Baker (CEO)
Thanks a lot.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from the line of Steven Green with TD Securities.
Please go ahead.
Steven Green (Senior Analyst, Gold and Precious Metals)
Morning, everyone. Just a quick one on Greens Creek. You know, you, you upped the guidance a bit this year. You also beat guidance a bit last year. It appears to be grade, grade-driven. Can you confirm that? And, and is this, is this positive grade reconciliation you're getting, or, or just, in some higher grade stopes?
Phil Baker (CEO)
It is grade driven, and it is slightly higher. You know, realize it doesn't take much additional grade to have a pretty material impact. You know, gold, in particular, has been you know, the grade reconciliation's been higher, and you know, that's something that we have had to deal with for the life of the mine. It's a fairly nuggety gold distribution. And of course, we've had lower grade base metals, and so as a result of that, you know, we've had lower... You know, it's kind of an odd thing. You produce more gold, produce more silver, but because you have less lead and zinc per ounce and gold per ounce, you end up having higher cost per ounce.
Because you got more ounces for it to be applied against. Yeah, it is a slightly positive grade reconciliation. Anything to add, Warren?
Lauren Roberts (Senior VP and COO)
No, that, that's accurate.
Steven Green (Senior Analyst, Gold and Precious Metals)
Okay. And, you know, we're a couple of months away from 2024 now, and I think your previous kind of long-term guidance suggested slightly lower grades, silver grades at least, in 2024. How is that looking now, and is this recent outperformance, do you expect that to bleed into next year as well?
Phil Baker (CEO)
Yeah, look, I think generally speaking, you will see, you know, over the course of the, the, you know, the next decade, slightly decreased grades at Greens Creek, and it's just a, you know, function of trying to maximize the NPV of the asset. So yes, expect lower grades. You know, part of why the way we're trying to offset that is increased throughput, and so that's why you've seen us move to try to get to this 2,600 tons a day. To put that in context, when we took over operatorship of Greens Creek, when we purchased the portion we didn't own in 2008, the throughput was roughly 2,100, maybe a little less, tons per day.
So we're now at, you know, 2,600, and we've gone from maybe a quarter of the tons being long haul to very, very little of it. So it is a huge accomplishment within the mine, and then in the mill, it's much more than anyone ever thought that that mill would be able to to do. So it's, you know, been quite an accomplishment that these guys have done at Greens Creek. I would, you know, they're always looking for a way to improve the operation, and so I wouldn't be surprised if they don't find ways for improvement. But generally speaking, we should see a somewhat lower production as the grades, as the grade declines.
Steven Green (Senior Analyst, Gold and Precious Metals)
Okay, great.
Phil Baker (CEO)
Just remember-
Lauren Roberts (Senior VP and COO)
Okay.
Phil Baker (CEO)
Remember, on recoveries, recoveries have gone up dramatically. You know, it's. I'm trying to remember the numbers, but it's 5%-6%.
Lauren Roberts (Senior VP and COO)
Yeah, it's a lot. And even the move from 2,300 to 2,600 tons a day, we did—we saw no meaningful degradation in recovery.
Phil Baker (CEO)
So just, you know, don't get too enthusiastic over what these guys can do. You know, let's start with what the grade and, you know, the numbers would suggest. But, you know, these are, this is a great team that works up at Greens Creek.
Steven Green (Senior Analyst, Gold and Precious Metals)
Okay, fair enough. That's helpful. Thanks.
Operator (participant)
Again, as a reminder, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad now. There are no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call over to Phil Baker for closing remarks.
Phil Baker (CEO)
Okay, well, thanks for the questions. We really enjoy the engagement that we have with you, and so I'll remind you that we have the opportunity if anybody wants to have a one-on-one call with, you know, one of us. We have time set up to do that, so please take advantage of that. I also want to just thank the teams of people that Hecla has, that it's really made Hecla a unique silver producer. And again, I want to thank Warren for his service to us. And with that, have a great day.
Operator (participant)
I would like to thank our speakers for today's presentation, and thank you all for joining us. This now concludes today's call, and you may now disconnect.




